Adaptation to climate change in the management of a Canadian water-resources system exploited for hydropower

Water Resources Management

Volumn 23, Issue 14, 2009, Pages 2965-2986

  Minville, Marie ^a   Brissette, François ^a   Krau, Stéphane ^b   Leconte, Robert ^a  

^a ÉCOLE DE TECHNOLOGIE SUPÉRIEURE   (Canada)

^b HYDRO QUÉBEC   (Canada)

Author keywords

Adaptation; Climate change; Hydrology; Regional climate model; Water resource system

Indexed keywords

ADAPTATION; ANNUAL MEAN; ANNUAL PRODUCTION; CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTIONS; CONTROL PERIODS; COUPLED GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL; DISTRIBUTED HYDROLOGICAL MODEL; HYDROLOGICAL REGIME; MANN-KENDALL; OPERATING RULE; POWER PLANT EFFICIENCY; QUEBEC , CANADA; REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL; REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS; RESERVOIR RELIABILITY; RIVER WATER; STOCHASTIC OPTIMIZATION MODEL; WATER RESOURCE SYSTEM; WATER RESOURCE SYSTEMS;

GAS EMISSIONS; GLOBAL WARMING; GREENHOUSE GASES; HYDRAULIC MODELS; HYDROELECTRIC POWER; HYDROLOGY; LEAKAGE (FLUID); STATISTICAL TESTS; STOCHASTIC MODELS; WATER;

WATER RESOURCES;

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; HYDROELECTRIC POWER; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; OPTIMIZATION; RESERVOIR; WATER MANAGEMENT; WATER RESOURCE;

CANADA; NORTH AMERICA; PERIBONCA BASIN; QUEBEC [CANADA];

EID: 70350338725     PISSN: 09204741     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11269-009-9418-1     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. Caya D, Laprise R (1999) Semi-implicit semi-Lagrangian regional climate model: The Canadian RCM. Mon Weather Rev 127(3):341-362
2. Christensen NS, Wood AW, Voisin N, Lettenmaier DP, Palmer RN (2004) The effects of climate change on the hydrology and water resources of the Colorado river basin. Clim Change 62:337-363
3. Fortin J-P, Turcotte R, Massicotte S, Moussa R, Fitzback J, Villeneuve J-P (2001) Distributed watershed model compatible with remote sensing and GIS data. 1: Description of the model. J Hydrol Eng 6(2):91-99
4. Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG (2007) Using regional climate model data to simulate historical and future river flows in northwest England. Clim Change 80:337-367
5. Fowler HJ, Blenkinsop S, Tebaldi C (2007) Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: Recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling. Int J Climatol 27:1547-1578
6. Hamed KH (2008) Trend detection in hydrologic data: The Mann-Kendall trend test under the scaling hypothesis. J Hydrol 349:350-363
7. Hayhoe K, Wake CP, Huntington TG, Luo L, Shchwartz MD, Sheffield J, Wood E, Anderson B, Bradbury J, DeGaetano A, Troy TJ, Wolfe D (2007) Past and future changes in climate and hydrological indicators in the US Northeast. Clim Dyn 28(4):381-407
8. IPCC (2007) Climate change 2007: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel of climate change. In: Parry ML, Canziani JP, Palutikof JP, van der Linden PJ, Hanson CE (eds) Intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge, UK, 1000 p
9. Kalra A, Piechota TC, Davies R, Tootle GA (2007) Changes in U.S. streamflow and western U.S. snowpack. J Hydrol Eng 13(3):156-163
10. Kendall MG (1975) Rank correlation methods. Griffin, London
11. Kundzewicz ZW, Mata LJ, Arnell NW, Döll P, Kabat P, Jiménez B, Miler KA, Oki T, Sen Z, Shiklomanov IA (2007) Freshwater resources and their management. In: Canziani OF, Parry ML, Palutikof JP, van der Linden PJ, Hanson CE (eds) Climate change 2007: Impacts, adaptation and vunerability. Contribution of working group II to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp 173-210
12. Labadie JW (2004) Optimal operation of multireservoir systems: state-of-the-art review. J Water Resour Plan Manage 130(2):93-111
13. Mann HB (1945) Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometrica 13:245-259
14. Markoff MS, Cullen AC (2008) Impact of climate change on Pacific Northwest hydropower. Clim Change 87:451-469
15. Maurer EP (2007) Uncertainty in hydrologic impacts of climate change in the Sierra Nevada, California, under two emissions scenarios. Clim Change 82:309-325
16. McFarlane NA, Boer GG, Blanchet J-P, Lazare M (1992) The Canadian climate centre second-generation general circulation model and its equilibrum climate. J Climate 5:1013-1044
17. Minville M, Brissette F, Leconte R (2008) Uncertainty of the impact of climate change on the hydrology of a Nordic Watershed. J Hydrol 358(1-2):70-83
18. Nakicenovic N, Alcamo J, Davis G, de Vries B, Fenhann J, Gaffin S, Gregory K, Grübler A, Jung TY, Kram T, La Rovere EL, Michaelis L, Mori S, Morita T, Pepper W, Pitcher H, Price L, Raihi K, Roehrl A, Rogner H-H, Sankovski A, Schlesinger M, Shukla P, Smith S, Swart R, van Rooijen S, Victor N, Dadi Z (2000) IPCC special report on emissions scenarios. United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, p 599
19. Nash JE, Sutcliff JV (1970) River flow forecasting through conceptual models. 1. A discussion of principles. J Hydrol 10(3):282-290
20. Olesen JE, Carter TR, Diaz-Ambrona CH, Fronzek S, Heidmann T, Hickler T, Holt T, Minguez MI, Ruiz-Ramos M, Rubaek GH, Sau F, Smith B, Sykes MT (2007) Uncertainties in projected impacts of climate change on European agriculture and terrestrial ecosystems based on scenarios from regional climate models. Clim Change 81:123-143
21. Payne JT, Wood AW, Hamlet AF, Palmer RN, Lettenmaier DP (2004) Mitigating the effects of climate change on the water resources of the Columbia river basin. Clim Change 62:233-256
22. Plummer DA, Caya D, Frigon A, Cote H, Giguere M, Paquin D, Biner S, Harvey R, De elia R (2006) Climate and climate change over North America as simulated by the Canadian RCM. J Climate 19(13):3112-3132
23. Regonda SK, Rajagopalan B, Clark M, Pitlick J (2005) Seasonal cycle shifts in hydroclimatology over the western United States. J Climate 18(2):372-384
24. Salathé EP Jr, Mote PW, Wiley MW (2007) Review of scenario selection and downscaling methods for the assessment of climate change impacts on hydrology in the United States pacific northwest. Int J Climatol 27:1611-1621
25. Schmidli J, Frei C, Vidale PL (2006) Downscaling from GCM precipitation: a benchmark for dynamical and statistical downscaling methods. Int J Climatol 26:679-689
26. Semenov MA, Brooks RJ, Barrow EM, Richardson CW (1998) Comparison of the WGEN and LARS-WG stochastic weather generators for diverse climates. Clim Res 10:95-107
27. Simonovic SP, Li L (2004) Sensitivity of the Red river basin flood protection system to climate variability and change. Water Resour Manag 18:89-110
28. Turcotte R, Fortin L-G, Fortin V, Villeneuve J-P (2007) Operational analysis of the spatial distribution and the temporal evolution of the snowpack water equivalent in southern Quebec, Canada. Nord Hydrol 38(3):211-234
29. Turgeon A (2005) Solving a stochastic reservoir management problem with multilag autocorrelated inflows. Water Resour Res 41:W12414
30. VanRheenen NT, Wood AW, Palmer RN, Lettenmaier DP (2004) Potential implications of PCM climate change scenarios for Sacremento-San Joaquin river basin hydrology and water resources. Clim Change 62:257-281
31. Whitfield PH, Cannon AJ (2000) Recent variation in climate and hydrology in Canada. Can Water Resour J 25(1):19-65
32. Wood AW, Leung LR, Sridhar V, Lettenmaier DP (2004) Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs. Clim Change 62:189-216