메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 156, Issue , 2015, Pages 68-78

Forecasting stock market indexes using principle component analysis and stochastic time effective neural networks

Author keywords

Financial time series model; Forecast; Principal component analysis; Stochastic time effective neural network

Indexed keywords

BACKPROPAGATION; COMMERCE; ELECTRONIC TRADING; FINANCIAL MARKETS; FORECASTING; PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS; STOCHASTIC MODELS; STOCHASTIC SYSTEMS; TIME SERIES; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS;

EID: 84923354640     PISSN: 09252312     EISSN: 18728286     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.neucom.2014.12.084     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (131)

References (45)
  • 1
    • 0031672251 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A direct adaptive neural-network control for unknownnonlinear systems and its application
    • Noriega J.R., Wang H. A direct adaptive neural-network control for unknownnonlinear systems and its application. IEEE Trans. Neural Netw. 1998, 9:27-34.
    • (1998) IEEE Trans. Neural Netw. , vol.9 , pp. 27-34
    • Noriega, J.R.1    Wang, H.2
  • 2
    • 25844486156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of data mining and neural networks for forecasting stockmarket returns
    • Enke D., Thawornwong S. The use of data mining and neural networks for forecasting stockmarket returns. Expert Syst. Appl. 2005, 29:927-940.
    • (2005) Expert Syst. Appl. , vol.29 , pp. 927-940
    • Enke, D.1    Thawornwong, S.2
  • 3
    • 79960150696 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptive neural output feedback trackingcontrol for a class of uncertain discrete-time nonlinear systems
    • Liu Y.J., Chen C., Wen G.X., Tong S. Adaptive neural output feedback trackingcontrol for a class of uncertain discrete-time nonlinear systems. IEEE Trans. Neural Netw. 2011, 22:1162-1167.
    • (2011) IEEE Trans. Neural Netw. , vol.22 , pp. 1162-1167
    • Liu, Y.J.1    Chen, C.2    Wen, G.X.3    Tong, S.4
  • 4
    • 82755197651 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical analysis and forecasting of return interval for SSE and model by lattice percolation system and neural network
    • Wang F., Wang J. Statistical analysis and forecasting of return interval for SSE and model by lattice percolation system and neural network. Comput. Ind. Eng. 2012, 62:198-205.
    • (2012) Comput. Ind. Eng. , vol.62 , pp. 198-205
    • Wang, F.1    Wang, J.2
  • 5
    • 0030107810 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stable adaptive neural control scheme for nonlinear systems
    • Polycarpou M.M. Stable adaptive neural control scheme for nonlinear systems. IEEE Trans. Autom. Control 1996, 41:447-451.
    • (1996) IEEE Trans. Autom. Control , vol.41 , pp. 447-451
    • Polycarpou, M.M.1
  • 6
    • 0030130754 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A multi-component nonlinear prediction system for the S&P 500 index
    • Chenoweth T., Obradovic Z. A multi-component nonlinear prediction system for the S&P 500 index. Neurocomputing 1996, 10:275-290.
    • (1996) Neurocomputing , vol.10 , pp. 275-290
    • Chenoweth, T.1    Obradovic, Z.2
  • 7
    • 0042279716 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the profitability of technical trading rules based on artificial neural networks. evidence from the Madrid stock market
    • Fernandez-Rodriguez F., Gonzalez-Martel C., Sosvilla-Rivebo S. On the profitability of technical trading rules based on artificial neural networks. evidence from the Madrid stock market. Econ. Lett. 2000, 69:89-94.
    • (2000) Econ. Lett. , vol.69 , pp. 89-94
    • Fernandez-Rodriguez, F.1    Gonzalez-Martel, C.2    Sosvilla-Rivebo, S.3
  • 8
    • 14844288028 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A dynamic artificial neural network model for forecasting time series events
    • Ghiassi M., Saidane H., Zimbra D.K. A dynamic artificial neural network model for forecasting time series events. Int. J. Forecast. 2005, 21:341-362.
    • (2005) Int. J. Forecast. , vol.21 , pp. 341-362
    • Ghiassi, M.1    Saidane, H.2    Zimbra, D.K.3
  • 9
    • 84871405310 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Volatility clustering and long memory of financial time series and financial price model
    • Niu H.L., Wang J. Volatility clustering and long memory of financial time series and financial price model. Digit. Signal Process. 2013, 23:489-498.
    • (2013) Digit. Signal Process. , vol.23 , pp. 489-498
    • Niu, H.L.1    Wang, J.2
  • 10
    • 33947679247 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the volatility of stock price index
    • Roh T.H. Forecasting the volatility of stock price index. Expert Syst. Appl. 2007, 33:916-922.
    • (2007) Expert Syst. Appl. , vol.33 , pp. 916-922
    • Roh, T.H.1
  • 11
    • 0002434859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Non-linear financial time series forecasting application to the Bel 20 stock market index
    • Lendasse A., de Bodt E., Wertz V., Verleysen M. Non-linear financial time series forecasting application to the Bel 20 stock market index. Eur. J. Econ. Soc. Syst. 2000, 14:81-91.
    • (2000) Eur. J. Econ. Soc. Syst. , vol.14 , pp. 81-91
    • Lendasse, A.1    de Bodt, E.2    Wertz, V.3    Verleysen, M.4
  • 12
    • 36148991101 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting next-day price of electricity in the Spanish energy market using artificial neural networks
    • Pino R., Parreno J., Gomez A., Priore P. Forecasting next-day price of electricity in the Spanish energy market using artificial neural networks. Eng. Appl. Artif. Intell. 2008, 21:53-62.
    • (2008) Eng. Appl. Artif. Intell. , vol.21 , pp. 53-62
    • Pino, R.1    Parreno, J.2    Gomez, A.3    Priore, P.4
  • 13
    • 0032670062 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating the cost of steel pipe bending, a comparison between neural networks and regression analysis
    • Shtub A., Versano P. Estimating the cost of steel pipe bending, a comparison between neural networks and regression analysis. J. Prod. Econ. 1999, 62:201-207.
    • (1999) J. Prod. Econ. , vol.62 , pp. 201-207
    • Shtub, A.1    Versano, P.2
  • 14
    • 84882384166 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Applying artificial neural networks to prediction of stock price and improvement of the directional prediction index-case study of PETR4, Petrobras, Brazil
    • Fagner A., Cristiane N., Luis E. Applying artificial neural networks to prediction of stock price and improvement of the directional prediction index-case study of PETR4, Petrobras, Brazil. Expert Syst. Appl. 2013, 40:7596-7606.
    • (2013) Expert Syst. Appl. , vol.40 , pp. 7596-7606
    • Fagner, A.1    Cristiane, N.2    Luis, E.3
  • 15
    • 12444272695 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A hybrid geneticneural architecture for stock indexes forecasting
    • Armano G., Marchesi M., Murru A. A hybrid geneticneural architecture for stock indexes forecasting. Inf. Sci. 2005, 170:3-33.
    • (2005) Inf. Sci. , vol.170 , pp. 3-33
    • Armano, G.1    Marchesi, M.2    Murru, A.3
  • 16
    • 79959311557 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Voter interacting systems applied to Chinese stock markets
    • Wang T.S., Wang J., Zhang J.H., Fang W. Voter interacting systems applied to Chinese stock markets. Math. Comput. Simul. 2011, 81:2492-2506.
    • (2011) Math. Comput. Simul. , vol.81 , pp. 2492-2506
    • Wang, T.S.1    Wang, J.2    Zhang, J.H.3    Fang, W.4
  • 17
    • 84862809397 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fluctuation prediction of stock market index by Legendre neural network with random time strength function
    • Liu F.J., Wang J. Fluctuation prediction of stock market index by Legendre neural network with random time strength function. Neurocomputing 2012, 83:12-21.
    • (2012) Neurocomputing , vol.83 , pp. 12-21
    • Liu, F.J.1    Wang, J.2
  • 18
    • 80052686275 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrating independent component analysis and principal component analysis with neural network to predict Chinese stock market
    • Article ID 382659.
    • H.F. Liu, J. Wang, Integrating independent component analysis and principal component analysis with neural network to predict Chinese stock market, Math. Probl. Eng. (2011) Article ID 382659.
    • (2011) Math. Probl. Eng.
    • Liu, H.F.1    Wang, J.2
  • 19
    • 70349464843 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting model of global stock index by stochastic time effective neural network
    • Liao Z., Wang J. Forecasting model of global stock index by stochastic time effective neural network. Expert Syst. Appl. 2010, 37:834-841.
    • (2010) Expert Syst. Appl. , vol.37 , pp. 834-841
    • Liao, Z.1    Wang, J.2
  • 20
    • 58149472216 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Design of experiments on neural networks training for nonlinear time series forecasting
    • Balestrassi P.P., Popova E., Paiva A.P., Lima J.W.M. Design of experiments on neural networks training for nonlinear time series forecasting. Neurocomputing 2009, 72:1160-1178.
    • (2009) Neurocomputing , vol.72 , pp. 1160-1178
    • Balestrassi, P.P.1    Popova, E.2    Paiva, A.P.3    Lima, J.W.M.4
  • 21
    • 84860504602 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical properties and mutifractal behavior of market returns by Ising dynamic systems
    • Fang W., Wang J. Statistical properties and mutifractal behavior of market returns by Ising dynamic systems. Int. J. Mod. Phys. C 2012, 23:1250023.
    • (2012) Int. J. Mod. Phys. C , vol.23 , pp. 1250023
    • Fang, W.1    Wang, J.2
  • 22
    • 80052651535 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The forecast of the pre-processing data with BP neural network principal component analysis
    • Lu B.Y., Chen Y.L., Li Y.Y. The forecast of the pre-processing data with BP neural network principal component analysis. Sci. Technol. Inf. 2009, 17:29-30.
    • (2009) Sci. Technol. Inf. , vol.17 , pp. 29-30
    • Lu, B.Y.1    Chen, Y.L.2    Li, Y.Y.3
  • 23
    • 84893806156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Principal component analysis (PCA) for estimating chlorophyll concentration using forward and generalized regression neural networks
    • Mohammad K.Z. Principal component analysis (PCA) for estimating chlorophyll concentration using forward and generalized regression neural networks. Appl. Artif. Intell. 2014, 28:16-29.
    • (2014) Appl. Artif. Intell. , vol.28 , pp. 16-29
    • Mohammad, K.Z.1
  • 24
    • 85007816014 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparative analyses of anthropometry associated with overweight and obesity. PCA and ICA approaches
    • Lee S. Comparative analyses of anthropometry associated with overweight and obesity. PCA and ICA approaches. Theor. Issues Ergon. Sci. 2008, 9:441-475.
    • (2008) Theor. Issues Ergon. Sci. , vol.9 , pp. 441-475
    • Lee, S.1
  • 25
    • 0242269789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling and diagnosis of feedbackcontrolled processes using dynamic PCA and neural networks
    • Shi D., Tsung F. Modelling and diagnosis of feedbackcontrolled processes using dynamic PCA and neural networks. Int. J. Prod. Res. 2003, 41:365-379.
    • (2003) Int. J. Prod. Res. , vol.41 , pp. 365-379
    • Shi, D.1    Tsung, F.2
  • 26
    • 22144444951 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Neural network model for standard PCA and its variants applied to remote sensing
    • Chitroub S. Neural network model for standard PCA and its variants applied to remote sensing. Int. J. Remote Sens. 2005, 26:2197-2218.
    • (2005) Int. J. Remote Sens. , vol.26 , pp. 2197-2218
    • Chitroub, S.1
  • 27
    • 0041883740 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Neural network forecasts of canadian stock returns using accounting ratios
    • Olson D., Mossman C. Neural network forecasts of canadian stock returns using accounting ratios. Int. J. Forecast. 2003, 19:453-465.
    • (2003) Int. J. Forecast. , vol.19 , pp. 453-465
    • Olson, D.1    Mossman, C.2
  • 31
    • 77349102699 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Power transformer differential protection using neural network principal component analysis and radial basis function neural network
    • Tripathyb M. Power transformer differential protection using neural network principal component analysis and radial basis function neural network. Simul. Model. Pract. Theory 2010, 18:600-611.
    • (2010) Simul. Model. Pract. Theory , vol.18 , pp. 600-611
    • Tripathyb, M.1
  • 32
    • 21744458106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of river water quality monitoring stations by principal component analysis
    • Ouyang Y. Evaluation of river water quality monitoring stations by principal component analysis. Water Res. 2005, 39:2621-2635.
    • (2005) Water Res. , vol.39 , pp. 2621-2635
    • Ouyang, Y.1
  • 33
    • 67650526155 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A prediction model for population occurrence of paddy stem borer (Scirpophaga incertulas), based on back propagation artificial neural network and principal component analysis
    • Yang L.N., Peng L., Zhang L.M., Zhang L.L., Yang S.S. A prediction model for population occurrence of paddy stem borer (Scirpophaga incertulas), based on back propagation artificial neural network and principal component analysis. Comput. Electron. Agric. 2009, 68:200-206.
    • (2009) Comput. Electron. Agric. , vol.68 , pp. 200-206
    • Yang, L.N.1    Peng, L.2    Zhang, L.M.3    Zhang, L.L.4    Yang, S.S.5
  • 34
    • 0242434253 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of Different Mappings and Normalization of Neural Network Models
    • Indian institute of Technology, Kanpur
    • D.K. Chaturvedi, P.S. Satsangi, P.K. Kalra, Effect of Different Mappings and Normalization of Neural Network Models, vol. 9, Indian institute of Technology, Kanpur, 1996, pp. 377-386.
    • (1996) , vol.9 , pp. 377-386
    • Chaturvedi, D.K.1    Satsangi, P.S.2    Kalra, P.K.3
  • 35
    • 0041519747 scopus 로고
    • Accuracy measures. theoretical and practical concerns
    • Makridakis S. Accuracy measures. theoretical and practical concerns. Int. J. Forecast. 1993, 9:527-529.
    • (1993) Int. J. Forecast. , vol.9 , pp. 527-529
    • Makridakis, S.1
  • 36
    • 84893584282 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of PNN and SVM for stock market trend prediction using economic and technical information
    • Lahmiri S. A comparison of PNN and SVM for stock market trend prediction using economic and technical information. Int. J. Comput. Appl. 2011, 29:24-30.
    • (2011) Int. J. Comput. Appl. , vol.29 , pp. 24-30
    • Lahmiri, S.1
  • 37
    • 84855392208 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The application of SVMs method on exchange rates fluctuation
    • Article ID 250206.
    • Z.Q. Zhang, Q. Zhao, The application of SVMs method on exchange rates fluctuation, Discr. Dyn. Nat. Soc. (2009) Article ID 250206.
    • (2009) Discr. Dyn. Nat. Soc.
    • Zhang, Z.Q.1    Zhao, Q.2
  • 38
    • 0242351905 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Financial time series forecasting using support vector machines
    • Kim K. Financial time series forecasting using support vector machines. Neurocomputing 2003, 55:307-319.
    • (2003) Neurocomputing , vol.55 , pp. 307-319
    • Kim, K.1
  • 39
    • 74149094082 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fluctuations of stock price model by statistical physics systems
    • Wang J., Wang Q.Y., Shao J.G. Fluctuations of stock price model by statistical physics systems. Math. Comput. Model. 2010, 51:431-440.
    • (2010) Math. Comput. Model. , vol.51 , pp. 431-440
    • Wang, J.1    Wang, Q.Y.2    Shao, J.G.3
  • 40
    • 77950041561 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling and simulation of the market fluctuations by the finite range contact systems
    • Zhang J.H., Wang J. Modeling and simulation of the market fluctuations by the finite range contact systems. Simul. Model. Pract. Theory 2010, 18:910-925.
    • (2010) Simul. Model. Pract. Theory , vol.18 , pp. 910-925
    • Zhang, J.H.1    Wang, J.2
  • 42
    • 84863447151 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling stock price dynamics by continuum percolation system and a relevant complex systems analysis
    • Xiao D., Wang J. Modeling stock price dynamics by continuum percolation system and a relevant complex systems analysis. Physica A 2012, 391:4827-4838.
    • (2012) Physica A , vol.391 , pp. 4827-4838
    • Xiao, D.1    Wang, J.2
  • 43
    • 84859186648 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lattice oriented percolation system applied to volatility behavior of stock market
    • Yu Y., Wang J. Lattice oriented percolation system applied to volatility behavior of stock market. J. Appl. Stat. 2012, 39:785-797.
    • (2012) J. Appl. Stat. , vol.39 , pp. 785-797
    • Yu, Y.1    Wang, J.2
  • 44
    • 85015692260 scopus 로고
    • The pricing of options and corporate liabilities
    • Black F., Scholes M. The pricing of options and corporate liabilities. J. Polit. Econ. 1973, 81:637-654.
    • (1973) J. Polit. Econ. , vol.81 , pp. 637-654
    • Black, F.1    Scholes, M.2
  • 45
    • 3042831202 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A theory of power-law distributions in financial market fluctuations
    • Gabaix X., Gopikrishanan P., Plerou V., Stanley H.E. A theory of power-law distributions in financial market fluctuations. Nature 2003, 423:267-270.
    • (2003) Nature , vol.423 , pp. 267-270
    • Gabaix, X.1    Gopikrishanan, P.2    Plerou, V.3    Stanley, H.E.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.