-
1
-
-
0036405017
-
Toward a new political methodology: Microfoundations and ART
-
Achen Christopher.Toward a new political methodology: Microfoundations and ART.Annual Review of Political Science. 2002;5:423-450.
-
(2002)
Annual Review of Political Science
, vol.5
, pp. 423-450
-
-
Achen, C.1
-
2
-
-
78651440980
-
An empirical Bayes approach to estimating ordinal treatment effects
-
Alvarez R Michael,Bailey Delia,Katz Jonathan N.An empirical Bayes approach to estimating ordinal treatment effects.Political Analysis. 2011;19 (1): 20-31.
-
(2011)
Political Analysis
, vol.19
, Issue.1
, pp. 20-31
-
-
Alvarez, R.M.1
Bailey, D.2
Katz, J.N.3
-
4
-
-
0032220433
-
Taking time seriously: Time-series-cross-section analysis with a binary dependent variable
-
Beck Nathaniel,Katz Jonathan N,Tucker Richard.Taking time seriously: Time-series-cross-section analysis with a binary dependent variable.American Journal of Political Science. 1998;42 (4): 1260-1288.
-
(1998)
American Journal of Political Science
, vol.42
, Issue.4
, pp. 1260-1288
-
-
Beck, N.1
Katz, J.N.2
Tucker, R.3
-
6
-
-
79952309889
-
Real time, time series forecasting of inter- and intra-state political conflict
-
Brandt Patrick T,Freeman John R,Schrodt Philip A.Real time, time series forecasting of inter- and intra-state political conflict.Conflict Management and Peace Science. 2011;28 (1): 41-64.
-
(2011)
Conflict Management and Peace Science
, vol.28
, Issue.1
, pp. 41-64
-
-
Brandt, P.T.1
Freeman, J.R.2
Schrodt, P.A.3
-
7
-
-
1642274075
-
-
Columbus, OH: Ohio State University Press
-
Bueno de Mesquita BrucePredicting Politics. Columbus, OH: Ohio State University Press; 2002:.
-
(2002)
Predicting Politics
-
-
de Bueno, M.B.1
-
8
-
-
0004316585
-
-
San Francisco, CA: WH Freeman
-
Choucri Nazli,Robinson Thomas WForecasting in International Relations: Theory, Methods, Problems, Prospects. San Francisco, CA: WH Freeman; 1979:.
-
(1979)
Forecasting in International Relations: Theory, Methods, Problems, Prospects
-
-
Choucri, N.1
Robinson, T.W.2
-
9
-
-
29244477248
-
The phantom menace: Omitted variable bias in econometric research
-
Clarke Kevin.The phantom menace: Omitted variable bias in econometric research.Conflict Management and Peace Science. 2005;22 (4): 341-352.
-
(2005)
Conflict Management and Peace Science
, vol.22
, Issue.4
, pp. 341-352
-
-
Clarke, K.1
-
12
-
-
0011780476
-
The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making
-
Dawes Robyn M.The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making.American Psychologist. 1979;34 (7): 571-582.
-
(1979)
American Psychologist
, vol.34
, Issue.7
, pp. 571-582
-
-
Dawes, R.M.1
-
13
-
-
0003922190
-
-
2001) Pattern Classification, 2nd edn. New York: Wiley.;, New York: Wiley
-
Duda Richard O,Hart Peter E,Stork David GPattern Classification. 2001) Pattern Classification, 2nd edn. New York: Wiley.New York: Wiley; 2001:.
-
(2001)
Pattern Classification
-
-
Duda, R.O.1
Hart, P.E.2
Stork, D.G.3
-
14
-
-
84897780481
-
-
2010:.
-
(2010)
-
-
-
15
-
-
0003467174
-
-
McLean, VA: Science Applications International Corporation
-
Esty Daniel C,Goldstone Jack A,Gurr Ted R,Harff Barbara,Levy Marc,Dabelko Geoffrey D,Surko Pamela,Unger Alan NState Failure Task Force Report: Phase II Findings. McLean, VA: Science Applications International Corporation; 1998:.
-
(1998)
State Failure Task Force Report: Phase II Findings
-
-
Esty, D.C.1
Goldstone, J.A.2
Gurr, T.R.3
Harff, B.4
Levy, M.5
Dabelko, G.D.6
Surko, P.7
Unger, A.N.8
-
19
-
-
0033454314
-
The insignificance of null hypothesis significance testing
-
Gill Jeff.The insignificance of null hypothesis significance testing.Political Research Quarterly. 1999;52 (3): 647-674.
-
(1999)
Political Research Quarterly
, vol.52
, Issue.3
, pp. 647-674
-
-
Gill, J.1
-
20
-
-
73649102815
-
A global model for forecasting political instability
-
Goldstone Jack A,Bates Robert,Epstein David L,Gurr Ted Robert,Lustik Michael,Marshall Monty G,Ulfelder Jay,Woodward Mark.A global model for forecasting political instability.American Journal of Political Science. 2010;54 (1): 190-208.
-
(2010)
American Journal of Political Science
, vol.54
, Issue.1
, pp. 190-208
-
-
Goldstone, J.A.1
Bates, R.2
Epstein, D.L.3
Gurr, T.R.4
Lustik, M.5
Marshall, M.G.6
Ulfelder, J.7
Woodward, M.8
-
21
-
-
78651441268
-
An introduction to Bayesian inference via variational approximations
-
Grimmer Justin.An introduction to Bayesian inference via variational approximations.Political Analysis. 2011;19 (1): 32-47.
-
(2011)
Political Analysis
, vol.19
, Issue.1
, pp. 32-47
-
-
Grimmer, J.1
-
22
-
-
84856137889
-
Entropy balancing for causal effects: A multivariate reweighting method to produce balanced samples in observational studies
-
Hainmueller Jens.Entropy balancing for causal effects: A multivariate reweighting method to produce balanced samples in observational studies.Political Analysis. 2012;20 (1): 25-46.
-
(2012)
Political Analysis
, vol.20
, Issue.1
, pp. 25-46
-
-
Hainmueller, J.1
-
24
-
-
0000296665
-
Studies in the logic of explanation
-
Hempel Carl G,Oppenheim Paul.Studies in the logic of explanation.Philosophy of Science. 1948;15 (2): 135-175.
-
(1948)
Philosophy of Science
, vol.15
, Issue.2
, pp. 135-175
-
-
Hempel, C.G.1
Oppenheim, P.2
-
25
-
-
0001259111
-
Bayesian model averaging: A tutorial
-
Hoeting Jennifer A,Madigan David,Raftery Adrian E,Volinsky Chris T.Bayesian model averaging: A tutorial.Statistical Science. 1999;14 (4): 382-417.
-
(1999)
Statistical Science
, vol.14
, Issue.4
, pp. 382-417
-
-
Hoeting, J.A.1
Madigan, D.2
Raftery, A.E.3
Volinsky, C.T.4
-
27
-
-
84856187945
-
Causal inference without balance checking: Coarsened exact matching
-
Iacus Stefano M,King Gary,Porro Giuseppe.Causal inference without balance checking: Coarsened exact matching.Political Analysis. 2012;20 (1): 1-24.
-
(2012)
Political Analysis
, vol.20
, Issue.1
, pp. 1-24
-
-
Iacus, S.M.1
King, G.2
Porro, G.3
-
29
-
-
84934095450
-
How not to lie with statistics: Avoiding common mistakes in quantitative political science
-
King Gary.How not to lie with statistics: Avoiding common mistakes in quantitative political science.American Journal of Political Science. 1986;30 (3): 666-687.
-
(1986)
American Journal of Political Science
, vol.30
, Issue.3
, pp. 666-687
-
-
King, G.1
-
30
-
-
0034767648
-
Improving forecasts of state failure
-
King Gary,Zeng Langche.Improving forecasts of state failure.World Politics. 2001;53 (4): 623-658.
-
(2001)
World Politics
, vol.53
, Issue.4
, pp. 623-658
-
-
King, G.1
Zeng, L.2
-
32
-
-
0007286069
-
Some remarks on typological procedures in social research
-
Lazarfeld Paul F.Some remarks on typological procedures in social research.Zietschrift Für Sozialforschung. 1937;6:119-139.
-
(1937)
Zietschrift Für Sozialforschung
, vol.6
, pp. 119-139
-
-
Lazarfeld, P.F.1
-
33
-
-
77957286322
-
Bayesian combination of state polls and election forecasts
-
Lock Kari,Gelman Andrew.Bayesian combination of state polls and election forecasts.Political Analysis. 2010;18 (3): 337-348.
-
(2010)
Political Analysis
, vol.18
, Issue.3
, pp. 337-348
-
-
Lock, K.1
Gelman, A.2
-
34
-
-
0031315340
-
Evaluating heterodox theories
-
Markovsky Barry,Fales Evan.Evaluating heterodox theories.Social Forces. 1997;76 (2): 511-525.
-
(1997)
Social Forces
, vol.76
, Issue.2
, pp. 511-525
-
-
Markovsky, B.1
Fales, E.2
-
35
-
-
84897800037
-
-
January: University of Southern California
-
McClelland Charles AJanuary: University of Southern California; 1969:.
-
(1969)
-
-
McClelland, C.A.1
-
40
-
-
77956576768
-
Bayesian model averaging: Theoretical developments and practical applications
-
Montgomery Jacob M,Nyhan Brendan.Bayesian model averaging: Theoretical developments and practical applications.Political Analysis. 2010;18 (2): 245 270.
-
(2010)
Political Analysis
, vol.18
, Issue.2
, pp. 245-270
-
-
Montgomery, J.M.1
Nyhan, B.2
-
41
-
-
84864516626
-
Improving predictions using ensemble Bayesian model averaging
-
Montgomery Jacob M,Hollenbach Florian M,Ward Michael D.Improving predictions using ensemble Bayesian model averaging.Political Analysis. 2012;20 (3): 271-291.
-
(2012)
Political Analysis
, vol.20
, Issue.3
, pp. 271-291
-
-
Montgomery, J.M.1
Hollenbach, F.M.2
Ward, M.D.3
-
43
-
-
77949479506
-
Crisis early warning and decision support: Contemporary approaches and thoughts on future research
-
O'Brien Sean P.Crisis early warning and decision support: Contemporary approaches and thoughts on future research.International Studies Review. 2010;12 (1): 87-104.
-
(2010)
International Studies Review
, vol.12
, Issue.1
, pp. 87-104
-
-
O'Brien, S.P.1
-
44
-
-
0033408051
-
Assessing the liberal peace with alternative specifications: Trade still reduces conflict
-
Oneal John R,Russett Bruce.Assessing the liberal peace with alternative specifications: Trade still reduces conflict.Journal of Peace Research. 1999;36 (4): 423-442.
-
(1999)
Journal of Peace Research
, vol.36
, Issue.4
, pp. 423-442
-
-
Oneal, J.R.1
Russett, B.2
-
45
-
-
84973218465
-
International peace project in the Middle East: The effects of the Maharishi technology of the unified field
-
Orme-Johnson David W,Alexander Charles N,Davies John L,Chandler Howard M,Larimore Wallace E.International peace project in the Middle East: The effects of the Maharishi technology of the unified field.Journal of Conflict Resolution. 1988;32 (4): 776-812.
-
(1988)
Journal of Conflict Resolution
, vol.32
, Issue.4
, pp. 776-812
-
-
Orme-Johnson, D.W.1
Alexander, C.N.2
Davies, J.L.3
Chandler, H.M.4
Larimore, W.E.5
-
46
-
-
0033424278
-
Serbian compliance or defiance in Kosovo? Statistical analysis and real-time predictions
-
Pevehouse Jon C,Goldstein Joshua S.Serbian compliance or defiance in Kosovo? Statistical analysis and real-time predictions.Journal of Conflict Resolution. 1999;43 (4): 538-546.
-
(1999)
Journal of Conflict Resolution
, vol.43
, Issue.4
, pp. 538-546
-
-
Pevehouse, J.C.1
Goldstein, J.S.2
-
47
-
-
0002820563
-
Two dogmas of empiricism
-
Quine Willard Van Orman.Two dogmas of empiricism.Philosophical Review. 1951;60:20-43.
-
(1951)
Philosophical Review
, vol.60
, pp. 20-43
-
-
Van Quine, W.O.1
-
52
-
-
77949430284
-
Exploring the past, anticipating the future: A symposium
-
Schneider Gerald,Gleditsch Nils Petter,Carey Sabine C.Exploring the past, anticipating the future: A symposium.International Studies Review. 2010;12 (1): 1-7.
-
(2010)
International Studies Review
, vol.12
, Issue.1
, pp. 1-7
-
-
Schneider, G.1
Gleditsch, N.P.2
Carey, S.C.3
-
53
-
-
84977202385
-
A methodological critique of a test of the effects of the Maharishi technology of the unified field
-
Schrodt Philip A.A methodological critique of a test of the effects of the Maharishi technology of the unified field.Journal of Conflict Resolution. 1990;34 (4): 745-755.
-
(1990)
Journal of Conflict Resolution
, vol.34
, Issue.4
, pp. 745-755
-
-
Schrodt, P.A.1
-
54
-
-
33745410208
-
Beyond the linear frequentist orthodoxy
-
Schrodt Philip A.Beyond the linear frequentist orthodoxy.Political Analysis. 2006a;14 (3):.
-
(2006)
Political Analysis
, vol.14
, Issue.3
-
-
Schrodt, P.A.1
-
56
-
-
84897795834
-
Reflections on the state of political methodology
-
Schrodt Philip A.Reflections on the state of political methodology.Political Methodologist. 2009;17 (1): 2-4.
-
(2009)
Political Methodologist
, vol.17
, Issue.1
, pp. 2-4
-
-
Schrodt, P.A.1
-
57
-
-
84861464414
-
-
Paper presented at the American Political Science Association, September
-
SchrodtPhilip A (2010) Seven deadly sins of contemporary quantitative analysis. Paper presented at the American Political Science Association, September (http://7DS.parusanalytics.com).
-
(2010)
Seven deadly sins of contemporary quantitative analysis
-
-
Schrodt, P.A.1
-
58
-
-
0034551311
-
Cluster-based early warning indicators for political change in the contemporary Levant
-
Schrodt Philip A,Gerner Deborah J.Cluster-based early warning indicators for political change in the contemporary Levant.American Political Science Review. 2000;94 (4): 803-817.
-
(2000)
American Political Science Review
, vol.94
, Issue.4
, pp. 803-817
-
-
Schrodt, P.A.1
Gerner, D.J.2
-
59
-
-
84867847033
-
Dealing with data: Challenges and opportunities
-
Science (2011) Dealing with data: Challenges and opportunities. 11 February, 331: 692-729.
-
(2011)
Science
, vol.331
, pp. 692-729
-
-
-
60
-
-
78650234904
-
-
Box-Steffensmeier Janet MBrady Henry ECollier David, ed, Oxford: Oxford University Press
-
Sekhon Jasjeet SOxford Handbook of Political Methodology. Box-Steffensmeier Janet MBrady Henry ECollier David, ed. Oxford: Oxford University Press; 2008:271-200.
-
(2008)
Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology
, pp. 200-271
-
-
Sekhon, J.S.1
-
64
-
-
84864527322
-
Scientific prediction vs. crystal ball gazing: Can the unknown be known?
-
Vincent Jack E.Scientific prediction vs. crystal ball gazing: Can the unknown be known?.International Studies Quarterly. 1980;24 (4): 450-454.
-
(1980)
International Studies Quarterly
, vol.24
, Issue.4
, pp. 450-454
-
-
Vincent, J.E.1
-
65
-
-
77949443844
-
The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts
-
Ward Michael D,Greenhill Brian D,Bakke Kristin M.The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts.Journal of Peace Research. 2010;47 (5): 363-375.
-
(2010)
Journal of Peace Research
, vol.47
, Issue.5
, pp. 363-375
-
-
Ward, M.D.1
Greenhill, B.D.2
Bakke, K.M.3
|