Assessment of climatically suitable area for Syrmaticus reevesii under climate change

Endangered Species Research

Volumn 28, Issue 1, 2015, Pages 19-31

  Feng, Xiao ^a,b   Lin, Congtian ^a   Qiao, Huijie ^a   Ji, Liqiang ^a  

^a INSTITUTE OF ZOOLOGY   (China)

^b OKLAHOMA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate change; Maxent; Potential distribution; Reeves's pheasant

Indexed keywords

BIODIVERSITY; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CONSERVATION MANAGEMENT; ENDANGERED SPECIES; GAMEBIRD; PHYSIOLOGICAL RESPONSE; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; SPECIES CONSERVATION; SURVIVAL;

CHINA;

SYRMATICUS REEVESI;

EID: 84929301759     PISSN: 18635407     EISSN: 16134796     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/esr00668     Document Type: Article

References (68)

1. Anderson RP, Raza A (2010) The effect of the extent of the study region on GIS models of species geographic distributions and estimates of niche evolution: preliminary tests with montane rodents (genus Nephelomys) in Venezuela. J Biogeogr 37:1378-1393.
2. Anderson RP, Peterson AT, Gomez-Laverde M (2002) Using niche-based GIS modeling to test geographic predictions of competitive exclusion and competitive release in South American pocket mice. Oikos 98:3-16.
3. Anderson RP, Lew D, Peterson AT (2003) Evaluating predictive models of species' distributions: criteria for selecting optimal models. Ecol Model 162:211-232.
4. Araujo MB, Pearson RG (2005) Equilibrium of species' distributions with climate. Ecography 28:693-695.
5. BirdLife International (2012) Syrmaticus reevesii. In: IUCN 2012. IUCN Red List of Threatened Species, Version 2012.2. www.iucnredlist.org (accessed 11 Apr 2013).
6. Boggs CL, Watt WB, Ehrlich PR (2003) Butterflies: ecology and evolution taking flight. University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL.
7. Boria RA, Olson LE, Goodman SM, Anderson RP (2014) Spatial filtering to reduce sampling bias can improve the performance of ecological niche models. Ecol Model 275:73-77.
8. Broennimann O, Treier UA, Muller-Scharer H, Thuiller W, Peterson AT, Guisan A (2007) Evidence of climatic niche shift during biological invasion. Ecol Lett 10:701-709.
9. Collar NJ, Crosby R, Crosby MJ (2001) Threatened birds of Asia: the BirdLife International red data book. BirdLife International, Cambridge.
10. Csardi G, Nepusz T (2006) The igraph software package for complex network research. InterJournal Complex Systems: 1695. www. igraph.org.
11. Dormann CF, Elith J, Bacher S, Buchmann C and others (2013) Collinearity: a review of methods to deal with it and a simulation study evaluating their performance. Ecography 36:27-46.
12. Easterling DR, Horton B, Jones PD, Peterson TC and others (1997) Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe. Science 277:364-367.
13. Elith J, Graham CH, Anderson RP, Dudik M and others (2006) Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography 29:129-151.
14. Elith J, Kearney M, Phillips S (2010) The art of modelling range-shifting species. Methods Ecol Evol 1:330-342.
15. Elith J, Phillips SJ, Hastie T, Dudik M, Chee YE, Yates CJ (2011) A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists. Divers Distrib 17:43-57.
16. Godown ME, Peterson AT (2000) Preliminary distributional analysis of US endangered bird species. Biodivers Conserv 9:1313-1322.
17. Hersteinsson P, Macdonald DW (1992) Interspecific com-petition and the geographical distribution of red and Arctic foxes Vulpes vulpes and Alopex lagopus. Oikos 64:505-515.
18. Hickling R, Roy DB, Hill JK, Fox R, Thomas CD (2006) The distributions of a wide range of taxonomic groups are expanding polewards. Glob Change Biol 12: 450-455.
19. Hijmans RJ (2014) Raster: geographic data analysis and modeling. cran.r-project.org/web/packages/raster/ (accessed 1 Nov 2014).
20. Hijmans RJ, Cameron SE, Parra JL, Jones PG, Jarvis A (2005) Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. Int J Climatol 25:1965-1978.
21. Hirzel AH, Helfer V, Metral F (2001) Assessing habitatsuitability models with a virtual species. Ecol Model 145:111-121.
22. Hu J, Jiang Z (2011) Climate change hastens the conservation urgency of an endangered ungulate. PLoS ONE 6:e22873.
23. Hu J, Liu Y (2014) Unveiling the conservation biogeography of a data-deficient endangered bird species under climate change. PLoS ONE 9:e84529.
24. Hutchinson GE (1957) Concluding remarks. Cold Spring Harb Symp Quant Biol 22:415-427.
25. Jacobson MZ (2005) Fundamentals of atmospheric modeling. Cambridge University Press, New York, NY.
26. Jimenez-Valverde A (2012) Insights into the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) as a discrimination measure in species distribution modelling. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 21:498-507.
27. Lee DN, Pape M, Van Den Bussche RA (2012) Present and potential future distribution of common vampire bats in the Americas and the associated risk to cattle. PLoS ONE 7:e42466.
28. Liu X, Guo ZW, Ke ZW, Wang SP, Li YM (2011) Increasing potential risk of a global aquatic invader in Europe in contrast to other continents under future climate change. PLoS ONE 6:e18429.
29. Markovic D, Carrizo S, Freyhof J, Cid N and others (2014) Europe's freshwater biodiversity under climate change: distribution shifts and conservation needs. Divers Distrib 20:1097-1107.
30. McGowan PJK, Garson PJ and the WPA/BirdLife/SSC Pheasant Specialist Group (1995) Pheasants: status survey and conservation action plan 1995-1999. IUCN, Gland.
31. Nakicenovic N, Alcamo J, Davis G, de Vries B and others (2000) Special report on emissions scenarios: a special report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
32. Parmesan C, Ryrholm N, Stefanescu C, Hill JK and others (1999) Poleward shifts in geographical ranges of butterfly species associated with regional warming. Nature 399:579-583.
33. Pearman PB, Guisan A, Broennimann O, Randin CF (2008) Niche dynamics in space and time. Trends Ecol Evol 23:149-158.
34. Pearson RG, Raxworthy CJ, Nakamura M, Peterson AT (2007) Predicting species distributions from small numbers of occurrence records: a test case using cryptic geckos in Madagascar. J Biogeogr 34:102-117.
35. Peterson AT (2003) Predicting the geography of species' invasions via ecological niche modeling. Q Rev Biol 78:419-433.
36. Peterson AT (2011) Ecological niche conservatism: a timestructured review of evidence. J Biogeogr 38:817-827.
37. Peterson AT, Soberón J, Sanchez-Cordero V (1999) Conservatism of ecological niches in evolutionary time. Science 285:1265-1267.
38. Peterson AT, Pape M, Eaton M (2007) Transferability and model evaluation in ecological niche modeling: a comparison of GARP and Maxent. Ecography 30:550-560.
39. Peterson AT, Pape M, Soberon J (2008a) Rethinking receiver operating characteristic analysis applications in ecological niche modeling. Ecol Model 213:63-72.
40. Peterson AT, Stewart A, Mohamed KI, Araujo MB (2008b) Shifting global invasive potential of European plants with climate change. PLoS ONE 3:e2441.
41. Phillips SJ, Dudik M (2008) Modeling of species distributions with Maxent: new extensions and a comprehensive evaluation. Ecography 31:161-175.
42. Phillips SJ, Dudík M, Schapire RE (2004) A maximum entropy approach to species distribution modeling. In: Proceedings of the 21st international conference on machine learning. ACM Press, Banff, AB, p 655-662.
43. Phillips SJ, Anderson RP, Schapire RE (2006) Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecol Model 190:231-259.
44. Ramirez-Villegas J, Jarvis A (2010) Downscaling global circulation model outputs: the delta method decision and policy analysis working paper, No. 1. International Centre for Tropical Agriculture.
45. Shafer SL, Bartlein PJ, Thompson RS (2001) Potential changes in the distributions of western North America tree and shrub taxa under future climate scenarios. Ecosystems 4:200-215.
46. Soberón J, Nakamura M (2009) Niches and distributional areas: concepts, methods, and assumptions. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106:19644-19650.
47. Soberón J, Peterson AT (2005) Interpretation of models of fundamental ecological niches and species' distributional areas. Biodivers Inform 2:1-10.
48. Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z and others (2007) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis: contribution of Working Group I to the 4th assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
49. Stockwell DRB, Beach JH, Stewart A, Vorontsov G, Vieglais D, Pereira RS (2006) The use of the GARP genetic algorithm and Internet grid computing in the Lifemapper world atlas of species biodiversity. Ecol Model 195: 139-145.
50. Sturm M, Racine C, Tape K (2001) Climate change: increasing shrub abundance in the Arctic. Nature 411:546-547.
51. Sun Q, Zhang Z (2000) The impact of climate warming on the distribution of Chinese birds. Chin J Zool 35:45-48.
52. Swets JA (1979) ROC analysis applied to the evaluation of medical imaging techniques. Invest Radiol 14:109-121.
53. Tchernia P (1980) Descriptive regional oceanography, Marine Series 3. Pergamon Press, Oxford.
54. Thomas CD, Lennon JJ (1999) Birds extend their ranges northwards. Nature 399:213.
55. Thomas CD, Cameron A, Green RE, Bakkenes M and others (2004) Extinction risk from climate change. Nature 427:145-148.
56. Thuiller W, Broennimann O, Hughes G, Alkemade JRM, Midgley GF, Corsi F (2006) Vulnerability of African mammals to anthropogenic climate change under conservative land transformation assumptions. Glob Change Biol 12:424-440.
57. Walther GR, Post E, Convey P, Menzel A and others (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416:389-395.
58. Weinsheimer F, Mengistu AA, Rödder D (2010) Potential distribution of threatened Leptopelis spp. (Anura, Arthro-leptidae) in Ethiopia derived from climate and landcover data. Endang Species Res 9:117-124.
59. Williams JW, Jackson ST, Kutzbach JE (2007) Projected distributions of novel and disappearing climates by 2100 AD. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 104:5738-5742.
60. Wu BF, Xu WT, Huang HP, Yan CZ (2003) The land-cover map for China in the year 2000. http:// bioval. jrc. ec. europa. eu/ products/ glc2000/ products. php (accessed 3 May 2015).
61. Xie Y (2001) China Species Information System (CSIS). http:// monkey. ioz. ac. cn/ bwg-cciced/ english/ cesis/ csispage. htm (accessed 11 Apr 2013).
62. Xu JL, Zhang XH, Zhang ZW, Zheng GM, Ruan XF, Zhang K, Xi B (2006) Home range and habitat use of male Reeves's pheasant (Syrmaticus reevesii) during winter in Dongzhai National Nature Reserve, Henan Province, China. Front Biol China 1:174-181.
63. Xu JL, Zhang ZW, Zheng GM, Zhang XH, Sun QH, McGowan PJK (2007) Home range and habitat use of Reeves's pheasant (Syrmaticus reevesii) in the protected areas created from forest farms in the Dabie Mountains, central China. Bird Conserv Int 17: 319-330.
64. Xu WS, Wu ZK, Li ZM (1991) Reeves's pheasant (Syrmaticus reevesii). In: Lu TC, Liu RS, He FQ (eds) The rare and endangered gamebirds in China. Fujian Science and Technology Press, Fuzhou, p 328-338.
65. Xu YG, Yin ZH, Zhang KY, Zhang XF, Gao ZJ (1995) The status of Reeves's pheasant at Dongzhai of Henan province and suggestion for conservation. Sinozoologia 12:335-341.
66. Zheng ZX (1978) Aves, Vol. 4: Galliformes. Fauna Sinica. Science Press, Beijing.
67. Zheng GM, Wang QS (1998) China red data book of endangered animals (Aves). Science Press, Beijing.
68. Zhou C, Xu J, Zhang Z (2014) Dramatic decline of the Vulnerable Reeves's pheasant Syrmaticus reevesii, endemic to central China. Oryx First View: 1-6, doi: 10. 1017/ S003 0605313000914.