Projecting the impact of climate change on dengue transmission in dhaka, bangladesh

Environment International

Volumn 63, Issue , 2014, Pages 137-142

  Banu, Shahera ^a   Hu, Wenbiao ^a   Guo, Yuming ^b   Hurst, Cameron ^c   Tong, Shilu ^a  

^a QUEENSLAND UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Australia)

^b UNIVERSITY OF QUEENSLAND   (Australia)

^c KHON KAEN UNIVERSITY   (Thailand)

Author keywords

Bangladesh; Climate change; Dengue; Dhaka; Projections; Temperature

Indexed keywords

RISK ASSESSMENT; TEMPERATURE; VIRUSES;

BANGLADESH; DENGUE; DHAKA; PROJECTIONS; SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONDITIONS; TEMPERATURE AND HUMIDITIES; TEMPERATURE INCREASE; VECTOR-BORNE DISEASE;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CLIMATE CHANGE; DISEASE SPREAD; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; DISEASE VECTOR; HEALTH IMPACT; HEALTH RISK; MOSQUITO; PUBLIC HEALTH; RISK ASSESSMENT; SPATIAL ANALYSIS; TEMPERATURE;

ARTICLE; ATTRIBUTABLE RISK; BANGLADESH; CLIMATE CHANGE; DENGUE; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; ENVIRONMENTAL TEMPERATURE; HUMIDITY; INCIDENCE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SEASONAL VARIATION; TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENT; TROPIC CLIMATE;

BANGLADESH; DHAKA [BANGLADESH];

BANGLADESH; CLIMATE CHANGE; DENGUE; DHAKA; PROJECTIONS; TEMPERATURE;

AEDES; ANIMALS; BANGLADESH; CITIES; CLIMATE CHANGE; DENGUE; DISEASE VECTORS; ENVIRONMENT; HUMANS; HUMIDITY; TEMPERATURE; WEATHER;

EID: 84888781102     PISSN: 01604120     EISSN: 18736750     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2013.11.002     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Arcari P., Tapper N., Pfueller S. Regional variability in relationships between climate and dengue/DHF in Indonesia. Singapore J Trop Geo 2007, 28:251-272.
2. Bangs M.J., Larasati R.P., Corwin A.L., Wuryadi S., Jakarta I. Climatic factors associated with epidemic dengue in Palembang, Indonesia: implications of short-term meteorological events on virus transmission. Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health 2006, 37:1103-1116.
3. Banu S., Hu W., Hurst C., Guo Y., Islam M.Z., Tong S. Space-time clusters of dengue fever in Bangladesh. Trop Med Int Health 2012, 17:1086-1091.
4. Banu S., Hu W., Hurst C., Tong S. Dengue transmission in the Asia-Pacific region: impact of climate change and socio-environmental factors. Trop Med Int Health 2011, 16:598-607.
5. Beebe N.W., Cooper R.D., Mottram P., Sweeney A.W. Australia's dengue risk driven by human adaptation to climate change. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2009, 3:e429.
6. Cazelles B., Chavez M., McMichael A.J., Hales S. Nonstationary influence of EI Nino on the synchronous dengue epidemics in Thailand. PLoS Med 2005, 2:313-318.
7. Chakravarti A., Kumaria R. Eco-epidemiological analysis of dengue infection during an outbreak of dengue fever, India. Virol J 2005, 2:32.
8. Chen S.C., Hsieh M.H. Modeling the transmission dynamics of dengue fever: implications of temperature effects. Sci Total Environ 2012, 431:385-391.
9. Chen S.C., Liao C.M., Chio C.P., Chou H.H., You S.H., Cheng Y.H. Lagged temperature effect with mosquito transmission potential explains dengue variability in southern Taiwan: insights from a statistical analysis. Sci Total Environ 2010, 408:4069-4075.
10. Descloux E., Mangeas M., Menkes C.E., Lengaigne M., Leroy A., Tehei T., et al. Climate-based models for understanding and forecasting dengue epidemics. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2012, 6:e1470.
11. Gasparrini A., Armstrong B. Distributed lag non-linear model in R: the package dlnm 2011.
12. Gubler D.J. Dengue and dengue hemorrhagic fever. Clin Microbiol Rev 1998, 11:480-496.
13. Gubler D.J. Dengue, urbanization and globalization: the unholy trinity of the 21(st) century. Trop Med Health 2011, 39:3-11.
14. Hales S., de Wet N., Maindonald J., Woodward A. Potential effect of population and climate changes on global distribution of dengue fever: an empirical model. Lancet 2002, 360:830-834.
15. Hii Y.L., Rocklov J., Ng N., Tang C.S., Pang F.Y., Sauerborn R. Climate variability and increase in intensity and magnitude of dengue incidence in Singapore. Glob Health Action 2009, 2.
16. Hii Y.L., Rocklov J., Wall S., Ng L.C., Tang C.S., Ng N. Optimal lead time for dengue forecast. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2012, 6:e1848.
17. Hopp J.M., Foley J.A. Worldwide fluctuations in dengue fever cases related to climate variability. Clim Res 2003, 25:85-94.
18. Hopp M.J., Foley J.A. Global-scale relationships between climate and the dengue fever vector, Aedes aegypti. Clim Chang 2001, 48:441-463.
19. Hsieh Y.H., Chen C.W.S. Turning points, reproduction number and impact of climatological events for multi-wave dengue outbreaks. Trop Med Int Health 2009, 14:628-638.
20. Hu W., Clements A., Williams G., Tong S. Dengue fever and El Niño/Southern Oscillation in Queensland, Australia: a time series predictive model. Occup Environ Med 2010, 67:307-311.
21. Hu W., Clements A., Williams G., Tong S., Mengersen K. Spatial patterns and socioecological drivers of dengue fever transmission in Queensland, Australia. Environ Health Perspect 2012, 120:260-266.
22. IPCC IPCC Special report: emissions scenarios 2000, Intergovernmental panel on climate change.
23. IPCC Climate change 2007: the physical science basis: contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and NY, USA.
24. Jetten T.H., Focks D.A. Potential changes in the distribution of dengue transmission under climate warming. Am J Trop Med Hyg 1997, 57:285-297.
25. Johansson M.A., Dominici F., Glass G.E. Local and global effects of climate on dengue transmission in Puerto Rico. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2009, 3:e382.
26. Kan H., Chen R., Tong S. Ambient air pollution, climate change, and population health in China. Environ Int 2012, 42:10-19.
27. Karim M.N., Munshi S.U., Anwar N., Alam M.S. Climatic factors influencing dengue cases in Dhaka City: a model for dengue prediction. Indian J Med Res 2012, 136:32-39.
28. McMichael A.J., Woodruff R.E., Hales S. Climate change and human health: present and future risks. Lancet 2006, 367:859-869.
29. Oo T.T., Storch V., Madon M.B., Becker N. Factors influencing the seasonal abundance of Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti and the control strategy of dengue and dengue haemorrhagic fever in Thanlyin Township, Yangon City, Myanmar. Trop Biomed 2011, 28:302-311.
30. Patz J.A., Campbell-Lendrum D., Holloway T., Foley J.A. Impact of regional climate change on human health. Nature 2005, 438:310-317.
31. Patz J.A., Martens W.J.M., Focks D.A., Jetten T.H. Dengue fever epidemic potential as projected by general circulation models of global climate change. Environ Health Perspect 1998, 106:147-153.
32. Ram S., Khurana S., Kaushal V., Gupta R., Khurana S.B. Incidence of dengue fever in relation to climatic factors in Ludhiana, Punjab. Indian J Med Res 1998, 108:128-133.
33. Reiter P. Climate change and mosquito-borne disease. Environ Health Perspect 2001, 109:141-161.
34. Tatem A.J., Hay S.I., Rogers D.J. Global traffic and disease vector dispersal. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2006, 103:6242-6247.
35. Thammapalo S., Chongsuvivatong V., Geater A., Dueravee M. Environmental factors and incidence of dengue fever and dengue haemorrhagic fever in an urban area, Southern Thailand. Epidemiol Infect 2007, 136:135-143.
36. Tun-Lin W., Burkot T.R., Kay B.H. Effects of temperature and larval diet on development rates and survival of the dengue vector Aedes aegypti in north Queensland, Australia. Med Vet Entomol 2000, 14:31-37.
37. WHO Dengue hemorrhagic fever: diagnosis, treatment, prevention and control 2000, WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.
38. Wu P.C., Guo H.R., Lung S.C., Lin C.Y., Su H.J. Weather as an effective predictor for occurrence of dengue fever in Taiwan. Acta Trop 2007, 103:50-57.
39. Yang H.M., Macoris M.L., Galvani K.C., Andrighetti M.T., Wanderley D.M. Assessing the effects of temperature on the population of Aedes aegypti, the vector of dengue. Epidemiol Infect 2009, 137:1188-1202.