Science of Nowcasting Olympic Weather for Vancouver 2010 (SNOW-V10): A World Weather Research Programme Project

Pure and Applied Geophysics

Volumn 171, Issue 1-2, 2014, Pages 1-24

  Isaac, G A ^a   Joe, P I ^a   Mailhot, J ^a   Bailey, M ^a   Belair S ^a   Boudala, F S ^a   Brugman, M ^a   Campos, E ^b   Carpenter Jr , R L ^c   Crawford, R W ^a   Cober, S G ^a   Denis, B ^a   Doyle, C ^a   Reeves, H D ^d   Gultepe, I ^a   Haiden, T ^e   Heckman, I ^a   Huang, L X ^a   Milbrandt, J A ^a   Mo, R ^a   Rasmussen, R M ^f   Smith, T ^a   Stewart, R E ^g   Wang, D ^h   Wilson, L J ^a   more..

^a ENVIRONMENT CANADA   (Canada)

^b ARGONNE NATIONAL LABORATORY   (United States)

^c Weather Decision Technologies   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA   (United States)

^e ZAMG Zentralanstalt fuer Meteorologie und Geodynamik   (Austria)

^f NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

^g UNIVERSITY OF MANITOBA   (Canada)

^h STATE KEY LABORATORY OF SEVERE WEATHER   (China)

Author keywords

forecast; mountain; Nowcast; olympic; snow; weather

Indexed keywords

FORECAST VISIBILITY; MOUNTAIN; NOWCAST; NUMERICAL WEATHER FORECASTING; NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION; OLYMPICS; PRECIPITATION RATES; WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATIONS;

FORECASTING; LANDFORMS; RAIN; SNOW; VISIBILITY; WEATHERING;

WEATHER FORECASTING;

MELTING; MOUNTAIN; NOWCASTING; OLYMPIC GAMES; RESEARCH PROGRAM; SNOW; WEATHER FORECASTING;

BRITISH COLUMBIA; CANADA; VANCOUVER [BRITISH COLUMBIA];

EID: 84893168530     PISSN: 00334553     EISSN: 14209136     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00024-012-0579-0     Document Type: Article

References (48)

1. Anderson-Berry, L., Keenan, T., Bally, J., Pielke, R., Jr., Leigh, R., and King, D. (2004), The societal, social and economic impacts of the World Weather Research Programme Sydney 2000 forecast demonstration project (WWRP S2000 FDP). Weather and Forecasting, 19, 168-178.
2. Bailey, ME., Isaac, GA., Gultepe, I., Heckman, I., and Reid, J. (2012), Adaptive blending of model and observations for automated short range forecasting: Examples from the Vancouver 2010 Olympic and Paralympic Winter Games. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0553-x.
3. Benjamin SG, Devenyi D, Smirnova T, Weygandt S, Brown JM, Peckham S, Brundage K, Smith TL, Grell G, Schlatter T (2006), From the 13-km RUC to the rapid refresh. 12th Conference on aviation, range, and aerospace meteorology (ARAM), Atlanta. CD-ROM 9.1. American Meteorological Society: Boston, MA.
4. Benjamin SG, Devenyi D, Weygandt SS, Brundage KJ, Brown JM, Grell GA, Kim D, Schwartz BE, Smirnova TG, Smith TL, Manikin GS (2004), An hourly assimilation/forecast cycle: the RUC. Mon. Weather. Rev., 132: 495-518.
5. Bellon, A., and Austin, GL. (1978), The evaluation of two years of real-time operation of a short-term precipitation forecasting procedure (SHARP). J. Appl. Meteor., 17, 1778-1787.
6. Bellon A., Austin G.L. (1986), The accuracy of short-term radar rainfall forecasts. J. of Hydrology, 70: 35-49.
7. Benoit, R., Schär, C., Binder, P., Chamberland, S., Davies, HC., Desgagne, M., Girard, C., Keil, C., Kouwen, N., Lüthi, D., Maric, D., Müller, E., Pellerin, P., Schmidli, J., Schubiger, F., Schwierz, C., Sprenger, M., Walser, A., Willemse, S., Yu, W., and Zala, E. (2002), The real-time ultrafinescale forecast support during the special observing period of the MAP. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 83, 85-109.
8. Bernier, N.B., Bélair, S., Bilodeau, B., and Tong, L. (2011), Near-surface and land surface forecast system of the Vancouver 2010 Winter Olympic and Paralympic games. J.Hydromet., 12, 508-530.
9. Bernier, N.B., Bélair, S., Bilodeau, B., and Tong, L. (2012), Assimilation and high resolution forecasts of surface and near surface conditions for the 2010 Vancouver Winter Olympic and Paralympic games. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi:10.1007/ s00024-012-0542-0.
10. Boudala, F.S., Isaac, G.A., Rasmussen, R., Cober, S.G., and Scott, B. (2012), Comparisons of snowfall measurements in complex terrain made during the 2010 winter Olympics in Vancouver. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0610-5.
11. Bowler, N., Pierce, C.E., and Seed, A.W. (2006), STEPS: a probabilistic precipitation forecasting scheme which merges an extrapolation nowcast with downscaled NWP. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. (2006), 132, 2127-2155.
12. Carpenter, R., Shaw, B., Spencer, P., DuFran, Z., and Haugland, M. (2009), Advanced NWP for short-term wind power and precipitation forecasting. Extended abstracts, WMO symposium on nowcasting, Whistler, BC, Canada.
13. Chen, C., Wang, D., Liu, Y., Zhang, Z., Feng, T., Du, J., Wang, J., Isaac, G.A., Mailhot, J., Milbrandt, J.A., McTaggart-Cowan, R. (2012), Comparison of high- and low-resolution regional models' performances over complex terrain during the 2010 Vancouver Winter Olympic and Paralympic Games. Pure and Applied Geophysics.
14. Doyle, C., (2012), The impact of weather forecasts of various lead-times on snowmaking decisions made for the 2010 Vancouver Olympic Winter Games. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi: 10.1007/s00024-012-0609-y.
15. Ebert, E.E., Wilson, L.J., Brown, B.G., Brooks, H.E., Bally, J., and Jaeneke, M. (2004), Verification of nowcasts from the WWRP Sydney 2000 forecast demonstration project. Wea. Forecasting, 19, 73-96.
16. Fillion, L., Tanguay, M., Lapalme, E., Denis, B., Desgagne, M., Lee, V., Ek, N., Liu, Z., Lajoie, M., Caron, J.-F., Pagé, C., (2010), The Canadian regional data assimilation and forecasting system. Wea. Forecast, 25, 1645-1669.
17. Golding, B.W. (1998), Nimrod: a system for generating automated very short range forecasts. Meteorol. Appl., 5, 1-16.
18. Gultepe, I., Pearson, G., Milbrandt, J.A., Hansen, B., Platnick, S., Taylor, P., Gordon, M., Oakley, J.P., and Cober, S.G. (2009), The fog remote sensing and modeling field project. AMS Bulletin. 90, 341-359.
19. Gultepe, I., Isaac, G.A., Joe, P., Kucera, P., Theriault, J., and Fisico, T. (2012), Roundhouse (RND) Mountain top research site: measurements and uncertainties for alpine weather conditions. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0582-5.
20. Haiden, T., Pistotnik, G. (2009), Intensity-dependent parameterization of elevation effects in precipitation analysis. Adv. Geosci., 20, 33-38.
21. Haiden, T., Kann, A., Wittmann, C., Pistotnik, G., Bica, B., Gruber, C. (2011), The Integrated Nowcasting through Comprehensive Analysis (INCA) system and its validation over the Eastern Alpine region. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 166-183.
22. Haiden, T., Kann, A., and Pistotnik, G. (2012), Nowcasting with INCA during SNOW-V10. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi: 10.1007/s00024-012-0547-8.
23. Huang, L.X., Isaac, G.A., and Sheng, G. (2012a), Integrating NWP forecasts and observation data to improve nowcasting accuracy. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 938-953. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/ WAF-D-11-00125.1.
24. Huang, L.X., Isaac, G.A., and Sheng, G. (2012b), A new integrated weighted model in SNOW-V10: Verification of continuous variables. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0548-7.
25. Huang, L.X., Isaac, G.A., and Sheng, G. (2012c), A new integrated weighted model in SNOW-V10: Verification of categorical variables. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0549-6.
26. Isaac, G.A., Bailey, M., Cober, S.G., Donaldson, N., Driedger, N., Glazer, A., Gultepe, I., Hudak, D., Korolev, A., Reid, J., Rodriguez, P., Strapp, J.W., and Fabry, F. (2006), Airport vicinity icing and snow advisor. AIAA 44th aerospace sci meeting and exhibit, Reno Nevada, 9-12 Jan 2006, AIAA-2006-1219.
27. Isaac, G.A., Bailey, M., Boudala, F.S., Cober, S.G., Crawford, R.W., Donaldson, N., Gultepe, I., Hansen, B., Heckman, I., Huang, L.X., Ling, A., Mailhot, J., Milbrandt, J.A., Reid, J., and Fournier, M. (2012), The Canadian airport nowcasting system (CAN-Now). In press, Meteorological Applications. doi: 10.1002/met.1342.
28. Joe, P., Doyle, C., Wallace, A., Cober, S.G., Scott, B., Isaac, G.A., Smith, T., Mailhot, J., Snyder, B., Belair, S., Jansen, Q., and Denis, B. (2010), Weather services, science advances, and the Vancouver 2010 Olympic and Paralympic winter games. Bulletin American Meteorological Society, 91, 31-36.
29. Joe, P., Scott, B., Doyle, C., Isaac, G.A., Gultepe, I., Forsyth, D., Cober, S.G., Campos, E., Heckman, I., Donaldson, N., Hudak, D., Rasmussen, R., Stewart R.E., Thériault, J.M., Carmichael, H., Bailey, M., and Boudala, F.S. (2012), The monitoring network of the Vancouver 2010 Olympics. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0588-z.
30. Keenan, T., Joe, P., Wilson, J., Collier, C., Golding, B., Burgess, D., May, P., Pierce, C., Bally, J., Crook, A., Seed, A., Sills, D., Berry, L., Potts, R., Bell, I., Fox, N., Ebert, E., Eilts, M., O'Loughlin, K., Webb, R., Carbone, R., Browning, K., Roberts, R., and Mueller, C. (2003), The Sydney 2000 world weather research programme forecast demonstration project: overview and current status. Bulletin American Meteorological Society, 84, 1041-1054.
31. Kiktev D., and Co authors, (2012), Development of weather forecasting systems for winter Olympic Games "Sochi-2014", in preparation. Russian Meteorology and Hydrology.
32. Li, X., Charron, M., Spacek, L., and Candille, G. (2008), A regional ensemble prediction system based on the moist targeted singular vectors and stochastic parameter perturbations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 443-462.
33. Mailhot, J., Bélair, S., Lefaivre, L., Bilodeau, B., Desgagné, M., Girard, C., Glazer, A., Leduc, A.-M., Méthot, A., Patoine, A., Plante, A., Rahill, A., Robinson, T., Talbot, D., Tremblay, A., Vaillancourt, P., Zadral, A., and Qaddouri, A. (2006), The 15-km version of the Canadian regional forecast system. Atmos-Ocean, 44, 133-149.
34. Mailhot, J., Bélair, S., Charron, M., Doyle, C., Joe, P., Abrah-amowicz, M., Bernier, N.B., Denis, B., Erfani, A., Frenette, R., Giguère, A., Isaac, G.A., McLennan, N., McTaggart-Cowan, R., Milbrandt, J., and Tong, L. (2010), Environment Canada's experimental numerical weather prediction systems for the Vancouver 2010 Winter Olympic and Paralympic games. Bulletin American Meteorological Society, 91, 1073-1085.
35. Mailhot, J., Milbrandt, J.A., Giguère, A., McTaggart-Cown, R., Erfani, A., Denis, B., Glazer, A., and Vallée, M. (2012), An experimental high-resolution forecast system during the Vancouver 2010 Winter Olympic and Paralympic Games. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0520-6.
36. Milbrandt, J.A., Theriault, J., and Mo, R. (2012), Modeling the phase transition associated with melting snow in a 1D kinematic framework: sensitivity to the microphysics. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0552-y.
37. Mo, R., Joe, P., Isaac, G.A., Gultepe, I., Rasmussen, R., Mil-brandt, J., McTaggart-Cowan, R., Mailhot, J., Brugman, M., Smith, T., and Scott, B. (2012a), Mid-mountain clouds at Whistler during the Vancouver 2010 Winter Olympics and Paralympics. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0540-2.
38. Mo, R., Joe P.I., Doyle, C., and Whitfield, P.H. (2012b), Verification of an ENSO-based long-range prediction of anomalous weather conditions during the Vancouver 2010 Olympics and Paralympics. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0523-3.
39. Pierce, C.E., Ebert, E., Seed, A.W., Sleigh, M., Collier, C.G., Fox, N.I., Donaldson, N., Wilson, J.W.W., Roberts, R., and Mueller, C.K. (2004), The nowcasting of precipitation during Sydney 2000: an appraisal of the QPF algorithms. Weather and Forecasting, 19, 7-21.
40. Rasmussen, R., Dixon, M., Hage, F., Cole, J., Wade, C., Tuttle, J., McGettigan, S., Carty, T., Stevenson, L., Fellner, W., Knight, S., Karplus, E., and Rehak, N. (2001), Weather support to deicing decision making (WSDDM): a winter weather nowcast-ing system. Bull. Amer. Meteriol. Soc., 82, 579-595.
41. Rotach, M.W., Ambrosetti, P., Appenzeller, C., Arpagaus, M., Fontannaz, L., Fundel, F., Germann, U., Hering, A., Liniger, M.A., Stoll, M., Walser, A., Ament, F., Bauer, H.-S., Beh-rendt, A., Wulfmeyer, V., Bouttier, F., Seity, Y., Buzzi, A., Davolio, S., Corazza, M., Denhard, M., Dorninger, M., Gor-gas, T., Frick, J., Hegg, C., Zappa, M., Keil, C., Volkert, H., Marsigli, C., Montaini, A., McTaggart-Cowan, R., Mylne, K., Ranzi, R., Richard, E., Rossa, A., Santos-Muñoz, D., Schär, C., Staudinger, M., Wang, Y., Werhahn, J. (2009), MAP D-PHASE: real-time demonstration of weather forecast quality in the alpine region. Bulletin American Meteorological Society, 90, 1321-1336.
42. Schuur, T. J., Ryzhkov, A.V., Forsyth, D.E., Zhang, P., Reeves, H.D. (2012), Cloud observations with NSSL's X-band polari-metric radar during the SNOW-V10 campaign. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0569-2.
43. Stoelinga, M.T., Hobbs, P.V., Mass, C.F., Locatelli, J.D., Colle, B.A., Houze R.A., Jr., Rangno, A.L., Bond, N.A., Smull, B.F., Rasmussen, R.M., Thompson, G., and Colman, B.R. (2003), Improvement of microphysical parameterization through observational Verification Experiment. Bull. Amer. Meteriol. Soc., 84, 1807-1826.
44. Su, D., Wang, J., Wang, Y., and Liang, F. (2007), A brief introduction of B08FDP for Beijing 2008 Olympics. In: 33rd conference on radar meteorology, 6-10 Aug 2007, Caines, Australia, paper 5.2 extended abstract.
45. Teakles, A., Mo, R., Joe, P.I., Dierking, C.F., Emond, C., and McLennan, N. (2012), Realizing user-relevant conceptual model for the ski jump venue of the Vancouver 2010 Winter Olympics. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0544-y.
46. Thériault, J.M., Rasmussen, R., Smith, T., Mo, R., Milbrandt, J.A., Brugman, M.M., Joe, P., Isaac, G., Mailhot, J., and Denis, B. (2012a), A case study of processes impacting precipitation phase and intensity during the Vancouver 2010 Winter Olympics. Wea. Forecasting. doi:10.1175/WAF-D-11-00114.1, in press.
47. Thériault, J.M., Rasmussen, K.L., Fisico, T., Stewart, R.E., Joe, P., Gultepe, I., Clément M., Isaac, G.A. (2012b), Weather observations along Whistler Mountain in five storms. Pure and Applied Geophysics. doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0590-5.
48. Turner, B.J., Zawadzki, I., and Germann, U. (2004), Predictability of precipitation from continental radar images. Part III: operational nowcasting implementation (MAPLE). J. Appl. Meteriol., 43, 231-248.