Assessing water demands and coverage sensitivity to climate change in the urban and rural sectors in central Chile

Journal of Water and Climate Change

Volumn 5, Issue 2, 2014, Pages 192-203

  Meza, Francisco J ^a   Vicuña, Sebastián ^a   Jelinek, Mark ^a   Bustos, Eduardo ^a   Bonelli, Sebastián ^a  

^a PONTIFICIA UNIVERSIDAD CATÓLICA DE CHILE   (Chile)

Author keywords

Climate change; Hydrological models; Multiple water users; Water rights

Indexed keywords

AQUIFERS; HYDROLOGY; WATER SUPPLY;

GLOBAL CIRCULATION MODEL; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL MODELS; INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT; RELIABILITY STANDARD; STATISTICAL DOWNSCALING; WATER RIGHTS; WATER USERS;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CLIMATE CHANGE; DOWNSCALING; FLOW MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE; STREAMFLOW; WATER DEMAND; WATER SUPPLY; WATER USE;

CHILE; MAIPO BASIN;

EID: 84902764578     PISSN: 20402244     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2014.019     Document Type: Article

References (27)

1. Aceituno, P. 1988 On the functioning of the Southern oscillation in the South American sector. Part I: surface climate. Monthly Weather Review 116, 505-524.
2. Aguas Andinas 2009 Estudio hidrológico de fuentes superficiales y subterráneas del Grupo Aguas Internal. Techincal Report, Prepared by the Departamento de Investigaciones Científicas, Universidad Católica, Santiago, Chile.
3. Barnett, T. P., Adam, J. C. & Lettenmaier, D. P. 2005 Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snowdominated regions. Nature 438, 303-309.
4. Christensen, J. H., Hewitson, B., Busuioc, A., Chen, A., Gao, X., Held, I., Jones, R., Kolli, R. K., Kwon, W.-T., Laprise, R., Magaña Rueda, V., Mearns, L., Menéndez, C. G., Räisänen, J., Rinke, A., Sarr, A. & Whetton, P. 2007 Regional climate projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor & H. L. Miller, eds). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
5. Delworth, T. L., Broccoli, A. J., Rosati, A., Stouffer, R. J., Balaji, V., Beesley, J. A., Cooke, W. F., Dixon, K. W., Dunne, J., Durachta, J. W., Findell, K. L., Ginoux, P., Gnanadesikan, A., Gordon, C. T., Griffies, S. M., Gudgel, R., Harrison, M., Held, I. M., Hemler, R. S., Horowitz, L. W., Klein, S. A., Knutson, T. R., Kushner, P. J., Lagenhorst, A. M., Lee, H.-C., Lin, S.-J., Malyshev, S. L., Milly, P. C. D., Ramaswamy, V., Russell, J., Schwarzkpf, M. D., Sheliakova, E., Sirutis, J., Spelman, M. J., Stern, W. F., Winton, M., Wittenberg, A. T., Wyman, B., Zeng, F. & Zhang, F. 2006 GFDL's CM2 global coupled climate models. Part 1: formulation and simulation characteristics. Journal of Climate 19, 643-674.
6. DGA 2003 Evaluación de los Recursos Hídricos Superficiales en la Cuenca del Río Maipo. Technical Report, Prepared by the Directorate General of Water, Santiago, Chile.
7. DGA 2004 Diagnóstico y Clasificación de los cursos y cuerpos de agua según objetivos de calidad. Technical Report, Prepared by the Directorate General of Water, Santiago, Chile.
8. ECLAC 2007 Population projection. 192 pp. Available at http://www.eclac.org/publicaciones/xml/4/32634/2007-724-OD3-web.pdf (accessed July 2011).
9. ECLAC 2009 La economía del Cambio Climático en Chile. Síntesis. 88 pp. Available at http://www.eclac.org/ publicaciones/xml/8/37858/W288.pdf.
10. Falvey, M. & Garreaud, R. 2009 Regional cooling in a warming world: recent temperature trends in the SE Pacific and along the west coast of subtropical South America (1979-2006). Journal of Geophysics Research 114, D04102.
11. Fuenzalida, H., Aceituno, P., Falvey, M., Garreaud, R., Rojas, M. & Sanchez, R. 2007 Study on Climate Variability for Chile During the 21st Century. Technical Report, Prepared for the National Environmental Committee, (in Spanish). Available online at http://www.dgf.uchile.cl/PRECIS.
12. Gordon, C., Cooper, C., Senior, C. A., Banks, H., Gregory, J. M., Johns, T. C., Mitchell, J. F. B. & Wood, R. A. 2000 The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments. Climate Dynamics 16, 147-168.
13. Hayhoe, K., Cayan, D., Field, C. B., Frumhoff, P. C., Maurer, E. P., Miller, N. L., Moser, S. C., Schneider, S. H., Nicholas Cahill, K., Cleland, E. E., Dale, L., Drapek, R., Hanemann, R. M., Kalkstein, L. S., Lenihan, J., Lunch, C. K., Neilson, R. P., Sheridan, S. C. & Verville, J. H. 2004 Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 101, 12422-12427.
14. Hearne, R. & Donoso, G. 2005 Water institutional reforms in Chile. Water Policy 7, 53-69.
15. INE 1997 VI Censo Nacional Agropecuario, Resultados Preliminares. Santiago, Chile, 443 pp.
16. INE 2005 Chile hacia el 2050, Proyecciones de población. 31 pp. Available at http://www.ine.cl/canales/sala_prensa/ archivo_documentos/enfoques/2005/files/chile2050.pdf (accessed July 2011).
17. INE 2007 Resultados del VIII Censo Nacional Agropecuario. Available at http://www.censoagropecuario.cl/noticias/09/ 07042009.html (accessed December 2010).
18. Jungclaus, J. H., Botzet, M. & Haak, H. 2006 Ocean circulation and tropical variability in the AOGCM ECHAM5/MPI-OM. Journal of Climate 19, 3952-3972.
19. Masiokas, M. H., Villalba, R., Luckman, B., LeQuesne, C. & Aravena, J. C. 2006 Snowpack variations in the central Andes of Argentina and Chile, 1951-2005: large-scale atmospheric influences and implications for water resources in the region. Journal of Climate 19, 6334-6352.
20. Meza, F., Silva, D. & Vigil, H. 2008 Climate change impacts on irrigated maize in Mediterranean climates. Evaluation of double cropping as an emerging adaptation alternative. Agricultural Systems 98, 21-30.
21. Meza, F., Wilks, D. S., Gurovich, L. & Bambach, N. 2012 Impacts of climate change on irrigated agriculture in the Maipo Basin, Chile: vulnerability of water rights and changes in the demand for irrigation. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 138, 421-430.
22. Montecinos, A. & Aceituno, P. 2003 Seasonality of the ENSOrelated rainfall variability in central Chile and associated circulation anomalies. Journal of Climate 16, 281-296.
23. Rubio-Álvarez, E. & McPhee, J. 2010 Patterns of spatial and temporal variability in streamflow records in south central Chile in the period 1952-2003. Water Resources Research 46, W05514.
24. Vicuna, S., Garreaud, R. & McPhee, J. 2011 Climate change impacts on the hydrology of a snowmelt driven basin in semiarid Chile. Climatic Change 105 (3-4), 469-488.
25. Vörösmarty, C. J., Green, P. J., Salisbury, J. & Lammers, R. B. 2000 Global water resources: vulnerability from climate change and population growth. Science 289, 284-288.
26. Wood, A. W., Leung, L. R., Sridhar, V. & Lettenmaier, D. P. 2004 Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs. Climatic Change 62, 189-216.
27. Yates, D., Sieber, J., Purkey, D. & Huber-Lee, A. 2005 WEAP21-A demand-, priority-, and preference-driven water planning model: Part 1, model characteristics. Water International 30, 487-500.