Temporal-spatial characteristics of severe drought events and their impact on agriculture on a global scale

Quaternary International

Volumn 349, Issue , 2014, Pages 10-21

  Wang, Qianfeng ^a   Wu, Jianjun ^a   Lei, Tianjie ^a   He, Bin ^a   Wu, Zhitao ^b   Liu, Ming ^c   Mo, Xinyu ^a   Geng, Guangpo ^a   Li, Xiaohan ^a   Zhou, Hongkui ^a   Liu, Dachuan ^a  

^a BEIJING NORMAL UNIVERSITY   (China)

^b SHANXI UNIVERSITY   (China)

^c National Disaster Reduction Center of China   (China)

Author keywords

Agriculture; Drought prone areas; Global; Impact; Severe drought frequency; SPEI

Indexed keywords

ANNUAL VARIATION; CLIMATE EFFECT; DROUGHT; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; NORTHERN HEMISPHERE; SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS;

SOUTH AMERICA; SOUTHERN EUROPE;

EID: 84921645833     PISSN: 10406182     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.quaint.2014.06.021     Document Type: Article

References (85)

1. Andreadis K.M., Clark E.A., Wood A.W., Hamlet A.F., Lettenmaier D.P. Twentieth-century drought in the conterminous United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2005, 6(6):985-1001.
2. Banimahd S.A., Khalili D. Factors influencing Markov Chains Predictability characteristics, Utilizing SPI, RDI, EDI and SPEI drought indices in different climatic Zones. Water Resources Management 2013, 27(11):3911-3928.
3. Bartholomé E., Belward A. GLC2000: a new approach to global land cover mapping from Earth observation data. International Journal of Remote Sensing 2005, 26(9):1959-1977.
4. Bates B., Kundzewicz Z.W., Wu S., Palutikof J. Climate Change and Water. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2008, Cambridge University Press.
5. Batterbury S., Warren A. The African Sahel 25 years after the great drought: assessing progress and moving towards new agendas and approaches. Global Environmental Change 2001, 11(1):1-8.
6. Blunden J., Arndt D., Baringer M. State of the Climate in 2010. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2011, 92(6):S1-S236.
7. Bruins H.J., Berliner P.R. Bioclimatic aridity, Climatic Variability, Drought and Desertification: Definitions and Management Options. The Arid Frontier 1998, 97-116. Springer.
8. Burke E.J., Brown S.J., Christidis N. Modeling the recent evolution of global drought and projections for the twenty-first century with the Hadley Centre climate model. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2006, 7(5):1113-1125.
9. Cook E.R., Meko D.M., Stahle D.W., Cleaveland M.K. Drought reconstructions for the continental United States. Journal of Climate 1999, 12(4):1145-1162.
10. Dai A. Characteristics and trends in various forms of the Palmer drought severity Index during 1900-2008. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 2011, 116(D12).
11. Dai A., Wigley T. Global patterns of ENSO-induced precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters 2000, 27(9):1283-1286.
12. Dai A., Trenberth K.E., Qian T. Aglobal dataset of Palmer drought severity index for 1870-2002: relationship with soil moisture and effects of surface warming. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2004, 5(6):1117-1130.
13. David L.B., Wolfram S., Justin C.-R. Climate trends and global crop production since 1980. Science 2011, 333:616-620.
14. Dilley M. Natural Disaster Hotspots: a Global Risk Analysis 2005, World Bank Publications.
15. Dubrovsky M., Svoboda M., Trnka M., Hayes M., Wilhite D., Zalud Z., Hlavinka P. Application of relative drought indices in assessing climate-change impacts on drought conditions in Czechia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 2009, 96(1-2):155-171.
16. FAO FAO statistical database. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Available on the World Wide Web 2006, http://faostat.fao.org.
17. Faramarzi M., Yang H., Schulin R., Abbaspour K.C. Modeling wheat yield and crop water productivity in Iran: Implications of agricultural water management for wheat production. Agricultural Water Management 2010, 97(11):1861-1875.
18. Field C.B., Barros V., Stocker T.F., Dahe Q. Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation: Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2012, Cambridge University Press.
19. Gauder M., Graeff-Hönninger S., Claupein W. The impact of a growing bioethanol industry on food production in Brazil. Applied Energy 2011, 88(3):672-679.
20. Guttman N.B. Comparing the palmer drought index and the standardized precipitation index. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 1998, 34(1):113-121.
21. Hagman G., Beer H., Bendz M., Wijkman A. Prevention Better Than Cure. Report on Human and Environmental Disasters in the Third World 1984, 2.
22. Hayes M.J., Svoboda M.D., Wilhite D.A., Vanyarkho O.V. Monitoring the 1996 drought using the standardized precipitation index. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 1999, 80(3):429-438.
23. He B., Lü A., Wu J., Zhao L., Liu M. Drought hazard assessment and spatial characteristics analysis in China. Journal of Geographical Sciences 2011, 21(2):235-249.
24. He B., Wu J., Lü A., Cui X., Zhou L., Liu M., Zhao L. Quantitative assessment and spatial characteristic analysis of agricultural drought risk in China. Natural Hazards 2013, 66(2):155-166.
25. Helmer M., Hilhorst D. Natural disasters and climate change. Disasters 2006, 30(1):1-4.
26. Houghton J., Ding Y., Griggs D. Climate Change, the Scientific Basis. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2001, Cambridge University Press.
27. Hulme M. Rainfall changes in Africa: 1931-1960 to 1961-1990. International Journal of Climatology 1992, 12(7):685-699.
28. Jones E.P. Circulation in the Arctic ocean. Polar Research 2001, 20(2):139-146.
29. Jones P.D., Moberg A. Hemispheric and large-scale surface air temperature variations: an extensive revision and an update to 2001. Journal of Climate 2003, 16(2):206-223.
30. Keyantash J.A., Dracup J.A. An aggregate drought index: assessing drought severity based on fluctuations in the hydrologic cycle and surface water storage. Water Resources Research 2004, 40(9):W09304.
31. Kogan F., Adamenko T., Guo W. Global and regional drought dynamics in the climate warming era. Remote Sensing Letters 2013, 4(4):364-372.
32. Kristensen K., Schelde K., Olesen J.E. Winter wheat yield response to climate variability in Denmark. The Journal of Agricultural Science 2011, 149(1):33.
33. Lehman H. Cynthia rosenzweig and Daniel Hillel, climate change and the global Harvest: potential impacts of the Greenhouse effect on agriculture. Journal of Agricultural and Environmental Ethics 1998, 11(1):71-74.
34. Leuzinger S., Zotz G., Asshoff R., Körner C. Responses of deciduous forest trees to severe drought in Central Europe. Tree Physiology 2005, 25(6):641-650.
35. Li Y., Ye W., Wang M., Yan X. Climate change and drought: a risk assessment of crop-yield impacts. Climate Research 2009, 39(1):31-46.
36. Lobell D.B., Field C.B. Global scale climate-crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming. Environmental Research Letters 2007, 2(1):014002.
37. Lobell D.B., Schlenker W., Costa-Roberts J. Climate trends and global crop production since 1980. Science 2011, 333(6042):616-620.
38. MacDonald G.M. Severe and sustained drought in southern California and the West: present conditions and insights from the past on causes and impacts. Quaternary International 2007, 173:87-100.
39. Marengo J.A., Tomasella J., Uvo C.R. Trends in streamflow and rainfall in tropical South America: Amazonia, eastern Brazil, and northwestern Peru. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (1984-2012) 1998, 103(D2):1775-1783.
40. Marengo J.A., Nobre C.A., Tomasella J., Oyama M.D., Sampaio de Oliveira G., De Oliveira R., Camargo H., Alves L.M., Brown I.F. The drought of Amazonia in 2005. Journal of Climate 2008, 21(3):495-516.
41. McCabe G.J., Palecki M.A., Betancourt J.L. Pacific and Atlantic Ocean influences on multidecadal drought frequency in the United States. Proceedings. National Academy of Sciences USA 2004, 101(12):4136-4141.
42. McKee T.B., Doesken N.J., Kleist J. The Relationship of Drought Frequency and Duration to Time Scales Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology 1993, vol. 17:179-183. American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA.
43. Mishra A.K., Singh V.P. Areview of drought concepts. Journal of Hydrology 2010, 391(1):202-216.
44. Morton D.C., DeFries R.S., Shimabukuro Y.E., Anderson L.O., Arai E., del Bon Espirito-Santo F., Freitas R., Morisette J. Cropland expansion changes deforestation dynamics in the southern Brazilian Amazon. Proceedings. National Academy of Sciences USA 2006, 103(39):14637-14641.
45. Mpelasoka F., Hennessy K., Jones R., Bates B. Comparison of suitable drought indices for climate change impacts assessment over Australia towards resource management. International Journal of Climatology 2008, 28(10):1283-1292.
46. Narasimhan B., Srinivasan R. Development and evaluation of soil moisture deficit index (SMDI) and evapotranspiration deficit index (ETDI) for agricultural drought monitoring. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 2005, 133(1):69-88.
47. Nicholls N. The changing nature of Australian droughts. Climatic Change 2004, 63(3):323-336.
48. Oba G., Post E., Stenseth N.C. Sub-saharan desertification and productivity are linked to hemispheric climate variability. Global Change Biology 2001, 7(3):241-246.
49. Palmer W.C. Meteorological Drought 1965, Research Paper No. 45, US Department of Commerce Weather Bureau, Washington, DC.
50. Paulo A., Rosa R., Pereira L. Climate trends and behaviour of drought indices based on precipitation and evapotranspiration in Portugal. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 2012, 12:1481-1491.
51. Pausas J.G. Changes in fire and climate in the eastern Iberian Peninsula (Mediterranean basin). Climatic Change 2004, 63(3):337-350.
52. Peltonen-Sainio P., Jauhiainen L., Trnka M., Olesen J.E., Calanca P., Eckersten H., Eitzinger J., Gobin A., Kersebaum K.C., Kozyra J. Coincidence of variation in yield and climate in Europe. Agriculture. Ecosystems & Environment 2010, 139(4):483-489.
53. Potop V. Evolution of drought severity and its impact on in the Republic of Moldova. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 2011, 105(3-4):469-483.
54. Potop V., Možný M., Soukup J. Drought evolution at various time scales in the lowland regions and their impact on vegetable crops in the Czech Republic. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 2012, 156:121-133.
55. Quiring S.M., Papakryiakou T.N. An evaluation of agricultural drought indices for the Canadian prairies. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 2003, 118(1):49-62.
56. Rhee J., Im J., Carbone G.J. Monitoring agricultural drought for arid and humid regions using multi-sensor remote sensing data. Remote Sensing of Environment 2010, 114(12):2875-2887.
57. Rosenzweig C., Iglesias A., Yang X., Epstein P.R., Chivian E. Climate change and extreme weather events; implications for food production, plant diseases, and pests. Global Change & Human Health 2001, 2(2):90-104.
58. Rouault M., Richard Y. Intensity and spatial extent of droughts in southern Africa. Geophysical Research Letters 2005, 32(15).
59. Sarkar J. Monitoring Drought Risks in India with Emphasis on Agricultural Drought. Proceedings of Proceedings of an Expert Meeting 2010, vol. 17:50-59. World Meteorological Organization, Switzerland.
60. Schnepf R.D., Dohlman E.N., Bolling H.C. Agriculture in Brazil and Argentina: Developments and Prospects for Major Field Crops 2001, US Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC.
61. Seiler R., Hayes M., Bressan L. Using the standardized precipitation index for flood risk monitoring. International Journal of Climatology 2002, 22(11):1365-1376.
62. Sheffield J., Wood E.F. Global trends and variability in soil moisture and drought characteristics, 1950-2000, from observation-driven simulations of the terrestrial hydrologic cycle. Journal of Climate 2008, 21(3):432-458.
63. Sheffield J., Andreadis K., Wood E., Lettenmaier D. Global and continental drought in the second half of the twentieth century: severity-area-duration analysis and temporal variability of large-scale events. Journal of Climate 2009, 22(8):1962-1981.
64. Sheffield J., Wood E.F., Roderick M.L. Little change in global drought over the past 60 years. Nature 2012, 491:435-438.
65. Shen C., Wang W.-C., Hao Z., Gong W. Exceptional drought events over eastern China during the last five centuries. Climatic Change 2007, 85(3-4):453-471.
66. Spinoni J., Naumann G., Carrao H., Barbosa P., Vogt J. World drought frequency, duration, and severity for 1951-2010. International Journal of Climatology 2013, 34:2792-2804.
67. Tarhule A., Lamb P.J. Climate research and seasonal forecasting for West Africans: Perceptions, dissemination, and use?. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2003, 84(12):1741-1759.
68. Trnka M., Hlavinka P., Semerádová D., Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z., Mozny M. Agricultural drought and spring barley yields in the Czech Republic. Plant Soil and Environment 2007, 53(7):306.
69. Tubiello F.N., Soussana J.-F., Howden S.M. Crop and pasture response to climate change. Proceedings, National Academy of Sciences USA 2007, 104(50):19686-19690.
70. Vicente-Serrano S.M. Evaluating the impact of drought using remote sensing in a Mediterranean, semi-arid region. Natural Hazards 2007, 40(1):173-208.
71. Vicente-Serrano S.M., Beguería S., López-Moreno J.I., Angulo M., El Kenawy A. Anew global 0.5 gridded dataset (1901-2006) of a multiscalar drought index: comparison with current drought index datasets based on the Palmer Drought Severity Index. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2010, 11(4):1033-1043.
72. Vicente-Serrano S.M., Gouveia C., Camarero J.J., Begueria S., Trigo R., Lopez-Moreno J.I., Azorin-Molina C., Pasho E., Lorenzo-Lacruz J., Revuelto J., Moran-Tejeda E., Sanchez-Lorenzo A. Response of vegetation to drought time-scales across global land biomes. Proceedings, National Adaemy of Sciences USA 2013, 110(1):52-57.
73. Vogt J.V., Somma F. Drought and Drought Mitigation in Europe 2000, Kluwer academic publishers, Dordrecht.
74. Voss R., May W., Roeckner E. Enhanced resolution modelling study on anthropogenic climate change: changes in extremes of the hydrological cycle. International Journal of Climatology 2002, 22(7):755-777.
75. Wang Y., Xie Z., Malhi S.S., Vera C.L., Zhang Y., Wang J. Effects of rainfall harvesting and mulching technologies on water use efficiency and crop yield in the semi-arid Loess Plateau, China. Agricultural Water Management 2009, 96(3):374-382.
76. Warrick R.A. The possible impacts on wheat production of a recurrence of the 1930s drought in the US Great Plains. Climatic Change 1984, 6(1):5-26.
77. Wilhite D.A. Amethodology for drought preparedness. Natural Hazards 1996, 13(3):229-252.
78. Wilhite D.A. Drought as a Natural Hazard: concepts and definitions. Drought, a Global Assessment 1 2000, 3-18. Routledge, London. D.A. Wilhite (Ed.).
79. Wilhite D.A., Svoboda M.D., Hayes M.J. Understanding the complex impacts of drought: a key to enhancing drought mitigation and preparedness. Water Resources Management 2007, 21(5):763-774.
80. Wu J., Zhou L., Liu M., Zhang J., Leng S., Diao C. Establishing and assessing the Integrated Surface Drought Index (ISDI) for agricultural drought monitoring in mid-eastern China. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation 2012, 23:397-410.
81. Yinpeng L., Wei Y., Meng W., XiaoDong Y. Climate change and drought: a risk assessment of crop-yield impacts. Climate Research 2009, 39(1):31-46.
82. Yoo J., Kwon H.-H., Kim T.-W., Ahn J.-H. Drought frequency analysis using cluster analysis and bivariate probability distribution. Journal of Hydrology 2012, 420:102-111.
83. Zeng N. Drought in the Sahel. Science 2003, 302(5647):999-1000.
84. Zhang C., Xie G., Li S., Ge L., He T. The productive potentials of sweet sorghum ethanol in China. Applied Energy 2010, 87(7):2360-2368.
85. Zhao Y.L., Dolat A., Steinberger Y., Wang X., Osman A., Xie G.H. Biomass yield and changes in chemical composition of sweet sorghum cultivars grown for biofuel. Field Crops Research 2009, 111(1):55-64.