Can air temperature be used to project influences of climate change on stream temperature?

Environmental Research Letters

Volumn 9, Issue 8, 2014, Pages

  Arismendi, Ivan ^a   Safeeq, Mohammad ^a   Dunham, Jason B ^b   Johnson, Sherri L ^c  

^a OREGON STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b FOREST AND RANGELAND ECOSYSTEM SCIENCE CENTER   (United States)

^c PACIFIC NORTHWEST RESEARCH STATION   (United States)

Author keywords

air temperature; climate change; climate projection; Mohseni model; salmon; stream temperature; temperature biases

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; FORECASTING; REGRESSION ANALYSIS;

AIR TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE PROJECTION; SALMON; STREAM TEMPERATURES; TEMPERATURE BIAS;

CLIMATE MODELS;

AIR TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATE PREDICTION; HEAT BUDGET; SALMONID; STREAMWATER; WATER TEMPERATURE;

EID: 84927971063     PISSN: 17489318     EISSN: 17489326     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/8/084015     Document Type: Article

References (66)

1. Arismendi I, Johnson S L, Dunham J B, Haggerty R and Hockman-Wert D 2012 The paradox of cooling streams in a warming world: regional climate trends do not parallel variable local trends in stream temperature in the pacific continental United States Geophys. Res. Lett. 39 L10401
2. Arismendi I, Safeeq M, Johnson S L, Dunham J B and Haggerty R 2013 Evaluating recent changes in timing and synchrony of extreme annual hydro-climatic events in streams Hydrobiologia 712 61-70
3. Beechie T et al 2012 Restoring salmon habitat for a changing climate. River Res. Appl. 29 939-60
4. Benyahya L, Caissie D, El-Jabi N and Satish M G 2010 Comparison of microclimate vs remote meteorological data and results applied to a water temperature model (Miramichi river, Canada) J. Hydrol. 380 247-59
5. Bogan T, Mohseni O and Stefan H G 2003 Stream temperature-equilibrium temperature relationship Water Resour. Res. 39 1245
6. Bogan T, Stefan H G and Mohseni O 2004 Imprints of secondary heat sources on the stream temperature/equilibrium temperature relationship Water Resour. Res. 40 12510
7. Boyd M S 1996 Heat source: stream temperature prediction Master's Thesis
8. Boyd M S and Kasper B 2003 Analytical methods for dynamic open channel heat and mass transfer: methodology for heat source model version 7.0.
9. Caissie D, El-Jabi M and Satish M G 2001 Modeling of maximum daily water temperatures in a small stream using air temperatures J. Hydrol. 251 14-28
10. Capon S J et al 2013 Riparian ecosystems in the 21st century: hotspots for climate change adaptation? Ecosystems 16 359-81
11. Cole T and Buchak E 1995 CE-QUAL-W2: a two-dimensional, laterally averaged, hydrodynamic and water quality model, version 2.0. Tech. Rpt. EL-95-May 1995, Waterways Experiments Station, Vicksburg, Mississippi
12. Cooter E J and Cooter W S 1990 Impacts of greenhouse warming on water temperature and water quality in the southern United States Clim. Res. 1 1-12
13. Daly C, Halbleib M, Smith J I, Gibson W P, Doggett M K, Taylor G H, Curtis J and Pasteris P P 2008 Physiographically sensitive mapping of climatological temperature and precipitation across the conterminous United States Int. J. Climatol. 28 2031-64
14. Diabat M, Haggerty R and Wondzell S M 2013 Diurnal timing of warmer air under climate change affects magnitude, timing and duration of stream temperature change Hydrol. Process. 27 2367-78
15. Eaton J G and Scheller R M 1996 Effects of climate warming on fish thermal habitat in streams of the United States Limnol. Oceanogr. 4 1109-15
16. Erickson T R, Mohseni O and Stefan H G 1998 The effect of record length on a nonlinear regression model for weekly stream temperatures. Project Report No. 419 (EL Reno, OK: Grazing Lands Research Laboratory, Agricultural Research Service, USDA)
17. Erickson T R and Stefan H G 2000 Linear air/water temperature correlations for streams during open water periods J. Hydrol. Eng. 5 317-21
18. Falcone J A, Carlisle D M, Wolock D M and Meador M R 2010 GAGES: a stream gage database for evaluating natural and altered flow conditions in the conterminous United States Ecology 91 621
19. Groom J D, Dent L and Madsen L J 2011 Stream temperature change detection for state and private forests in the Oregon Coast Range Water Resour. Res. 47 W01501
20. Heino J, Virkkala R and Toivonen H 2009 Climate change and freshwater biodiversity: detected patterns, future trends and adaptations in northern regions Biol. Rev. 84 39-54
21. Hester E T and Doyle M W 2011 Human impacts to river temperature and their effects on biological processes: a quantitative synthesis J. Am. Water Res. Assoc. 47 571-87
22. Hill R A, Hawkins C P and Carlisle D M 2013 Predicting thermal reference conditions for USA streams and rivers Freshwater Sci. 32 39-55
23. Jefferson A J 2011 Seasonal versus transient snow and the elevation dependence of climate sensitivity in maritime mountainous regions J. Geophys. Res. 38 L16402
24. Johnson M F, Wilby R L and Toone J A 2014 Inferring air-water temperature relationships from river and catchment properties Hydrol. Process. 28 2912-28
25. Johnson S 2003 Stream temperature: scaling of observations and issues for modeling Hydrol. Process. 17 497-9
26. Johnson S L 2004 Factors influencing stream temperatures in small streams: substrate effects and a shading experiment Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 61 913-23
27. Johnson S L and Jones J A 2000 Stream temperature responses to forest harvest and debris flows in western cascades, oregon Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 57 30-9
28. Keleher C J and Rahel F J 1996 Thermal limits to salmonid distributions in the rocky mountain region and potential habitat loss due to global warming: a geographic information system (GIS) approach Trans. Am. Fish. Soc. 125 1-13
29. Kim K S and Chapra S C 1997 Temperature model for highly transient shallow streams J. Hydraul. Eng. 123 30-40
30. Kothandaraman V 1972 Air-water temperature relationship in illinois river J. Am. Water Res. Assoc. 8 38-45
31. Kvambekk A S and Melvold K 2010 Long-term trends in water temperature and ice cover in the subalpine lake, Øvre Heimdalsvatn, and nearby lakes and rivers Hydrobiologia 642 47-60
32. Livneh B, Rosenberg E A, Lin C, Mishra V, Andreadis K M, Maurer E P and Lettenmaier D P 2013 Extension and spatial refinement of a long-term hydrologically based dataset of land surface fluxes and states for the conterminous United States J. Clim. 26 9384-92
33. Luce C, Staab B, Kramer M, Wenger S, Isaak D and McConnell C 2014 Sensitivity of summer stream temperatures to climate variability in the Pacific Northwest Water Resour. Res. 50 3428-43
34. Magnuson J J, Crowder L B and Medvick P A 1979 Temperature as an ecological resource Am. Zool. 19 331-43
35. Mantua N, Tohver I and Hamlet A 2010 Climate change impacts on streamflow extremes and summertime stream temperature and their possible consequences for freshwater salmon habitat in Washington state Clim. Change 102 187-223
36. MathWorks 2011 MATLAB, The MathWorks Inc., The Natick, Massachusetts, United States
37. Mayer T D 2012 Controls of summer stream temperature in the Pacific Northwest J. Hydrol. 475 323-35
38. McCullough D A et al 2009 Research in thermal biology: burning questions for coldwater stream fishes Rev. Fish. Sci. 17 90-115
39. Mohseni O, Stefan H G and Eaton J G 2003 Global warming and potential changes in fish habitat in US streams Clim. Change 59 389-409
40. Mohseni O, Stefan H G and Erickson T R 1998 A nonlinear regression model for weekly stream temperatures Water Resour. Res. 34 2685-92
41. Moore R D, Spittlehouse D L and Story A 2005 Riparian microclimate and stream temperature response to forest harvesting: a review J. Am. Water Res. Assoc. 41 813-34
42. Nash J E and Sutcliffe J V 1970 River flow forecasting through conceptual models part I - a discussion of principles J. Hydrol. 10 282-90
43. Pike A, Danner E, Boughton D, Melton F, Nemani R, Rajagopalan B and Lindley S 2013 Forecasting river temperatures in real time using a stochastic dynamics approach Water Resour. Res. 49 5168-82
44. R Development Core Team 2005 R: a language and environment for statistical computing R Foundation for Statistical Computing (Vienna: R Development Core Team)
45. Rieman B E, Isaak D J, Myers D, Adams S, Luce C, Horan D and Nagel D 2007 Anticipated effects of climate warming on bull trout within the Interior Columbia river basin Trans. Am. Fish. Soc. 136 1552-65
46. Risley J C, Roehl E A Jr and Conrads P A 2003 Estimating water temperatures in small streams in western oregon using neural network models USGS Water-Resources Investigations Report 2002-4218
47. Ruesch A S, Torgersen C E, Lawler J J, Olden J D, Peterson E E, Volk C J and Lawrence D J 2012 Projected climate-induced habitat loss for salmonids in the john day river network, oregon, USA Cons. Biol. 26 873-82
48. Safeeq M, Grant G E, Lewis S L and Tague C L 2013 Coupling snowpack and groundwater dynamics to interpret historical streamflow trend in the Western United States Hydrol. Proc. 27 655-68
49. Singh V, Carnevale C, Finzi G, Pisoni E and Volta M 2011 A cokriging based approach to reconstruct air pollution maps, processing measurement station concentrations and deterministic model simulations Environ. Modelling Softw. 26 778-86
50. Sinokrot B A and Stefan H G 1993 Stream temperature dynamics: measurements and modeling Water Resour. Res. 29 2299-312
51. Stefan H G and Sinokrot B A 1993 Projected global climate-change impact on water temperature in five north central United States streams Clim. Change 24 353-81
52. Tague C, Farrell M, Grant G, Lewis S and Rey S 2007 Hydrogeologic controls on summer stream temperatures in the McKenzie river basin, oregon Hydrol. Process. 21 3288-300
53. Taylor R G et al 2013 Ground water and climate change Nat. Clim. Change 3 322-9
54. van Aalst R and de Leeuw F 1997 National ozone forecasting systems and international data exchange in Northwest Europe Report of the Technical Working Group on Data Exchange and Forecasting for Ozone Episodes in Northwest Europe (TWG-DFO)
55. van Beek L P H, Eikelboom T, van Vliet M T H and Bierkens M F P 2012 A physically based model of global freshwater surface temperature Water Resour. Res. 48 W09530
56. van Vliet M T H, Ludwig F, Zwolsman J J G, Weedon G P and Kabat P 2011 Global river temperatures and sensitivity to atmospheric warming and changes in river flow Water Resour. Res. 47 W02544
57. Vannote R L and Sweeney B W 1980 Geographic analysis of thermal equilibria: a conceptual model for evaluating the effect of natural and modified thermal regimes on aquatic insect communities Am. Nat. 115 667-95
58. Webb B W, Hannah D M, Moore R D, Brown L E and Nobilis F 2008 Recent advances in stream and river temperature research Hydrol. Process. 22 902-18
59. Webb B W and Nobilis F 1995 Long term water temperature trends in Austrian rivers Hydrol. Sci. J. 40 83-93
60. Webb B W and Nobilis F 1997 A long-term perspective on the nature of the air-water relationship: a case study Hydrol. Process. 11 137-47
61. Wenger S J et al 2011 Flow regime, temperature, and biotic interactions drive differential declines of trout species under climate change Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 108 14175-80
62. Wenger S J, Som N A, Dauwalter D C, Isaak D J, Neville H M, Luce C H, Dunham J B, Young M K, Fausch K D and Rieman B E 2013 Probabilistic accounting of uncertainty in forecasts of species distributions under climate change Glob. Change Biol. 19 3343-54
63. Wild M 2012 Enlightening global dimming and brightening Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 93 27-37
64. Wu H, Kimball J S, Elsner M M, Mantua N, Adler R F and Stanford J 2012 Projected climate change impacts on the hydrology and temperature of Pacific Northwest rivers Water Resour. Res. 48 WR012082
65. Yearsley J R 2009 A semi-lagrangian water temperature model for advection dominated river systems Water Resour. Res. 45 W12405
66. Yearsley J R 2012 A grid-based approach for simulating stream temperature Water Resour. Res. 48 W03506