메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 9, Issue 12, 2014, Pages

Effects of excess ground ice on projections of permafrost in a warming climate

Author keywords

Community Land Model; Earth system model development; thermokarst

Indexed keywords

GAS EMISSIONS; GREENHOUSE GASES; MOISTURE; PERMAFROST; POROSITY; SOIL MOISTURE; SOILS; THAWING;

EID: 84919608967     PISSN: 17489318     EISSN: 17489326     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/12/124006     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (77)

References (50)
  • 3
    • 80053336337 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of permafrost and seasonal thaw depth in the JULES land surface scheme
    • Dankers R, Burke E J and Price J 2011 Simulation of permafrost and seasonal thaw depth in the JULES land surface scheme The Cryosphere 5 773-90
    • (2011) The Cryosphere , vol.5 , pp. 773-790
    • Dankers, R.1    Burke, E.J.2    Price, J.3
  • 5
    • 0001909732 scopus 로고
    • Thermal properties of soils
    • .ed van Wijk W.R.
    • de Vries D A 1963 Thermal properties of soils Physics of Plant Environment ed W R van Wijk (Amsterdam: North-Holland) pp 210-35
    • (1963) Physics of Plant Environment , pp. 210-235
    • De Vries, D.A.1
  • 6
    • 84899110517 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulating high-latitude permafrost regions by the JSBACH terrestrial ecosystem model
    • Ekici A, Beer C, Hagemann S, Boike J, Langer M and Hauck C 2014 Simulating high-latitude permafrost regions by the JSBACH terrestrial ecosystem model Geosci. Model Dev. 7 631-47
    • (2014) Geosci. Model Dev. , vol.7 , pp. 631-647
    • Ekici, A.1    Beer, C.2    Hagemann, S.3    Boike, J.4    Langer, M.5    Hauck, C.6
  • 7
    • 84915753144 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large area land surface simulations in heterogeneous terrain driven by global datasets: Application to mountain permafrost
    • Fiddes J, Endrizzi S and Gruber S 2013 Large area land surface simulations in heterogeneous terrain driven by global datasets: application to mountain permafrost The Cryosphere Discuss. 7 5853-87
    • (2013) The Cryosphere Discuss. , vol.7 , pp. 5853-5887
    • Fiddes, J.1    Endrizzi, S.2    Gruber, S.3
  • 9
    • 27644473069 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence and implications of recent climate change in northern Alaska and other Arctic regions
    • Hinzman L D et al 2005 Evidence and implications of recent climate change in northern Alaska and other Arctic regions Clim. Change 72 251-98
    • (2005) Clim. Change , vol.72 , pp. 251-298
    • Hinzman, L.D.1
  • 11
    • 33644784081 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Abrupt increase in permafrost degradation in Arctic Alaska
    • Jorgenson M T, Shur Y L and Pullman E R 2006 Abrupt increase in permafrost degradation in Arctic Alaska Geophys. Res. Lett. 33 L02503
    • (2006) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.33 , pp. 02503
    • Jorgenson, M.T.1    Shur, Y.L.2    Pullman, E.R.3
  • 12
    • 84875835798 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of permafrost thermal dynamics and response to climate change in the CMIP5 Earth system models
    • Koven C D, Riley W J and Stern A 2013a Analysis of permafrost thermal dynamics and response to climate change in the CMIP5 Earth system models J. Clim. 26 1877-900
    • (2013) J. Clim. , vol.26 , pp. 1877-1900
    • Koven, C.D.1    Riley, W.J.2    Stern, A.3
  • 14
    • 84890184597 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of vertically-resolved soil biogeochemistry and alternate soil C and N models on C dynamics of CLM4
    • Koven C D et al 2013b The effect of vertically-resolved soil biogeochemistry and alternate soil C and N models on C dynamics of CLM4 J. Geophys. Res.-Biogeosci. 10 7201-56
    • (2013) J. Geophys. Res.-Biogeosci. , vol.10 , pp. 7201-7256
    • Koven, C.D.1
  • 15
  • 16
    • 79952767655 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parameterization improvements and functional and structural advances in version 4 of the Community Land Model
    • Lawrence D M et al 2011 Parameterization improvements and functional and structural advances in version 4 of the Community Land Model J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst. 3 M03001
    • (2011) J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst. , vol.3 , Issue.3
    • Lawrence, D.M.1
  • 17
    • 84856829193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The CCSM4 land simulation, 1850-2005: Assessment of surface climate and new capabilities
    • Lawrence D M et al 2012a The CCSM4 land simulation, 1850-2005: assessment of surface climate and new capabilities J. Clim. 25 2240-60
    • (2012) J. Clim. , vol.25 , pp. 2240-2260
    • Lawrence, D.M.1
  • 18
    • 32644437394 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A projection of severe near-surface permafrost degradation during the 21st century
    • Lawrence D M and Slater A G 2005 A projection of severe near-surface permafrost degradation during the 21st century Geophys. Res. Lett. 32 L24401
    • (2005) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.32
    • Lawrence, D.M.1    Slater, A.G.2
  • 19
    • 38849152178 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Incorporating organic soil into a global climate model
    • Lawrence D M and Slater A G 2008 Incorporating organic soil into a global climate model Clim. Dyn. 30 145-60
    • (2008) Clim. Dyn. , vol.30 , pp. 145-160
    • Lawrence, D.M.1    Slater, A.G.2
  • 20
    • 49849086735 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of a model projection of near-surface permafrost degradation to soil column depth and representation of soil organic matter
    • Lawrence D M, Slater A G, Romanovsky V E and Nicolsky D J 2008 Sensitivity of a model projection of near-surface permafrost degradation to soil column depth and representation of soil organic matter J. Geophys. Res.-Earth Surf. 113 F02011
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res.-Earth Surf. , vol.113 , Issue.F2
    • Lawrence, D.M.1    Slater, A.G.2    Romanovsky, V.E.3    Nicolsky, D.J.4
  • 21
    • 84859343365 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of present-day and future permafrost and seasonally frozen ground conditions in CCSM4
    • Lawrence D M, Slater A G and Swenson S C 2012b Simulation of present-day and future permafrost and seasonally frozen ground conditions in CCSM4 J. Clim. 25 2207-25
    • (2012) J. Clim. , vol.25 , pp. 2207-2225
    • Lawrence, D.M.1    Slater, A.G.2    Swenson, S.C.3
  • 22
    • 84862938490 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The rate of permafrost carbon release under aerobic and anaerobic conditions and its potential effects on climate
    • Lee H, Schuur E A G, Inglett K S, Lavoie M and Chanton J P 2012 The rate of permafrost carbon release under aerobic and anaerobic conditions and its potential effects on climate Glob. Change Biol. 18 515-27
    • (2012) Glob. Change Biol. , vol.18 , pp. 515-527
    • Lee, H.1    Schuur, E.A.G.2    Inglett, K.S.3    Lavoie, M.4    Chanton, J.P.5
  • 23
    • 79251648089 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A spatially explicit analysis to extrapolate carbon fluxes in upland tundra where permafrost is thawing
    • Lee H, Schuur E A G, Vogel J G, Lavoie M, Bhadra D and Staudhammer C L 2011 A spatially explicit analysis to extrapolate carbon fluxes in upland tundra where permafrost is thawing Glob. Change Biol. 19 1379-93
    • (2011) Glob. Change Biol. , vol.19 , pp. 1379-1393
    • Lee, H.1    Schuur, E.A.G.2    Vogel, J.G.3    Lavoie, M.4    Bhadra, D.5    Staudhammer, C.L.6
  • 24
    • 84862936179 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating 1992-2000 average active layer thickness on the Alaskan North Slope from remotely sensed surface subsidence
    • Liu L, Schaefer K, Zhang T J and Wahr J 2012 Estimating 1992-2000 average active layer thickness on the Alaskan North Slope from remotely sensed surface subsidence J. Geophys. Res.-Earth Surf. 117 F01005
    • (2012) J. Geophys. Res.-Earth Surf. , vol.117
    • Liu, L.1    Schaefer, K.2    Zhang, T.J.3    Wahr, J.4
  • 25
    • 84888058790 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • If anthropogenic CO2 emissions cease, will atmospheric CO2 concentration continue to increase?
    • MacDougall A H, Eby M and Weaver A J 2013 If anthropogenic CO2 emissions cease, will atmospheric CO2 concentration continue to increase? J. Clim. 26 9563-76
    • (2013) J. Clim. , vol.26 , pp. 9563-9576
    • Macdougall, A.H.1    Eby, M.2    Weaver, A.J.3
  • 26
    • 70350241645 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of the carbon cycle in the Arctic to climate change
    • McGuire A D et al 2009 Sensitivity of the carbon cycle in the Arctic to climate change Ecol. Monogr. 79 523-55
    • (2009) Ecol. Monogr. , vol.79 , pp. 523-555
    • McGuire, A.D.1
  • 28
    • 76749096338 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
    • Moss R H et al 2010 The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment Nature 463 747-56
    • (2010) Nature , vol.463 , pp. 747-756
    • Moss, R.H.1
  • 29
    • 84904015914 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technical Description of version 4.5 of the Community Land Model (CLM)
    • Oleson K W et al 2013 Technical Description of version 4.5 of the Community Land Model (CLM) NCAR Technical Note NCAR/TN-478 + STR (Boulder, CO: National Center for Atmospheric Research)
    • (2013) NCAR Technical Note NCAR/TN-478 + STR
    • Oleson, K.W.1
  • 31
    • 79960585904 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Barriers to predicting changes in global terrestrial methane fluxes: Analyses using CLM4Me, a methane biogeochemistry model integrated in CESM
    • Riley W J et al 2011 Barriers to predicting changes in global terrestrial methane fluxes: analyses using CLM4Me, a methane biogeochemistry model integrated in CESM Biogeosciences 8 1925-53
    • (2011) Biogeosciences , vol.8 , pp. 1925-1953
    • Riley, W.J.1
  • 32
    • 77956107713 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Permafrost thermal state in the Polar Northern Hemisphere during the international Polar year 2007-2009: A synthesis
    • Romanovsky V E, Smith S L and Christiansen H H 2010 Permafrost thermal state in the Polar Northern Hemisphere during the international Polar year 2007-2009: a synthesis Permafrost Periglacial Process. 21 106-16
    • (2010) Permafrost Periglacial Process. , vol.21 , pp. 106-116
    • Romanovsky, V.E.1    Smith, S.L.2    Christiansen, H.H.3
  • 33
    • 77955177995 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Arctic landscapes in transition: Responses to thawing permafrost
    • Rowland J C et al 2010 Arctic landscapes in transition: responses to thawing permafrost Eos Trans. AGU 91 229-30
    • (2010) Eos Trans. AGU , vol.91 , pp. 229-230
    • Rowland, J.C.1
  • 34
    • 79952722433 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Amount and timing of permafrost carbon release in response to climate warming
    • Schaefer K, Zhang T J, Bruhwiler L and Barrett A P 2011 Amount and timing of permafrost carbon release in response to climate warming Tellus B 63 165-80
    • (2011) Tellus , vol.63 , pp. 165-180
    • Schaefer, K.1    Zhang, T.J.2    Bruhwiler, L.3    Barrett, A.P.4
  • 36
    • 51549097236 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vulnerability of permafrost carbon to climate change: Implications for the global carbon cycle
    • Schuur E A G et al 2008 Vulnerability of permafrost carbon to climate change: implications for the global carbon cycle Bioscience 58 701-14
    • (2008) Bioscience , vol.58 , pp. 701-714
    • Schuur, E.A.G.1
  • 37
    • 84879142167 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expert assessment of vulnerability of permafrost carbon to climate change
    • Schuur E A G et al 2013 Expert assessment of vulnerability of permafrost carbon to climate change Clim. Change 119 359-74
    • (2013) Clim. Change , vol.119 , pp. 359-374
    • Schuur, E.A.G.1
  • 38
    • 66449106144 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of permafrost thaw on old carbon release and net carbon exchange from tundra
    • Schuur E A G, Vogel J G, Crummer K G, Lee H, Sickman J O and Osterkamp T E 2009 The effect of permafrost thaw on old carbon release and net carbon exchange from tundra Nature 459 556-9
    • (2009) Nature , vol.459 , pp. 556-559
    • Schuur, E.A.G.1    Vogel, J.G.2    Crummer, K.G.3    Lee, H.4    Sickman, J.O.5    Osterkamp, T.E.6
  • 39
    • 0036661189 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Active-layer mapping at regional scales: A 13-year spatial time series for the Kuparuk region, north-central Alaska
    • Shiklomanov N I and Nelson F E 2002 Active-layer mapping at regional scales: a 13-year spatial time series for the Kuparuk region, north-central Alaska Permafrost Periglacial Process. 13 219-30
    • (2002) Permafrost Periglacial Process. , vol.13 , pp. 219-230
    • Shiklomanov, N.I.1    Nelson, F.E.2
  • 41
    • 84875832309 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Diagnosing present and future permafrost from climate models
    • Slater A G and Lawrence D M 2013 Diagnosing present and future permafrost from climate models J. Clim. 26 5608-23
    • (2013) J. Clim. , vol.26 , pp. 5608-5623
    • Slater, A.G.1    Lawrence, D.M.2
  • 43
    • 84878300798 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of soil moisture on the responses of soil temperatures to climate change in cold regions
    • Subin Z M, Koven C D, Riley W J, Torn M, Lawrence D M and Swenson S C 2013 Effects of soil moisture on the responses of soil temperatures to climate change in cold regions J. Clim. 26 3139-58
    • (2013) J. Clim. , vol.26 , pp. 3139-3158
    • Subin, Z.M.1    Koven, C.D.2    Riley, W.J.3    Torn, M.4    Lawrence, D.M.5    Swenson, S.C.6
  • 44
    • 84864596813 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improved simulation of the terrestrial hydrological cycle in permafrost regions by the Community Land Model
    • Swenson S C, Lawrence D M and Lee H 2012 Improved simulation of the terrestrial hydrological cycle in permafrost regions by the Community Land Model J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst. 4 M08002
    • (2012) J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst. , vol.4 , Issue.3
    • Swenson, S.C.1    Lawrence, D.M.2    Lee, H.3
  • 46
    • 77954237477 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Response of CO2 exchange in a tussock tundra ecosystem to permafrost thaw and thermokarst development
    • Vogel J, Schuur E A G, Trucco C and Lee H 2009 Response of CO2 exchange in a tussock tundra ecosystem to permafrost thaw and thermokarst development Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences 114 G04018
    • (2009) Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences , vol.114 , Issue.G4
    • Vogel, J.1    Schuur, E.A.G.2    Trucco, C.3    Lee, H.4
  • 47
    • 69549124242 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Methane production and bubble emissions from Arctic lakes: Isotopic implications for source pathways and ages
    • Walter K M, Chanton J P, Chapin F S, Schuur E A G and Zimov S A 2008 Methane production and bubble emissions from Arctic lakes: Isotopic implications for source pathways and ages J. Geophys. Res.-Biogeosci. 113 G00A08
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res.-Biogeosci. , vol.113
    • Walter, K.M.1    Chanton, J.P.2    Chapin, F.S.3    Schuur, E.A.G.4    Zimov, S.A.5
  • 48
    • 0000863614 scopus 로고
    • Permafrost hudrology in north America
    • Woo M 1986 Permafrost hudrology in north America Atmos.-Ocean 24 201-34
    • (1986) Atmos.-Ocean , vol.24 , pp. 201-234
    • Woo, M.1
  • 49
    • 0036825917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial snow modeling of wind-redistributed snow using terrain-based parameters
    • Winstral A, Elder K and Davis R E 2002 Spatial snow modeling of wind-redistributed snow using terrain-based parameters J. Hydrometeorol. 3 524-38
    • (2002) J. Hydrometeorol. , vol.3 , pp. 524-538
    • Winstral, A.1    Elder, K.2    Davis, R.E.3
  • 50
    • 84880974862 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling and mapping climate change impacts on permafrost at high spatial resolution for an Arctic region with complex terrain
    • Zhang Y, Wang X, Fraser R, Olthof I, Chen W, Mclennan D, Ponomarenko S and Wu W 2013 Modelling and mapping climate change impacts on permafrost at high spatial resolution for an Arctic region with complex terrain The Cryosphere 7 1121-37
    • (2013) The Cryosphere , vol.7 , pp. 1121-1137
    • Zhang, Y.1    Wang, X.2    Fraser, R.3    Olthof, I.4    Chen, W.5    McLennan, D.6    Ponomarenko, S.7    Wu, W.8


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.