Exceptional drought events over eastern China during the last five centuries

Climatic Change

Volumn 85, Issue 3-4, 2007, Pages 453-471

  Shen, Caiming ^a   Wang, Wei Chyung ^a   Hao, Zhixin ^a   Gong, Wei ^a  

^a STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CHINA; DATA REDUCTION; DROUGHT; ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL EFFECTS; VOLCANOES;

CLIMATIC FORCING; PACIFIC SUBTROPICAL HIGH; PROLONGED PERIOD; TEMPORAL EVOLUTIONS;

CLIMATOLOGY;

CLIMATE FORCING; DROUGHT; EL NINO; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); VOLCANIC ERUPTION;

ASIA; CHINA; EURASIA; FAR EAST; YANGTZE RIVER;

EID: 36248976149     PISSN: 01650009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-007-9283-y     Document Type: Article

References (91)

1. Adams JB, Mann ME, Ammann CM (2003) Proxy evidence for an El Niño-like response to volcanic forcing. Nature 426:274-278
2. Allen MR, Ingram WJ (2002) Constraints on the future changes in climate and the hydrological cycle. Nature 419:224-232
3. Bi M (1990) Features and causes of droughts in Northern China in recent 40 years. In Ye D, Huang R (eds) Advances in the disastrous climate research series. Chinese Meteorological Press, Beijing, pp 23-32
4. Bradley RS, Jones PD (eds) (1995) Climate since 1500. Routledge, London
5. Chang C-P, Zhang Y, Li T (2000) Interannual and interdecadal variation of the East Asian summer monsoon rainfall and tropical SSTs: part 1, roles of the subtropical ridge. J Clim 13:4310-4325
6. Changnon SA, Changnon JM, Hewings GD (2001) Losses caused by weather and climate extremes: a national index for the United States. Phys Geogr. 22:1-27
7. Chapman L, Thornes JE (2003) The use of geographical information systems in climatology and meteorology. Prog Phys Geogr 27:313-330
8. Chen TC, Yen MC (1994) Interannual variation of the Indian monsoon simulated with NCAR community model: effect of tropical pacific SST. J Clim 7:1403-1415
9. Church JA, White NJ, Arblaster JM (2005) Significant decadal-scale impact of volcanic eruptions on sea level and ocean heat content. Nature 438:74-77
10. CNMA (Chinese National Meteorological Administration) (1981) Yearly charts of dryness/wetness in China for the last 500-year period. Chinese Cartographic Publishing House, Beijing
11. Cook ER, Stahle DW, Cleaveland MK (1992) Dendroclimatic evidence from Eastern North America. In: Bradley RS, Jones PD (eds) Climate since 1500. Routledge, London, pp 331-348
12. Cook ER, Meko DM, Stahle DW, Cleaveland MK (1999) Drought reconstructions for the continental United States. J Clim 12:1145-1162
13. Das HP (2000) Monitoring the incidence of large-scale drought in India. In: Wilhite DA (ed) Drought, volume I, a global assessment. Routledge, London, pp 181-195
14. Ding Y (1991) Monsoons over China. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, p 419
15. Easterling DR, Meehl GA, Parmesan C, Changnon SA, Karl TR, Mearns LO (2000) Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impacts. Science 289:2068-2074
16. Fasullo J (2004) A stratified diagnosis of the Indian monsoon-Eurasian snow cover relationship. J Clim 17:1110-1122
17. Fu C, Teng T (1988) Climate anomalies in China associated with ENSO. Sci Atmos Sinica (special issue):133-141
18. Gillett NP, Weaver AJ, Zwiers FW, Wehner MF (2004) Detection of volcanic influence on global precipitation. Geophys Res Lett 31:L12217. doi: 10.1029/2004GL020044
19. Guo Q (1985) The variations of summer monsoon in East Asia and the rainfall over China. J Trop Meteorol 1:44-52
20. Guo Q (1994) Monsoon and droughts/floods in China. In: Ding Y (ed) Asian monsoon. China Meteorology Press, Beijing, pp 65-75
21. Guo Q, Cai J, Shao X, Sha W (2004) Studies on the variations of East Asian summer monsoon during A.D. 1873-2000. Chin J Atmos Sci 28:206-215
22. Hahn DG, Schukla J (1976) An apparent relationship between Eurasian snow cover and Indian monsoon rainfall. J Atmos Sci 33:2461-2463
23. Hayes M, Svoboda M, Wilhite DA (2000) Monitoring drought using the standardized precipitation index. In: Wilhite DA (ed) Drought, volume I, A global assessment. Routledge, London, pp 168-180
24. Huang R, Wu Y (1989) The influence of ENSO on the summer climate change in China and its mechanism. Adv Atmos Sci 6:21-32
25. IPCC (2002) Workshop report of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In: Workshop on changes in extreme weather and climate events, Beijing, p 107
26. Jones PD, Mann ME (2004) Climate over past millennia. Rev Geophys 42:1-42
27. Karl TR, Koscielny AJ (1982) Drought in the United States: 1895-1981. J Climatol 2:313-329
28. Kiladis GN, Sinha SK (1991) ENSO, monsoon and drought in India. In: Glantz M, Katz RW, Nicholls N (eds) Teleconnections linking worldwide climate anomalies. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 431-458
29. Lambert FH, Gillett NP, Stone DA, Huntingford C (2005) Attribution studies of observed land precipitation changes with nine coupled models. Geophys Res Lett 32:L18704. doi: 10.1029/2005GL023654
30. Lau K-M, Weng H (2000) Coherent modes of global SST and summer rainfall over China: an assessment of the regional impacts of the 1997-98 El Niño. J Clim 14:1294-1308
31. Lau K-M, Kim K-M, Yang S (2000) Dynamical and boundary forcing characteristics of regional components of the Asian summer monsoon. J Clim 13:2461-2482
32. Li Q, Yang S, Kousky VE, Higgins RW, Lau K-M, Xie P (2005) Features of cross-pacific climate shown in the variability of China and US precipitation. Int J Climatol 25:1675-1696
33. Liu Y-Q, Ding Y (1992) Influence of El Niño events on weather and climate in China. Acta Meteorol Sin 6:117-131
34. Liu X, Yanai M (2002) Influence of Eurasian spring snow cover on Asian summer rainfall. Int J Climatol 22:1075-1089
35. Liu K-b, Shen C, Louie K-s (2001) A 1000-year history of typhoon landfalls in Guangdong, Southern China, reconstructed from Chinese historical documentary records. Ann Assoc Am Geogr 91:453-464
36. Mann ME, Bradley RS, Hughes MK (1998) Global scale tmperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries. Nature 392:779-787
37. Mass CF, Portman DA (1989) Major volcanic eruptions and climate: a critical evaluation. J Clim 2:566-593
38. Meehl GA, Arblaster JM (1998) The Asian-Australian monsoon and El Niño - southern oscillation in the NCAR climate system model. J Clim 11:1356-1385
39. Parson JM (1970) Peasant rebellions of the late Ming Dynasty. The University of Arizona Press, Tucson, p 292
40. Parthasarathy B, Munot AA, Kothawale DR (1995) Monthly and seasonal rainfall series for all-India homogeneous regions and meteorological subdivisions: 1871-1994. Contributions from Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Research Report RR-065, India
41. Philander SGH (1990) El Niño, La Niña, and the southern oscillation. Academic Press, San Diego, p 293
42. Phillips ID, McGregor GR (2001) Western European water vapor - Southwest England rainfall associations. J Hydrometeorol 2:505-524
43. Qian W, Hu Q, Zhu Y, Lee D-K (2003) Centennial-scale dry-wet variation in East Asia. Clim Dyn 21:77-89
44. Quinn WH, Neal VT (1995) The historical record of El Niño events. In: Bradley RS, Jones PD (eds) Climate since 1500. Routledge, London, pp 623-648
45. Robock A (2000) Volcanic eruptions and climate. Rev Geophys 38:191-219
46. Robock A (2002) Pinatubo eruption: the climatic aftermath. Science 295:1242-1244
47. Robock A, Mao J (1995) The volcanic signal in surface temperature observations. J Clim 8:1086-1103
48. Rodzinski W (1979) A history of China, vol. I. Pergamon Press, Oxford, p 469
49. Samel AN, Wang WC, Liang XZ (1999) The monsoon rainband over China and relationships with the Eurasian Circulation. J Clim 12:115-131
50. Shen C, Wang W-C, Gong W, Hao Z (2006) A pacific decadal oscillation record since 1470 AD reconstructed from proxy data of summer rainfall over Eastern China. Geophys Res Lett 33:L03702, doi: 10.1029/2005GL024804
51. Shen J, Zhu Z (1982) The intensity of the southwest monsoon and its relationship to the precipitation over the Yangtze river valley. In: Proceeding of symposium on tropical weather in 1980. Science Press, Beijing, pp 120-126
52. Simmonds I, Bi D, Hope P (1999) Atmospheric water vapor flux and its association with rainfall over China in summer. J Clim 12:1353-1367
53. Slingo JM (1999) The Indian summer monsoon and its variability. In: Navarra A (ed) Beyond El Niño: decadal variability in the climate system. Springer, Berlin, pp 103-118
54. Stahle DW, Cleaveland MK, Blanton DB, Therrell MD, Gay DA (1998) The lost colony and Jamestown droughts. Science 280:564-567
55. Sun A, Liu X, Gao B (1998) Change trends of extreme climate events in China. Acta Meteorol Sin 12:129-141
56. Svoboda M et al (2002) The drought monitor. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 83:1181-1190
57. Tan X (2003) The study of major droughts in China during the past 500 years. J Disaster Prev Mitig Eng 23:77-83
58. Tan G, Sun Z, Chen H (2003) Diagnosis of summertime floods/droughts and their atmospheric circulation anomalies over North China. Acta Meteorol Sin 17:257-273
59. Tang Z (1988) The reconstruction of climate in historical times for a small area. In: Zhang J (ed) The reconstruction of climate in China for historical times. Science Press, Beijing, pp 10-17
60. Tao S, Chen L (1987) A review of recent research on the East Asian summer monsoon in China. In: Chang CP, Krishnamurti TN (eds) Review in monsoon meteorology. Oxford University Press, London p 353
61. Tao S, Zhu W, Zhao W (1988) Interannual variability of Meiyu rainfall. Sci Atmos Sinica (special issue):13-21
62. Temple R (2002) The modern world: a joint creation of China and the West. In: Proceedings of the international conference on the review and forecast of Chinese science and technology, Chinese Academy of Engineering and the Chinese Academy of Science, Science Press, Beijing, pp 111-119
63. Thompson LG, Yao T, Mosley-Thompson E, Davis ME, Henderson KA, Lin P-N (2000) A high-resolution millennial record of the South Asian monsoon from Himalayan ice core. Science 289:1916-1919
64. Torrence C, Webster P (1999) Interdecadal changes in the ENSO monsoon system. J Clim 12:2679-2690
65. Vogel C, Laing M, Munnik K (2000) Drought in South Africa, with special reference to the 1980-94 period. In: Wilhite D (ed) Drought, volume 1, a global assessment. Routledge, London, pp 348-366
66. Wakeman FE Jr. (1985) The great enterprise: the Manchu reconstruction of imperial order in seventeenth-century China, vol. 1. University of California Press, Berkeley, CA
67. Wang PK, Zhang D (1991) Reconstruction of the 18th century precipitation of Nanjing, Suzhou and Hangzhou using the clear and rain records. In: Bradley RS, Jones PD (eds) Climate since 1500. Routledge, London, pp 184-209
68. Wang PK, Zhang D (1992) Recent studies of the reconstruction of East Asian monsoon climate in the past using historical literature of China. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 70:423-445
69. Wang S, Zhao Z (1979) An analysis of historical data of droughts and floods in the last 500 years in China. Acta Geogr Sinica 34:329-341
70. Wang S, Zhao Z (1981) Droughts and floods in China 1470-1979. In: Wigley TML, Ingram MJ, Farmer G (eds) Climate and history. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 271-288
71. Wang W-C, Portman D, Gong G, Zhang P, Karl T (1992) Beijing summer temperatures since1724. In: Bradley RS, Jones PD (eds) Climate since 1500. Routledge, London, pp 210-223
72. Wang B, Wu R, Fu X (2000a) Pacific-East Asian teleconnection: how does ENSO affect East Asian climate? J Clim 13:1517-1536
73. Wang S, Ye J, Qian W (2000b) Predictability of drought in China. In: Wilhite DA (ed) Drought, volume I, a global assessment. Routledge, London, pp 100-112
74. Wang S, Gong D, Zhu J (2001a) Twentieth-century climatic warming in China in the context of the Holocene. Holocene 11:313-321
75. Wang B, Wu R, Lau K-M (2001b) Interannual variability of the Asian summer monsoon: contrasts between the Indian and the Western North Pacific-East Asian monsoons. J Clim 14:4073-4090
76. Whetton P, Rutherfurd I (1994) Historical ENSO teleconnections in the Eastern hemisphere. Clim Change 28:221-253
77. Wilhite DA (2000) Drought as a natural hazard. In: Wilhite DA (ed) Drought, volume I, a global assessment. Routledge, London, pp 3-18
78. Woodhouse CA, Overpeck JT (1998) 2000 years of drought variability in the central United States. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 79:2693-2714
79. Wu R, Wang N (2002) A contrast of the East Asian summer monsoon-ENSO relationship between 1962-1977 and 1978-93. J Clim 15:3266-3279
80. Xu Q (1986) The abnormal weather of China for summer 1980 and its relationship with the volcanic eruptions of Mount St. Helens. Acta Meteorol Sin 44:426-432
81. Yan Z, Ye D, Wang C (1992) Climatic jumps in the flood/drought historical chronology of Central China. Clim Dyn 6:153-160
82. Zhang D (1988) The method for reconstruction of the dryness/wetness series in China for the last 500 years and its reliability. In: Zhang J (ed) The reconstruction of climate in China for historical times. Science Press, Beijing, pp 18-31
83. Zhang J, Crowley TJ (1989) Historical climate records in China and reconstruction of past climates (1470-1970). J Clim 2:833-849
84. Zhang D, Xue Z (1994) Relationship between El Niño and precipitation patterns in China since 1500 AD. J Appl Meteorol Sci 5:168-175
85. Zhang J, Zhang X, Xu X (1988) Droughts and floods in China during the recent 500 years. In: Zhang J (ed) The reconstruction of climate in China for historical times. Science Press, Beijing, pp 40-55
86. Zhang D, Li X, Liang Y (2003a) Supplement of yearly charts of dryness/wetness in China for the last 500-year period, 1993-2000. J Appl Meteorol Sci 14:379-389
87. Zhang Q, Tao S, Chen L (2003b) The interannual variability of East Asian summer monsoon indices and its association with the pattern of general circulation over East Asia. Acta Meteorol Sin 61:559-568
88. Zhao H, Zhang X, Ding Y (1989) The El Niño and the anomalous climate in China. Acta Meteorol Sin 3:471-481
89. Zhu K (1934) Monsoon in Southeast Asia and rainfall amount in China. Acta Geogr Sinica 1:1-27
90. Zhou L, Huang R (2003) Research on the characteristics of interdecadal variability of summer climate in China and its possible cause. Climatic and Environmental Research 8:274-290
91. Zhu Y, Yang X (2003) Relationships between pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) and climate variability in China. Acta Meteorol Sin 61:641-653