Predicting global geographical distribution of Lolium rigidum (rigid ryegrass) under climate change

Journal of Agricultural Science

Volumn 154, Issue 5, 2016, Pages 755-764

  Castellanos Frias E ^a   Garcia De Leon D ^a,b   Bastida, F ^c   Gonzalez Andujar, J L ^a,b  

^a INSTITUTO DE AGRICULTURA SOSTENIBLE   (Spain)

^b PONTIFICIA UNIVERSIDAD CATÓLICA DE CHILE   (Chile)

^c UNIVERSITY OF HUELVA   (Spain)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BIOCLIMATOLOGY; CARBON DIOXIDE; CARBON EMISSION; CEREAL; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION; GRASS; ISLAND; PREDICTION; SOFTWARE; WINTER;

AFRICA; ASIA; EUROPE; NORTH AMERICA; PACIFIC OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN (TROPICAL); SOUTH AMERICA;

LOLIUM; LOLIUM RIGIDUM;

EID: 84946430403     PISSN: 00218596     EISSN: 14695146     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S0021859615000799     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. BAKER, R. H. A., SANSFORD, C. E., JARVIS, C. H., CANNON, R. J. C., MACLEOD, A. & WALTERS, K. F. A. (2000). The role of climatic mapping in predicting the potential geographical distribution of non-indigenous pests under current and future climates. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 82, 57-71.
2. BELLARD, C., BERTELSMEIER, C., LEADLEY, P., THUILLER, W. & COURCHAMP, F. (2012). Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity. Ecology Letters 15, 365-377.
3. BOURDÔT, G. W., LAMOUREAUX, S. L., WATT, M.S. & KRITICOS, D. J. (2013). The potential global distribution of tall buttercup (Ranunculus acris ssp. acris): Opposing effects of irrigation and climate change. Weed Science 61, 230-238.
4. CABI Centre for Agricultural Bioscience International (2014). Plantwise Knowledge Bank. Delémont, Switzerland: Plantwise. Available online from: http://www.plantwise.org/KnowledgeBank/PWMap.aspx (accessed 21 July 2015).
5. CASTELLANOS-FRÍAS, E., GARCIA DE LEON, D., PUJADAS-SALVA, A., DORADO, J. & GONZALEZ-ANDUJAR, J. L. (2014). Potential distribution of Avena sterilis L. in Europe under climate change. Annals of Applied Biology 165, 53-61.
6. CHAH (2014). Australias Virtual Herbarium. Canberra: Council of Heads of Australasian Herbaria. Available online from: http://avh.chah.org.au (accessed 23 June 2015).
7. CHEJARA, V. K., KRITICOS, D. J., KRISTIANSEN, P., SINDEL, B. M., WHALLEY, R.D.B. & NADOLNY, C. (2010). The current and future potential geographical distribution of Hyparrhenia hirta. Weed Research 50, 174-184.
8. CHEN, S.-L., LI, D.-Z., ZHU, G., WU, Z., LU, S.-L., LIU, L., WANG, Z.-P., SUN, B.-X., ZHU, S.-D., XIA, N., JIA, L.-Z., GUO, Z., CHEN, W., CHEN, X., YANG, G., PHILLIPS, S. M., STAPLETON, C., SORENG, R. J., AIKEN, S. G., TZVELEV, N. N., PETERSON, P. M., RENVOIZE, S. A., OLONOVA, M.V. & AMMANN, K. (2006). Poaceae. Flora of China Vol. 22, (Series Eds Z. G. Wu & P. E. Raven), Beijing & St Louis: Science Press & Missouri Botanical Garden Press.
9. CLEMENTS, D.R. & DITOMMASO, A. (2011). Climate change and weed adaptation: can evolution of invasive plants lead to greater range expansion than forescasted? Weed Research 51, 227-240.
10. COCKS, P.S. & DONALD, C.M. (1973). The germination and establishment of two annual pasture grasses (Hordeum leporinum Link. and Lolium rigidum Gaud.). Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 24, 1-10.
11. ELITH, J., GRAHAM, C. H., ANDERSON, R. P., DUDÍK, M., FERRIER, S., GUISAN, A., HIJMANS, R. J., HUETTMANN, F., LEATHWICK, J. R., LEHMANN, A., LI, J., LOHMANN, L. G., LOISELLE, B. A., MANION, G., MORITZ, C., NAKAMURA, M., NAKAZAWA, Y., OVERTON, J.M. M., PETERSON, A. T., PHILLIPS, S. J., RICHARDSON, K., SCACHETTI-PEREIRA, R., SCHAPIRE, R. E., SOBERÓN, J., WILLIAMS, S., WISZ, M.S. & ZIMMERMANN, N. E. (2006). Novel methods improve prediction of species distributions from occurrence data. Ecography 29, 129-151.
12. EUROMED (2014) EuroMed PlantBase: The Information Resource for Euro-Mediterranean Plant Diversity. Berlin: EUROMED. Available online from http://www.emplantbase.org/home.html (accessed 23 June 2015).
13. FAOSTAT (2014). FAOSTAT. Rome: FAO. Available online from: http://faostat.fao.org (accessed 23 June 2015).
14. FERNÁNDEZ-QUINTANILLA, C., BARROSO, J., RECASENS, J., SANS, X., TORNER, C. & SANCHEZ DEL ARCO, M. J. (2000). Demography of Lolium rigidum in winter barley crops: Analysis of recruitment, survival and reproduction. Weed Research 40, 281-291.
15. GBIF (2014). Global Biodiversity Information Facility: Free and Open Access to Biodiversity Data. Copenhagen: GBIF. Available online from: http://www.gbif.org (accessed 23 June 2015).
16. GILL, G. S. & HOLMES, J. E. (1997). Efficacy of cultural control methods for combating herbicide-resistant Lolium rigidum. Pesticide Science 51, Sp Iss, 352-358.
17. GONZALEZ-ANDUJAR, J. L. (1995). Modelling the effects of climate change and climatic variability on crops at the site scale: effects on cereal weeds. In Climate Change and Agriculture in Europe: Assessment of Impacts and Adaptations (Eds P. A. Harrison, R. E. Butterfield & T. E. Downing), pp. 280-285. Oxford, UK: University of Oxford.
18. GRAMSHAW, D. (1976). Temperature/light interactions and the effect of seed source on germination of annual ryegrass (Lolium rigidum Gaud.) seeds. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 27, 779-786.
19. HEAP, I. (2014). International Survey of Herbicide Resistant Weeds. Online database available from www.weedscience.org (accessed 23 June 2015).
20. IPCC (2007). Summary for policymakers. In Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Eds S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor & H. L. Miller), pp. 1-18. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
21. IZQUIERDO, J., RECASENS, J., FERNÁNDEZ-QUINTANILLA, C. & GILL, G. (2003). Effects of crop and weed densities on the interactions between barley and Lolium rigidum in several Mediterranean locations. Agronomie 23, 529-536.
22. IZQUIERDO, J., BASTIDA, F., LEZAUN, J. M., SÁNCHEZ DEL ARCO, M. J. & GONZALEZ-ANDUJAR, J. L. (2013). Development and evaluation of a model for predicting Lolium rigidum emergence in winter cereal crops in the Mediterranean area. Weed Research 53, 269-278.
23. KIRKBY, K. A., PRATLEY, J. E., HUME, D. E., FAVILLE, M. J., AN, M. & WU, H. (2011). Incidence of endophyte Neotyphodium occultans in Lolium rigidum from Australia. Weed Research 51, 261-272.
24. KRITICOS, D. J., WATT, M. S., POTTER, K. J. B., MANNING, L. K., ALEXANDER, N.S. & TALLENT-HALSELL, N. (2010). Managing invasive weeds under climate change: considering the current and potential future distribution of Buddleja davidii. Weed Research 51, 85-96.
25. KRITICOS, D. J., WEBBER, B. L., LERICHE, A., OTA, N., MACADAM, I., BATHOLS, J. & SCOTT, J. K. (2012). CliMond: global high-resolution historical and future scenario climate surfaces for bioclimatic modelling. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 3, 53-64.
26. LEMERLE, D., VERBEEK, B. & COOMBES, N. (1995). Losses in grain yield of winter crops from Lolium rigidum competition depend on crop species, cultivar and season. Weed Research 35, 503-509.
27. MCCONNACHIE, A. J., STRATHIE, L. W., MERSIE, W., GEBREHIWOT, L., ZEWDIE, K., ABDUREHIM, A., ABRHA, B., ARAYA, T., ASAREGEW, F., ASSEFA, F., GEBRE-TSADIK, R., NIGATU, L., TADESSE, B. & TANA, T. (2011). Current and potential geographical distribution of the invasive plant Parthenium hysterophorus (Asteraceae) in eastern and southern Africa. Weed Research 51, 71-84.
28. MICHAEL, P. J., OWEN, M. J. & POWLES, S. B. (2010). Herbicideresistant weed seeds contaminate grain sown in the western Australian grain belt. Weed Science 58, 466-472.
29. Missouri Botanical Garden (2014). Tropicos. St. Louis, MO, USA: Missouri Botanical Garden. URL http://www.tropicos.org
30. MONAGHAN, N.M. (1980). The biology and control of Lolium rigidum as a weed of wheat. Weed Research 20, 117-121.
31. NASS-USDA (2014). Census of Agriculture.Washington, D.C.: USDA. Available online from: www.agcensus.usda.gov (accessed 23 June 2015).
32. NI, W. L., LI, Z. H., CHEN, H. J., WAN, F. H., QU, W. W., ZHANG, Z. & KRITICOS, D. J. (2012). Including climate change in pest risk assessment: The peach fruit fly, Bactrocera zonata (Diptera: Tephritidae). Bulletin of Entomological Research 102, 173-183.
33. OWEN, M. J., MARTINEZ, N. J. & POWLES, S. B. (2014). Multiple herbicide-resistant Lolium rigidum (annual ryegrass) now dominates across the Western Australian grain belt. Weed Research 54, 314-324.
34. PERARNAUD, V., SEGUIN, B., MALEZIEUX, E., DEQUE, M. & LOUSTAU, D. (2005). Agrometeorological research and applications needed to prepare agriculture and forestry to 21st century climate change. Climatic Change 70, 319-340.
35. RAHMSTORF, S., CAZENAVE, A., CHURCH, J. A., HANSEN, J. E., KEELING, R. F., PARKER, D.E. & SOMERVILLE, R. C. J. (2007). Recent climate observations compared to projections. Science 316, 709.
36. RECASENS, J., TABERNER, A. & IZQUIERDO, J. (1997). Lolium rigidum Gaud. en cultivos de cereales. In Biología de las Malas Hierbas de España (Eds F. X. Sans & C. Fernández-Quintanilla), pp. 49-64. Valencia, Spain: Phytoma-España.
37. STEADMAN, K. J., ELLERY, A. J., CHAPMAN, R., MOORE, A. & TURNER, N. C. (2004). Maturation temperature and rainfall influence seed dormancy characteristics of annual ryegrass (Lolium rigidum). Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 55, 1047-1057.
38. SUTHERST, R.W. & MAYWALD, G. (2005). Aclimatemodel of the redimportedfireant, Solenopsis invicta Buren(Hymenoptera: Formicidae): implications for invasion of new regions, particularly Oceania. Environmental Entomology 34, 317-335.
39. SUTHERST, R. W., MAYWALD, G.F. & KRITICOS, D. J. (2007). CLIMEX Version 3: Users Guide. Melbourne, Australia: Hearne Scientific Software.
40. TABERNER, A. (2001). Biología de Lolium rigidum Gaud. Como Planta Infestante del Cultivo de Cebada. Aplicación al Establecimiento de Métodos de Control. Ph.D. Thesis, University of Lleida, Lleida, Spain.
41. TERRELL, E. E. (1968). A Taxonomic Revision of the Genus Lolium. United States Department of Agriculture Technical Bulletin 1392. Washington, D.C.: USDA.
42. TUTIN, T. G., HEYWOOD, V. H., BURGES, N. A., MOORE, D. M., VALENTINE, D. H., WALTERS, S.M. & WEBB, D. A. (1980). Flora Europaea. Vol. 5, Alismataceae to Orchidaceae (Monocotyledones). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
43. USDA 2014 The PLANTS Database. Washington DC: USDA. Available online from http://plants.usda.gov (accessed 23 June 2015).
44. WALCK, J. L., HIDAYATI, S. N., DIXON, K. W., THOMPSON, K. & POSCHLOD, P. (2011). Climate change and plant regeneration from seed. Global Change Biology 17, 2145-2161.
45. ZISKA, L. H., BLUMENTHAL, D. M., RUNION, G. B., HUNT, E.R. & DIAZ-SOLTERO, H. (2011). Invasive species and climate change: And agronomic perspective. Climate Change 105, 13-42.