Stratosphere key for wintertime atmospheric response to warm Atlantic decadal conditions

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 42, Issue 3-4, 2014, Pages 649-663

  Omrani, N E ^a,b   Keenlyside, N S ^a,c   Bader, Jürgen ^c,d   Manzini, Elisa ^d  

^a UNIVERSITY OF BERGEN   (Norway)

^b GEOMAR HELMHOLTZ CENTRE FOR OCEAN RESEARCH KIEL   (Germany)

^c BJERKNES CENTRE FOR CLIMATE RESEARCH   (Norway)

^d MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGY   (Germany)

Author keywords

Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and Variability (AMV); Major Stratospheric Warming (MSW) and stratosphere troposphere coupling; Multidecadal NAO and NAM trends and variability; North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Northern Annular Mode (NAM); Ocean Atmosphere interaction; Tropical Extratropical teleconnections

Indexed keywords

EID: 84894985694     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1860-3     Document Type: Article

References (64)

1. Allan R, Ansell T (2006) A new globally-complete monthly historical gridded mean sea level pressure data set (HadSLP2): 1850-2004. J Clim 19: 5816-5842.
2. Allen MR, Smith LA (1996) Monte Carlo SSA: detecting irregular oscillations in the presence of colored noise. J Clim 9(12): 3373-3404.
3. Ambaum MHP, Hoskins BJ (2002) The NAO troposphere-stratosphere connection. J Clim 15: 1969-1978.
4. Andrews DG, Holton JR, Leovy CB (1987) Middle atmosphere dynamics. Academic Press, London, p 489.
5. Bader J, and Latif M (2003) The impact of decadal-scale Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies on Sahelian rainfall and the North Atlantic Oscillation. Geophys Res Lett 30(22). doi: 10. 1029/2003gl018426.
6. Baldwin MP, Dunkerton TJ (1999) Downward propagation of the Arctic Oscillation from the stratosphere to the troposphere. J Geophys Res 104: 30937-30946.
7. Barsugli JJ, Battisti DS (1998) The basic effects of atmosphere-ocean thermal coupling on midlatitude variability. J Atmos Sci 55(4): 477-493.
8. Bell CJ, Gray LJ, Kettleborough J (2010) Changes in Northern Hemisphere stratospheric variability under increased CO2 concentrations. Q J R Meteorol Soc 136(650): 1181-1190. doi: 10. 1002/Qj. 633.
9. Black RX (2002) Stratospheric forcing of surface climate in the Arctic oscillation. J Clim 15: 268-277.
10. Booth BBB, Dunstone NJ, Halloran PR, Andrews T, Bellouin N (2012) Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability (vol 484, pg 228, 2012). Nature 485: 534. doi: 10. 1038/Nature11138.
11. Bretherton CS, Battisti DS (2000) An interpretation of the results from atmospheric general circulation models forced by the time history of the observed sea surface temperature distribution. Geophys Res Lett 27(6): 767-770.
12. Cagnazzo C, Manzini E (2009) Impact of the stratosphere on the winter tropospheric teleconnections between ENSO and the North Atlantic and European region. J Clim 22(5): 1223-1238. doi: 10. 1175/2008jcli2549. 1.
13. Charney JG, Drazin PG (1961) Propagation of planetary-scale disturbances from the lower into the upper atmosphere. J Geophys Res 66(1): 83-109. doi: 10. 1029/JZ066i001p00083.
14. Cohen J, Entekhabi D (2001) The influence of snow cover on Northern Hemisphere climate variability. Atmos Ocean 39(1): 35-53.
15. Czaja A, Frankignoul C (2002) Observed impact of Atlantic SST anomalies on the North Atlantic Oscillation. J Clim 15: 606-623.
16. Czaja A, Robertson AW, Huck T (2003) The role of Atlantic ocean-atmosphere coupling in affecting North Atlantic Oscillation variability. In: Hurrell JW, Kushnir Y, Ottersen G, Visbeck M (eds) The North Atlantic Oscillation: climate significance and environmental impact. American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, pp 147-172.
17. Deser C, Blackmon ML (1993) Surface climate variations over the North-Atlantic Ocean during winter-1900-1989. J Clim 6(9): 1743-1753.
18. Deser C, Thomas RA, Peng S (2007) The transient atmospheric circulation response to North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies. J Clim 20(18): 4751-4767.
19. Eden C, Jung T (2001) North Atlantic interdecadal variability: oceanic response to the North Atlantic Oscillation (1865-1997). J Clim 14(5): 676-691.
20. Eden C, Willebrand J (2001) Mechanism of interannual to decadal variability of the North Atlantic circulation. J Clim 14(10): 2266-2280.
21. Enfield DB, Mestas-Nuñez AM, Trimble PJ (2001) The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and its relation to rainfall and river flows in the continental US. Geophys Res Lett 28: 2077-2080.
22. Gastineau G, Frankignoul C (2012) Cold-season atmospheric response to the natural variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Clim Dyn 39(1-2): 37-57. doi: 10. 1007/S00382-011-1109-Y.
23. Gillett NP, Graf HF, Osborn TJ (2003) Climate change and the North Atlantic Oscillation. In: Hurrell JW, Kushnir Y, Ottersen G, Visbeck M (eds) The North Atlantic Oscillation: climate significance and environmental impact. American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, pp 193-209.
24. Hartmann DL, Wallace JM, Limpasuvan V, Thompson DWJ, Holton JR (2000) Can ozone depletion and global warming interact to produce rapid climate change? Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 97(4): 1412-1417.
25. Hasselmann K (1979) On the signal-to-noise problem in atmospheric response studies. In: Shaw DB (ed) Meteorology of Tropical Oceans. Royal Meteorological Society, Bracknell, UK, pp 251-259.
26. Haynes PH (2005) Stratospheric dynamics. Annu Rev Fluid Mech 37: 263-293.
27. Haynes PH, McIntyre ME, Shepherd TG, Marks CJ, Shine KP (1991) On the "downward" control of extratropical diabatic circulations by eddy induced mean zonal forces. J Atmos Sci 48: 651-680.
28. Hodson DLR, Sutton RT, Cassou C, Keenlyside N, Okumura Y, Zhou TJ (2010) Climate impacts of recent multidecadal changes in Atlantic Ocean Sea Surface Temperature: a multimodel comparison. Clim Dyn 34(7-8): 1041-1058. doi: 10. 1007/S00382-009-0571-2.
29. Hoerling MP, Hurrell JW, Xu TY (2001) Tropical origins for recent North Atlantic climate change. Science 292(5514): 90-92.
30. Hurrell JW, Kushnir Y, Ottersen G, Visbeck M (2003) An overview of the North Atlantic Oscillation. In: Hurrell JW, Kushnir Y, Ottersen G, Visbeck M (eds) The North Atlantic Oscillation: climate significance and environmental impact. American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, pp 1-35.
31. Jungclaus JH, Haak H, Latif M, Mikolajewicz U (2005) Arctic-North Atlantic interactions and multidecadal variability of the meridional overturning circulation. J Clim 18: 4013-4031. doi: 10. 1175/JCLI3462. 1.
32. Kalnay E et al (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77(3): 437-471.
33. Karpechko AY and Manzini E (2012) Stratospheric influence on tropospheric climate change in the Northern Hemisphere. J Geophys Res Atmos 117. doi: 10. 1029/2011jd017036.
34. Kindem IT, Christiansen B (2001) Tropospheric response to stratospheric ozone loss. Geophys Res Lett 28(8): 1547-1550.
35. Kucharski F, Molteni F, Bracco A (2006) Decadal interactions between the western tropical Pacific and the North Atlantic Oscillation. Clim Dyn 26(1): 79-91. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-005-0085-5.
36. Kushnir Y (1994) Interdecadal variations in North Atlantic sea surface temperature and associated atmospheric conditions. J Clim 7: 141-157.
37. Kushnir Y, Robinson WA, Blade I, Hall NMJ, Peng S, Sutton R (2002) Atmospheric GCM response to extratropical SST anomalies: synthesis and evaluation. J Clim 15(16): 2233-2256.
38. Langematz U, Kunze M, Kruger K, Labitzke K, and Roff GL (2003) Thermal and dynamical changes of the stratosphere since 1979 and their link to ozone and CO2 changes. J Geophys Res Atmos 108(D1). doi: 10. 1029/2002jd002069.
39. Limpasuvan V, Hartmann DL (1999) Eddies and the annular modes of climate variability. Geophys Res Lett 26(20): 3133-3136.
40. Limpasuvan V and Hartmann DL (2000) Wave-maintained annular modes of climate variability. J Clim 13: 4414-4429.
41. Manzini E, Giorgetta MA, Esch M, Kornblueh L, Roeckner E (2006) The influence of sea surface temperatures on the northern winter stratosphere: ensemble simulations with the MAECHAM5 model. J Clim 19(16): 3863-3881.
42. Manzini E, Cagnazzo C, Fogli PG, Bellucci A and Muller WA (2012) Stratosphere-troposphere coupling at inter-decadal time scales: implications for the North Atlantic Ocean, Geophys Res Lett 39. doi: 10. 1029/2011gl050771.
43. Morgenstern O et al. (2010) Anthropogenic forcing of the Northern Annular Mode in CCMVal-2 models. J Geophys Res Atmos 115. doi: 10. 1029/2009jd013347.
44. Newman PA, Nash ER, Rosenfield JE (2001) What controls the temperature of the Arctic stratosphere during the spring? J Geophys Res Atmos 106(D17): 19999-20010. doi: 10. 1029/2000jd000061.
45. Nishii K, Nakamura H, Miyasaka T (2009) Modulations in the planetary wave field induced by upward-propagating Rossby wave packets prior to stratospheric sudden warming events: a case-study. Q J R Meteorol Soc 135(638): 39-52. doi: 10. 1002/Qj. 359.
46. Ottera OH, Bentsen M, Drange H, Suo LL (2010) External forcing as a metronome for Atlantic multidecadal variability. Nat Geosci 3(10): 688-694.
47. Perlwitz J, Harnik N (2003) Observational evidence of a stratospheric influence on the troposphere by planetary wave reflection. J Clim 16: 3011-3026.
48. Rayner NA, Parker DE, Horton EB, Folland CK, Alexander LV, Rowell DP, Kent EC, Kaplan A (2003) Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J Geophys Res 108(D14): 4407. doi: 10. 1029/2002JD002670.
49. Rodwell MJ, Rowell DP, Folland CK (1999) Oceanic forcing of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and European climate. Nature 398(6725): 320-323.
50. Roeckner E et al (2003) The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM5. Part I: Model description, vol 349. Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, p 127.
51. Scaife AA, Knight JR, Vallis GK, Folland CK (2005) A stratospheric influence on the winter NAO and North Atlantic surface climate. Geophys Res Lett 32: L18715. doi: 10. 1029/2005GL023226.
52. Scaife AA et al (2012) Climate change projections and stratosphere-troposphere interaction. Clim Dyn 38(9-10): 2089-2097. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-011-1080-7.
53. Schimanke S, Korper J, Spangehl T and Cubasch U (2011) Multi-decadal variability of sudden stratospheric warmings in an AOGCM. Geophys Res Lett 38: L01801. doi: 10. 1029/2010GL045756.
54. Semenov VA, Latif M, Jungclaus JH and Park W (2008) Is the observed NAO variability during the instrumental record unusual?. Geophys Res Lett 35(11). doi: 10. 1029/2008gl033273.
55. Song Y, Robinson W (2004) Dynamical mechanisms for stratospheric influences on the troposphere. J Atmos Sci 61: 1711-1725.
56. Sutton RT, Hodson DLR (2005) Atlantic Ocean forcing of North American and European summer climate. Science 309: 115-118.
57. Thompson DWJ, Wallace JM (2000) Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part I: month-to-month variability. J Clim 13: 1000-1016.
58. Trouet V, Esper J, Graham NE, Baker A, Scourse JD, Frank DC (2009) Persistent positive North Atlantic Oscillation mode dominated the medieval climate anomaly. Science 324(5923): 78-80. doi: 10. 1126/Science. 1166349.
59. Vellinga M, Wu P (2004) Low-latitude freshwater influence on centennial variability of the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation. J Clim 17: 4498-4511.
60. Visbeck M, Chassignet E, Curry R, Delworth T, Dickson B, Krahmann G (2003) The ocean's response to North Atlantic Oscillation variability in "The North Atlantic Oscillation". In: Hurrell JW, Kushnir Y, Ottersen G, Visbeck M (eds) The North Atlantic Oscillation: climate significance and environmental impact. American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, pp 113-146.
61. Winter B and Bourqui M (2010) Wave forcing in the stratosphere under doubled-CO2 conditions in a 100-year coupled chemistry-climate model study. J Geophys Res Atmos 115. doi: 10. 1029/2009jd012777.
62. WMO (2011) Scientific assessment of ozone depletion: 2010 Rep. Geneva, Switzerland, p 516.
63. Wunsch C (1999) The interpretation of short climate records, with comments on the North Atlantic and Southern Oscillations. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 80(2): 245-255.
64. Zhang R, Delworth TL (2006) Impact of Atlantic multidecadal oscillations on India/Sahel rainfall and Atlantic hurricanes. Geophys Res Lett 33(17): L17712. doi: 10. 1029/2006gl026267.