Resolution and dynamical core dependence of atmospheric river frequency in global model simulations

Journal of Climate

Volumn 28, Issue 7, 2015, Pages 2764-2776

  Hagos, Samson ^a   Ruby Leung, L ^a   Yang, Qing ^a   Zhao, Chun ^a   Lu, Jian ^a  

^a PACIFIC NORTHWEST NATIONAL LABORATORY   (United States)

Author keywords

Atmospheric circulation; General circulation models; Hydrologic cycle; Large scale motions; Model errors; Model evaluation performance

Indexed keywords

CLIMATOLOGY; FIGHTER AIRCRAFT; MECHANICAL WAVES;

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; HYDROLOGIC CYCLES; LARGE SCALE MOTION; MODEL ERRORS; MODEL EVALUATION/PERFORMANCE;

TROPICS;

ATMOSPHERIC DYNAMICS; ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; ERROR ANALYSIS; FREQUENCY ANALYSIS; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE; JET STREAM; PRECIPITABLE WATER; RESOLUTION; ROSSBY WAVE; WATER CONTENT; WESTERLY;

PACIFIC OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN (EAST);

EID: 84939286117     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00567.1     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Dettinger, M. D., 2011: Climate change, atmospheric rivers, and floods in California-A multimodel analysis of storm frequency and magnitude changes. J. Amer. Water Resour. Assoc., 47, 514-523, doi:10.1111/j.1752-1688.2011.00546.x.
2. Dettinger, M. D., F. M. Ralph, T. Das, P. J. Neiman, and D. R. Cayan, 2011: Atmospheric rivers, floods, and the water resources of California. Water, 3, 445-478, doi:10.3390/w3020445.
3. Du, Q., V. Faber, and M. Gunzburger, 1999: Centroidal Voroni tessellations: Applications and algorithms. SIAM Rev., 41, 637-676, doi:10.1137/S0036144599352836.
4. Evans, K. J., P. Lauritzen, S.K. Mishra,R. Neale, M. A. Taylor, and J. J. Tribbia, 2013: AMIP simulations with the CAM4 spectral element dynamical core. J. Climate, 26, 689-709, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00448.1.
5. Gates, W. L., and et al, 1999: An overview of the results of the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP I). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80, 29-55, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1999)080<0029:AOOTRO>2.0.CO;2.
6. Gent, P. R., and et al, 2011: The Community Climate System Model version 4. J. Climate, 24, 4973-4991, doi:10.1175/2011JCLI4083.1.
7. Guan, B., N. P. Molotch, D. E. Waliser, E. J. Fetzer, and P. J. Neiman, 2010: Extreme snowfall events linked to atmospheric rivers and surface air temperature via satellite measurements. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L20401, doi:10.1029/2010GL044696.
8. Hagos, S., R. Leung, S. A. Rauscher, and T. Ringler, 2013: Errors characteristics of two grid refinement approaches in aquaplanet simulations: MPAS-A and WRF. Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 3022-3036, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-12-00338.1.
9. Ju, L. T., T. Ringler, and M. Gunzburger, 2011: Voroni tessellations and their application to climate and global modeling. Numerical Techniques for Global Atmospheric Models, P. H. Lauritzen et al., Eds., Lecture Notes in Computational Science and Engineering, Vol. 80, Springer, 313-342.
10. Kanamitsu, M., W. Ebisuzaki, J. Woollen, S.-K. Yang, J. J. Hnilo, M. Fiorino, and G. L. Potter, 2002: NCEP-DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83, 1631-1643, doi:10.1175/BAMS-83-11-1631.
11. Landu,K., L. R.Leung, S. Hagos,V.Vinoj, S.Rauscher, T. Ringler, and M. Taylor, 2014: The dependence of ITCZ structure on model resolution and dynamical core in aquaplanet simulations. J. Climate, 27, 2375-2385, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00269.1.
12. Lavers, D. A., R. P. Allan, G. Villarini, B. Lloyd-Hughes, D. J. Brayshaw, and A. J. Wade, 2013: 2013: Future changes in atmospheric rivers and their implications for winter flooding in Britain. Environ. Res. Lett., 8, 034010, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034010.
13. Leung, L. R., and Y. Qian, 2009: Atmospheric rivers induced heavy precipitation and flooding in the western U.S. simulated by the WRF regional climate model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L03820, doi:10.1029/2008GL036445.
14. Leung, L. R., T. Ringler, W. D. Collins, and M. Ashfaq, 2013: A hierarchical evaluation of regional climate simulations. Eos, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 94, 297-298.
15. Luce, C. H., J. T. Abatzoglou, and Z. A. Holden, 2013: The missing mountain water: Slower westerlies decrease orographic enhancement in the Pacific Northwest USA. Science, 342, 1360-1364, doi:10.1126/science.1242335.
16. Neale, R. B., and B. J. Hoskins, 2000: A standard test for AGCMs including their physical parametrizations: I: The proposal. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 1, 101-107, doi:10.1006/asle.2000.0022.
17. Neelin, J. D., B. Langenbrunner, J. E. Meyerson, A. Hall, and N. Berg, 2013: California winter precipitation change under global warming in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 ensemble. J. Climate, 26, 6238-6256, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00514.1.
18. Neiman, P. J., F. M. Ralph, G. A. Wick, J. D. Lundquist, and M. D. Dettinger, 2008: Meteorological characteristics and overland precipitation impacts of atmospheric rivers affecting the west coast of North American based on eight years of SSM/I satellite observations. J. Hydrometeor., 9, 22-47, doi:10.1175/2007JHM855.1.
19. Neiman, P. J., L. J. Schick, F. M. Ralph, M. Hughes, and G. A. Wick, 2011: Flooding in western Washington: The connection to atmospheric rivers. J. Hydrometeor., 12, 1337-1358, doi:10.1175/2011JHM1358.1.
20. Payne, A. E., and G. Magnusdottir, 2014: Dynamics of landfalling atmospheric rivers over the North Pacific in 30 years of MERRA reanalysis. J. Climate, 27, 7133-7150, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00034.1.
21. Pierce, D. W., and et al, 2013: The key role of heavy precipitation events in climate model disagreements of future annual precipitation changes in California. J. Climate, 26, 5879-5896, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00766.1.
22. Ralph, F. M., and M. D. Dettinger, 2011: Storms, floods, and the science of atmospheric rivers. Eos, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 92, 265, doi:10.1029/2011EO320001.
23. Ralph, F. M., and M. D. Dettinger, 2012: Historical and national perspectives on extreme West Coast precipitation associated with atmospheric rivers during December 2010. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 783-790, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00188.1.
24. Ralph, F. M., P. J. Neiman, and G. A. Wick, 2004: Satellite and CALJET aircraft observations of atmospheric rivers over the eastern North Pacific Ocean during the winter of 1997. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 1721-1745, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(2004)132<1721:SACAOO>2.0.CO;2.
25. Ralph, F. M., P. J. Neiman, G. A. Wick, S. I.Gutman, M. D.Dettinger,D. R.Cayan, and A. B. White, 2006: Flooding on California's Russian River: Role of atmospheric rivers. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L13801, doi:10.1029/2006GL026689.
26. Ralph, F. M., T. Coleman, P. J. Neiman, R. J. Zamora, and M. D. Dettinger, 2013: Observed impacts of duration and seasonality of atmospheric-river landfalls on soil moisture and runoff in coastal Northern California. J. Hydrometeor., 14, 443-459, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-12-076.1.
27. Rauscher, S., T. Ringler, W. C. Skamarock, and A. A. Mirin, 2013: Exploring a global multiresolution modeling approach using aquaplanet simulations. J. Climate, 26, 2432-2452, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00154.1.
28. Ringler, T., L. Ju, and M. Gunzburger, 2008: A multi resolution method for climate system modeling: Application of spectral centroidal Voroni tessellations. Ocean Dyn., 58, 475-498, doi:10.1007/s10236-008-0157-2.
29. Ringler, T., J. Thuburn, J. B. Klemp, and W. C. Skamarock, 2010: A unified approach to energy conservation and potential vorticity dynamics for arbitrarily structured C-grids. J. Comput. Phys., 229, 3065-3090, doi:10.1016/j.jcp.2009.12.007.
30. Ryoo, J., Y. Kaspi, D. Waugh, G. Kiladis, D. Waliser, E. Fetzer, and J. Kim, 2013: Impact of Rossby wave breaking on U.S. West Coast winter precipitation during ENSO events. J. Climate, 26, 6360-6382, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00297.1.
31. Skamarock, W. C., J. B. Klemp, M. G. Duda, L. Fowler, S.-H. Park, and T. D. Ringler, 2012: A multiscale nonhydrostatic atmospheric model using centroidal Voronoi tessellations and C-grid staggering. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 3090-3105, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00215.1.
32. Stohl, A., C. Forster, and H. Sodemann, 2008: Remote sources of water vapor forming precipitation on the Norwegian west coast at 60 N-A tale of hurricanes and an atmospheric river. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D05102, doi:10.1029/2007JD00900.
33. Taylor, M. A., J. Edwards, and A. St Cyr, 2008: Petascale atmospheric models for the Community Climate System Model: New developments and evaluation of scalable dynamical cores. J. Phys., 125, 012023, doi:10.1088/1742-6596/125/1/012023.
34. Thuburn, J., T. D. Ringler, W. C. Skamarock, and J. B. Klemp, 2009: Numerical representation of geostrophic modes on arbitrarily structured C-grids. J. Comput. Phys., 228, 8321-8335, doi:10.1016/j.jcp.2009.08.006.
35. Viale, M., and M. N. Nuñez, 2011: Climatology of winter orographic precipitation over the subtropical central Andes and associated synoptic and regional characteristics. J. Hydrometeor., 12, 481-507, doi:10.1175/2010JHM1284.1.
36. Welch, W. T., and K. K. Tung, 1998: On the equilibrium spectrum of transient waves in the atmosphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 2833-2851, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1998)055<2833:OTESOT>2.0.CO;2.
37. Wick, G. A., P. J. Neiman, F. M. Ralph, and T. M. Hamill, 2013: Evaluation of forecasts of the water vapor signature of atmospheric rivers in operational numerical weather prediction models. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 1337-1352, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-13-00025.1.
38. Williamson, D. L., 2008: Convergence of aquaplanet simulations with increasing resolution in the Community Atmospheric Model, version 3. Tellus, 60A, 848-862, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00339.x.
39. Zhu, Y., and R. E. Newell, 1998:A proposed algorithm for moisture fluxes from atmospheric rivers. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 725-735, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1998)126<0725:APAFMF>2.0.CO;2.