Crustal earthquake triggering by modern great earthquakes on subduction zone thrusts

Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth

Volumn 119, Issue 2, 2014, Pages 1235-1250

  Gomberg, Joan ^a   Sherrod, Brian ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

Author keywords

M>5.5 crustal quakes triggered atop M>7.5 subduction thrust ruptures likely; M>8.6 subduction thrust earthquakes triggering M>5.5 crustal events likely

Indexed keywords

CENTROID MOMENT TENSOR; CRUSTAL MOVEMENT; EARTHQUAKE RUPTURE; EARTHQUAKE TRIGGER; FOCAL MECHANISM; SEISMICITY; SUBDUCTION ZONE; THRUST;

EID: 84899737222     PISSN: 21699313     EISSN: 21699356     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/2012JB009826     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Asano, Y., T. Saito, Y. Ito, K. Shiomi, H. Horose, T. Matsumoto, S. Aoi, S. Hori, and S. Sekiguchi (2011), Spatial distribution and focal mechanisms of aftershocks of the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake, Earth Planets Space, 63, 669-673.
2. Beavan, J., X. Wang, C. Holden, K. Wilson, W. Power, G. Prasetya, M. Bevis, and R. Kautoke (2010), Near-simultaneous great earthquakes at Tongan megathrust and outer rise in September 2009, Nature, 466, 959-964, doi:10.1038/nature09292.
3. Blaser, L., F. Kruger, M. Ohrnberger, and F. Scherbaum (2010), Scaling Relations of Earthquake Source Parameter Estimates with Special Focus on Subduction Environment, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 100, 2914-2926, doi:10.1785/0120100111.
4. Brune, J. N. (1970), Tectonic stress and the spectra of seismic shear waves from earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res., 75, 4997-5009.
5. Brune, J. N. (1976), The physics of earthquake strong motion, in Seismic Risk and Engineering Decisions, edited by C. Lomnitz and E. Rosenblueth, pp. 141-177, Elsevier, New York.
6. Cifuentes, I. L. (1989), The 1960 Chilean earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res., 94, 665-680.
7. Cotton, F., and O. Coutant (1997), Dynamic stress variations due to shear faults in plane-layered medium, Geophys. J. Int., 128, 676-688, doi:10.1111/j.1365-246X.1997.tb05328.x.
8. Doser, D. I., A. M. Veilleux, and M. Velasquez (1999), Seismicity of the Prince William Sound Region for over thirty years following the 1964 great Alaskan earthquake, Pure Appl. Geophys., 154, 593-632. (Pubitemid 29494323)
9. Doser, D. I., W. A. Brown, and M. Velasquez (2002), Seismicity of the Kodiak Island region (1964-2002) and its relation to the 1964 great Alaskan earthquake, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 92, 3269-3292. (Pubitemid 36352766)
10. Felzer, K. R., R. E. Abercrombie, and G. Ekstrom (2004), A common origin for aftershocks, foreshocks, and multiplets, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 94, 88-98, doi:10.1785/0120030069. (Pubitemid 38485552)
11. Global CMT Catalog (2011), [Available at www.globalcmt.org/CMTsearch. html], last accessed May, 2011.
12. Gomberg, J., and K. Felzer (2008), A model of earthquake triggering probabilities and application to dynamic deformations constrained by ground motion observations, J. Geophys. Res., 113, B10317, doi:10.1029/2007JB005184.
13. Gomberg, J., P. Bodin, and P. A. Reasenberg (2003), Observing earthquakes triggered in the near field by dynamic deformations, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 93(1), 118-138. (Pubitemid 36624213)
14. Hayes, G. P., D. J. Wald, and R. L. Johnson (2012), Slab1.0: A three dimensional model of global subduction zone geometries, J. Geophys. Res., 117, B01302, doi:10.1029/2011JB008524.
15. Helmstetter, A., Y. Y. Kagan, and D. D. Jackson (2005), Importance of small earthquakes for stress transfers and earthquake triggering, J. Geophys. Res., 110, B05S08, doi:10.1029/2004JB003286. (Pubitemid 41052356)
16. Helmstetter, A., Y. Y. Kagan, and D. D. Jackson (2006), Comparison of short-term and time-independent earthquake forecast models for southern California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 96, 90-106, doi:10.1785/0120050067.s. (Pubitemid 43292767)
17. Ishibe, T. K., K. S. Shimazaki, and H. Tsuruoka (2011), Change in seismicity beneath the Tokyo metropolitan area due to the 2011 Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake, Earth Planets Space, 63, 731-735.
18. Kakehi, Y., and T. Iwata (1992), Ruptureprocess of the 1945Mikawa earthquake as determined fromstrong motion records, J. Phys. Earth, 40, 635-655. (Pubitemid 23391487)
19. Kanamori, H., and D. Anderson (1975), Theoretical basis of some empirical relations in seismology, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 65, 1073-1095.
20. Kato, A., S. Sakai, and K. Obara (2011), A normal-faulting seismic sequence triggered by the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake: Wholesale stress regime changes in the upper plate, Earth Planets Space, 63, 5-748.
21. Kikuchi, M., M. Nakamura, and K. Yoshikawa (2003), Source rupture processes of the 1944 Tonankai earthquake and the 1945 Mikawa earthquake from low-gain seismograms, Earth Planets Space, 55, 159-172. (Pubitemid 40836893)
22. Lay, T., H. Kanamori, C. J. Ammon, A. R. Hutko, K. Furlong, and L. Rivera (2009), The 2006-2007 Kuril Islands great earthquake sequence, J. Geophys. Res., 114, B11308, doi:10.1029/2008JB006280.
23. Lay, T., C. J. Ammon, H. Kanamori, L. Rivera, K. D. Koper, and A. R. Hutko (2010), The 2009 Samoa-Tonga great earthquake triggered doublet, Nature, 466, 964-968, doi:10.1038/nature09214.
24. Lay, T., C. Ammon, H. Kanamori, M. Kim, and L. Xue (2011), Outer trench-slope faulting and the 2011 Mw 9.0 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake, Earth Planets Space, 63(7), 713-718, doi:10.5047/eps.2011.05.006.
25. Marsan, D., and O. Lengliné (2008), Extending earthquakes' reach through cascading, Science, 319(5866), 1076-1079. (Pubitemid 351300786)
26. Marsan, D., and O. Lengliné (2010), A new estimation of the decay of aftershock density with distance to the mainshock, J. Geophys. Res., 115, B09302, doi:10.1029/2009JB007119.
27. Marsan, D., and S. S. Nalbant (2005), Methods for measuring seismicity rate changes: A review and a study of how the Mw7.3 Landers Earthquake affected the aftershock sequence of the Mw6.1 Joshua Tree earthquake, Pure Appl. Geophys., 162, 1151-1185, doi:10.1007/s00024-004-2665-4. (Pubitemid 40782253)
28. Michael, A. J. (2011), Random variability explains apparent global clustering of large earthquakes, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L21301, doi:10.1029/2011GL049443.
29. Moreno, M. S., J. Klotz, D. Melnick, H. Echtler, and K. Bataille (2008), Active faulting and heterogeneous deformation across a megathrust segment boundary from GPS data, south central Chile (36-39-S), Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst., 9, Q12024, doi:10.1029/2008GC002198.
30. Nettles, M., G. Ekstrom, and H. Koss (2011), Moment-tensor analysis of the 2011 of the Pacific Coast of Tohoku Earthquake and its larger foreshocks and aftershocks, Earth Planets Space, 63, 519-523.
31. Okada, A. (2006), Tectonic features and characteristics of the faults associated with the 1945 Mikawa earthquake, Active Fault Res., 26, 163-192.
32. Parsons, T., and A. A. Velasco (2011), Absence of remotely triggered large earthquakes beyond themainshock region, Nature Geosci., 4, 312-316, doi:10.1038/ngeo1110.
33. Parsons, T., and E. L. Geist (2012), Were global M>8.3 earthquake time intervals random between 1900 and 2011?, Bull. Seismo. Soc. Am., 102, 1583-1592, doi:10.1785/0120110282.
34. Pollitz, F., R. S. Stein, V. Sevilgen, and R. Burgmann (2012), The 11 April 2012 east Indian Ocean earthquake triggered large aftershocks worldwide, Nature, 490, 250-253, doi:10.1038/nature111504.
35. Rietbrock, A., I. Ryder, G. Hayes, C. Haberland, D. Comte, S. Roecker, and H. Lyon-Caen (2012), Aftershock seismicity of the 2010 Maule Mw= 8.8, Chile, earthquake: Correlation between co-seismic slip models and aftershock distribution?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L08310, doi:10.1029/2012GL051308.
36. Ryder, I., R. Rietbrock, K. Kelson, R. Burgmann, M. Floyd, A. Socquet, C. Vigny, and D. Carrizo (2012), Large extensional aftershocks in the continental forearc triggered by the 2010 Maule earthquake, Chile, Geophys. J. Int., 188(3), 879-890, doi:10.1111/j.1365-246X.2011.05321.x.
37. Schwartz, D. P., and K. J. Coppersmith (1984), Fault behavior and characteristic earthquakes: Examples from the Wasatch and San Andreas Fault zones, J. Geophys. Res., 89, 5681-5698.
38. Sherrod, B., and J. Gomberg (2014), Crustal earthquake triggering by pre-historic great earthquakes on subduction zone thrusts, J. Geophys. Res. Solid Earth, 119, doi:10.1002/2013JB010635.
39. Stein, R. S., G. C. P. King, and J. Lin (1994), Stress triggering of the 1994M= 6.7 Northridge. California, earthquake by its predecessors, Science, 265, 1432-1435. (Pubitemid 24308470)
40. Strasser, F. O., M. C. Arango, and J. J. Bommer (2010), Scaling of the Source Dimensions of Interface and Intraslab Subduction-zone Earthquakes with Moment Magnitude, Seismo. Res. Letts., 81, 941-950, doi:10.1785/gssrl.81.6.941.
41. Toda, S., J. Lin, and R. S. Stein (2011a), Using the 2011 Mw 9.0 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake to test the Coulomb stress triggering hypothesis and to calculate faults brought closer to failure, Earth Planets Space, 63, 725-730.
42. Toda, S., R. S. Stein, and J. Lin (2011b), Widespread seismicity excitation throughout central Japan following the 2011M= 9.0 Tohoku earthquake and its interpretation by Coulomb stress transfer, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L00G03, doi:10.1029/2011GL047834.
43. van der Elst, N. J., and E. E. Brodsky (2010), Connecting near-field and far-field earthquake triggering to dynamic strain, J. Geophys. Res., 115, B07311, doi:10.1029/2009JB006681.
44. Yoshida, K., A. Hasegawa, T. Okada, T. Iinuma, Y. Ito, and Y. Asano (2012), Stress before and after the 2011 great Tohoku-oki earthquake and induced earthquakes in inland areas of eastern Japan, Geophys. Res. Letts., 39, L03302, doi:10.1029/2011GL049729.
45. Ziv, A. (2006), On the role of multiple interactions in remote aftershock triggering: The Landers and the Hector Mine case studies, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 96, 80-89. (Pubitemid 43292766)