The Atmospheric Response to Realistic Reduced Summer Arctic Sea Ice Anomalies

Arctic Sea Ice Decline: Observations, Projections, Mechanisms, and Implications

Volumn , Issue , 2013, Pages 91-110

  Alexander, Michael A ^a   Scott, James ^a   Bhatt, Uma S ^b   Deser, Clara ^c   Tomas, Robert A ^c   Miller, Jack S ^b   Timlin, Michael S ^d   Walsh, John E ^b  

^a NOAA EARTH SYSTEM RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS   (United States)

^c NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT URBANA CHAMPAIGN   (United States)

Author keywords

Arctic regions Climate; Climatic changes Environmental aspects Arctic Regions; Environmental impact analysis Arctic regions; Sea ice Arctic regions

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE MODELS; EARTH ATMOSPHERE; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; SEA ICE; SEA LEVEL; VORTICITY;

ARCTIC REGIONS; ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS; ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE; COMMUNITY CLIMATE MODELS; ENVIRONMENTAL ASPECTS; GEO-POTENTIAL HEIGHTS; PRECIPITATION CHANGE; SURFACE AIR TEMPERATURES;

ICE CONTROL;

EID: 84951029883     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.1029/180GM08     Document Type: Chapter

References (54)

1. Alexander, M. A., U. S. Bhatt, J. Walsh, M. Timlin, and J. Miller (2004), The atmospheric response to realistic Arctic sea ice anomalies in an AGCM during winter, J. Clim., 17, 890-905.
2. Bitz, C. M., J. C. Fyfe, and G. M. Flato (2002), Sea ice response to wind forcing from AMIP models, J. Clim., 15, 522-536.
3. Briegleb, B. P., and D. H. Bromwich (1998a), Polar radiation budgets of the NCAR CCM3, J. Clim., 11, 1246-1269.
4. Briegleb, B. P., and D. H. Bromwich (1998b), Polar climate simulation of the NCAR CCM3, J. Clim., 11, 1270-1286.
5. Comiso, J. C., C. L. Parkinson, R. Gersten, and L. Stock (2008), Accelerated decline in the Arctic sea ice cover, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L01703, doi:10.1029/2007GL031972.
6. Deser, C., and H. Teng (2008), Recent trends in Arctic sea ice and the evolving role of atmospheric circulation forcing, 1979-2007, this volume.
7. Deser, C., J. E. Walsh, and M. Timlin (2000), Arctic sea ice variability in the context of recent atmospheric circulation trends, J.Clim., 13, 617-633.
8. Deser, C., G. Magnusdottir, R. Saravanan, and A. Phillips (2004), The effects of North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies on the winter circulation in CCM3. Part II: Direct and indirect components of the response, J. Clim., 17, 877-889.
9. Deser, C., R. A. Thomas, and S. Peng (2007), The transient atmospheric circulation response to North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies, J. Clim., 20, 4751-4767.
10. DeWeaver, E., and C. M. Bitz (2006), Atmospheric circulation and its effect on Arctic sea ice in CCSM3 simulations at medium and high resolution, J. Clim., 19, 2415-2436.
11. Francis, J. A., and E. Hunter (2006), New insight into the disappearing Arctic sea ice, Eos Trans. AGU, 87(46), 509.
12. Geisler, J. E., M. L. Blackmon, G. T. Bates, and S. Muñoz (1985), Sensitivity of January climate response to the magnitude and position of equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies, J. Atmos. Sci., 42, 1037-1049.
13. Glowienka-Hense, R., and A. Hense (1992), The effect of an Arctic polynya on the Northern Hemisphere mean circulation and eddy regime: A numerical experiment, Clim. Dyn., 7(3), 155-163.
14. Gorodetskaya, I. V., and L.-B. Tremblay (2008), Arctic cloud properties and radiative forcing from observations and their role in sea ice decline predicted by the NCAR CCSM3 model during the 21st century, this volume.
15. Grotjahn, R. (2004), Remote weather associated with South Pacific subtropical sea-level high properties, Int. J. Climatol., 24, 823-839.
16. Grotjahn, R., and M. Osman (2007), Remote weather associated with North Pacific subtropical sea-level high properties, Int. J. Climatol., 27, 587-602.
17. Hack, J. J., J. T. Kiehl, and J. W. Hurrell (1998), The hydrologic and thermodynamic characteristics of the NCAR CCM3, J. Clim., 11, 1151-1178.
18. Hartmann, D. (1994), Global Physical Climatology, 411 pp., Academic, London.
19. Honda, M., K. Yamazaki, H. Nakamura, and K. Takeuchi (1999), Dynamic and thermodynamic characteristics of atmospheric response to anomalous sea-ice extent in the Sea of Okhotsk, J. Clim., 12, 3347-3358.
20. Hoskins, B. (1996), On the existence and strength of the summer subtropical anticyclones, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 77, 1287-1292.
21. Hudson, D. A., and B. C. Hewitson (2001), The atmospheric response to a reduction in summer Antarctic sea-ice extent, Clim. Res., 16, 79-99.
22. Hurrell, J. W., J. J. Hack, B. A. Boville, D. L. Williamson, and J. T. Kiehl (1998), The dynamical simulation of the NCAR Community Climate Model version 3, J. Clim., 11, 1207-1236.
23. Hurrell, J. W., J. J. Hack, A. S. Phillips, J. Caron, and J. Yin (2006), The dynamical simulation of the Community Atmosphere Model version 3 (CAM3), J. Clim., 19, 2162-2183.
24. Kiehl, J. T., J. J. Hack, G. B. Bonan, B. A. Boville, and P. J. Rasch (1998), The National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Climate Model: CCM3, J. Clim., 11, 1131-1149.
25. Kushnir, Y., and N.-C. Lau (1992), The general circulation model response to a North Pacific SST anomaly: Dependence on time scale and pattern polarity, J. Clim., 5, 271-283.
26. Kushnir, Y., W. A. Robinson, I. Bladé, N. M. J. Hall, S. Peng, and R. Sutton (2002), Atmospheric GCM response to extratropical SST anomalies: Synthesis and evaluation, J. Clim., 15, 2233-2256.
27. Lau, N.-C., and M.-J. Nath (1991), Variability of the baroclinic and barotropic transient eddy forcing associated with monthly changes in the midlatitude storm tracks, J. Atmos. Sci., 48, 2589-2613.
28. Magnusdottir, G., C. Deser, and R. Saravanan (2004), The effects of North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies on the winter circulation in CCM3. Part I: Main features and storm track characteristics of the response, J. Clim., 17, 857-876.
29. Maslanik, J., S. Drobot, C. Fowler, W. Emery, and R. Barry (2007), On the Arctic climate paradox and the continuing role of atmospheric circulation in affecting sea ice conditions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L03711, doi:10.1029/2006GL028269.
30. Maslanik, J. A., M. C. Serreze, and R. G. Barry (1996), Recent decreases in Arctic summer ice cover and linkages to atmospheric circulation anomalies, Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 1677-1680.
31. Miyasaka, T., and H. Nakamura (2005), Structure and formation mechanisms of the Northern Hemisphere summertime subtropical highs, J. Clim., 18, 5046-5065.
32. Parkinson, C., D. Rind, R. J. Healy, and D. G. Martinson (2001), The impact of sea ice concentration accuracies on climate model simulations with the GISS GCM, J. Clim., 14, 2606-2623.
33. Peng, S., and J. S. Whitaker (1999), Mechanisms determining the atmospheric response to midlatitude SST anomalies, J. Clim., 12, 1393-1408.
34. Peng, S., W. A. Robinson, and S. Li (2003), Mechanisms for the NAO responses to the North Atlantic SST tripole, J. Clim., 16, 1987-2004.
35. Polyakov, I., et al. (2007), Observational program tracks Arctic Ocean transition to a warmer state, Eos Trans. AGU, 88(40), 398.
36. Polyakov, I. V., et al. (2005), One more step toward a warmer Arctic, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L17605, doi:10.1029/2005GL023740.
37. Randall, D., J. Curry, D. Battisti, G. Flato, R. Grumbine, S. Hakkinen, D. Martinson, R. Preller, J. Walsh, and J. Weatherly (1998), Status of and outlook for large-scale modeling of atmosphere-ice-ocean interactions in the Arctic, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 79, 197-219.
38. Raphael, M. N. (2003), Impact of observed sea-ice concentration on the Southern Hemisphere extratropical atmospheric circulation in summer, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D22), 4687, doi:10.1029/2002JD003308.
39. Raymo, M. E., D. Rind, and W. F. Ruddiman (1990), Climatic effects of reduced Arctic sea ice limits in the GISS II general circulation model, Paleoceanography, 5, 367-382.
40. Rayner, N. A., D. E. Parker, E. B. Horton, C. K. Folland, L. V. Alexander, D. P. Rowell, E. C. Kent, and A. Kaplan (2003), Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D14), 4407, doi:10.1029/2002JD002670.
41. Rigor, I. G., J. M. Wallace, and R. L. Colony (2002), Response of sea ice to the Arctic oscillation, J. Clim., 15(18), 2648-2668.
42. Rinke, A., W. Maslowski, K. Dethloff, and J. Clement (2006), Influence of sea ice on the atmosphere: A study with an Arctic atmospheric regional climate model, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D16103, doi:10.1029/2005JD006957.
43. Serreze, M. C., F. Carse, and R. Barry (1997), Icelandic low cyclone activity: Climatological features, linkages with the NAO, and relationships with recent changes in the Northern Hemisphere circulation, J. Clim., 10, 453-464.
44. Serreze, M. C., A. P. Barrett, A. G. Slater, M. Steele, J. Zhang, and K. E. Trenberth (2007), The large-scale energy budget of the Arctic, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D11122, doi:10.1029/2006JD008230.
45. Sewall, J. O. (2005), Precipitation shifts over western North America as a result of declining Arctic sea ice cover: The coupled system response, Earth Interact., 9, paper 26, doi:10.1175/EI171.1.
46. Singarayer, J. S., J. L. Bamber, and P. J. Valdes (2006), Twentyfirst-century climate impacts from a declining Arctic sea ice cover, J. Clim., 19, 1109-1125.
47. Steele, M., W. Ermold, and J. Zhang (2008), Arctic Ocean surface warming trends over the past 100 years, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L02614, doi:10.1029/2007GL031651.
48. Stroeve J., M. M. Holland, W. Meier, T. Scambos, and M. Serreze (2007) Arctic sea ice decline: Faster than forecast, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L09501, doi:10.1029/2007GL029703.
49. Stroeve J., M. Serreze, S. Drobot, S. Gearheard, M. Holland, J. Maslanik, W. Meier, and T. Scambos (2008), Arctic sea ice extent plummets in 2007, Eos Trans. AGU, 89(2), 13.
50. Ting, M., and S. Peng (1995), Dynamics of the early and middle winter atmospheric responses to northwest Atlantic SST anomalies, J. Clim., 8, 2239-2254.
51. Walsh, D., I. Polyakov, L. Timokhov, and E. Carmack (2007), Thermohaline structure and variability in the eastern Nansen Basin as seen from historical data, J. Mar. Res., 65, 685-714.
52. Walsh, J. E., W. L. Chapman, and T. L. Shy (1996), Recent decrease of sea level pressure in the central Arctic, J. Clim., 9, 480-486.
53. Wallace, J. M., Y. Zhang, and L. Bajuk (1996), Interpretation of interdecadal trends in Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature, J. Clim., 9, 249-259.
54. Zhang X., J. E. Walsh, J. Zhang, U. S. Bhatt, and M. Ikeda (2004), Climatology and interannual variability of Arctic cyclone activity: 1948-2002, J. Clim., 17, 2300-2317.