메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 29, Issue 2, 2014, Pages 213-228

Assessing and comparing risk to climate changes among forested locations: Implications for ecosystem services

Author keywords

Climate change; Eastern United States; Ecosystem services; Forest composition; Prediction; Trees

Indexed keywords


EID: 84894337413     PISSN: 09212973     EISSN: 15729761     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10980-013-9965-y     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (21)

References (52)
  • 2
    • 84871354967 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consequences of widespread tree mortality triggered by drought and temperature stress
    • Anderegg WRL, Kane JM, Anderegg LDL (2013) Consequences of widespread tree mortality triggered by drought and temperature stress. Nat Clim Change 3: 30-36.
    • (2013) Nat Clim Change , vol.3 , pp. 30-36
    • Anderegg, W.R.L.1    Kane, J.M.2    Anderegg, L.D.L.3
  • 3
    • 84863459456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of biodiversity in supporting ecosystem services in Natura 2000 sites
    • Bastian O (2013) The role of biodiversity in supporting ecosystem services in Natura 2000 sites. Ecol Ind 24: 12-22.
    • (2013) Ecol Ind , vol.24 , pp. 12-22
    • Bastian, O.1
  • 4
    • 45849092625 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forests and climate change: forcings, feedbacks, and the climate benefits of forests
    • Bonan GB (2008) Forests and climate change: forcings, feedbacks, and the climate benefits of forests. Science 320: 1444-1449.
    • (2008) Science , vol.320 , pp. 1444-1449
    • Bonan, G.B.1
  • 5
    • 84877123828 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future species composition will affect forest water use after loss of eastern hemlock from southern Appalachian forests
    • Brantley ST, Ford CR, Vose JM (2013) Future species composition will affect forest water use after loss of eastern hemlock from southern Appalachian forests. Ecol Appl 23: 777-790.
    • (2013) Ecol Appl , vol.23 , pp. 777-790
    • Brantley, S.T.1    Ford, C.R.2    Vose, J.M.3
  • 6
    • 79955111194 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • When ecosystem services crash: preparing for big, fast, patchy climate change
    • Breshears DD, Lopez-Hoffman L, Graumlich LJ (2010) When ecosystem services crash: preparing for big, fast, patchy climate change. Ambio 40: 256-263.
    • (2010) Ambio , vol.40 , pp. 256-263
    • Breshears, D.D.1    Lopez-Hoffman, L.2    Graumlich, L.J.3
  • 7
    • 84865422606 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecosystem services from forest restoration: thinking ahead
    • Ciccarese L, Mattsson A, Pettenella D (2012) Ecosystem services from forest restoration: thinking ahead. New For 43: 543-560.
    • (2012) New For , vol.43 , pp. 543-560
    • Ciccarese, L.1    Mattsson, A.2    Pettenella, D.3
  • 8
    • 84864045998 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential impacts of climate change on ecosystem services in Europe: the case of pest control by vertebrates
    • Civantos E, Thuiller W, Maiorano L, Guisan A, Araujo MB (2012) Potential impacts of climate change on ecosystem services in Europe: the case of pest control by vertebrates. Bioscience 62: 658-666.
    • (2012) Bioscience , vol.62 , pp. 658-666
    • Civantos, E.1    Thuiller, W.2    Maiorano, L.3    Guisan, A.4    Araujo, M.B.5
  • 10
    • 80054000618 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecosystem services and climate change: understanding the differences and identifying opportunities for forest carbon
    • Deal RL, Raymond C, Peterson DL, Glick C (2010) Ecosystem services and climate change: understanding the differences and identifying opportunities for forest carbon. In: USDA Forest Service Proceedings RMRS-P-61, p 9-25.
    • (2010) USDA Forest Service Proceedings RMRS-P-61 , pp. 9-25
    • Deal, R.L.1    Raymond, C.2    Peterson, D.L.3    Glick, C.4
  • 12
    • 70449084688 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the effect of climate on maple syrup production in Québec, Canada
    • Duchesne L, Houle D, Côté M, Logan T (2009) Modelling the effect of climate on maple syrup production in Québec, Canada. For Ecol Manage 258: 2683-2689.
    • (2009) For Ecol Manage , vol.258 , pp. 2683-2689
    • Duchesne, L.1    Houle, D.2    Côté, M.3    Logan, T.4
  • 13
    • 84861945571 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and ecosystem disruption: the health impacts of the North American rocky mountain pine beetle infestation
    • Embrey S, Remais JV, Hess J (2012) Climate change and ecosystem disruption: the health impacts of the North American rocky mountain pine beetle infestation. Am J Public Health 102: 818-827.
    • (2012) Am J Public Health , vol.102 , pp. 818-827
    • Embrey, S.1    Remais, J.V.2    Hess, J.3
  • 14
    • 84877003210 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the growth potential and economic impact of the US maple syrup industry
    • Farrell M, Chabot B (2012) Assessing the growth potential and economic impact of the US maple syrup industry. J Agric Food Syst Community Dev 2: 11-27.
    • (2012) J Agric Food Syst Community Dev , vol.2 , pp. 11-27
    • Farrell, M.1    Chabot, B.2
  • 17
    • 0036151777 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Study of landscape change under forest harvesting and climate warming-induced fire disturbance
    • He H, Mladenoff D, Gustafson E (2002) Study of landscape change under forest harvesting and climate warming-induced fire disturbance. For Ecol Manage 155: 257-270.
    • (2002) For Ecol Manage , vol.155 , pp. 257-270
    • He, H.1    Mladenoff, D.2    Gustafson, E.3
  • 19
    • 2642585624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How fast and far might tree species migrate under climate change in the eastern United States?
    • Iverson LR, Schwartz MW, Prasad A (2004) How fast and far might tree species migrate under climate change in the eastern United States? Glob Ecol Biogeogr 13: 209-219.
    • (2004) Glob Ecol Biogeogr , vol.13 , pp. 209-219
    • Iverson, L.R.1    Schwartz, M.W.2    Prasad, A.3
  • 20
    • 38349150302 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating potential habitat for 134 eastern US tree species under six climate scenarios
    • Iverson LR, Prasad AM, Matthews SN, Peters MP (2008) Estimating potential habitat for 134 eastern US tree species under six climate scenarios. For Ecol Manage 254: 390-406.
    • (2008) For Ecol Manage , vol.254 , pp. 390-406
    • Iverson, L.R.1    Prasad, A.M.2    Matthews, S.N.3    Peters, M.P.4
  • 21
    • 80052430201 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lessons learned while integrating habitat, dispersal, disturbance, and life-history traits into species habitat models under climate change
    • Iverson LR, Prasad AM, Matthews SN, Peters MP (2011) Lessons learned while integrating habitat, dispersal, disturbance, and life-history traits into species habitat models under climate change. Ecosystems 14: 1005-1020.
    • (2011) Ecosystems , vol.14 , pp. 1005-1020
    • Iverson, L.R.1    Prasad, A.M.2    Matthews, S.N.3    Peters, M.P.4
  • 22
    • 84865414782 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development of risk matrices for evaluating climatic change responses of forested habitats
    • Iverson LR, Matthews SN, Prasad AM, Peters MP, Yohe G (2012) Development of risk matrices for evaluating climatic change responses of forested habitats. Clim Change 114: 231-243.
    • (2012) Clim Change , vol.114 , pp. 231-243
    • Iverson, L.R.1    Matthews, S.N.2    Prasad, A.M.3    Peters, M.P.4    Yohe, G.5
  • 23
    • 34250878492 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The macroecological contribution to global change solutions
    • Kerr JT, Kharouba HM, Currie DJ (2007) The macroecological contribution to global change solutions. Science 316: 1581-1584.
    • (2007) Science , vol.316 , pp. 1581-1584
    • Kerr, J.T.1    Kharouba, H.M.2    Currie, D.J.3
  • 24
    • 18444377095 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Managing ecosystem services: What do we need to know about their ecology?
    • Kremen C (2005) Managing ecosystem services: What do we need to know about their ecology? Ecol Lett 8: 468-479.
    • (2005) Ecol Lett , vol.8 , pp. 468-479
    • Kremen, C.1
  • 25
    • 83455260144 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How fundamental plant functional trait relationships scale-up to trade-offs and synergies in ecosystem services
    • Lavorel S, Grigulis K (2012) How fundamental plant functional trait relationships scale-up to trade-offs and synergies in ecosystem services. J Ecol 100: 128-140.
    • (2012) J Ecol , vol.100 , pp. 128-140
    • Lavorel, S.1    Grigulis, K.2
  • 26
    • 73449085115 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trends in global wildfire potential in a changing climate
    • Liu Y, Stanturf J, Goodrick S (2010) Trends in global wildfire potential in a changing climate. For Ecol Manage 259: 685-697.
    • (2010) For Ecol Manage , vol.259 , pp. 685-697
    • Liu, Y.1    Stanturf, J.2    Goodrick, S.3
  • 27
    • 84877611268 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global vegetation biomass change (19882008) and attribution to environmental and human drivers
    • Liu YY, van Dijk AIJM, McCabe MF, Evans JP, de Jeu RAM (2013) Global vegetation biomass change (19882008) and attribution to environmental and human drivers. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 22: 692-705.
    • (2013) Glob Ecol Biogeogr , vol.22 , pp. 692-705
    • Liu, Y.Y.1    van Dijk, A.I.J.M.2    McCabe, M.F.3    Evans, J.P.4    de Jeu, R.A.M.5
  • 28
    • 69449084147 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sugar maple growth in relation to nutrition and stress in the northeastern United States
    • Long RP, Horsley SB, Hallett RA, Bailey SW (2009) Sugar maple growth in relation to nutrition and stress in the northeastern United States. Ecol Appl 19: 1454-1466.
    • (2009) Ecol Appl , vol.19 , pp. 1454-1466
    • Long, R.P.1    Horsley, S.B.2    Hallett, R.A.3    Bailey, S.W.4
  • 30
    • 80051817782 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modifying climate change habitat models using tree species-specific assessments of model uncertainty and life history-factors
    • Matthews SN, Iverson LR, Prasad AM, Peters MP, Rodewald PG (2011) Modifying climate change habitat models using tree species-specific assessments of model uncertainty and life history-factors. For Ecol Manage 262: 1460-1472.
    • (2011) For Ecol Manage , vol.262 , pp. 1460-1472
    • Matthews, S.N.1    Iverson, L.R.2    Prasad, A.M.3    Peters, M.P.4    Rodewald, P.G.5
  • 31
    • 24144450920 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • MEA-Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, Washington, DC: Island Press
    • MEA-Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being: synthesis. Island Press, Washington, DC.
    • (2005) Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Synthesis
  • 32
    • 39349090781 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and forests of the future: managing in the face of uncertainty
    • Millar C, Stephenson NL (2007) Climate change and forests of the future: managing in the face of uncertainty. Ecol Appl 17: 2145-2151.
    • (2007) Ecol Appl , vol.17 , pp. 2145-2151
    • Millar, C.1    Stephenson, N.L.2
  • 33
  • 34
    • 44149101489 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Role of winter temperature and climate change on the survival and future range expansion of the hemlock woolly adelgid (Adelges tsugae) in eastern North America
    • Paradis A, Elkinton J, Hayhoe K, Buonaccorsi J (2007) Role of winter temperature and climate change on the survival and future range expansion of the hemlock woolly adelgid (Adelges tsugae) in eastern North America. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change 3: 541-554.
    • (2007) Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change , vol.3 , pp. 541-554
    • Paradis, A.1    Elkinton, J.2    Hayhoe, K.3    Buonaccorsi, J.4
  • 38
    • 33645330972 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Newer classification and regression tree techniques: bagging and random forests for ecological prediction
    • Prasad AM, Iverson LR, Liaw A (2006) Newer classification and regression tree techniques: bagging and random forests for ecological prediction. Ecosystems 9: 181-199.
    • (2006) Ecosystems , vol.9 , pp. 181-199
    • Prasad, A.M.1    Iverson, L.R.2    Liaw, A.3
  • 39
    • 84878655429 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploring tree species colonization potentials using a spatially explicit simulation model: implications for four oaks under climate change
    • Prasad AM, Gardiner JD, Iverson LR, Matthews SN, Peters M (2013) Exploring tree species colonization potentials using a spatially explicit simulation model: implications for four oaks under climate change. Glob Change Biol 19: 2196-2208.
    • (2013) Glob Change Biol , vol.19 , pp. 2196-2208
    • Prasad, A.M.1    Gardiner, J.D.2    Iverson, L.R.3    Matthews, S.N.4    Peters, M.5
  • 40
    • 84863999713 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Plant diversity and generation of ecosystem services at the landscape scale: expert knowledge assessment
    • Quijas S, Jackson LE, Maass M, Schmid B, Raffaelli D, Balvanera P (2012) Plant diversity and generation of ecosystem services at the landscape scale: expert knowledge assessment. J Appl Ecol 49: 929-940.
    • (2012) J Appl Ecol , vol.49 , pp. 929-940
    • Quijas, S.1    Jackson, L.E.2    Maass, M.3    Schmid, B.4    Raffaelli, D.5    Balvanera, P.6
  • 41
    • 79955950443 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A quantitative review of ecosystem service studies: approaches, shortcomings and the road ahead
    • Seppelt R, Dormann CF, Eppink FV, Lautenbach S, Schmidt S (2011) A quantitative review of ecosystem service studies: approaches, shortcomings and the road ahead. J Appl Ecol 48: 630-636.
    • (2011) J Appl Ecol , vol.48 , pp. 630-636
    • Seppelt, R.1    Dormann, C.F.2    Eppink, F.V.3    Lautenbach, S.4    Schmidt, S.5
  • 42
    • 80053993065 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecosystem services as a framework for forest stewardship: Deschutes National Forest overview
    • US Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, OR, USA
    • Smith N, Deal R, Kline J, Blahna D, Spies TA, Bennett K (2011) Ecosystem services as a framework for forest stewardship: Deschutes National Forest overview. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-852. US Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, OR, USA.
    • (2011) Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-852
    • Smith, N.1    Deal, R.2    Kline, J.3    Blahna, D.4    Spies, T.A.5    Bennett, K.6
  • 45
    • 84884983012 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consequences of spatial heterogeneity for ecosystem services in changing forest landscapes: priorities for future research
    • Turner MG, Donato DC, Romme WH (2013) Consequences of spatial heterogeneity for ecosystem services in changing forest landscapes: priorities for future research. Landscape Ecol 28: 1081-1097.
    • (2013) Landscape Ecol , vol.28 , pp. 1081-1097
    • Turner, M.G.1    Donato, D.C.2    Romme, W.H.3
  • 46
    • 84855742336 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • US Department of Defense, Accessed September 2013
    • US Department of Defense (2010) Quadrennial defense review report. Washington DC. http://www. defense. gov/qdr/images/QDR_as_of_12Feb10_1000. pdf. Accessed September 2013.
    • (2010) Quadrennial defense review report
  • 47
    • 84859217792 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An assessment of the impact of climate adaptation measures to reduce flood risk on ecosystem services
    • Verburg PH, Koomen E, Hilferink M, Perez-Soba M, Lesschen JP (2012) An assessment of the impact of climate adaptation measures to reduce flood risk on ecosystem services. Landscape Ecol 27: 473-486.
    • (2012) Landscape Ecol , vol.27 , pp. 473-486
    • Verburg, P.H.1    Koomen, E.2    Hilferink, M.3    Perez-Soba, M.4    Lesschen, J.P.5
  • 49
    • 3843107544 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Late-quaternary vegetation dynamics in North America: scaling from taxa to biomes
    • Williams J, Shuman B, Webb T, Bartlein P, Leduc P (2004) Late-quaternary vegetation dynamics in North America: scaling from taxa to biomes. Ecol Monogr 74: 309-334.
    • (2004) Ecol Monogr , vol.74 , pp. 309-334
    • Williams, J.1    Shuman, B.2    Webb, T.3    Bartlein, P.4    Leduc, P.5
  • 50
    • 34347233473 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projected distributions of novel and disappearing climates by 2100 AD
    • Williams JW, Jackson ST, Kutzbach JE (2007) Projected distributions of novel and disappearing climates by 2100 AD. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 104: 5738-5742.
    • (2007) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.104 , pp. 5738-5742
    • Williams, J.W.1    Jackson, S.T.2    Kutzbach, J.E.3
  • 51
    • 0002975479 scopus 로고
    • A review of the effects of climate on vegetation: ranges, competition, and composition
    • R. L. Peters and T. E. Lovejoy (Eds.), New Haven: Yale University Press
    • Woodward FI (1992) A review of the effects of climate on vegetation: ranges, competition, and composition. In: Peters RL, Lovejoy TE (eds) Global warming and biological diversity. Yale University Press, New Haven, pp 105-123.
    • (1992) Global Warming and Biological Diversity , pp. 105-123
    • Woodward, F.I.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.