-
1
-
-
0003010182
-
Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability
-
Brier GW. 1950. Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability. Mon. Weather Rev. 78: 1-3.
-
(1950)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.78
, pp. 1-3
-
-
Brier, G.W.1
-
2
-
-
20444484849
-
Calibrated probabilistic forecasting using ensemble model output statistics and minimum CRPS estimation
-
Gneiting T, Raftery AE, Westveld AH, Goldman T. 2005. Calibrated probabilistic forecasting using ensemble model output statistics and minimum CRPS estimation. Mon. Weather Rev. 133: 1098-1118.
-
(2005)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.133
, pp. 1098-1118
-
-
Gneiting, T.1
Raftery, A.E.2
Westveld, A.H.3
Goldman, T.4
-
4
-
-
0002897679
-
Verification of Eta-RSM short-range ensemble forecasts
-
Hamill TM, Colucci SJ. 1997. Verification of Eta-RSM short-range ensemble forecasts. Mon. Weather Rev. 125: 1312-1327.
-
(1997)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.125
, pp. 1312-1327
-
-
Hamill, T.M.1
Colucci, S.J.2
-
5
-
-
0001104165
-
Evaluation of Eta-RSM ensemble probabilistic precipitation forecasts
-
Hamill TM, Colucci SJ. 1998. Evaluation of Eta-RSM ensemble probabilistic precipitation forecasts. Mon. Weather Rev. 126: 711-724.
-
(1998)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.126
, pp. 711-724
-
-
Hamill, T.M.1
Colucci, S.J.2
-
6
-
-
1642306852
-
Ensemble reforecasting: Improving medium-range forecast skill using retrospective forecasts
-
Hamill TM, Whitaker JS, Wei X. 2004. Ensemble reforecasting: Improving medium-range forecast skill using retrospective forecasts. Mon. Weather Rev. 132: 1434-1447.
-
(2004)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.132
, pp. 1434-1447
-
-
Hamill, T.M.1
Whitaker, J.S.2
Wei, X.3
-
7
-
-
0001846226
-
Predictability: A problem partly solved
-
In, 1 ECMWF: Reading, UK.
-
Lorenz EN. 1996. Predictability: A problem partly solved. In Proc. of Seminar on Predictability, 1: 1-18. ECMWF: Reading, UK.
-
(1996)
Proc. of Seminar on Predictability
, pp. 1-18
-
-
Lorenz, E.N.1
-
8
-
-
0016961866
-
Scoring rules for continuous probability distributions
-
DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.22.10.1087.
-
Matheson JE, Winkler RL. 1976. Scoring rules for continuous probability distributions. Management Sci. 22: 1087-1096. DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.22.10.1087.
-
(1976)
Management Sci.
, vol.22
, pp. 1087-1096
-
-
Matheson, J.E.1
Winkler, R.L.2
-
9
-
-
0000918735
-
A new vector partition of the probability score
-
Murphy AH. 1973. A new vector partition of the probability score. J. Appl. Meteorol. 12: 595-600.
-
(1973)
J. Appl. Meteorol.
, vol.12
, pp. 595-600
-
-
Murphy, A.H.1
-
11
-
-
0037262706
-
Combining dynamical and statistical ensembles
-
Roulston MS, Smith LA. 2003. Combining dynamical and statistical ensembles. Tellus A 55: 16-30.
-
(2003)
Tellus A
, vol.55
, pp. 16-30
-
-
Roulston, M.S.1
Smith, L.A.2
-
12
-
-
18544370386
-
Forecast assimilation: a unified framework for the combination of multi-model weather and climate predictions
-
Stephenson DB, Coelho CAS, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Balmaseda M. 2005. Forecast assimilation: a unified framework for the combination of multi-model weather and climate predictions. Tellus A 57: 253-264.
-
(2005)
Tellus A
, vol.57
, pp. 253-264
-
-
Stephenson, D.B.1
Coelho, C.A.S.2
Doblas-Reyes, F.J.3
Balmaseda, M.4
-
13
-
-
27644443229
-
Improvement of ensemble reliability with a new dressing kernel
-
Wang X, Bishop CH. 2005. Improvement of ensemble reliability with a new dressing kernel. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 131: 965-986.
-
(2005)
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.131
, pp. 965-986
-
-
Wang, X.1
Bishop, C.H.2
-
14
-
-
33747806974
-
Comparison of ensemble-MOS methods in the Lorenz'96 setting
-
Wilks DS. 2006. Comparison of ensemble-MOS methods in the Lorenz'96 setting, Meteorol. Appl. 13: 243-256.
-
(2006)
Meteorol. Appl.
, vol.13
, pp. 243-256
-
-
Wilks, D.S.1
-
15
-
-
70349414695
-
Extending logistic regression to provide full-probability-distribution MOS forecasts
-
Wilks DS. 2009. Extending logistic regression to provide full-probability-distribution MOS forecasts. Meteorol. Appl. 16: 361-368.
-
(2009)
Meteorol. Appl.
, vol.16
, pp. 361-368
-
-
Wilks, D.S.1
|