Global river temperatures and sensitivity to atmospheric warming and changes in river flow

Water Resources Research

Volumn 47, Issue 2, 2011, Pages

  Van Vliet, M T H ^a   Ludwig, F ^a   Zwolsman, J J G ^b   Weedon, G P ^c   Kabat, P ^a  

^a WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

^b KWR WATERCYCLE RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (Netherlands)

^c MET OFFICE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ACCURATE ESTIMATION; AIR TEMPERATURE; ANNUAL MEAN; ATMOSPHERIC WARMING; DISCHARGE CHANGES; HEAT WAVES; INPUT VARIABLES; LOW FLOW; REGRESSION MODEL; RIVER DISCHARGE; RIVER FLOW; RIVER TEMPERATURE; TIME LAG; WATER TEMPERATURES;

ATMOSPHERIC MOVEMENTS; CLIMATOLOGY; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RIVERS; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS;

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE;

AIR TEMPERATURE; DROUGHT; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RIVER DISCHARGE; RIVER FLOW; RIVER SYSTEM; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; WARMING; WATER TEMPERATURE;

EID: 79952204429     PISSN: 00431397     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2010WR009198     Document Type: Article

References (62)

1. Ahmadi-Nedushan, B., A. St-Hilaire, T. Ouarda, L. Bilodeau, E. Robichaud, N. Thiemonge, and B. Bobee (2007), Predicting river water temperatures using stochastic models: case study of the Moisie Ri (Pubitemid 46131671)
2. Arnell, N. W. (2003a), Relative effects of multi-decadal climatic variability and changes in the mean and variability of climate due to global warming: future streamflows in Britain, J. Hydrol., 270 (3-4), 195-213. (Pubitemid 36108303)
3. Arnell, N. W. (2003b), Effects of IPCCSRES emissions scenarios on river runoff: a global perspective, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 7(5), 619-641. (Pubitemid 38394153)
4. Bogan, T., O. Mohseni, and H. G. Stefan (2003), Stream temperature-equilibrium temperature relationship, Water Resour. Res., 39(9), 1245, doi:10.1029/2003WR002034
5. Bogan, T., J. Othmer, O. Mohseni, and H. Stefan (2006), Estimating extreme stream temperatures by the standard deviate method, J. Hydrol., 317 (3-4), 173-189. (Pubitemid 41774112)
6. Burlando, P., and R. Rosso (2002), Effects of transient climate change on basin hydrology. 2. Impacts on runoff variability in the Arno River, central Italy, Hydrol. Processes, 16(6), 1177-1199. (Pubitemid 34268035)
7. Caissie, D. (2006), The thermal regime of rivers: a review, Freshwater Biol., 51(8), 1389-1406. (Pubitemid 44091619)
8. Caissie, D., M. G. Satish, and N. El-Jabi (2005), Predicting river water temperatures using the equilibrium temperature concept with application on Miramichi River catchments (New Brunswick, Canada), Hydrol. Processes, 19(11), 2137-2159. (Pubitemid 41052584)
9. Chenard, J. F., and D. Caissie (2008), Stream temperature modelling using artificial neural networks: application on Catamaran Brook, New Brunswick, Canada, Hydrol. Processes, 22(17), 3361-3372.
10. Crisp, D. T., and G. Howson (1982), Effect of air-temperature upon mean water temperature in streams in the north Pennines and English lake district, Freshwater Biol., 12(4), 359-367. (Pubitemid 13261832)
11. Dallas, H. (2008), Water temperature and riverine ecosystems: An overview of knowledge and approaches for assessing biotic responses, with special reference to South Africa, Water S. Afr., 34(3), 393-404.
12. Easterling, D. R., G. A. Meehl, C. Parmesan, S. A. Changnon, T. R. Karl, and L. O. Mearns (2000), Climate extremes: Observations, modeling, and impacts, Science, 289(5487), 2068-2074.
13. Edinger, J. E., D. K. Brady, and W. L. Graves (1968a), Variation of Water Temperatures due to Steam Electric Cooling Operations, J. Water Pollut. Control Fed., 40(9), 1632-1639.
14. Edinger, J. E., Duttweiler, D. W., and J. C. Geyer (1968b), Response of water temperatures to meteorological conditions, Water Resour. Res., 4(5), 1137-1143.
15. European Environment Agency (EEA) (2008a), Impacts of Europe's changing climate-2008 indicator-based assessment, EEA Rep. 4/2008, JRC Ref. Rep. JRC47756, Copenhagen.
16. European Environment Agency (EEA) (2008b), Energy and environment report 2008, EEA Rep. 6/2008, 99 pp., Copenhagen.
17. Erickson, T. R., and H. G. Stefan (2000), Linear air/water temperature correlations for streams during open water periods, J. Hydrol. Eng., 5(3), 317-322. (Pubitemid 30454267)
18. Haag, I., and A. Luce (2008), The integrated water balance and water temperature model LARSIM-WT, Hydrol. Processes, 22(7), 1046-1056. (Pubitemid 351454780)
19. Hockey, J. B., I. F. Owens, and N. J. Tapper (1982), Emperical and theoretical models to isolate the effect of discharge on summer water temperatures in the Hurunui River, J. Hydrol., 21(1), 1-12.
20. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2007), Summary for Policymakers, in Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climaate Change edited by S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor, and H. L. Miller, pp. 1-18, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K. and New York, N. Y.
21. Janssen, P. H. M., and P. S. C. Heuberger (1995), Calibration of processoriented models, Ecol. Modell., 83 (1-2), 55-66.
22. Jeppesen, E., and T. M. Iversen (1987), Two simple models for estimating daily mean water temperatures and diel variations in a Danish low gradient stream, Oikos, 49(2), 149-155.
23. Kaushal, S. S., G. E. Likens, N. A. Jaworski, M. L. Pace, A. M. Sides, D. Seekell, K. T. Belt, D. H. Secor, and R. L. Wingate (2010), Rising stream and river temperatures in the United States Frontiers Ecol. Environ., 8(9), 461-466, doi:10.1890/090037.
24. Klein Tank, A. M. G., J. B. Wijngaard, G. P. Konnen, R. Bohm, G. Demaree, A. Gocheva, M. Mileta, S. Pashiardis, L. Hejkrlik, C. Kern-Hansen, et al. (2002), Daily dataset of 20th-century surface air temperature and precipitation series for the European Climate Assessment, Int. J. Climatol., 22(12), 1441-1453. (Pubitemid 35288961)
25. Lammers, R. B., J. W. Pundsack, and A. I. Shiklomanov (2007), Variability in river temperature, discharge, and energy flux from the Russian pan-Arctic landmass, J. Geophys. Res., 112, G04S59, doi:10.1029/2006JG000370. (Pubitemid 351314175)
26. Liu, B. Z., D. Q. Yang, B. S. Ye, and S. Berezovskaya (2005), Long-term open-water season stream temperature variations and changes over Lena River Basin in Siberia, Global Planet. Change, 48 (1-3), 96-111. (Pubitemid 41206668)
27. Lowney, C. L. (2000), Stream temperature variation in regulated rivers: Evidence for a spatial pattern in daily minimum and maximum magnitudes, Water Resour. Res., 36(10), 2947-2955.
28. Mantua, N., I. Tohver, and A. Hamlet (2010), Climate change impacts on streamflow extremes and summertime stream temperature and their possible consequences for freshwater salmon habitat in Washington State, Clim. Change, 102 (1-2), 187-223, doi:10.1007/s10584-010-9845-2.
29. Menzel, L., and G. Burger (2002), Climate change scenarios and runoff response in the Mulde catchment (Southern Elbe, Germany), J. Hydrol., 267 (1-2), 53-64.
30. Milly, P. C. D., K. A. Dunne, and A. V. Vecchia (2005), Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate, Nature, 438(7066), 347-350. (Pubitemid 41643949)
31. Moatar, F., and J. Gailhard (2006), Water temperature behaviour in the River Loire since 1976 and 1881, C. R. Geosci., 338(5), 319-328. (Pubitemid 43744316)
32. Mohseni, O., and H. G. Stefan (1999), Stream temperature air temperature relationship: A physical interpretation, J. Hydrol., 218 (3-4), 128-141. (Pubitemid 29252888)
33. Mohseni, O., H. G. Stefan, and T. R. Erickson (1998), A nonlinear regression model for weekly stream temperatures, Water Resour. Res., 34(10), 2685-2692. (Pubitemid 28451066)
34. Mohseni, O., T. R. Erickson, and H. G. Stefan (1999), Sensitivity of stream temperatures in the United States to air temperatures projected under a global warming scenario, Water Resour. Res., 35(12), 3723-3733.
35. Mohseni, O., T. R. Erickson, and H. G. Stefan (2002), Upper bounds for stream temperatures in the contiguous United States, J. of Environ. Eng., 128(1), 4-11. (Pubitemid 34122680)
36. Mohseni, O., H. G. Stefan, and J. G. Eaton (2003), Global warming and potential changes in fish habitat in US streams, Clim. Change, 59(3), 389-409. (Pubitemid 37060496)
37. Nakicenovic, N., et al. (2000), Emissions Scenarios, A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 570 pp., Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge.
38. Nash, J. E., and J. V. Sutcliffe (1970), River flow forecasting through conceptual models, part 1: A discussion of principles, J. Hydrol., 10(3), 282-290.
39. Nelson, K. C., and M. A. Palmer (2007), Stream temperature surges under urbanization and climate change: Data, models, and responses, J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc., 43(2), 440-452. (Pubitemid 46496030)
40. Ozaki, N., T. Fukushima, H. Harasawa, T. Kojiri, K. Kawashima, and M. Ono (2003), Statistical analyses on the effects of air temperature fluctuations on river water qualities, Hydrol. Processes, 17(14), 2837-2853. (Pubitemid 37325924)
41. Pekarova, P., D. Halmova, P. Miklanek, M. Onderka, P. J., and P. Skoda (2008a), Is the water temperature of the Danube River at Bratislava, Slovakia, rising?, J. Hydrometeorol., 9(5), 1115-1122.
42. Pekarova, P., M. Onderka, J. Pekar, P. Miklanek, D. Halmova, P. Skoda, and V. Bacova-Mitkova (2008b), Hydrologic Scenarios for the Danube River at Bratislava, 159 pp., Key, Ostrava, Slovakia.
43. Pilgrim, J. M., X. Fang, and H. G. Stefan (1998), Stream temperature correlations with air temperatures in Minnesota: Implications for climate warming, J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc., 34(5), 1109-1121. (Pubitemid 28532167)
44. Preudhomme, E. B., and H. G. Stefan (1992), Errors related to random stream temperature data-collection in upper Mississippi River watershed, Water Resour. Bull., 28(6), 1077 Please provide an issue number if there is one.1082.
45. Rivers-Moore, N. A., and G. P. W. Jewitt (2007), Adaptive management and water temperature variability within a South African river system: What are the management options?, J. Environ. Manage., 82(1), 39-50. (Pubitemid 44644926)
46. Sahoo, G. B., S. G. Schladow, and J. E. Reuter (2009), Forecasting stream water temperature using regression analysis, artificial neural network, and chaotic non-linear dynamic models, J. Hydrol., 378 (3-4), 325-342.
47. Schar, C., P. L. Vidale, D. Luthi, C. Frei, C. Haberli, M. A. Liniger, and C. Appenzeller (2004), The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heatwaves, Nature, 427(6972), 332-336. (Pubitemid 38133656)
48. Sinokrot, B. A., and H. G. Stefan (1993), Stream temperature dynamics: Measurements and modeling, Water Resour. Res., 29(7), 2299-2312. (Pubitemid 24395044)
49. Sinokrot, B. A., H. G. Stefan, J. H. McCormick, and J. G. Eaton (1995), Modeling of climate-change effects on stream temperatures and fish habitats below dams and near groundwater inputs, Clim. Change, 30(2), 181-200. (Pubitemid 26442999)
50. Stefan, H. G., and E. B. Preudhomme (1993), Stream temperature estimation from air-temperature, Water Resour. Bull., 29(1), 27-45.
51. Stott, P. A., D. A. Stone, and M. R. Allen (2004), Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003, Nature, 432(7017), 610-614. (Pubitemid 39626265)
52. van Vliet, M. T. H., and J. J. G. Zwolsman (2008), Impact of summer droughts on the water quality of the Meuse river, J. Hydrol., 353 (1-2), 1-17.
53. Webb, B. W. (1996), Trends in stream and river temperature, Hydrol. Processes, 10(2), 205-226.
54. Webb, B. W., and F. Nobilis (1994), Water temperature behavior in the River Danube during the 20th century, Hydrobiologia, 291(2), 105-113.
55. Webb, B. W., and F. Nobilis (1997), Long-term perspective on the nature of the air-water temperature relationship: A case study, Hydrol. Processes, 11(2), 137-147.
56. Webb, B. W., and F. Nobilis (2007), Long-term changes in river temperature and the influence of climatic and hydrological factors, Hydrol. Sci. J., 52(1), 74-85. (Pubitemid 46210852)
57. Webb, B. W., and D. E. Walling (1993), Temporal Variability in the Impact of River Regulation on Thermal Regime and some Biological Implications, Freshwater Biol., 29(1), 167-182. (Pubitemid 24409520)
58. Webb, B. W., P. D. Clack, and D. E. Walling (2003), Water-air temperature relationships in a Devon river system and the role of flow, Hydrol. Processes, 17(15), 3069-3084. (Pubitemid 37365742)
59. Webb, B. W., D. M. Hannah, R. D. Moore, L. E. Brown, and F. Nobilis (2008), Recent advances in stream and river temperature research, Hydrol. Processes, 22(7), 902-918. (Pubitemid 351454769)
60. Weedon, G. P., S. Gomes, P. Viterbo, H. Österle, J. C. Adam, N. Bellouin, O. Boucher, and M. Best (2010) The WATCH Forcing Data 1958-2001: A meteorological forcing dataset for land surface and hydrological models, WATCH Tech. Rep, 22, 41 pp. Wallingford, U. K. (available at www.eu-watch.org).
61. Wetherald, R. T., and S. Manabe (1999), Detectability of summer dryness caused by greenhouse warming, Clim. Change, 43(3), 495-511. (Pubitemid 29492451)
62. Yearsley, J. R. (2009), A semi-Lagrangian water temperature model for advection-dominated river systems, Water Resour. Res., 45, W12405, doi:10.1029/2008WR007629.