Projected impacts of climate change on farmers' extraction of groundwater from crystalline aquifers in South India

Scientific Reports

Volumn 4, Issue , 2014, Pages

  Ferrant, Sylvain ^a,b   Caballero, Yvan ^c   Perrin, Jérome ^c,e   Gascoin, Simon ^a,b   Dewandel, Benoit ^c   Aulong, Stéphanie ^c   Dazin, Fabrice ^d   Ahmed, Shakeel ^e   Maréchal, Jean Christophe ^c  

^a Environmental Research Observatory (ORE) HYBAM Centre IRD d'Ile de France   (France)

^b CESBIO   (France)

^c BRGM   (France)

^d SIRS   (France)

^e Indo French Centre for Groundwater Research NGRI   (India)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84892692990     PISSN: None     EISSN: 20452322     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/srep03697     Document Type: Article

References (57)

1. Pachauri, R. K. & Reisinger, A. Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (Core Writing Team, Pachauri, R. K. & Reisinger, A. Geneva, 2007).
2. Ardoin-Bardin, S. et al. Using general circulation model outputs to assess impacts of climate change on runoff for large hydrological catchments in West Africa. Hydrolog. Sci. J. 54, 77-89 (2009).
3. Caballero, Y. et al. Hydrological sensitivity of the Adour-Garonne river basin to climate change. Water Resour. Res. 43, W07448 (2007).
4. Fowler, H. J., Kilsby, C. G. & Stunell, J. Modelling the impacts of projected future climate change on water resources in northwest England. Hydrol. Earth. Syst. Sc. 11, 1115-1126 (2007). (Pubitemid 46707023)
5. Minville, M. et al. Adaptation to climate change in the management of a canadian water-resources system exploited for hydropower. Water Resour. Manage. 23, 2965-2986 (2009).
6. Taylor, R. G. et al. Groundwater and climate change. Nature Clim. Change, 3, 322-329 (2013).
7. Goderniaux, P. et al. Large-scale surface-subsurface hydrological model to assess climate change impacts on groundwater reserves. J. Hydrol. 373, 122-138 (2009).
8. Holman, I. P., Tascone, D. & Hess, T. M. A comparison of stochastic and deterministic downscaling methods for modelling potential groundwater recharge under climate change in East Anglia, UK: implication for groundwater resource management. Hydrogeol. J. 17, 1629-1641 (2009).
9. Scibeck, J. & Allen, D. M. Modeled impacts of predicted climate change on recharge and groundwater levels. Water Resour. Res 42, W11405 (2006).
10. Jyrkama, M. I. & Sykes, J. F. The impact of climate change on spatially varying groundwater recharge in the Grand River watershed (Ontario). J. Hydrol. 338, 237-250 (2007). (Pubitemid 46693811)
11. Döll, P. Vulnerability to the impact of climate change on renewable groundwater resources: a global-scale assessment. Environ. Res. Lett. 4, 035006 (2009).
12. Gurdak, J. J. & Roe, C. D. Review: recharge rates and chemistry beneath playas of the High Plains aquifer, USA. Hydrogeol. J. 18, 1747-1772 (2010).
13. Kovalevskii, V. S. Effect of climate changes on groundwater. Water resour. 34, 140-152 (2007). (Pubitemid 46564040)
14. Green, T. R. et al. Physically based simulation of potential effects of carbon dioxide-altered climates on groundwater recharge. Vadose Zone J. 6, 597-609 (2007). (Pubitemid 47360501)
15. Döll, P. et al. Impacts of water withdrawals from groundwater and surface water on continental water storage variations. J. Geodyn. 59-60, 143-156 (2012).
16. Wada, Y., Van Beek, L. P. H. & Bierkens, M. F. P. Nonsustainable groundwater sustaining irrigation: A global assessment. Water Ressour. Res., 48, W00L06 (2012).
17. Biswas, A. K., Rangachari, R. & Tortajada, C. Water Resources Of The Indian Subcontinent. Oxford University Press, USA, Chapter 2 (2009).
18. Tiwari, V. M. et al. Land water storage variation over Southern India from space gravimetry. Curr. Sci. 101, 536-540 (2011).
19. Reddy, D. V. et al. Understanding hydrological processes in a highly stressed granitic aquifer in southern India. Hydrol. Process. 23, 1282-1294 (2009).
20. Dewandel, B. et al. A generalized 3-D geological and hydro-geological conceptual model of granite aquifers controlled by single or multiphase weathering. J. Hydrol. 330, 260-284 (2006). (Pubitemid 44550118)
21. Dewandel, B. et al. A decision support tool with variable agro-climatic scenarios for sustainable groundwater management in semi-arid hard rock areas. Curr. Sci. 92, 1093-1102 (2007). (Pubitemid 46741871)
22. Maréchal, J. C. et al. Combined estimation of specific yield and natural recharge in semi-arid groundwater basin with irrigated agriculture. J. Hydrol. 329, 281-293 (2006). (Pubitemid 44331901)
23. Maréchal, J. C., Dewandel, B. & Subrahmanyam, K. Use of hydraulic tests at different scales to characterize fracture network properties in the weatheredfractured layer of a hard rock aquifer. Water Resour. Res. 40, W11508 (2004).
24. Dewandel, B. et al. Upscaling and regionalizing hydraulic conductivity and effective porosity at watershed scale in deeply weathered crystalline aquifers. J. Hydrol. 416-417, 83-97 (2012).
25. Perrin, J. et al. Assessing water availability in a semi-arid watershed of southern India using a semi-distributed model. J. Hydrol. 460-461, 143-155 (2012).
26. Arnold, J. G. et al. Large-area hydrologic modeling and assessment: Part I. Model development. J. American Water Resources Association 34, 73-89 (1998). (Pubitemid 28190080)
27. Rajeevan, M.&Bhate, J.Ahigh resolution gridded rainfall dataset (1971-2005) for mesoscale meteorological studies. Curr. Sci. 96, 558-562 (2009).
28. Massuel, S. et al. A simple low-cost method to monitor duration of ground water pumping. Ground Water 47, 141-145 (2008).
29. Green, T. R. et al. Beneath the surface of global change: Impacts of climate change on groundwater. J. Hydrol. 405, 532-560 (2011).
30. Flato, G. M. et al. The Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling and Analysis of Global Coupled Model and its climate. Climate Dynam. 16, 451-467 (2000). (Pubitemid 30454354)
31. Salas-Melia, D. et al. Description and validation of the CNRM-CM3 global coupled model. CNRM working note 103, (2005).
32. Jungclaus, J. H. et al. Ocean circulation and tropical variability in the coupled model ECHAM5/MPIOM. J. Clim. 19, 3952-3972 (2006). (Pubitemid 44405152)
33. Furevik, T. et al. Description and evaluation of the Bergen Climate Model: ARPEGE coupled with MICOM. Climate Dynam. 21, 27-51 (2003). (Pubitemid 37024209)
34. Nakicenovic, N. et al. Special Report on Emissions Scenarios: a special report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (Nakicenovic, N. & Swart, R. Cambridge, 2000).
35. Kripalani, R. H. et al. South Asian summer monsoon precipitation variability: Coupled climate model simulations and projections under IPCC AR4. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 90, 133-159 (2007). (Pubitemid 47617260)
36. Vigaud, N., Vrac, M.&Caballero, Y. Probabilistic downscaling of GCMs scenarios over southern India. Int. J. Climatol. 33, 1248-1263 (2012).
37. Taylor, R. G. et al. Evidence of the dependence of groundwater resources on extreme rainfall in East Africa. Nature Clim. Change 3, 374-378 (2013).
38. Owor, M. et al. Rainfall intensity and groundwater recharge: evidence from the Upper Nile Basin. Environ. Res. Lett. 4, 035009 (2009).
39. Landerer, F. W. & Swenson, S. C. Accuracy of scaled GRACE terrestrial water storage estimates. Water Resour. Res. 48, WR011453 (2012).
40. Swenson, S.&Wahr, J. M. Post-processing removal of correlated errors in GRACE data. Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L08402 (2006).
41. Simonneaux, V. et al. The use of high-resolution image time series for crop classification and evapotranspiration estimate over an irrigated area in central Morocco. Int. J. Remote Sens. 29, 95-116 (2008). (Pubitemid 350269314)
42. DelSole, T. & Shulkla, J. Climate models produce skillful predictions of indian summer monsoon rainfall. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39, GL051279 (2012).
43. Bates, B. C. et al. Climate Change and Water, IPCC Technical Paper VI, IPCC Secretariat, Geneva (2008).
44. Döll, P. & Fiedler, K. Global-scale modeling of groundwater recharge. Hydrol. Earth. Syst. Sc. 12, 863-885 (2008).
45. Fisherman, R. M. et al. Over-extraction from shallow bedrock versus deep alluvial aquifers: Reliability versus sustainability considerations for India's groundwater irrigation. Water Resour. Res. 47, W00L05 (2011).
46. Pavelic, P. et al. Role of groundwater in buffering irrigation production against climate change variability at the basin scale in South-West India. Agr. Water Manage. 103, 78-87 (2012).
47. Arnold, J. G. & Allen, P. M. Estimating hydrologic budgets for free Illinois watersheds. J. Hydrol. 176, 57-77 (1996).
48. Santhi, C. et al. A modelling approach to evaluate the impacts of water quality management plans implemented in a watershed in Texas. Environ. Modell. Softw. 21, 1141-1157 (2006). (Pubitemid 44269005)
49. Faramarzi, M. et al. Modeling wheat yield and crop water productivity in Iran: Implications of agricultural water management for wheat production. Agr. Water Manage. 97, 1861-1875 (2010).
50. Immerzeel, W. W. & Droogers, P. Calibration of a distributed hydrological model based on satellite evapotranspiration. J. Hydrol. 349, 411-424 (2008).
51. Green, C. H. & Van Griensven, A. Aurocalibration in hydrologic modeling: Using SWAT2005 in small-scale watersheds. Environ. Modell. Softw. 23, 422-434 (2008). (Pubitemid 350117725)
52. Ferrant, S. et al. Understanding nitrogen transfer dynamics in a small agricultural catchment: comparison of a distributed (TNT2) and a semi distributed (SWAT) modelling approaches. J. Hydrol. 406, 1-15 (2011).
53. Williams, J. R., Jones, C. A. & Dyke, P. T. A modelling approach to determining the relationship between erosion and soil productivity. Trans. ASAE 27, 129-144 (1984). (Pubitemid 14544102)
54. Kim, N. W. et al. Development and application of the integrated SWATMODFLOW model. J. Hydrol. 356, 1-16 (2008).
55. Sophocleous, M. A. et al. Integrated numerical modeling for basin-wide water management: The case of the Rattlesnake Creek basin in south-central Kansas. J. Hydrol. 214, 179-196 (1999). (Pubitemid 29087405)
56. De Condappa, D. et al. Bimodal Zone of the Soil Textural Triangle: Common in Tropical and Subtropical Regions. Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J. 72, 33-40 (2008).
57. Maréchal, J. C. et al. Anisotropie verticale de la perméabilité de l'horizon fissuré des aquifères de socle: concordance avec la structure géologique des profils d'altération. C. R. Geosci. 335, 451-460 (2003).