메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 50, Issue 1, 2014, Pages 580-600

A copula-based precipitation forecasting model: Investigating the interdecadal modulation of ENSO's impacts on monthly precipitation

Author keywords

copula; ENSO; interdecadal modulation; PDO; precipitation forecasting; Texas

Indexed keywords

COPULA; ENSO; INTERDECADAL; PDO; PRECIPITATION FORECASTING; TEXAS;

EID: 84896853510     PISSN: 00431397     EISSN: 19447973     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/2013WR013763     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (84)

References (43)
  • 1
    • 0031429238 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The North American monsoon
    • Adams, D. K., and, A. C. Comrie, (1997), The North American monsoon, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 78 (10), 2197-2213.
    • (1997) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.78 , Issue.10 , pp. 2197-2213
    • Adams, D.K.1    Comrie, A.C.2
  • 2
    • 0035894794 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relationship of the North American monsoon to tropical and North Pacific Sea surface temperatures as revealed by observational analyses
    • Castro, C. L., T. B. McKee, and, R. A. Pielke, Sr,. (2001), The relationship of the North American monsoon to tropical and North Pacific Sea surface temperatures as revealed by observational analyses, J. Clim., 14 (24), 4449-4473.
    • (2001) J. Clim. , vol.14 , Issue.24 , pp. 4449-4473
    • Castro, C.L.1    McKee, T.B.2    Pielke, Sr.R.A.3
  • 3
    • 79955749010 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identification of suitable copulas for bivariate frequency analysis of flood peak and flood volume data
    • Chowdhary, H., L. Escobar, and, V. P. Singh, (2011), Identification of suitable copulas for bivariate frequency analysis of flood peak and flood volume data, Hydrol. Res., 42 (2-3), 193-216.
    • (2011) Hydrol. Res. , vol.42 , Issue.23 , pp. 193-216
    • Chowdhary, H.1    Escobar, L.2    Singh, V.P.3
  • 4
    • 72149133064 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multisite seasonal forecast of arid river flows using a dynamic model combination approach
    • doi: 10.1029/2008WR007510.
    • Chowdhury, S., and, A. Sharma, (2009), Multisite seasonal forecast of arid river flows using a dynamic model combination approach, Water Resour. Res., 45, W10428, doi: 10.1029/2008WR007510.
    • (2009) Water Resour. Res. , vol.45
    • Chowdhury, S.1    Sharma, A.2
  • 5
    • 0036662802 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multiyear la Niña events and persistent drought in the contiguous United States
    • doi: 10.1029/2001GL013561.
    • Cole, J. E., J. T. Overpeck, and, E. R. Cook, (2002), Multiyear La Niña events and persistent drought in the contiguous United States, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29 (13), 1647, doi: 10.1029/2001GL013561.
    • (2002) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.29 , Issue.13 , pp. 1647
    • Cole, J.E.1    Overpeck, J.T.2    Cook, E.R.3
  • 6
    • 55249108293 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multimodel ensembles of streamflow forecasts: Role of predictor state in developing optimal combinations
    • doi: 10.1029/2006WR005855.
    • Devineni, N., A. Sankarasubramanian, and, S. Ghosh, (2008), Multimodel ensembles of streamflow forecasts: Role of predictor state in developing optimal combinations, Water Resour. Res., 44, W09404, doi: 10.1029/2006WR005855.
    • (2008) Water Resour. Res. , vol.44
    • Devineni, N.1    Sankarasubramanian, A.2    Ghosh, S.3
  • 7
    • 2542583870 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling dependence with copulas and applications to risk management
    • in, edited by S. T. Rachev, 329-384, Elsevier, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
    • Embrechts, P., F. Lindskog, and, A. McNeil, (2003), Modelling dependence with copulas and applications to risk management, in Handbook of Heavy Tailed Distributions in Finance, edited by, S. T. Rachev, pp. 329-384, Elsevier, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
    • (2003) Handbook of Heavy Tailed Distributions in Finance
    • Embrechts, P.1    Lindskog, F.2    McNeil, A.3
  • 8
    • 0035639815 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Graphical assessment of dependence: Is a picture worth 100 tests?
    • Fisher, N. I., and, P. Switzer, (2001), Graphical assessment of dependence: Is a picture worth 100 tests?, Am. Stat., 55 (3), 233-239.
    • (2001) Am. Stat. , vol.55 , Issue.3 , pp. 233-239
    • Fisher, N.I.1    Switzer, P.2
  • 9
    • 34347377353 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Everything you always wanted to know about copula modeling but were afraid to ask
    • Genest, C., and, A.-C. Favre, (2007), Everything you always wanted to know about copula modeling but were afraid to ask, J. Hydrol. Eng., 12 (4), 347-368.
    • (2007) J. Hydrol. Eng. , vol.12 , Issue.4 , pp. 347-368
    • Genest, C.1    Favre, A.-C.2
  • 10
    • 33745318954 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Goodness-of-fit procedures for copula models based on the probability integral transformation
    • Genest, C., J.-F. Quessy, and, B. Rémillard, (2006), Goodness-of-fit procedures for copula models based on the probability integral transformation, Scand. J. Stat., 33 (2), 337-366.
    • (2006) Scand. J. Stat. , vol.33 , Issue.2 , pp. 337-366
    • Genest, C.1    Quessy, J.-F.2    Rémillard, B.3
  • 11
    • 63449084564 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Goodness-of-fit tests for copulas: A review and a power study
    • Genest, C., B. Rémillard, and, D. Beaudoin, (2009), Goodness-of-fit tests for copulas: A review and a power study, Insur. Math. Econ., 44 (2), 199-213.
    • (2009) Insur. Math. Econ. , vol.44 , Issue.2 , pp. 199-213
    • Genest, C.1    Rémillard, B.2    Beaudoin, D.3
  • 12
    • 0032466323 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interdecadal modulation of ENSO teleconnections
    • Gershunov, A., and, T. P. Barnett, (1998), Interdecadal modulation of ENSO teleconnections, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 79 (12), 2715-2725.
    • (1998) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.79 , Issue.12 , pp. 2715-2725
    • Gershunov, A.1    Barnett, T.P.2
  • 13
    • 34347359681 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water management applications of climate-based hydrologic forecasts: Case study of the Truckee-Carson river basin
    • Grantz, K., B. Rajagopalan, E. Zagona, and, M. Clark, (2007), Water management applications of climate-based hydrologic forecasts: Case study of the Truckee-Carson river basin, J. Water Res. Pl.-ASCE, 133 (4), 339-350.
    • (2007) J. Water Res. Pl.-ASCE , vol.133 , Issue.4 , pp. 339-350
    • Grantz, K.1    Rajagopalan, B.2    Zagona, E.3    Clark, M.4
  • 15
    • 0029776241 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A historical perspective of U.S. Climate divisions
    • Guttman, N. B., and, R. G. Quayle, (1996), A historical perspective of U.S. climate divisions, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 77 (2), 293-303.
    • (1996) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.77 , Issue.2 , pp. 293-303
    • Guttman, N.B.1    Quayle, R.G.2
  • 16
    • 84878425265 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the non-stationarity of Australian annual maximum flood
    • Ishak, E. H., A. Rahman, S. Westra, A. Sharma, and, G. Kuczera, (2013), Evaluating the non-stationarity of Australian annual maximum flood, J. Hydrol., 494 (0), 134-145.
    • (2013) J. Hydrol. , vol.494 , Issue.0 , pp. 134-145
    • Ishak, E.H.1    Rahman, A.2    Westra, S.3    Sharma, A.4    Kuczera, G.5
  • 18
    • 84858017066 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding changes in water availability in the Rio Grande/Río Bravo del Norte basin under the influence of large-scale circulation indices using the Noah land surface model
    • doi: 10.1029/2011JD016590.
    • Khedun, C. P., A. K. Mishra, J. D. Bolten, H. K. Beaudoing, R. A. Kaiser, J. R. Giardino, and, V. P. Singh, (2012), Understanding changes in water availability in the Rio Grande/Río Bravo del Norte basin under the influence of large-scale circulation indices using the Noah land surface model, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D05104, doi: 10.1029/2011JD016590.
    • (2012) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.117
    • Khedun, C.P.1    Mishra, A.K.2    Bolten, J.D.3    Beaudoing, H.K.4    Kaiser, R.A.5    Giardino, J.R.6    Singh, V.P.7
  • 19
    • 0024219194 scopus 로고
    • The southern oscillation. Part VII: Meteorological anomalies over the indian and pacific sectors associated with the extremes of the oscillation
    • Kiladis, G. N., and, H. van Loon, (1988), The southern oscillation. Part VII: Meteorological anomalies over the indian and pacific sectors associated with the extremes of the oscillation, Mon. Weather Rev., 116 (1), 120-136.
    • (1988) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.116 , Issue.1 , pp. 120-136
    • Kiladis, G.N.1    Van Loon, H.2
  • 20
    • 36749056735 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation impacts on precipitation in the southern and central United States: Evaluation of spatial distribution and predictions
    • doi: 10.1029/2007WR005863.
    • Kurtzman, D., and, B. R. Scanlon, (2007), El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation impacts on precipitation in the southern and central United States: Evaluation of spatial distribution and predictions, Water Resour. Res., 43, W10427, doi: 10.1029/2007WR005863.
    • (2007) Water Resour. Res. , vol.43
    • Kurtzman, D.1    Scanlon, B.R.2
  • 22
    • 62749121385 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic prediction of hydroclimatic variables with nonparametric quantification of uncertainty
    • doi: 10.1029/2008JD009856.
    • Maity, R., and, D. Nagesh Kumar, (2008), Probabilistic prediction of hydroclimatic variables with nonparametric quantification of uncertainty, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D14105, doi: 10.1029/2008JD009856.
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.113
    • Maity, R.1    Nagesh Kumar, D.2
  • 23
    • 0036275275 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Pacific Decadal Oscillation
    • Mantua, N., and, S. Hare, (2002), The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, J. Oceanogr., 58 (1), 35-44.
    • (2002) J. Oceanogr. , vol.58 , Issue.1 , pp. 35-44
    • Mantua, N.1    Hare, S.2
  • 24
    • 0031465646 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production
    • Mantua, N. J., S. R. Hare, Y. Zhang, J. M. Wallace, and, R. C. Francis, (1997), A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 78 (6), 1069-1079.
    • (1997) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.78 , Issue.6 , pp. 1069-1079
    • Mantua, N.J.1    Hare, S.R.2    Zhang, Y.3    Wallace, J.M.4    Francis, R.C.5
  • 25
    • 0033570696 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decadal variations in the strength of ENSO teleconnections with precipitation in the western United States
    • McCabe, G. J., and, M. D. Dettinger, (1999), Decadal variations in the strength of ENSO teleconnections with precipitation in the western United States, Int. J. Climatol., 19 (13), 1399-1410.
    • (1999) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.19 , Issue.13 , pp. 1399-1410
    • McCabe, G.J.1    Dettinger, M.D.2
  • 26
    • 84950656359 scopus 로고
    • Variations of box plots
    • McGill, R., J. W. Tukey, and, W. A. Larsen, (1978), Variations of box plots, Am. Stat., 32 (1), 12-16.
    • (1978) Am. Stat. , vol.32 , Issue.1 , pp. 12-16
    • McGill, R.1    Tukey, J.W.2    Larsen, W.A.3
  • 27
    • 33845702072 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ENSO as an integrating concept in earth science
    • McPhaden, M. J., S. E. Zebiak, and, M. H. Glantz, (2006), ENSO as an integrating concept in earth science, Science, 314 (5806), 1740-1745.
    • (2006) Science , vol.314 , Issue.5806 , pp. 1740-1745
    • McPhaden, M.J.1    Zebiak, S.E.2    Glantz, M.H.3
  • 28
    • 0031106429 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A 50-70 year climatic oscillation over the North Pacific and North America
    • Minobe, S., (1997), A 50-70 year climatic oscillation over the North Pacific and North America, Geophys. Res. Lett., 24 (6), 683-686.
    • (1997) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.24 , Issue.6 , pp. 683-686
    • Minobe, S.1
  • 29
    • 79955066551 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal streamflow extremes in Texas river basins: Uncertainty, trends, and teleconnections
    • doi: 10.1029/2010JD014597.
    • Mishra, A. K., V. P. Singh, and, M. Özger, (2011), Seasonal streamflow extremes in Texas river basins: Uncertainty, trends, and teleconnections, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D08108, doi: 10.1029/2010JD014597.
    • (2011) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.116
    • Mishra, A.K.1    Singh, V.P.2    Özger, M.3
  • 30
    • 79957632892 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The changing climate of Texas
    • in, edited by J. Schmandt, J. Clarkson, and G. R. North, Univ. of Tex. Press, Austin.
    • Nielsen-Gammon, J. W., (2009), The changing climate of Texas, in The Impact of Global Warming on Texas, edited by, J. Schmandt, J. Clarkson, and, G. R. North, Univ. of Tex. Press, Austin.
    • (2009) The Impact of Global Warming on Texas
    • Nielsen-Gammon, J.W.1
  • 31
    • 57649244389 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Low frequency drought variability associated with climate indices
    • Özger, M., A. K. Mishra, and, V. P. Singh, (2009), Low frequency drought variability associated with climate indices, J. Hydrol., 364 (1-2), 152-162.
    • (2009) J. Hydrol. , vol.364 , Issue.12 , pp. 152-162
    • Özger, M.1    Mishra, A.K.2    Singh, V.P.3
  • 32
    • 79958030358 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How does the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation affect design floods in Australia?
    • doi: 10.1029/2010WR009420.
    • Pui, A., A. Lal, and, A. Sharma, (2011), How does the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation affect design floods in Australia?, Water Resour. Res., 47, W05554, doi: 10.1029/2010WR009420.
    • (2011) Water Resour. Res. , vol.47
    • Pui, A.1    Lal, A.2    Sharma, A.3
  • 33
    • 0026358733 scopus 로고
    • Surface climate and streamflow variability in the western United States and their relationship to large-scale circulation indices
    • Redmond, K. T., and, R. W. Koch, (1991), Surface climate and streamflow variability in the western United States and their relationship to large-scale circulation indices, Water Resour. Res., 27 (9), 2381-2399.
    • (1991) Water Resour. Res. , vol.27 , Issue.9 , pp. 2381-2399
    • Redmond, K.T.1    Koch, R.W.2
  • 34
    • 4344643044 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tropical pacific decadal variability and its relation to decadal modulations of ENSO
    • Rodgers, K. B., P. Friederichs, and, M. Latif, (2004), Tropical pacific decadal variability and its relation to decadal modulations of ENSO, J. Clim., 17 (19), 3761-3774.
    • (2004) J. Clim. , vol.17 , Issue.19 , pp. 3761-3774
    • Rodgers, K.B.1    Friederichs, P.2    Latif, M.3
  • 35
    • 0022831511 scopus 로고
    • North American precipitation and temperature patterns associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
    • Ropelewski, C. F., and, M. S. Halpert, (1986), North American precipitation and temperature patterns associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Mon. Weather Rev., 114 (12), 2352-2362.
    • (1986) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.114 , Issue.12 , pp. 2352-2362
    • Ropelewski, C.F.1    Halpert, M.S.2
  • 36
    • 0001487308 scopus 로고
    • An extension of the Tahiti-Darwin Southern Oscillation index
    • Ropelewski, C. F., and, P. D. Jones, (1987), An extension of the Tahiti-Darwin Southern Oscillation index, Mon. Weather Rev., 115 (9), 2161-2165.
    • (1987) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.115 , Issue.9 , pp. 2161-2165
    • Ropelewski, C.F.1    Jones, P.D.2
  • 37
    • 0003977901 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • SAS/ETS, SAS® Publ., Cary, N. C.
    • SAS/ETS (2011), User's Guide, SAS® Publ., Cary, N. C.
    • (2011) User's Guide
  • 38
    • 84873453041 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling dependence with C- and D-vine copulas: The R package CD vine
    • Schepsmeier, U., and, E. C. Brechmann, (2013), Modeling dependence with C- and D-vine copulas: The R package CD vine, J. Stat. Software, 52 (3), 1-27.
    • (2013) J. Stat. Software , vol.52 , Issue.3 , pp. 1-27
    • Schepsmeier, U.1    Brechmann, E.C.2
  • 40
    • 0021566070 scopus 로고
    • Signal versus noise in the Southern Oscillation
    • Trenberth, K. E., (1984), Signal versus noise in the Southern Oscillation, Mon. Weather Rev., 112 (2), 326-332.
    • (1984) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.112 , Issue.2 , pp. 326-332
    • Trenberth, K.E.1
  • 41
    • 77954402492 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An upper limit to seasonal rainfall predictability?
    • Westra, S., and, A. Sharma, (2010), An upper limit to seasonal rainfall predictability?, J. Clim., 23 (12), 3332-3351.
    • (2010) J. Clim. , vol.23 , Issue.12 , pp. 3332-3351
    • Westra, S.1    Sharma, A.2
  • 42
    • 77957367730 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Drought analysis using trivariate copulas conditional on climatic states
    • Wong, G., M. F. Lambert, M. Leonard, and, A. V. Metcalfe, (2010), Drought analysis using trivariate copulas conditional on climatic states, J. Hydrol. Eng., 15 (2), 129-141.
    • (2010) J. Hydrol. Eng. , vol.15 , Issue.2 , pp. 129-141
    • Wong, G.1    Lambert, M.F.2    Leonard, M.3    Metcalfe, A.V.4
  • 43
    • 0035371278 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of bivariate gamma distributions for hydrological application
    • Yue, S., T. B. M. J. Ouarda, and, B. Bobée, (2001), A review of bivariate gamma distributions for hydrological application, J. Hydrol., 246 (1-4), 1-18.
    • (2001) J. Hydrol. , vol.246 , Issue.14 , pp. 1-18
    • Yue, S.1    Ouarda, T.B.M.J.2    Bobée, B.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.