Disentangling the influence of climatic and geological changes on species radiations

Journal of Biogeography

Volumn 41, Issue 7, 2014, Pages 1313-1325

  Linder, H Peter ^a   Rabosky, Daniel L ^b   Antonelli, Alexandre ^c   Wüest, Rafael O ^a,d   Ohlemüller, Ralf ^e  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ZURICH   (Switzerland)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN   (United States)

^c GOTHENBURG BOTANICAL GARDEN   (Sweden)

^d SWISS FEDERAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE WSL   (Switzerland)

^e UNIVERSITY OF OTAGO   (New Zealand)

Author keywords

Danthonioideae; Dispersal; Diversification rates; Extinction; Geomorphology; Last glacial maximum; Orogeny; Poaceae; Speciation

Indexed keywords

ADAPTIVE RADIATION; CLIMATE EFFECT; CLIMATE VARIATION; COMPARATIVE STUDY; DENSITY DEPENDENCE; DISPERSAL; DIVERGENCE; EXTINCTION; GRASS; LAST GLACIAL MAXIMUM; NEOGENE; OROGENY; PLEISTOCENE; REGIONAL GEOLOGY; SPECIATION (BIOLOGY);

AFRICA; AUSTRALIA; NEW ZEALAND; SOUTH AMERICA;

DANTHONIOIDEAE; POACEAE;

EID: 84902314540     PISSN: 03050270     EISSN: 13652699     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/jbi.12312     Document Type: Article

References (73)

1. Alroy, J. (2008) Dynamics of origination and extinction in the marine fossil record. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 105, 11536-11542.
2. Antonelli, A., Nylander, J.A.A., Persson, C. & Sanmartín, I. (2009) Tracing the impact of the Andean uplift on Neotropical plant evolution. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 106, 9749-9754.
3. Antonelli, A., Humphreys, A.M., Lee, W.G. & Linder, H.P. (2011) Absence of mammals and the evolution of New Zealand grasses. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 278, 695-701.
4. Bacon, C.D., Baker, W.J. & Simmons, M.P. (2012) Miocene dispersal drives island radiations in the palm tribe Trachycarpeae (Arecaceae). Systematic Biology, 61, 426-442.
5. Baldwin, B.G. & Wagner, W.L. (2010) Hawaiian angiosperm radiations of North American origin. Annals of Botany, 105, 849-879.
6. Bershaw, J., Garzione, C.N., Higgins, P., MacFadden, B.J., Anaya, F. & Alvarenga, H. (2010) Spatial-temporal changes in Andean plateau climate and elevation from stable isotopes of mammal teeth. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 289, 530-538.
7. Braconnot, P., Otto-Bliesner, B., Harrison, S. et al. (2007) Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the Mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum - Part 1: experiments and large-scale features. Climate of the Past, 3, 261-277.
8. Chase, B.M. & Meadows, M.E. (2007) Late Quaternary dynamics of southern Africa's winter rainfall zone. Earth-Science Reviews, 84, 103-138.
9. Corlett, R.T. & Westcott, D.A. (2013) Will plant movements keep up with climate change? Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 28, 482-488.
10. Cowling, R.M., Rundel, P.W., Lamont, B.B., Arroyo, M.K. & Arianoutsou, M. (1996) Plant diversity in mediterranean-climate regions. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 11, 362-366.
11. Cowling, R.M., Procheş, Ş. & Partridge, T.C. (2009) Explaining the uniqueness of the Cape flora: incorporating geomorphic evolution as a factor for explaining its diversification. Molecular Phylogenetics and Evolution, 51, 64-74.
12. Crisp, M.D. & Cook, L.G. (2009) Explosive radiation or cryptic mass extinction? Interpreting signatures in molecular phylogenies. Evolution, 63, 2257-2265.
13. Drummond, A.J., Ho, S.Y.W., Phillips, M.J. & Rambaut, A. (2006) Relaxed phylogenetics and dating with confidence. PloS Biology, 4, 699-710.
14. Dupont, L.M., Linder, H.P., Rommerskirchen, F. & Schefuss, E. (2011) Climate-driven rampant speciation of the Cape flora. Journal of Biogeography, 38, 1059-1068.
15. Etienne, R.S., Haegeman, B., Stadler, T., Aze, T., Pearson, P.N., Purvis, A. & Phillimore, A.B. (2012) Diversity-dependence brings molecular phylogenies closer to agreement with the fossil record. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 279, 1300-1309.
16. FitzJohn, R.G., Maddison, W.P. & Otto, S.P. (2009) Estimating trait-dependent speciation and extinction rates from incompletely resolved phylogenies. Systematic Biology, 58, 595-611.
17. Galley, C. & Linder, H.P. (2006) Geographical affinities of the Cape flora, South Africa. Journal of Biogeography, 33, 236-250.
18. Givnish, T.J., Millam, K.C., Mast, A.R., Paterson, T.B., Theim, T.J., Hipp, A.L., Henss, J.M., Smith, J.F., Wood, K.R. & Sytsma, K.J. (2009) Origin, adaptive radiation and diversification of the Hawaiian lobeliads (Asterales: Campanulaceae). Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 276, 407-416.
19. Goldberg, E.E., Lancaster, L.T. & Ree, R.H. (2011) Phylogenetic inference of reciprocal effects between geographic range evolution and diversification. Systematic Biology, 60, 451-465.
20. Gregory-Wodzicki, K.M. (2000) Uplift history of the Central and Northern Andes: a review. Geological Society of America Bulletin, 112, 1091-1105.
21. Heenan, P.B. & McGlone, M.S. (2013) Evolution of New Zealand alpine and open-habitat plant species during the late Cenozoic. New Zealand Journal of Ecology, 37, 105-113.
22. Hijmans, R.J., Cameron, S.E., Parra, J.L., Jones, P.G. & Jarvis, A. (2005) Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology, 25, 1965-1978.
23. Hill, R.S., Truswell, E.M., McLoughlin, S. & Dettmann, M.E. (1999) Evolution of the Australian flora: fossil evidence. Flora of Australia, Vol. 43 (ed. by A.E. Orchard), pp. 251-320. ABRS/CSIRO, Melbourne.
24. Hodges, S.A. & Arnold, M.L. (1995) Spurring plant diversification: are floral nectar spurs a key innovation? Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 262, 343-348.
25. Holdgate, G.R., Wallace, M.W., Gallagher, S.J., Wagstaff, B.E. & Moore, D. (2008) No mountains to snow on: major post-Eocene uplift of the East Victoria Highlands; evidence from Cenozoic deposits. Australian Journal of Earth Sciences, 55, 1184-1187.
26. Hoorn, C., Wesselingh, F.P., ter Steege, H., Bermudez, M.A., Mora, A., Sevink, J., Sanmartín, I., Sanchez-Meseguer, A., Anderson, C.L., Figueiredo, J.P., Jaramillo, C., Riff, D., Negri, F.R., Hooghiemstra, H., Lundberg, J., Stadler, T., Särkinen, T. & Antonelli, A. (2010) Amazonia through time: Andean uplift, climate change, landscape evolution, and biodiversity. Science, 330, 927-931.
27. Hughes, C. & Eastwood, R. (2006) Island radiation on a continental scale: exceptional rates of plant diversification after uplift of the Andes. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 103, 10334-10339.
28. Juan, C., Emerson, B.C., Oromí, P. & Hewitt, G.M. (2000) Colonization and diversification: towards a phylogeographic synthesis for the Canary Islands. Trends in Evolution and Ecology, 15, 104-109.
29. Karl, R. & Koch, M.A. (2013) A world-wide perspective on crucifer speciation and evolution: phylogenetics, biogeography and trait evolution in tribe Arabideae. Annals of Botany, 112, 983-1001.
30. Kier, G., Kreft, H., Lee, T.M., Jetz, W., Ibisch, P.L., Nowicki, C., Mutke, J. & Barthlott, W. (2009) A global assessment of endemism and species richness across island and mainland regions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 106, 9322-9327.
31. Lancaster, L.T. & Kay, K.M. (2013) Origin and diversification of the California flora: re-examining classic hypotheses with molecular phylogenies. Evolution, 67, 1041-1054.
32. Li, L., Li, Q., Tian, J., Wang, P., Wang, H. & Liu, Z. (2011) A 4-Ma record of thermal evolution in the tropical western Pacific and its implications on climate change. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 309, 10-20.
33. Linder, H.P. (2003) The radiation of the Cape flora, southern Africa. Biological Reviews, 78, 597-638.
34. Linder, H.P. & Barker, N.P. (2000) Biogeography of the Danthonieae. Grass Systematics and Evolution - Vol. 2 of Proceedings of the Second International Conference on the Comparative Biology of the Monocots, Sydney, September 1998 (ed. by S.W.L. Jacobs and J. Everett), pp. 231-238. CSIRO, Melbourne.
35. Linder, H.P., Eldenäs, P. & Briggs, B.G. (2003) Contrasting patterns of radiation in African and Australian Restionaceae. Evolution, 57, 2688-2702.
36. Linder, H.P., Dlamini, T., Henning, J. & Verboom, G.A. (2006) The evolutionary history of Melianthus (Melianthaceae). American Journal of Botany, 93, 1052-1064.
37. Linder, H.P., Baeza P., C.M., Barker, N.P., Galley, C., Humphreys, A.M., Lloyd, K.M., Orlovich, D.A., Pirie, M.D., Simon, B.K., Walsh, N.G. & Verboom, G.A. (2010) A generic classification of the Danthonioideae (Poaceae). Annals of the Missouri Botanical Garden, 97, 306-364.
38. Linder, H.P., Bykova, O., Dyke, J., Etienne, R.S., Hickler, T., Kühn, I., Marion, G., Ohlemüller, R., Schymanski, S.J. & Singer, A. (2012) Biotic modifiers, environmental modulation and species distribution models. Journal of Biogeography, 39, 2179-2190.
39. Linder, H.P., Antonelli, A., Humphreys, A.M., Pirie, M.D. & Wüest, R.O. (2013) What determines biogeographical ranges? Historical wanderings and ecological constraints in the danthonioid grasses. Journal of Biogeography, 40, 821-834.
40. Loarie, S.R., Carter, B.E., Hayhoe, K., McMahon, S., Moe, R., Knight, C.A. & Ackerly, D.D. (2008) Climate change and the future of California's endemic flora. PLoS ONE, 3, e2502.
41. Loarie, S.R., Duffy, P.B., Hamilton, H., Asner, G.P., Field, C.B. & Ackerly, D.D. (2009) The velocity of climate change. Nature, 462, 1052-1055.
42. Losos, J.B. & Schluter, D. (2000) Analysis of an evolutionary species-area relationship. Nature, 408, 847-850.
43. Maddison, W.P., Midford, P.E. & Otto, S.P. (2007) Estimating a binary character's effect on speciation and extinction. Systematic Biology, 56, 701-710.
44. Mahler, D.L., Revell, L.J., Glor, R.E. & Losos, J.B. (2010) Ecological opportunity and the rate of morphological evolution in the diversification of Greater Antilles anoles. Evolution, 64, 2731-2745.
45. Meudt, H.M., Lockhart, P.J. & Bryant, D. (2009) Species delimitation and phylogeny of a New Zealand plant species radiation. BMC Evolutionary Biology, 9, 111.
46. Nee, S., Holmes, E.C., May, R.M. & Harvey, P.H. (1994) Extinction rates can be estimated from molecular phylogenies. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 344, 77-82.
47. Newnham, R., McGlone, M., Moar, N., Wilmshurst, J. & Vandergoes, M. (2013) The vegetation cover of New Zealand at the Last Glacial Maximum. Quaternary Science Reviews, 74, 202-214.
48. Pahnke, K., Zahn, R., Elderfield, H. & Schulz, M. (2003) 340, 000-year centennial-scale marine record of Southern Hemisphere climatic oscillation. Science, 301, 948-952.
49. Partridge, T.C. & Maud, R.R. (2000) Macro-scale geomorphic evolution of southern Africa. The Cenozoic of southern Africa (ed. by T.C. Partridge and R.R. Maud), pp. 3-18. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.
50. Phillimore, A.B. & Price, T.D. (2008) Density-dependent cladogenesis in birds. PLoS Biology, 6, 483-489.
51. Pirie, M.D., Humphreys, A.M., Barker, N.P. & Linder, H.P. (2009) Reticulation, data combination, and inferring evolutionary history: an example from Danthonioideae (Poaceae). Systematic Biology, 58, 612-628.
52. Quental, T.B. & Marshall, C.R. (2011) The molecular phylogenetic signature of clades in decline. PLoS ONE, 6, e25780.
53. Rabosky, D.L. (2009a) Ecological limits on clade diversification in higher taxa. The American Naturalist, 173, 662-674.
54. Rabosky, D.L. (2009b) Ecological limits and diversification rate: alternative paradigms to explain the variation in species richness among clades and regions. Ecology Letters, 12, 735-743.
55. Rabosky, D.L. (2010) Extinction rates should not be estimated from molecular phylogenies. Evolution, 64, 1816-1824.
56. Rabosky, D.L. & Glor, R.E. (2010) Equilibrium speciation dynamics in a model adaptive radiation of island lizards. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 107, 22178-22183.
57. Rabosky, D.L. & Lovette, I.J. (2008a) Density-dependent diversification in North American wood warblers. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 275, 2363-2371.
58. Rabosky, D.L. & Lovette, I.J. (2008b) Explosive evolutionary radiations: decreasing speciation or increasing extinction through time? Evolution, 62, 1866-1875.
59. Randin, C.F., Engler, R., Normand, S., Zappa, M., Zimmerman, N.E., Pearman, P.B., Vittoz, P., Thuiller, W. & Guisan, A. (2009) Climate change and plant distribution: local models predict high-elevation persistence. Global Change Biology, 15, 1557-1569.
60. Ree, R.H. & Smith, S.A. (2008) Maximum likelihood inference of geographic range evolution by dispersal, local extinction, and cladogenesis. Systematic Biology, 57, 4-14.
61. Sandel, B., Arge, L., Dalsgaard, B., Davies, R.G., Gaston, K.J., Sutherland, W.J. & Svenning, J.-C. (2011) The influence of late Quaternary climate-change velocity on species endemism. Science, 334, 660-664.
62. Sepkoski, J.J., Jr (1978) A kinetic model of phanerozoic taxonomic diversity I. Analysis of marine orders. Paleobiology, 4, 223-251.
63. Sepulchre, P., Sloan, L.C. & Fluteau, F. (2010) Modelling the response of Amazonian climate to the uplift of the Andean mountain range. Amazonia, landscape and species evolution (ed. by C. Hoorn and F. Wesselingh), pp. 211-222. Blackwell Publishing, Chichester, UK.
64. Sniderman, J.M.K., Jordan, G.J. & Cowling, R.M. (2013) Fossil evidence for a hyperdiverse sclerophyll flora under a non-Mediterranean-type climate. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 110, 3423-3428.
65. Soetaert, K., Petzoldt, T. & Setzer, R.W. (2011) deSolve: general solvers for initial value problems of ordinary differential equations (ODE), partial differential equations (PDE), differential algebraic equations (DAE), and delay differential equations (DDE). Available at: http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/deSolve/index.html (accessed January 2011).
66. Verboom, G.A., Archibald, J.K., Bakker, F.T., Bellstedt, D.U., Conrad, F., Dreyer, L.L., Forest, F., Galley, C., Goldblatt, P., Henning, J.F., Mummenhoff, K., Linder, H.P., Muasya, A.M., Oberlander, K.C., Savolainen, V., Snijman, D.A., van der Niet, T. & Nowell, T.L. (2009) Origin and diversification of the Greater Cape flora: ancient species repository, hot-bed of recent radiation, or both? Molecular Phylogenetics and Evolution, 51, 44-53.
67. Wagner, C.E., Harmon, L.J. & Seehausen, O. (2012) Ecological opportunity and sexual selection together predict adaptive radiation. Nature, 487, 366-369.
68. Wagner, W.L. & Funk, V.A. (eds) (1995) Hawaiian biogeography: evolution of a hotspot archipelago. Smithsonian Institution Press, Washington, DC.
69. Wagstaff, S.J., Bayly, M.J., Garnock-Jones, P.J. & Albach, D.C. (2002) Classification, origin, and diversification of the New Zealand hebes (Scrophulariaceae). Annals of the Missouri Botanical Garden, 89, 38-63.
70. Wagstaff, S.J., Dawson, M.I., Venter, S., Munzinger, J., Crayn, D.M., Steane, D.A. & Lemson, K.L. (2010) Origin, diversification, and classification of the Australasian genus Dracophyllum (Richeeae, Ericaceae). Annals of the Missouri Botanical Garden, 97, 235-258.
71. Wiens, J.J., Graham, C.H., Moen, D.S., Smith, S.A. & Reeder, T.W. (2006) Evolutionary and ecological causes of the latitudinal diversity gradient in hylid frogs: treefrog trees unearth the roots of high tropical diversity. The American Naturalist, 168, 579-596.
72. Wiens, J.J., Sukumaran, J., Pyron, R.A. & Brown, R.M. (2009) Evolutionary and biogeographic origins of high tropical diversity in Old World frogs (Ranidae). Evolution, 63, 1217-1231.
73. Winkworth, R.C., Wagstaff, S.J., Glenny, D. & Lockhart, P.J. (2005) Evolution of the New Zealand mountain flora: origins, diversification and dispersal. Organisms Diversity & Evolution, 5, 237-247.