Trends in incidence rates during 1999-2008 and prevalence in 2008 of childhood type 1 diabetes mellitus in Germany - Model-based national estimates

PLoS ONE

Volumn 10, Issue 7, 2015, Pages

  Bendas, Alexander ^a   Rothe, Ulrike ^b   Kiess, Wieland ^c   Kapellen, Thomas Michael ^c   Stange, Thoralf ^b   Manuwald, Ulf ^b   Salzsieder, Eckhard ^d   Holl, Reinhard Walter ^e   Schoffer, Olaf ^b   Stahl Pehe, Anna ^f   Giani, Guido ^f   Ehehalt, Stefan ^g   Neu, Andreas ^h   Rosenbauer, Joachim ^f  

^a UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL CARL GUSTAV CARUS   (Germany)

^b DRESDEN UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Germany)

^c UNIVERSITY OF LEIPZIG   (Germany)

^d Institut fur Diabetes 'Gerhardt Katsch'   (Germany)

^e UNIVERSITY OF ULM   (Germany)

^f HEINRICH HEINE UNIVERSITY   (Germany)

^g Department of Tumorepidemiology Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus TU Dresden ^*  (Germany)

^h UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL TÜBINGEN   (Germany)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ADOLESCENT; AGE DISTRIBUTION; ARTICLE; CHILD; CUMULATIVE INCIDENCE; DISEASE REGISTRY; EPIDEMIOLOGICAL DATA; FEMALE; GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION; GERMANY; HUMAN; INCIDENCE; INSULIN DEPENDENT DIABETES MELLITUS; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; NATIONAL INCIDENCE RATE; NATIONAL PREVALENCE; NEWBORN; ONSET AGE; PRESCHOOL CHILD; PREVALENCE; RELIABILITY; SCHOOL CHILD; STANDARDIZATION; STANDARDIZED INCIDENCE RATIO; TREND STUDY; DIABETES MELLITUS, TYPE 1; INFANT; REGISTER; SEX RATIO;

ADOLESCENT; AGE DISTRIBUTION; CHILD; CHILD, PRESCHOOL; DIABETES MELLITUS, TYPE 1; FEMALE; GERMANY; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; INFANT; INFANT, NEWBORN; MALE; PREVALENCE; REGISTRIES; SEX DISTRIBUTION;

EID: 84941367810     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19326203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0132716     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. Bluestone JA, Herold K, Eisenbarth G. Genetics, pathogenesis and clinical interventions in type 1 diabetes. Nature. 2010; 464(7293):1293-300. PMID: 20432533
2. DIAMOND Project Group. Incidence and trends of childhood Type 1 diabetes worldwide 1990-1999. Diabetic medicine: a journal of the British Diabetic Association. 2006; 23(8):857-66.
3. Berhan Y, Waernbaum I, Lind T, Mollsten A, Dahlquist G. Thirty years of prospective nationwide incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes: the accelerating increase by time tends to level off in Sweden. Diabetes. 2011; 60(2):577-81. doi: 10.2337/db10-0813 PMID: 21270269
4. Harjutsalo V, Sjoberg L, Tuomilehto J. Time trends in the incidence of type 1 diabetes in Finnish children: a cohort study. Lancet. 2008; 371(9626):1777-82. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(08)60765-5 PMID: 18502302
5. Patterson CC, Gyurus E, Rosenbauer J, Cinek O, Neu A, Schober E, et al. Trends in childhood type 1 diabetes incidence in Europe during 1989-2008: evidence of non-uniformity over time in rates of increase. Diabetologia. 2012; 55(8):2142-7. doi: 10.1007/s00125-012-2571-8 PMID: 22638547
6. Patterson CC, Dahlquist GG, Gyurus E, Green A, Soltesz G. Incidence trends for childhood type 1 diabetes in Europe during 1989-2003 and predicted new cases 2005-20: a multicentre prospective registration study. Lancet. 2009; 373(9680):2027-33. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(09)60568-7 PMID: 19481249
7. Bruno G, Maule M, Merletti F, Novelli G, Falorni A, Iannilli A, et al. Age-period-cohort analysis of 1990- 2003 incidence time trends of childhood diabetes in Italy: the RIDI study. Diabetes. 2010; 59(9):2281-7. doi: 10.2337/db10-0151 PMID: 20566665
8. Solresz G, Patterson C, Dahlquist G. Diabetes in the Young: a Global Perspective. 2009. In: IDF Diabetes Atlas fourth edition [Internet]. Brussels, Belgium International Diabetes Federation; [(CD-ROM) 1- 36].
9. Michaelis D, Jutzi E, Vogt L. Epidemiology of insulin-treated diabetes mellitus in the East-German population: differences in long-term trends between incidence and prevalence rates. Diabete & metabolisme. 1993; 19(1 Pt 2):110-5.
10. Rosenbauer J, Herzig P, von Kries R, Neu A, Giani G. Temporal, seasonal, and geographical incidence patterns of type I diabetes mellitus in children under 5 years of age in Germany. Diabetologia. 1999; 42 (9):1055-9. PMID: 10447515
11. Rosenbauer J, Dost A, Karges B, Hungele A, Stahl A, Bachle C, et al. Improved metabolic control in children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes: a trend analysis using prospective multicenter data from Germany and Austria. Diabetes care. 2012; 35(1):80-6. doi: 10.2337/dc11-0993 PMID: 22074726
12. Ehehalt S, Dietz K, Willasch AM, Neu A. Epidemiological perspectives on type 1 diabetes in childhood and adolescence in germany: 20 years of the Baden-wurttemberg Diabetes Incidence Registry (DIARY). Diabetes care. 2010; 33(2):338-40. doi: 10.2337/dc09-1503 PMID: 19903753
13. Galler A, Stange T, Muller G, Nake A, Vogel C, Kapellen T, et al. Incidence of childhood diabetes in children aged less than 15 years and its clinical and metabolic characteristics at the time of diagnosis: data from the Childhood Diabetes Registry of Saxony, Germany. Hormone research in paediatrics. 2010; 74 (4):285-91.
14. Rosenbauer J, Icks A, Giani G. Incidence and prevalence of childhood type 1 diabetes mellitus in Germany- model-based national estimates. Journal of pediatric endocrinology and metabolism: JPEM. 2002; 15(9):1497-504. PMID: 12503857
15. Ehehalt S, Dietz K, Willasch AM, Neu A. Prediction model for the incidence and prevalence of type 1 diabetes in childhood and adolescence: evidence for a cohort-dependent increase within the next two decades in Germany. Pediatric Diabetes. 2012; 13(1):15-20.
16. Ehehalt S, Popovic P, Muntoni S, Muntoni S, Willasch A, Hub R, et al. Incidence of diabetes mellitus among children of Italian migrants substantiates the role of genetic factors in the pathogenesis of type 1 diabetes. European journal of pediatrics. 2009; 168(5):613-7. doi: 10.1007/s00431-008-0808-9 PMID: 18777043
17. Rosenbauer J, Icks A, Schmitter D, Giani G. Incidence of childhood Type I diabetes mellitus is increasing at all ages in Germany. Diabetologia. 2002; 45(3):457-8. PMID: 11914757
18. Junghans C. Epidemiolgie des Diabetes mellitus Typ 1 im Kindes- und Jugendalter in Sachsen auf Basis des Sächsischen Kinder-Diabetes-Registers der Jahre 1999-2011 und der sächsischen Gesundheitsämter ab dem Schuljahr 2007/2008. Dresden: Technische Universität Dresden; 2013.
19. GENESIS-Online editor, tables 12411-0006 and -0012 [Internet]. 2013 [cited 10/15 and 10/16 2013].
20. Breslow NE, Day NE. The Analysis of Case-Control Studies. Statistical Methods in Cancer Research. 1. Lyon: International Agency for Research on cancer (IARC Scientific Publication No. 32); 1980. p. 49-53.
21. Burnham KP, Anderson DR. Model Selection and Multimodel Inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. New York: Springer-Verlag; 2002.
22. McCullagh P, Nelder JA. Generalized Linear Models. 2nd ed. London: Chapman & Hall; 1989.
23. Heinzl H, Mittlböck M. Pseudo R-squared measures for Poisson regression models with over- or underdispersion. Special Issue in Honour of Stan Azen: a Birthday Celebration. 2003; 44(1-2):253-71.
24. Moss A, Klenk J, Simon K, Thaiss H, Reinehr T, Wabitsch M. Declining prevalence rates for overweight and obesity in German children starting school. European journal of pediatrics. 2012; 171(2):289-99. doi: 10.1007/s00431-011-1531-5 PMID: 21750902
25. Bluher S, Meigen C, Gausche R, Keller E, Pfaffle R, Sabin M, et al. Age-specific stabilization in obesity prevalence in German children: a cross-sectional study from 1999 to 2008. International journal of pediatric obesity: IJPO: an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity. 2011; 6 (2-2):e199-206.
26. Dahlquist G. Can we slow the rising incidence of childhood-onset autoimmune diabetes? The overload hypothesis. Diabetologia. 2006; 49(1):20-4. PMID: 16362279
27. International Diabbetes Federation (eds). Diabetes Atlas, 6th Edition reversion. Brussels, Belgium 2013.
28. Gale EA, Gillespie KM. Diabetes and gender. Diabetologia. 2001; 44(1):3-15. PMID: 11206408
29. Knip M, Simell O. Environmental triggers of type 1 diabetes. Cold Spring Harbor perspectives in medicine. 2012; 2(7):a007690. doi: 10.1101/cshperspect.a007690 PMID: 22762021
30. Patterson CC, Dahlquist G, Harjutsalo V, Joner G, Feltbower RG, Svensson J, et al. Early mortality in EURODIAB population-based cohorts of type 1 diabetes diagnosed in childhood since 1989. Diabetologia. 2007; 50(12):2439-42. PMID: 17901942