Development of a statistical downscaling model for projecting monthly rainfall over East Asia from a general circulation model output

Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres

Volumn 113, Issue 15, 2008, Pages

  Paul, Sahana ^b   Liu, C M ^b   Chen, J M ^a   Lin, S H ^b  

^a NATIONAL KAOHSIUNG UNIVERSITY OF APPLIED SCIENCES   (Taiwan)

^b NATIONAL TAIWAN UNIVERSITY   (Taiwan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; FOURIER ANALYSIS; RAIN; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SEA LEVEL;

20TH CENTURY; ANNUAL RAINFALL; CLIMATE RESEARCH; EAST ASIA; EMPIRICAL ORTHOGONAL FUNCTION; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; INDOCHINA PENINSULA; MEAN SEA LEVEL PRESSURES; MODEL-BASED; NORTHERN CHINA; REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS; REGRESSION MODEL; SIMILAR PATTERN; SOUTHERN CHINA; STATISTICAL DOWNSCALING; SVD(SINGULAR VALUE DECOMPOSITION); WIND SPEED;

SINGULAR VALUE DECOMPOSITION;

ANNUAL REVIEW; CLIMATE CHANGE; COASTAL ZONE; DOWNSCALING; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); RAINFALL; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SEA LEVEL PRESSURE; TWENTY FIRST CENTURY; WIND VELOCITY;

ASIA; EURASIA; FAR EAST;

EID: 71949088967     PISSN: 01480227     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2007JD009472     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Benestad, R. (1998), SVD applied statistical downscaling for prediction of monthly mean land surface temperatures: Model documentation, DNMI Rep., 30.
2. Bretherton, C. S., C. Smith, and J. M. Wallace (1992), An intercomparison of methods for finding coupled patterns on climate data, J. Clim., 5, 541-560.
3. Busuioc, A., H. von Storch, and R. Schnur (1999), Verification of GCM generated regional seasonal precipitation for current climate and of statistical downscaling estimates under changing climate conditions, J. Clim., 12, 258-272. (Pubitemid 29253347)
4. Busuioc, A., D. Chen, and C. Hellstorm (2001), Performance of statistical downscaling models in GCM validation and regional climate change estimates: Application for Swedish precipitation, Int. J. Climatol., 21, 557-578. (Pubitemid 32406646)
5. Cavazos, T., and B. C. Hewitson (2005), Performance of NCEP variables in statistical downscaling of daily precipitation, Clim. Res., 28, 95-107. (Pubitemid 40549153)
6. Central Weather Bureau (CWB) (2005), The initial development of statistical downscaling prediction scheme, Final Rep., Proj. IEI-C94-CFM-DWR-005.
7. Chang, C.-P., and K. M. Lau (1982), Short-term planetary-scale interaction over the tropics and the mid-latitudes during northern winter. Part I: Contrast between active and interactive periods, Mon. Weather Rev., 110, 933-946.
8. Chen, D., and Y. Chen (1999), Development and verification of a multiple regression downscaling model for monthly temperature in Sweden, in Preliminary Analysis and Statistical Downscaling of Monthly Temperature in Sweden, edited by D. Chen, C. Hellström, and Y. Chen, Rep. C16, Earth Sci. Cent., Göteborg Univ., Göteborg, Sweden.
9. Chen, D., and Y. Chen (2003), Association between winter temperature in China and upper air circulation over East Asia revealed by canonical correlation analysis, Global Planet. Change, 37, 315-325. (Pubitemid 36708314)
10. Chen, J. M., F. C. Lu, S. L. Kuo, and C. F. Shih (2005), Summer climate variability in Taiwan and associated large scale processes, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 83(4), 499-516.
11. Chen, S. C. (2002), Model mismatch between global and regional simulations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(5), 1060, doi:10.1029/2001GL013570.
12. Department of Environment (DOE) (1996), Review of the Potential Effect of Climate Change in the United Kingdom, Her Majesty's Stn. Off., London, UK.
13. Douville, H. (2005), Limitations of time-slice experiments for predicting regional climate change over South Asia, Clim. Dyn., 24(4), 373-391.
14. Efimov, V. V., and V. L. Pososhkov (2006), Application of the method of artificial neural networks to the downscaling of precipitation forecasts in the coastal region of the Black Sea, Phys. Oceanogr., 16, 141-152.
15. Hirakuchi, H., and F. Giorgi (1995), Multiyear present-day and 2 × CO2 simulations of monsoon climate over eastern Asia and Japan with a regional climate model nested in a general circulation model, J. Geophys. Res., 100, 21,105-21,125.
16. Huijun, W., X. Feng, and Z. Guangqing (2002), The spring monsoon in South China and its relationship to large-scale circulation features, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 19(4), 651-664.
17. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2007), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC, 996 pp., Cambridge Univ. Press, New York.
18. KaMay, E., et al. (1996), The NCEPZNCAR 40-year reanalysis project, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 77, 437-470.
19. Kang, H. S., D.-H. Cha, and D. K. Lee (2005), Evaluation of the mesoscale model/land surface model (MM5/LSM) coupled model for East Asian summer monsoon simulations, J. Geophys. Res., 110, D10105, doi:10.1029/2004JD005266.
20. Karl, T. R., W. C. Wang, M. E. Schlesinger, R. W. Knight, and D. Portman (1990), A method of relating general circulation model simulated climate to the observed local climate. Part I: Seasonal statistics, J. Clim., 1, 1057-1064.
21. Kharin, V. V., and F. W. Zwiers (2002), Notes and Correspondence, Climate predictions with multimodel ensemble, J. Clim., 15, 793-799.
22. Kim, M. K., I. S. Kang, C. K. Park, and K. M. Kim (2004), Superensemble prediction of regional precipitation over Korea, Int. J. Climatol., 24(6), 777-790.
23. Kitoh, A. (2006), Asian monsoons in future, in The Asian Monsoon, pp. 631-649, Springer, New York.
24. Liu, C. M., Y. C. Chen, S. F. Chen, S. Paul, S. H. Lin, Y. C. Lee, M. C. Wu, R. Y. Tzeng, H. H. Hsu, and C. T. Chen (2007), Ensemble projection of climate change in East Asia, AOGS, 9, 135-147.
25. Livezey, R. E., and W. Y. Chen (1983), Statistical fields significance and its determination by Monte Carlo techniques, Mon. Weather Rev., 11, 46-59.
26. Mitchell, T. D., and P. D. Jones (2005), An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high resolution grids, Int. J. Climatol., 25(6), 693-712.
27. Preisendorfer, R. W. (1988), Principal Component Analysis in Meteorology and Oceanography, 425 pp., Elsvier, Amsterdam.
28. Schmidli, J., C. Frei, and P. L. Vidale (2006), Downscaling from GCM precipitation: A benchmark for dynamical and statistical methods, Int. J. Climatol., 26, 679-689.
29. Stanski, H. R., L. J. Wilson, and W. R. Burrows (1989), Survey of common verification methods in meteorology, in World Weather Watch Tech. Rep. 8, 114 pp., World Meteorol. Org., Geneva.
30. Utierrez, J. M. G., A. S. C. Ofino, R. L. Ano, and M. A. R. Odvignez (2004), Clustering methods for statistical downscaling in short range weather forecasts, Mon. Weather Rev., 132, 2179-2183.
31. Uvo, C. B., J. Olsson, O. Morita, K. Jinno, A. Kawamura, K. Nishiyama, N. Koreeda, and T. Nakashima (2001), Statistical atmospheric downscaling for rainfall estimation in Kyushu Island, Japan, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 5(2), 259-271.
32. von Storch, H. (1995a), Spatial patterns: EOFs and CCA, in Analysis of Climate Variability: Application of Statistical Techniques, Springer, Berlin.
33. von Storch, H. (1995b), Inconsistencies at the interface of climate impacts studies and global climate research, Meteorol. Z., NF4, 72-80.
34. Wallace, J. M., and Y. Zhang (1993), Structure and seasonality of interannual and interdecadal variabilty of the geopotential height and temperature fields in the Northern Hemisphere troposphere, J. Clim., 6, 2063-2082.
35. Wang, Y., L. R. Leung, J. L. McGregor, D.-K. Lee, W.-C. Wang, Y. Ding, and F. Kimura (2004), Regional climate modeling: Progress, challenges, and prospects, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 82(6), 1599-1628.
36. Widmann, M., and C. S. Bretherton (2003), Statistical precipitation downscaling over Northwestern United States using numerically simulated precipitation as a predictor, J. Clim., 16, 799-816. (Pubitemid 37164403)
37. Wigley, T. M. L., P. D. Jones, K. R. Briffa, and G. Smith (1990), Obtaining subgrid scale information from coarse-resolution general circulation model output, J. Geophys. Res., 95, 1943-1953.
38. Wilby, R. L., and T. M. L. Wigley (2000), Precipitation predictors for downscaling: Observed and general circulation mode relationships, Int. J. Climatol., 20, 641-661.
39. Yamada, K., and R. Kawamura (2007), Dynamical link between typhoon activity and the PJ teleconnection pattern from early summer to autumn as revealed by the JRA-25 reannalysis, SOLA, 3, 65-66.
40. Yatagai, A., P. Xie, and A. Kitoh (2005), Utilization of new gauge-based daily precipitation data set over monsoon Asia for validation of daily precipitation climatology simulated by the MRI/JMA 20 km mesh AGCM, Sci. Online Lett. Atmos., 1, 193-196.
41. Zhang, Y., K. R. Sperber, and J. S. Boyle (1997), Climatology and interannual variation of the East Asia winter monsoon: Results from the 1979-95 NCEP-NCAR reanalysis, Mon. Weather Rev., 125, 2605-2619.
42. Zhaohui, L., and Z. Qingcum (1997), Simulation of East Asian summer monsoon by using an improved AGCM, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 14(4), 513-526.
43. Zorita, E., and H. von Storch (1999), The analog method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: Comparison with more complicated methods, J Clim., 12, 2474-2489. (Pubitemid 30024901)