Climate change and thermal comfort in Hong Kong

International Journal of Biometeorology

Volumn 58, Issue 2, 2014, Pages 137-148

  Cheung, Chi Shing Calvin ^a   Hart, Melissa Anne ^a,b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONG   (Hong Kong)

^b UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES   (Australia)

Author keywords

Future climate scenario; General circulation model; Statistical downscaling; Thermal comfort; Universal thermal comfort index

Indexed keywords

AIR; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; ECOSYSTEM; HEAT STRESS DISORDERS; HONG KONG; HUMAN; PATHOPHYSIOLOGY; PREVALENCE; RISK FACTOR; STATISTICAL MODEL; TEMPERATURE SENSE; THERMOREGULATION;

AIR MOVEMENTS; BODY TEMPERATURE REGULATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; ECOSYSTEM; HEAT STRESS DISORDERS; HONG KONG; HUMANS; MODELS, STATISTICAL; PREVALENCE; RISK FACTORS; THERMOSENSING;

EID: 84894642303     PISSN: 00207128     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-012-0608-9     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Blazejczyk K, Bluestein M, Ducharme M, Fiala D, Havenith G, Höppe P, Holmer I, Nicol F, Osczevski R, Steadman R, Jendritzky G, deDear R (2010a) Exective summary-the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) for assessing the thermal environment of the human being. COST Action 730. COST European Cooperation in Scientific and Technical Research.
2. Blazejczyk K, Broede P, Fiala D, Havenith G, Holmér I, Jendritzky G, Kampmann B, Kunert A (2010b) Principles of the new Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) and its application to bioclimatic research in European scale. Misc Geogr 14: 91-102.
3. Blazejczyk K, Epstein Y, Jendritzky G, Staiger H, Tinz B (2012) Comparison of UTCI to selected thermal indices. Int J Biometeorol 56(3): 515-535. doi: 10. 1007/s00484-011-0453-2.
4. Cheng V, Ng E, Chan C, Givoni B (2012) Outdoor thermal comfort study in a sub-tropical climate: a longitudinal study based in Hong Kong. Int J Biometeorol 56(1): 43-56.
5. Das L, Lohar D (2005) Construction of climate change scenarios for a tropical monsoon region. Clim Res 30(1): 39-52.
6. Davis RE, Knappenberger PC, Michaels PJ, Novicoff WM (2004) Seasonality of climate-human mortality relationships in US cities and impacts of climate change. Clim Res 26(1): 61-76.
7. Delworth TL, Broccoli AJ, Rosati A, Stouffer RJ, Balaji V, Beesley JA, Cooke WF, Dixon KW, Dunne J, Dunne KA, Durachta JW, Findell KL, Ginoux P, Gnanadesikan A, Gordon CT, Griffies SM, Gudgel R, Harrison MJ, Held IM, Hemler RS (2006) GFDL's CM2 Global Coupled Climate Models. Part I: formulation and simulation characteristics. J Climate 19(5): 643-674.
8. Ginn WL, Lee TC, Chan KY (2010) Past and future changes in the climate of Hong Kong. Acta Meteorol Sin 24(2): 163-175.
9. Google Maps (2010) Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong.
10. Gosling S, McGregor G, Lowe J (2012) The benefits of quantifying climate model uncertainty in climate change impacts assessment: an example with heat-related mortality change estimates. Clim Chang 112(2): 217-231. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-011-0211-9.
11. Hong Kong Observatory (2012) Climatological normals and extremes. http://www. weather. gov. hk/cis/normal_e. htm.
12. Hoppe P (2002) Different aspects of assessing indoor and outdoor thermal comfort. Energ Buildings 34(6): 661-665.
13. IPCC (2007) Climate Change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
14. IPCC-TGICA (2007) General guidelines on the use of scenario data for climate impact and adaptation assessment. Version 2. Prepared by T. R. Carter on behalf of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impact and Climate Assessment, 66.
15. Jendritzky G, de Dear R, Havenith G (2012) UTCI-Why another thermal index? Int J Biometeorol 56(3): 421-428. doi: 10. 1007/s00484-011-0513-7.
16. Kistler R, Kalnay E, Collins W, Saha S, White G, Woollen J, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Kanamitsu M, Kousky V, van Den Dool H, Jenne R, Fiorino M (2001) The NCEP-NCAR 50-year reanalysis: monthly means CD-ROM and documentation. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 82(2): 247-267.
17. Lee TC, Leung WH, Ginn EW (2008) Rainfall projections for Hong Kong based on the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. Hong Kong Meteor Soc Bull 18.
18. Lee TC, Chan KY, Ginn WL (2011) Projection of extreme temperatures in Hong Kong in the 21st century. Acta Meteorol Sin 25(1): 1-20.
19. Leung YK, Wu MC, Yeung KK, Leung WM (2007) Temperature projections in Hong Kong based on IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. Hong Kong Meteor Soc Bull 17.
20. Lim YK, Cocke S, Shin DW, Schoof JT, LaRow TE, O'Brien JJ (2009) Downscaling large-scale NCEP CFS to resolve fine-scale seasonal precipitation and extremes for the crop growing seasons over the southeastern United States. Clim Dynam 1-23.
21. Matzarakis A, Endler C (2010) Climate change and thermal bioclimate in cities: impacts and options for adaptation in Freiburg, Germany. Int J Biometeorol 54(4): 479-483.
22. Matzarakis A, Rutz F, Mayer H (2007) Modelling radiation fluxes in simple and complex environments - application of the RayMan model. Int J Biometeorol 51(4): 323-334.
23. Matzarakis A, De Rocco M, Najjar G (2009) Thermal bioclimate in Strasbourg-the 2003 heat wave. Theor Appl Climatol 98(3-4): 209-220.
24. Matzarakis A, Muthers S, Koch E (2011) Human biometeorological evaluation of heat-related mortality in Vienna. Theor Appl Climatol 105(1-2): 1-10.
25. Najac J, Boé J, Terray L (2009) A multi-model ensemble approach for assessment of climate change impact on surface winds in France. Clim Dynam 32(5): 615-634.
26. Ng E (2012) Towards planning and practical understanding of the need for meteorological and climatic information in the design of high-density cities: a case-based study of Hong Kong. Int J Climatol 32(4): 582-598. doi: 10. 1002/Joc. 2292.
27. O'Brien RM (2007) A caution regarding rules of thumb for variance inflation factors. Qual Quant 41(5): 673-690.
28. Oliveira S, Andrade H (2007) An initial assessment of the bioclimatic comfort in an outdoor public space in Lisbon. Int J Biometeorol 52(1): 69-84.
29. Park S, Tuller SE (2011) Comparison of human radiation exchange models in outdoor areas. Theor Appl Climatol 105(3-4): 357-370.
30. Paul S, Liu CM, Chen JM, Lin SH (2008) Development of a statistical downscaling model for projecting monthly rainfall over East Asia from a general circulation model output. J Geophys Res-Atmos 113(D15): 10. 1029/2007jd009472.
31. Sailor DJ, Smith M, Hart M (2008) Climate change implications for wind power resources in the Northwest United States. Renew Energ 33(11): 2393-2406.
32. Schmidt GA, Ruedy R, Hansen JE, Aleinov I, Bell N, Bauer M, Bauer S, Cairns B, Canuto V, Cheng Y, Del Genio A, Faluvegi G, Friend AD, Hall TM, Hu YY, Kelley M, Kiang NY, Koch D, Lacis AA, Lerner J, Lo KK, Miller RL, Nazarenko L, Oinas V, Perlwitz J, Perlwitz J, Rind D, Romanou A, Russell GL, Sato M, Shindell DT, Stone PH, Sun S, Tausnev N, Thresher D, Yao MS (2006) Present-day atmospheric simulations using GISS ModelE: comparison to in situ, satellite, and reanalysis data. J Climate 19(2): 153-192.
33. Siu L, Hart M (2012) Quantifying urban heat island intensity in Hong Kong SAR, China. Environ Monit Assess. doi: 10. 1007/s10661-012-2876-6.
34. Spagnolo J, de Dear R (2003a) A field study of thermal comfort in outdoor and semi-outdoor environments in subtropical Sydney Australia. Build Environ 38(5): 721-738.
35. Spagnolo JC, de Dear RJ (2003b) A human thermal climatology of subtropical Sydney. Int J Climatol 23: 1383-1395. doi: 10. 1002/Joc. 939.
36. Spak S, Holloway T, Lynn B, Goldberg R (2007) A comparison of statistical and dynamical downscaling for surface temperature in North America. J Geophys Res-Atmos 112(D8): 10. 1029/2005jd006712.
37. Stewart ID, Oke TR (2009) Classifying urban climate field sites by "local climate zones": the case of Nagano, Japan. Paper presented at the The seventh International Conference on Urban Climate, Yokohama, Japan, 29 June-3 July 2009.
38. Thorsson S, Lindberg F, Bjorklund J, Holmer B, Rayner D (2011) Potential changes in outdoor thermal comfort conditions in Gothenburg, Sweden due to climate change: the influence of urban geometry. Int J Climatol 31(2): 324-335. doi: 10. 1002/Joc. 2231.
39. Tomozeiu R, Cacciamani C, Pavan V, Morgillo A, Busuioc A (2007) Climate change scenarios for surface temperature in Emilia-Romagna (Italy) obtained using statistical downscaling models. Theor Appl Climatol 90(1-2): 25-47.
40. Vaneckova P, Hart MA, Beggs PJ, de Dear RJ (2008) Synoptic analysis of heat-related mortality in Sydney, Australia, 1993-2001. Int J Biometeorol 52(6): 439-451.
41. Wilby RL, Carter TR, Zorita E, Timbal B, Whetton P, Mearns L (2004) Guidelines for use of climate scenarios developed from statistical downscaling methods. http://www. narccap. ucar. edu/doc/tgica-guidance-2004. pdf.
42. Yan YY (2000) The influence of weather on human mortality in Hong Kong. Soc Sci Med 50(3): 419-427.
43. Yan YY (2009) Seasonal variations of mortality in Hong Kong. Biol Rhythm Res 40(5): 425-431.
44. Yip KM, Leung YK, Yeung KH (2007) Long-term Trend in thermal index and its impact on mortality in Hong Kong. Paper presented at the International Conference on Climate Change, Hong Kong, China, 29-31 May 2007.
45. Yukimoto S, Noda A, Kitoh A, Hosaka M, Yoshimura H, Uchiyama T, Shibata K, Arakawa O, Kusunoki S (2006) Present-Day Climate and Climate Sensitivity in the Meteorological Research Institute Coupled GCM Version 2. 3 (MRI-CGCM2. 3). J Meteorol Soc Jpn 84(2): 333-363.