Remote influence of Atlantic multidecadal variability on Siberian warm season precipitation

Scientific Reports

Volumn 5, Issue , 2015, Pages

  Sun, Cheng ^a,b   Li, Jianping ^a,b   Zhao, Sen ^c  

^a BEIJING NORMAL UNIVERSITY   (China)

^b JOINT CENTER FOR GLOBAL CHANGE STUDIES   (China)

^c INSTITUTE OF ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS   (China)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; DIPOLE; DRIVER; MOISTURE; PRECIPITATION; RUSSIAN FEDERATION; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; SEASON; STATISTICAL MODEL; WARMING;

EID: 84947999056     PISSN: None     EISSN: 20452322     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/srep16853     Document Type: Article

References (58)

1. Serreze, M. C. et al. Large-scale hydro-climatology of the terrestrial Arctic drainage system. J. Geophys. Res. 108, 8160 (2002).
2. Ye, H. C. et al. The impact of climatic conditions on seasonal river discharges in Siberia. J. Hydrol. 5, 286-295 (2004).
3. Pavelsky, T. M. & Smith, L. C. Intercomparison of four global precipitation data sets and their correlation with increased Eurasian river discharge to the Arctic Ocean. J. Geophys. Res. 111, D21112 (2006).
4. MacDonald, G. M., Kremenetski, K. V., Smith, L. C. & Hidalgo, H. G. Recent Eurasian river discharge to the Arctic Ocean in the context of longer-term dendrohydrological records. J. Geophys. Res. 112, G04S50 (2007).
5. Peterson, B. J. et al. Increasing river discharge to the Arctic Ocean. Science 298, 2171-2173 (2002).
6. Zhang, X. et al. Enhanced poleward moisture transport and amplified northern high-latitude wetting trend. Nature Clim. Change 3, 47-51 (2013).
7. Gong, D. Y. & Ho, C. H. The Siberian High and climate change over middle to high latitude Asia. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 72, 1-9 (2002).
8. Frey, K. E. & Smith, L. C. Recent temperature and precipitation increases in West Siberia and their association with the Arctic Oscillation. Polar Res. 22, 287-300 (2003).
9. Panagiotopoulos, F., Shahgedanova, M., Hannachi, A. & Stephenson, D. B. Observed trends and teleconnections of the Siberian high: A recently declining center of action. J. Clim. 18, 1411-1422 (2005).
10. Li, F. & Wang, H. Autumn Sea Ice Cover, Winter Northern Hemisphere annular mode, and winter precipitation in Eurasia. J. Clim. 26, 3968-3981 (2013).
11. Thompson, D. W. J. & Wallace, J. M. Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part I: Month-to-month variability. J. Clim. 13, 1000-1016 (2000).
12. Li, J. & Wang, J. X. L. A modified zonal index and its physical sense. Geophys. Res. Lett. 30, 1632 (2003).
13. Ding, R. Q., Li, J. P., Wang, S. G. & Ren, F. M. Decadal change of the spring dust storm in northwest China and the associated atmospheric circulation. Geophys. Res. Lett. 32, L02808 (2005).
14. Peng, S. L. & Mysak, L. A. A teleconnection study of interannual sea-surface temperature-fluctuations in the northern North-Atlantic and precipitation and runoff over western Siberia. J. Clim. 6, 876-885 (1993).
15. Ye, H. C. Decadal variability of Russian winter snow accumulation and its associations with Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies. Int. J. Climatol. 20, 1709-1728 (2000).
16. Ye, H. C. Characteristics of winter precipitation variation over northern central eurasia and their connections to sea surface temperatures over the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. J. Clim. 14, 3140-3155 (2001).
17. Fukutomi, Y., Igarashi, H., Masuda, K. & Yasunari, T. Interannual variability of summer water balance components in three major river basins of Northern Eurasia. J. Hydrol. 4, 283-296 (2003).
18. Fukutomi, Y. Role of storm track activity in the interannual seesaw of summer precipitation over northern Eurasia. J. Geophys. Res. 109, D02109 (2004).
19. Fukutomi, Y., Masuda, K. & Yasunari, T. Cyclone activity associated with the interannual seesaw oscillation of summer precipitation over northern Eurasia. Global Planet Change 56, 387-398 (2007).
20. Iwao, K. & Takahashi, M. Interannual change in summertime precipitation over northeast Asia. Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L16703 (2006).
21. Wu, P. L., Wood, R. & Stott, P. Human influence on increasing Arctic river discharges. Geophys. Res. Lett. 32, L02703 (2005).
22. Min, S. K., Zhang, X. B. & Zwiers, F. Human-induced arctic moistening. Science 320, 518-520 (2008).
23. Wu, P. L., Christidis, N. & Stott, P. Anthropogenic impact on Earth's hydrological cycle. Nat. Clim. Change 3, 807-810 (2013).
24. Wan, H., Zhang, X., Zwiers, F. & Min, S.-K. Attributing northern high-latitude precipitation change over the period 1966-2005 to human influence. Clim. Dynam. 44, doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2423-y (2014).
25. Stocker, T. F. et al. (eds) Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis (IPCC, Cambridge Univ. Press, 2013).
26. Latif, M., Collins, M., Pohlmann, H. & Keenlyside, N. A review of predictability studies of Atlantic sector climate on decadal time scales. J. Clim. 19, 5971-5987 (2006).
27. Li, J. P., Sun, C. & Jin, F. F. NAO implicated as a predictor of Northern Hemisphere mean temperature multidecadal variability. Geophys. Res. Lett. 40, 5497-5502 (2013).
28. Sun, C., Li, J. & Jin, F.-F. A delayed oscillator model for the quasi-periodic multidecadal variability of the NAO. Clim. Dynam. 45, doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2459-z (2015).
29. Sun, C., Li, J. P., Feng, J. & Xie, F. A decadal-scale teleconnection between the North Atlantic oscillation and subtropical eastern Australian rainfall. J. Clim. 28, 1074-1092 (2015).
30. Ting, M. F., Kushnir, Y., Seager, R. & Li, C. H. Forced and internal twentieth-century SST trends in the North Atlantic. J. Clim. 22, 1469-1481 (2009).
31. Zhang, R. et al. Have aerosols caused the observed Atlantic multidecadal variability? J. Atmos. Sci. 70, 1135-1144 (2013).
32. Vellinga, M. & Wu, P. L. Low-latitude freshwater influence on centennial variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation. J. Clim. 17, 4498-4511 (2004).
33. Zhang, R. & Delworth, T. L. Simulated tropical response to a substantial weakening of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation. J. Clim. 18, 1853-1860 (2005).
34. Sutton, R. T. & Hodson, D. L. R. Atlantic Ocean forcing of North American and European summer climate. Science 309, 115-118 (2005).
35. Knight, J. R., Folland, C. K. & Scaife, A. A. Climate impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L17706 (2006).
36. Zhang, R. & Delworth, T. L. Impact of Atlantic multidecadal oscillations on India/Sahel rainfall and Atlantic hurricanes. Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L17712 (2006).
37. Bretherton, C. S., Smith, C. & Wallace, J. M. An intercomparison of methods for finding coupled patterns in climate data. J. Clim. 5, 541-560 (1992).
38. Nnamchi, H. C. & Li, J. P. Influence of the South Atlantic Ocean dipole on West African summer precipitation. J. Clim. 24, 1184-1197 (2011).
39. Watanabe, M. Asian jet waveguide and a downstream extension of the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Clim. 17, 4674-4691 (2004).
40. Hong, C. C., Hsu, H. H., Chia, H. H. & Wu, C. Y. Decadal relationship between the North Atlantic Oscillation and cold surge frequency in Taiwan. Geophys. Res. Lett. 35, L24707 (2008).
41. Wu, Z. W., Wang, B., Li, J. P. & Jin, F. F. An empirical seasonal prediction model of the east Asian summer monsoon using ENSO and NAO. J. Geophys. Res. 114, D18120 (2009).
42. Wu, Z. W., Li, J. P., Jiang, Z. H., He, J. H. & Zhu, X. Y. Possible effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the strengthening relationship between the East Asian Summer monsoon and ENSO. Int. J. Climatol. 32, 794-800 (2012).
43. Linderholm, H. W. et al. Interannual teleconnections between the summer North Atlantic Oscillation and the East Asian summer monsoon. J. Geophys. Res. 116, D13107 (2011).
44. Hodson, D. L. R. et al. Climate impacts of recent multidecadal changes in Atlantic Ocean Sea Surface Temperature: a multimodel comparison. Clim. Dynam. 34, 1041-1058 (2010).
45. Hoskins, B. J. & Karoly, D. J. The steady linear response of a spherical atmosphere to thermal and orographic forcing. J. Atmos. Sci. 38, 1179-1196 (1981).
46. Li, Y., Li, J., Jin, F. & Zhao, S. Interhemispheric propagation of stationary rossby waves in the horizontally nonuniform background Flow. J. Atmos. Sci. 72, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-14-0239.1 (2015).
47. Schlesinger, M. E. & Ramankutty, N. An oscillation in the global climate system of period 65-70 years. Nature 367, 723-726 (1994).
48. Harris, I., Jones, P. D., Osborn, T. J. & Lister, D. H. Updated high-resolution grids of monthly climatic observations - the CRU TS3.10 Dataset. Int. J. Climatol. 34, 623-642 (2014).
49. Becker, A. et al. A description of the global land-surface precipitation data products of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre with sample applications including centennial (trend) analysis from 1901-present. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 5, 71-99 (2013).
50. Kaplan, A. et al. Analyses of global sea surface temperature 1856-1991. J. Geophys. Res. 103, 18567-18589 (1998).
51. Kennedy, J. J., Rayner, N. A., Smith, R. O., Parker, D. E. & Saunby, M. Reassessing biases and other uncertainties in sea surface temperature observations measured in situ since 1850: 1. Measurement and sampling uncertainties. J. Geophys. Res. 116, D14103 (2011).
52. Kennedy, J. J., Rayner, N. A., Smith, R. O., Parker, D. E. & Saunby, M. Reassessing biases and other uncertainties in sea surface temperature observations measured in situ since 1850: 2. Biases and homogenization. J. Geophys. Res. 116, D14104 (2011).
53. Compo, G. P. et al. The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project. Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 137, 1-28 (2011).
54. Pyper, B. J. & Peterman, R. M. Comparison of methods to account for autocorrelation in correlation analyses of fish data. Can. J. Fish Aquat. Sci. 55, 2127-2140 (1998).
55. Plumb, R. A. On the three-dimensional propagation of stationary waves. J. Atmos. Sci. 42, 217-229 (1985).
56. Kucharski, F. et al. On the need of intermediate complexity general circulation models a "SPEEDY" example. B. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 94, 25-30 (2013).
57. Sun, C., Li, J. P., Jin, F. F. & Xie, F. Contrasting meridional structures of stratospheric and tropospheric planetary wave variability in the Northern Hemisphere. Tellus A 66, 25303 (2014).
58. Boulder, Colorado: UCAR/NCAR/CISL/TDD. The NCAR Command Language (Version 6.3.0) [Software]. doi: 10.5065/D6WD3XH5 (2015).