메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 74, Issue , 2015, Pages 114-129

An open source framework for many-objective robust decision making

Author keywords

Deep uncertainty; Risk assessment; Robust decision making; Robustness; Scenario discovery; Threshold

Indexed keywords

APPLICATION PROGRAMMING INTERFACES (API); APPLICATION PROGRAMS; COMMERCE; COMPUTER PROGRAMMING; COMPUTER SYSTEMS PROGRAMMING; DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS; ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL EFFECTS; ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT; INFORMATION DISSEMINATION; LAKE POLLUTION; LAKES; OPEN SOURCE SOFTWARE; OPEN SYSTEMS; PROBLEM ORIENTED LANGUAGES; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK PERCEPTION; ROBUSTNESS (CONTROL SYSTEMS); SOFTWARE ENGINEERING; VISUALIZATION; WATER POLLUTION; WATER QUALITY; WEBSITES;

EID: 84939535868     PISSN: 13648152     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.07.014     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (128)

References (77)
  • 1
    • 0001435252 scopus 로고
    • Exploratory modeling for policy analysis
    • Bankes S. Exploratory modeling for policy analysis. Oper. Res. 1993, 41:435-449.
    • (1993) Oper. Res. , vol.41 , pp. 435-449
    • Bankes, S.1
  • 2
    • 2642517951 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty, probability and information-gaps
    • Ben-Haim Y. Uncertainty, probability and information-gaps. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 2004, 85(1-3):249-266.
    • (2004) Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. , vol.85 , Issue.1-3 , pp. 249-266
    • Ben-Haim, Y.1
  • 4
    • 0025457417 scopus 로고
    • MGA: a decision support system for complex, incompletely defined problems
    • Brill E.D., Flach J., Hopkins L., Ranjithan S. MGA: a decision support system for complex, incompletely defined problems. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man, Cybern. 1990, 20(4):745-757.
    • (1990) IEEE Trans. Syst. Man, Cybern. , vol.20 , Issue.4 , pp. 745-757
    • Brill, E.D.1    Flach, J.2    Hopkins, L.3    Ranjithan, S.4
  • 6
    • 84866982350 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decision scaling: linking bottom-up vulnerability analysis with climate projections in the water sector
    • Brown C., Ghile Y., Laverty M., Li K. Decision scaling: linking bottom-up vulnerability analysis with climate projections in the water sector. Water Resour. Res. 2012, 48:W09537.
    • (2012) Water Resour. Res. , vol.48 , pp. W09537
    • Brown, C.1    Ghile, Y.2    Laverty, M.3    Li, K.4
  • 8
    • 72149099073 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Thinking inside the box: a participatory, computer-assisted approach to scenario discovery
    • Bryant B.P., Lempert R.J. Thinking inside the box: a participatory, computer-assisted approach to scenario discovery. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 2010, 77(1):34-49.
    • (2010) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.77 , Issue.1 , pp. 34-49
    • Bryant, B.P.1    Lempert, R.J.2
  • 9
    • 3543137178 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ParadisEO: a framework for the reusable design of parallel and distributed metaheuristics
    • Cahon S., Melab N., Talbi E.-G. ParadisEO: a framework for the reusable design of parallel and distributed metaheuristics. J. Heuristics 2004, 10(3):357-380.
    • (2004) J. Heuristics , vol.10 , Issue.3 , pp. 357-380
    • Cahon, S.1    Melab, N.2    Talbi, E.-G.3
  • 10
    • 0033178412 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Management of eutrophication of lakes subject to potentially irreversible change
    • Carpenter S.R., Ludwig D., Brock W.A. Management of eutrophication of lakes subject to potentially irreversible change. Ecol. Appl. 1999, 9(751):771.
    • (1999) Ecol. Appl. , vol.9 , Issue.751 , pp. 771
    • Carpenter, S.R.1    Ludwig, D.2    Brock, W.A.3
  • 12
    • 0016494906 scopus 로고
    • A review and evaluation of multiobjective programming techniques
    • Cohon J., Marks D. A review and evaluation of multiobjective programming techniques. Water Resour. Res. 1975, 11(2):208-220.
    • (1975) Water Resour. Res. , vol.11 , Issue.2 , pp. 208-220
    • Cohon, J.1    Marks, D.2
  • 17
    • 0007425929 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bump-hunting for high dimensional data
    • Friedman J.H., Fisher N.I. Bump-hunting for high dimensional data. Stat. Comput. 1999, 9:123-143.
    • (1999) Stat. Comput. , vol.9 , pp. 123-143
    • Friedman, J.H.1    Fisher, N.I.2
  • 18
    • 84890547738 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bottom-up climate risk assessment of infrastructure investment in the Niger river Basin
    • Ghile Y., Taner M., Brown C., Grijsen J., Talbi A. Bottom-up climate risk assessment of infrastructure investment in the Niger river Basin. Clim. Change 2014, 122:97-110.
    • (2014) Clim. Change , vol.122 , pp. 97-110
    • Ghile, Y.1    Taner, M.2    Brown, C.3    Grijsen, J.4    Talbi, A.5
  • 19
    • 84899038091 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Many-objective reservoir policy identification and refinement to reduce policy inertia and myopia in water management
    • Giuliani M., Herman J., Castelletti A., Reed P. Many-objective reservoir policy identification and refinement to reduce policy inertia and myopia in water management. Water Resour. Res. 2014, 50(4):3355-3377.
    • (2014) Water Resour. Res. , vol.50 , Issue.4 , pp. 3355-3377
    • Giuliani, M.1    Herman, J.2    Castelletti, A.3    Reed, P.4
  • 20
    • 33846838684 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new analytic method for finding policy-relevant scenarios
    • Groves D.G., Lempert R.J. A new analytic method for finding policy-relevant scenarios. Glob. Environ. Change 2007, 17:73-85.
    • (2007) Glob. Environ. Change , vol.17 , pp. 73-85
    • Groves, D.G.1    Lempert, R.J.2
  • 21
    • 84878015971 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: a method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world
    • Haasnoot M., Kwakkel J.H., Walker W.E., ter Matt J. Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: a method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world. Glob. Environ. Change 2013, 23:485-498.
    • (2013) Glob. Environ. Change , vol.23 , pp. 485-498
    • Haasnoot, M.1    Kwakkel, J.H.2    Walker, W.E.3    ter Matt, J.4
  • 22
    • 84866883070 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Diagnostic assessment of the borg MOEA on many-objective product family design problems. WCCI 2012 world congress on computational intelligence
    • Hadka D., Reed P.M., Simpson T.W. Diagnostic assessment of the borg MOEA on many-objective product family design problems. WCCI 2012 world congress on computational intelligence. Congr. Evol. Comput. 2012, 21(2):231-259.
    • (2012) Congr. Evol. Comput. , vol.21 , Issue.2 , pp. 231-259
    • Hadka, D.1    Reed, P.M.2    Simpson, T.W.3
  • 23
    • 84866846120 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Diagnostic assessment of search controls and failure modes in many-objective evolutionary optimization
    • Hadka D., Reed P.M. Diagnostic assessment of search controls and failure modes in many-objective evolutionary optimization. Evol. Comput. 2012, 20(3):423-452.
    • (2012) Evol. Comput. , vol.20 , Issue.3 , pp. 423-452
    • Hadka, D.1    Reed, P.M.2
  • 24
    • 84887667705 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Borg: an auto-adaptive many-objective evolutionary computing framework
    • Hadka D., Reed P.M. Borg: an auto-adaptive many-objective evolutionary computing framework. Evol. Comput. 2013, 21(2):231-259.
    • (2013) Evol. Comput. , vol.21 , Issue.2 , pp. 231-259
    • Hadka, D.1    Reed, P.M.2
  • 26
    • 84930634363 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large-scale parallelization of the Borg MOEA for many-objective optimization of complex environmental systems
    • Hadka D., Reed P.M. Large-scale parallelization of the Borg MOEA for many-objective optimization of complex environmental systems. Environ. Model. Softw. 2015, v69:353-369.
    • (2015) Environ. Model. Softw. , vol.v69 , pp. 353-369
    • Hadka, D.1    Reed, P.M.2
  • 27
    • 84866991683 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robust climate policies under uncertainty: a comparison of robust decision making and info-gap methods
    • Hall J.W., Lempert R.J., Keller K., Hackbarth A., Mijere C., McInerney D.J. Robust climate policies under uncertainty: a comparison of robust decision making and info-gap methods. Risk Anal. 2012, 32(10):1657-1672.
    • (2012) Risk Anal. , vol.32 , Issue.10 , pp. 1657-1672
    • Hall, J.W.1    Lempert, R.J.2    Keller, K.3    Hackbarth, A.4    Mijere, C.5    McInerney, D.J.6
  • 29
    • 84939499206 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How should robustness be defined for water systems planning under change?
    • 04015012
    • Herman J.D., Reed P.M., Zeff H.B., Characklis G.W. How should robustness be defined for water systems planning under change?. J. Water Resour. Manag. 2015, 04015012. 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000509.
    • (2015) J. Water Resour. Manag.
    • Herman, J.D.1    Reed, P.M.2    Zeff, H.B.3    Characklis, G.W.4
  • 30
    • 84911408081 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Beyond optimality: multistakeholder robustness tradeoffs for regional water portfolio planning under deep uncertainty
    • Herman J.D., Zeff H.B., Reed P.M., Characklis G.W. Beyond optimality: multistakeholder robustness tradeoffs for regional water portfolio planning under deep uncertainty. Water Resour. Res. 2014, 50. 10.1002/2014WR015338.
    • (2014) Water Resour. Res. , vol.50
    • Herman, J.D.1    Zeff, H.B.2    Reed, P.M.3    Characklis, G.W.4
  • 31
    • 77955382952 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Information gap analysis of flood model uncertainties and regional frequency analysis
    • Hine D., Hall J.W. Information gap analysis of flood model uncertainties and regional frequency analysis. Water Resour. Res. 2010, 46:W01514.
    • (2010) Water Resour. Res. , vol.46 , pp. W01514
    • Hine, D.1    Hall, J.W.2
  • 32
    • 0033221552 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decision making in an uncertain world: information-gap modeling in water resources management
    • Hipel K.W., Ben-Haim Y. Decision making in an uncertain world: information-gap modeling in water resources management. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man, Cybern. - C Appl. Rev. 1999, 29(4):506-517.
    • (1999) IEEE Trans. Syst. Man, Cybern. - C Appl. Rev. , vol.29 , Issue.4 , pp. 506-517
    • Hipel, K.W.1    Ben-Haim, Y.2
  • 33
  • 34
    • 84874529980 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Many objective robust decision making for complex environmental systems undergoing change
    • Kasprzyk J.R., Nataraj S., Reed P.M., Lempert R.J. Many objective robust decision making for complex environmental systems undergoing change. Environ. Model. Softw. 2013, 42:55-71.
    • (2013) Environ. Model. Softw. , vol.42 , pp. 55-71
    • Kasprzyk, J.R.1    Nataraj, S.2    Reed, P.M.3    Lempert, R.J.4
  • 36
    • 34547697204 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A framework for visually interactive decision-making and design using evolutionary multi-objective optimization (VIDEO)
    • Kollat J.B., Reed P.M. A framework for visually interactive decision-making and design using evolutionary multi-objective optimization (VIDEO). Environ. Model. Softw. 2007, 22:1691-1704.
    • (2007) Environ. Model. Softw. , vol.22 , pp. 1691-1704
    • Kollat, J.B.1    Reed, P.M.2
  • 37
    • 84873747386 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using information-gap decision theory for water resources planning under severe uncertainty
    • Korteling B., Dessai S., Kapelan Z. Using information-gap decision theory for water resources planning under severe uncertainty. Water Resour. Manag. 2013, 27:1149-1172.
    • (2013) Water Resour. Manag. , vol.27 , pp. 1149-1172
    • Korteling, B.1    Dessai, S.2    Kapelan, Z.3
  • 40
    • 84873988228 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploratory modeling and Analysis, an approach for model-based foresight under deep uncertainty
    • Kwakkel J.H., Pruyt E. Exploratory modeling and Analysis, an approach for model-based foresight under deep uncertainty. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 2013, 80:419-431.
    • (2013) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.80 , pp. 419-431
    • Kwakkel, J.H.1    Pruyt, E.2
  • 41
    • 0037076360 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new decision Sciences for complex systems
    • Lempert R.J. A new decision Sciences for complex systems. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 2002, 99:7309-7313.
    • (2002) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. , vol.99 , pp. 7309-7313
    • Lempert, R.J.1
  • 42
    • 35448997206 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Managing the risk of an uncertain threshold response: comparison of robust, optimum, and precautionary approaches
    • Lempert R.J., Collins M. Managing the risk of an uncertain threshold response: comparison of robust, optimum, and precautionary approaches. Risk Anal. 2007, 27(4):1009-1026.
    • (2007) Risk Anal. , vol.27 , Issue.4 , pp. 1009-1026
    • Lempert, R.J.1    Collins, M.2
  • 45
    • 33645811102 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A general, analytic method for generating robust strategies and narrative scenarios
    • Lempert R.J., Groves D.G., Popper S.W., Bankes S.C. A general, analytic method for generating robust strategies and narrative scenarios. Manag. Sci. 2006, 52(4):514-528.
    • (2006) Manag. Sci. , vol.52 , Issue.4 , pp. 514-528
    • Lempert, R.J.1    Groves, D.G.2    Popper, S.W.3    Bankes, S.C.4
  • 49
    • 84878442872 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robust decision making and info-gap decision theory for water resource system planning
    • Matrosov E.S., Woods A.M., Harou J.J. Robust decision making and info-gap decision theory for water resource system planning. J. Hydrol. 2013, 494:43-58.
    • (2013) J. Hydrol. , vol.494 , pp. 43-58
    • Matrosov, E.S.1    Woods, A.M.2    Harou, J.J.3
  • 50
    • 84879052245 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robustness indicators for evaluation under climate change: application to the upper Great Lakes
    • Moody P., Brown C. Robustness indicators for evaluation under climate change: application to the upper Great Lakes. Water Resour. Res. 2013, 49:W20228.
    • (2013) Water Resour. Res. , vol.49 , pp. W20228
    • Moody, P.1    Brown, C.2
  • 51
    • 84905992165 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the vulnerability of water supply to changing streamflow conditions
    • Nazemi A., Wheater H.S. Assessing the vulnerability of water supply to changing streamflow conditions. EOS Trans. Am. Geophys. Union 2014, 95(32):288.
    • (2014) EOS Trans. Am. Geophys. Union , vol.95 , Issue.32 , pp. 288
    • Nazemi, A.1    Wheater, H.S.2
  • 52
    • 0038341026 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Discounting the distant future: how much do uncertain rates increase valuations?
    • Newell R.G., Pizer W.A. Discounting the distant future: how much do uncertain rates increase valuations?. J. Environ. Econ. Manag. 2003, 46:52-71.
    • (2003) J. Environ. Econ. Manag. , vol.46 , pp. 52-71
    • Newell, R.G.1    Pizer, W.A.2
  • 54
    • 84857488239 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A climate sensitivity estimate using global average observations and an earth system model with a dynamic 3D ocean
    • Olson R., Sriver R., Goes M., Urban N.M., Matthews H.D., Haran M., Keller K. A climate sensitivity estimate using global average observations and an earth system model with a dynamic 3D ocean. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 2012, 117:D04103. 10.1029/2011JD016620.
    • (2012) J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. , vol.117 , pp. D04103
    • Olson, R.1    Sriver, R.2    Goes, M.3    Urban, N.M.4    Matthews, H.D.5    Haran, M.6    Keller, K.7
  • 56
    • 84872912259 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global sensitivity measures from given data
    • Plischke E., Borgonovo E., Smith C.L. Global sensitivity measures from given data. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 2013, 226(3):536-550.
    • (2013) Eur. J. Oper. Res. , vol.226 , Issue.3 , pp. 536-550
    • Plischke, E.1    Borgonovo, E.2    Smith, C.L.3
  • 58
    • 84863304598 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria
    • R Development Core Team R: a Language and Environment for Statistical Computing 2008, R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria, ISBN: 3-900051-08-0. http://www.R-project.org/.
    • (2008) R: a Language and Environment for Statistical Computing
  • 59
    • 84872848015 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evolutionary multiobjective optimization in water resources: the past, present, and future
    • Reed P.M., Hadka D., Herman J., Kasprzyk J., Kollat J. Evolutionary multiobjective optimization in water resources: the past, present, and future. Adv. Water Resour. 2013, 51:438-456.
    • (2013) Adv. Water Resour. , vol.51 , pp. 438-456
    • Reed, P.M.1    Hadka, D.2    Herman, J.3    Kasprzyk, J.4    Kollat, J.5
  • 63
    • 0002900835 scopus 로고
    • The theory of statistical decision
    • Savage L.J. The theory of statistical decision. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 1951, 46(253):55-67.
    • (1951) J. Am. Stat. Assoc. , vol.46 , Issue.253 , pp. 55-67
    • Savage, L.J.1
  • 64
    • 0009889715 scopus 로고
    • Decision making under uncertainty: Starr's domain criterion
    • Schneller G., Sphicas G. Decision making under uncertainty: Starr's domain criterion. Theory Decis. 1983, 15(4):321-336.
    • (1983) Theory Decis. , vol.15 , Issue.4 , pp. 321-336
    • Schneller, G.1    Sphicas, G.2
  • 65
    • 0000629644 scopus 로고
    • Theories of decision-making in economics and behavioral science
    • Simon H.A. Theories of decision-making in economics and behavioral science. Am. Econ. Rev. 1959, 49(3):253-283.
    • (1959) Am. Econ. Rev. , vol.49 , Issue.3 , pp. 253-283
    • Simon, H.A.1
  • 67
    • 84939545496 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Many-objective robust decision making for managing an ecosystem with a deeply uncertain threshold response
    • Singh R., Reed P.M., Keller K. Many-objective robust decision making for managing an ecosystem with a deeply uncertain threshold response. Ecol. Soc. 2015, 20(3):12. 10.5751/ES-07687-200312.
    • (2015) Ecol. Soc. , vol.20 , Issue.3 , pp. 12
    • Singh, R.1    Reed, P.M.2    Keller, K.3
  • 69
    • 84900868941 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linking climate projections to performance: a yield-based decision scaling assessment of a large urban water resources system
    • Turner S.W., Marlow D., Ekström M., Rhodes B.G., Kularathna U., Jeffrey P.J. Linking climate projections to performance: a yield-based decision scaling assessment of a large urban water resources system. Water Resour. Res. 2014, 50:3553-3567.
    • (2014) Water Resour. Res. , vol.50 , pp. 3553-3567
    • Turner, S.W.1    Marlow, D.2    Ekström, M.3    Rhodes, B.G.4    Kularathna, U.5    Jeffrey, P.J.6
  • 70
    • 35848942358 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From decision theory to decision aiding methodology
    • Tsoukias A. From decision theory to decision aiding methodology. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 2008, 187(1):138-161.
    • (2008) Eur. J. Oper. Res. , vol.187 , Issue.1 , pp. 138-161
    • Tsoukias, A.1
  • 71
    • 33846489175 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improved evolutionary optimization from genetically adaptive multimethod search
    • Vrugt J.A., Robinson B.A. Improved evolutionary optimization from genetically adaptive multimethod search. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 2007, 104(3):709-711.
    • (2007) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. , vol.104 , Issue.3 , pp. 709-711
    • Vrugt, J.A.1    Robinson, B.A.2
  • 73
    • 84871412745 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving the contribution of climate model information to decision making: the value and demands of robust decision frameworks
    • Weaver C.P., Lempert R.J., Borwn C., Hall J.A., Revell D., Sarewitz D. Improving the contribution of climate model information to decision making: the value and demands of robust decision frameworks. Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. Clim. Change 2013, 4:39-60.
    • (2013) Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. Clim. Change , vol.4 , pp. 39-60
    • Weaver, C.P.1    Lempert, R.J.2    Borwn, C.3    Hall, J.A.4    Revell, D.5    Sarewitz, D.6
  • 74
    • 0032211507 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why the far-distant future should be discounted at its lowest possible rate
    • Weitzman M.L. Why the far-distant future should be discounted at its lowest possible rate. J. Environ. Econ. Manag. 1998, 36:201-208.
    • (1998) J. Environ. Econ. Manag. , vol.36 , pp. 201-208
    • Weitzman, M.L.1
  • 76
    • 84879695508 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Many-objective visual analytics: rethinking the design of complex engineered systems
    • Woodruff M., Reed P.M., Simpson T. Many-objective visual analytics: rethinking the design of complex engineered systems. Struct. Multidiscip. Optim. 2013, 48:201-219.
    • (2013) Struct. Multidiscip. Optim. , vol.48 , pp. 201-219
    • Woodruff, M.1    Reed, P.M.2    Simpson, T.3
  • 77
    • 84907084859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A universal model-R coupler to facilitate the use of R functions for model calibration and analysis
    • Wu Y., Shuguang L., Wende Y. A universal model-R coupler to facilitate the use of R functions for model calibration and analysis. Environ. Model. Softw. 2014, 62:65-69.
    • (2014) Environ. Model. Softw. , vol.62 , pp. 65-69
    • Wu, Y.1    Shuguang, L.2    Wende, Y.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.