메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 51, Issue , 2014, Pages 269-285

A comprehensive evaluation of various sensitivity analysis methods: A case study with a hydrological model

Author keywords

Parameter screening; PSUADE; Sensitivity analysis; Space filling sampling; Uncertainty quantification

Indexed keywords

EFFECTIVENESS AND EFFICIENCIES; FOURIER AMPLITUDE SENSITIVITY TESTS; MULTIVARIATE ADAPTIVE REGRESSION SPLINES; PARAMETER SCREENING; PROBLEM SOLVING ENVIRONMENTS; PSUADE; SPACE-FILLING; UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATIONS;

EID: 84887343895     PISSN: 13648152     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.09.031     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (279)

References (68)
  • 2
    • 33644526990 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Amanifesto for the equifinality thesis
    • Beven K. Amanifesto for the equifinality thesis. J.Hydrol. 2006, 320(1-2):18-36. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.07.007.
    • (2006) J.Hydrol. , vol.320 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 18-36
    • Beven, K.1
  • 3
    • 0027009437 scopus 로고
    • The future of distributed models: model calibration and uncertainty prediction
    • Beven K., Binley A. The future of distributed models: model calibration and uncertainty prediction. Hydrol. Process. 1992, 6(3):279-298. 10.1002/hyp.3360060305.
    • (1992) Hydrol. Process. , vol.6 , Issue.3 , pp. 279-298
    • Beven, K.1    Binley, A.2
  • 4
    • 0029413274 scopus 로고
    • Scale issues in hydrological modelling: a review
    • Blöschl G., Sivapalan M. Scale issues in hydrological modelling: a review. Hydrol. Process. 1995, 9(3-4):251-290. 10.1002/hyp.3360090305.
    • (1995) Hydrol. Process. , vol.9 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 251-290
    • Blöschl, G.1    Sivapalan, M.2
  • 5
    • 84859106886 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model emulation and moment-independent sensitivity analysis: an application to environmental modelling
    • Borgonovo E., Castaings W., Tarantola S. Model emulation and moment-independent sensitivity analysis: an application to environmental modelling. Environ. Model. Softw. 2012, 34:105-115. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.06.006.
    • (2012) Environ. Model. Softw. , vol.34 , pp. 105-115
    • Borgonovo, E.1    Castaings, W.2    Tarantola, S.3
  • 6
    • 84946657020 scopus 로고
    • Some new three level designs for the study of quantitative variables
    • Box G.E.P., Behnken D.W. Some new three level designs for the study of quantitative variables. Technometrics 1960, 2(4):455-475.
    • (1960) Technometrics , vol.2 , Issue.4 , pp. 455-475
    • Box, G.E.P.1    Behnken, D.W.2
  • 7
    • 84863136881 scopus 로고
    • k-p fractional factorial designs: part I
    • k-p fractional factorial designs: part I. Technometrics 1961, 3(3):311-351.
    • (1961) Technometrics , vol.3 , Issue.3 , pp. 311-351
    • Box, G.E.P.1    Hunter, J.S.2
  • 8
    • 0002363078 scopus 로고
    • On the experimental attainment of optimum conditions
    • Box G.E.P., Wilson K.B. On the experimental attainment of optimum conditions. J.R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B (Methodol.) 1951, 13(1):1-45.
    • (1951) J.R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B (Methodol.) , vol.13 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-45
    • Box, G.E.P.1    Wilson, K.B.2
  • 9
    • 0034508765 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toward improved calibration of hydrologic models: combining the strengths of manual and automatic methods
    • Boyle D.P., Gupta H.V., Sorooshian S. Toward improved calibration of hydrologic models: combining the strengths of manual and automatic methods. Water Resour. Res. 2000, 36(12):3663-3674. 10.1029/2000WR900207.
    • (2000) Water Resour. Res. , vol.36 , Issue.12 , pp. 3663-3674
    • Boyle, D.P.1    Gupta, H.V.2    Sorooshian, S.3
  • 12
    • 0001632928 scopus 로고
    • The NWS river forecast system-catchment modeling
    • Water Resources Publications, Highlands Ranch, CO, V.P. Singh (Ed.)
    • Burnash R.J.C. The NWS river forecast system-catchment modeling. Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology 1995, 311-366. Water Resources Publications, Highlands Ranch, CO. V.P. Singh (Ed.).
    • (1995) Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology , pp. 311-366
    • Burnash, R.J.C.1
  • 14
    • 34147165083 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An effective screening design for sensitivity analysis of large models
    • Campolongo F., Cariboni J., Saltelli A. An effective screening design for sensitivity analysis of large models. Environ. Model. Softw. 2007, 22(10):1509-1518. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.10.004.
    • (2007) Environ. Model. Softw. , vol.22 , Issue.10 , pp. 1509-1518
    • Campolongo, F.1    Cariboni, J.2    Saltelli, A.3
  • 15
    • 84870288271 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • BART: Bayesian additive regression trees
    • Chipman H.A., George E.I., McCulloch R.E. BART: Bayesian additive regression trees. Ann. Appl. Stat. 2010, 4(1):266-298. 10.1214/09-AOAS285.
    • (2010) Ann. Appl. Stat. , vol.4 , Issue.1 , pp. 266-298
    • Chipman, H.A.1    George, E.I.2    McCulloch, R.E.3
  • 16
    • 80053590883 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pursuing the method of multiple working hypotheses for hydrological modeling
    • Clark M.P., Kavetski D., Fenicia F. Pursuing the method of multiple working hypotheses for hydrological modeling. Water Resour. Res. 2011, 47:W09301. 10.1029/2010WR009827.
    • (2011) Water Resour. Res. , vol.47
    • Clark, M.P.1    Kavetski, D.2    Fenicia, F.3
  • 17
    • 33750694256 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Correlation and regression
    • Crawford S.L. Correlation and regression. Circulation 2006, 114(19):2083-2088. 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.105.586495.
    • (2006) Circulation , vol.114 , Issue.19 , pp. 2083-2088
    • Crawford, S.L.1
  • 18
    • 84953649167 scopus 로고
    • Study of the sensitivity of coupled reaction systems to uncertainties in rate coefficients. I theory
    • Cukier R.I., Fortuin C.M., Shuler K.E., Petschek A.G., Schaibly J.H. Study of the sensitivity of coupled reaction systems to uncertainties in rate coefficients. I theory. J.Chem. Phys. 1973, 59(8):3873-3878. 10.1063/1.1680571.
    • (1973) J.Chem. Phys. , vol.59 , Issue.8 , pp. 3873-3878
    • Cukier, R.I.1    Fortuin, C.M.2    Shuler, K.E.3    Petschek, A.G.4    Schaibly, J.H.5
  • 20
    • 0028449781 scopus 로고
    • Optimal use of the SCE-UA global optimization method for calibrating watershed models
    • Duan Q., Sorooshian S., Gupta V.K. Optimal use of the SCE-UA global optimization method for calibrating watershed models. J.Hydrol. 1994, 158(3-4):265-284. 10.1016/0022-1694(94)90057-4.
    • (1994) J.Hydrol. , vol.158 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 265-284
    • Duan, Q.1    Sorooshian, S.2    Gupta, V.K.3
  • 21
    • 0026445234 scopus 로고
    • Effective and efficient global optimization for conceptual rainfall-runoff models
    • Duan Q., Sorooshian S., Gupta V. Effective and efficient global optimization for conceptual rainfall-runoff models. Water Resour. Res. 1992, 28(4):1015-1031. 10.1029/91WR02985.
    • (1992) Water Resour. Res. , vol.28 , Issue.4 , pp. 1015-1031
    • Duan, Q.1    Sorooshian, S.2    Gupta, V.3
  • 23
    • 0002432565 scopus 로고
    • Multivariate adaptive regression splines
    • Friedman J.H. Multivariate adaptive regression splines. Ann. Stat. 1991, 19(1):1-67. 10.1214/aos/1176347963.
    • (1991) Ann. Stat. , vol.19 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-67
    • Friedman, J.H.1
  • 24
    • 0001740245 scopus 로고
    • Regression towards mediocrity in hereditary stature
    • Galton F. Regression towards mediocrity in hereditary stature. J.Anthropol. Inst. G B Irel. 1886, 15:246-263.
    • (1886) J.Anthropol. Inst. G B Irel. , vol.15 , pp. 246-263
    • Galton, F.1
  • 26
    • 0031922634 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toward improved calibration of hydrologic models: multiple and noncommensurable measures of information
    • Gupta H.V., Sorooshian S., Yapo P.O. Toward improved calibration of hydrologic models: multiple and noncommensurable measures of information. Water Resour. Res. 1998, 34(4):751-763. 10.1029/97WR03495.
    • (1998) Water Resour. Res. , vol.34 , Issue.4 , pp. 751-763
    • Gupta, H.V.1    Sorooshian, S.2    Yapo, P.O.3
  • 27
    • 70449516490 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using and comparing two nonparametric methods (CART and MARS) to model the potential distribution of gullies
    • Gutiérrez Á G., Schnabel S., Contador J.F.L. Using and comparing two nonparametric methods (CART and MARS) to model the potential distribution of gullies. Ecol. Model 2009, 220(24):3630-3637. 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.06.020.
    • (2009) Ecol. Model , vol.220 , Issue.24 , pp. 3630-3637
    • Gutiérrez Á, G.1    Schnabel, S.2    Contador, J.F.L.3
  • 28
    • 0030121081 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Importance measures in global sensitivity analysis of nonlinear models
    • Homma T., Saltelli A. Importance measures in global sensitivity analysis of nonlinear models. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 1996, 52(1):1-17. 10.1016/0951-8320(96)00002-6.
    • (1996) Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. , vol.52 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-17
    • Homma, T.1    Saltelli, A.2
  • 29
    • 0019392712 scopus 로고
    • An approach to the preliminary analysis of environmental systems
    • Hornberger G.M., Spear R.C. An approach to the preliminary analysis of environmental systems. J.Environ. Manag. 1981, 12(1):7-18.
    • (1981) J.Environ. Manag. , vol.12 , Issue.1 , pp. 7-18
    • Hornberger, G.M.1    Spear, R.C.2
  • 31
    • 0027790160 scopus 로고
    • How much complexity is warranted in a rainfall-runoff model?
    • Jakeman A.J., Hornberger G.M. How much complexity is warranted in a rainfall-runoff model?. Water Resour. Res. 1993, 29(8):2637-2649. 10.1029/93WR00877.
    • (1993) Water Resour. Res. , vol.29 , Issue.8 , pp. 2637-2649
    • Jakeman, A.J.1    Hornberger, G.M.2
  • 34
    • 77958463981 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ancient numerical daemons of conceptual hydrological modeling: 2. Impact of time stepping schemes on model analysis and prediction
    • Kavetski D., Clark M.P. Ancient numerical daemons of conceptual hydrological modeling: 2. Impact of time stepping schemes on model analysis and prediction. Water Resour. Res. 2010, 46(10):W10511. 10.1029/2009WR008896.
    • (2010) Water Resour. Res. , vol.46 , Issue.10
    • Kavetski, D.1    Clark, M.P.2
  • 35
    • 1542442449 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Semi-distributed hydrological modeling: a "saturation path" perspective on TOPMODEL and VIC
    • Kavetski D., Kuczera G., Franks S.W. Semi-distributed hydrological modeling: a "saturation path" perspective on TOPMODEL and VIC. Water Resour. Res. 2003, 39(9):1246. 10.1029/2003WR002122.
    • (2003) Water Resour. Res. , vol.39 , Issue.9 , pp. 1246
    • Kavetski, D.1    Kuczera, G.2    Franks, S.W.3
  • 36
    • 78650727974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Computer experiments: a review
    • Levy S., Steinberg D.M. Computer experiments: a review. Adv. Stat. Anal. 2010, 94(4):311-324. 10.1007/s10182-010-0147-9.
    • (2010) Adv. Stat. Anal. , vol.94 , Issue.4 , pp. 311-324
    • Levy, S.1    Steinberg, D.M.2
  • 37
    • 13244297127 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploring parameter sensitivities of the land surface using a locally coupled land-atmosphere model
    • Liu Y., Gupta H.V., Sorooshian S., Bastidas L.A., Shuttleworth W.J. Exploring parameter sensitivities of the land surface using a locally coupled land-atmosphere model. J.Geophys. Res. 2004, 109:D21101. 10.1029/2004JD004730.
    • (2004) J.Geophys. Res. , vol.109
    • Liu, Y.1    Gupta, H.V.2    Sorooshian, S.3    Bastidas, L.A.4    Shuttleworth, W.J.5
  • 38
    • 70549096873 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Choosing the sample size of a computer experiment: a practical guide
    • Loeppky J.L., Sacks J., Welch W.J. Choosing the sample size of a computer experiment: a practical guide. Technometrics 2009, 51(4):366-376. 10.1198/TECH.2009.08040.
    • (2009) Technometrics , vol.51 , Issue.4 , pp. 366-376
    • Loeppky, J.L.1    Sacks, J.2    Welch, W.J.3
  • 40
    • 0018468345 scopus 로고
    • Acomparison of three methods forselecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computercode
    • McKay M.D., Beckman R.J., Conover W.J. Acomparison of three methods forselecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computercode. Technometrics 1979, 21(2):239-245. 10.1080/00401706.2000.10485979.
    • (1979) Technometrics , vol.21 , Issue.2 , pp. 239-245
    • McKay, M.D.1    Beckman, R.J.2    Conover, W.J.3
  • 41
    • 33745955275 scopus 로고
    • The Monte Carlo method
    • Meteopolis N., Ulam S. The Monte Carlo method. J.Am. Stat. Assoc. 1949, 44(247):335-341.
    • (1949) J.Am. Stat. Assoc. , vol.44 , Issue.247 , pp. 335-341
    • Meteopolis, N.1    Ulam, S.2
  • 42
    • 84952096573 scopus 로고
    • Factorial sampling plans for preliminary computational experments
    • Morris M.D. Factorial sampling plans for preliminary computational experments. Technometrics 1991, 33(2):161-174. 10.1080/00401706.1991.10484804.
    • (1991) Technometrics , vol.33 , Issue.2 , pp. 161-174
    • Morris, M.D.1
  • 43
    • 0000444881 scopus 로고
    • Orthogonal arrays for computer experiments, integration and visualization
    • Owen A.B. Orthogonal arrays for computer experiments, integration and visualization. Stat. Sinica 1992, 2(2):439-452.
    • (1992) Stat. Sinica , vol.2 , Issue.2 , pp. 439-452
    • Owen, A.B.1
  • 44
    • 0001764090 scopus 로고
    • Finding the embedding dimension and variable dependencies in time series
    • Pi H., Peterson C. Finding the embedding dimension and variable dependencies in time series. Neural Comput. 1994, 6(3):509-520. 10.1162/neco.1994.6.3.509.
    • (1994) Neural Comput. , vol.6 , Issue.3 , pp. 509-520
    • Pi, H.1    Peterson, C.2
  • 45
    • 0001131698 scopus 로고
    • The design of optimum multifactorial experiments
    • Plackett R.L., Burman J.P. The design of optimum multifactorial experiments. Biometrika 1946, 33(4):305-325.
    • (1946) Biometrika , vol.33 , Issue.4 , pp. 305-325
    • Plackett, R.L.1    Burman, J.P.2
  • 46
    • 35348954821 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • State dependent parameter metamodelling and sensitivity analysis
    • Ratto M., Pagano A., Young P. State dependent parameter metamodelling and sensitivity analysis. Comput. Phys. Commun. 2007, 177(11):863-876. 10.1016/j.cpc.2007.07.011.
    • (2007) Comput. Phys. Commun. , vol.177 , Issue.11 , pp. 863-876
    • Ratto, M.1    Pagano, A.2    Young, P.3
  • 47
    • 77950177246 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding predictive uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: the challenge of identifying input and structural errors
    • Renard B., Kavetski D., Kuczera G., Thyer M., Franks S.W. Understanding predictive uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: the challenge of identifying input and structural errors. Water Resour. Res. 2010, 46:W05521. 10.1029/2009WR008328.
    • (2010) Water Resour. Res. , vol.46
    • Renard, B.1    Kavetski, D.2    Kuczera, G.3    Thyer, M.4    Franks, S.W.5
  • 48
    • 84972517827 scopus 로고
    • Design and analysis of computer experiments
    • Sacks J., Welch W.J., Mitchell T.J., Wynn H.P. Design and analysis of computer experiments. Stat. Sci. 1989, 4(4):409-423. 10.1214/ss/1177012413.
    • (1989) Stat. Sci. , vol.4 , Issue.4 , pp. 409-423
    • Sacks, J.1    Welch, W.J.2    Mitchell, T.J.3    Wynn, H.P.4
  • 49
    • 0037093163 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Making best use of model evaluations to compute sensitivity indices
    • Saltelli A. Making best use of model evaluations to compute sensitivity indices. Comput. Phys. Commun. 2002, 145(2):280-297. 10.1016/S0010-4655(02)00280-1.
    • (2002) Comput. Phys. Commun. , vol.145 , Issue.2 , pp. 280-297
    • Saltelli, A.1
  • 51
    • 0033079533 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Aquantitative model-independent method for global sensitivity analysis of model output
    • Saltelli A., Tarantola S., Chan K.P.S. Aquantitative model-independent method for global sensitivity analysis of model output. Technometrics 1999, 41(1):39-56. 10.2307/1270993.
    • (1999) Technometrics , vol.41 , Issue.1 , pp. 39-56
    • Saltelli, A.1    Tarantola, S.2    Chan, K.P.S.3
  • 52
    • 79951726132 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Variance-based sensitivity analysis of model outputs using surrogate models
    • Shahsavani D., Grimvall A. Variance-based sensitivity analysis of model outputs using surrogate models. Environ. Model. Softw. 2011, 26(6):723-730. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.01.002.
    • (2011) Environ. Model. Softw. , vol.26 , Issue.6 , pp. 723-730
    • Shahsavani, D.1    Grimvall, A.2
  • 54
    • 38249019039 scopus 로고
    • Quasi-Monte Carlo methods
    • Sobol' I.M. Quasi-Monte Carlo methods. Progr. Nucl. Energy 1990, 24(1-3):55-61. 10.1016/0149-1970(9090022-W).
    • (1990) Progr. Nucl. Energy , vol.24 , Issue.1-3 , pp. 55-61
    • Sobol', I.M.1
  • 55
    • 0000760143 scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity analysis for nonlinear mathematical models
    • Sobol' I.M. Sensitivity analysis for nonlinear mathematical models. Math. Model. Comput. Exp. 1993, 1:407-414.
    • (1993) Math. Model. Comput. Exp. , vol.1 , pp. 407-414
    • Sobol', I.M.1
  • 56
    • 0034926426 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global sensitivity indices for nonlinear mathematical models and their Monte Carlo estimates
    • Sobol' I.M. Global sensitivity indices for nonlinear mathematical models and their Monte Carlo estimates. Math. Comput. Simul. 2001, 55(1-3):271-280. 10.1016/S0378-4754(0000270-6).
    • (2001) Math. Comput. Simul. , vol.55 , Issue.1-3 , pp. 271-280
    • Sobol', I.M.1
  • 57
    • 0021034448 scopus 로고
    • Automatic calibration of conceptual rainfall-runoff models: the question of parameter observability and uniqueness
    • Sorooshian S., Gupta V.K. Automatic calibration of conceptual rainfall-runoff models: the question of parameter observability and uniqueness. Water Resour. Res. 1983, 19(1):260-268. 10.1029/WR019i001p00260.
    • (1983) Water Resour. Res. , vol.19 , Issue.1 , pp. 260-268
    • Sorooshian, S.1    Gupta, V.K.2
  • 58
    • 0002965815 scopus 로고
    • The proof and measurement of association between two things
    • Spearman C. The proof and measurement of association between two things. Am. J. Psychol. 1904, 15(1):72-101.
    • (1904) Am. J. Psychol. , vol.15 , Issue.1 , pp. 72-101
    • Spearman, C.1
  • 61
    • 21344480032 scopus 로고
    • Orthogonal array-based Latin hypercubes
    • Tang B. Orthogonal array-based Latin hypercubes. J.Am. Stat. Assoc. 1993, 88(424):1392-1397. 10.2307/2291282.
    • (1993) J.Am. Stat. Assoc. , vol.88 , Issue.424 , pp. 1392-1397
    • Tang, B.1
  • 62
    • 33846807795 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing sensitivity analysis methods to advance lumped watershed model identification and evaluation
    • Tang Y., Reed P., Wagener T., van Werkhoven K. Comparing sensitivity analysis methods to advance lumped watershed model identification and evaluation. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2007, 11(2):793-817. 10.5194/hess-11-793-2007.
    • (2007) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.11 , Issue.2 , pp. 793-817
    • Tang, Y.1    Reed, P.2    Wagener, T.3    van Werkhoven, K.4
  • 63
    • 84857793149 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA
    • Tong C. PSUADE User's Manual 2005, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA.
    • (2005) PSUADE User's Manual
    • Tong, C.1
  • 65
    • 78651586763 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Apractical global sensitivity analysis methodology for multi-physics applications
    • Springer-Verlag, Berlin, F. Graziani (Ed.)
    • Tong C., Graziani F. Apractical global sensitivity analysis methodology for multi-physics applications. Computational Methods in Transport: Verification and Validation 2008, 277-299. Springer-Verlag, Berlin. F. Graziani (Ed.).
    • (2008) Computational Methods in Transport: Verification and Validation , pp. 277-299
    • Tong, C.1    Graziani, F.2
  • 66
    • 33646725682 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Aglobal sensitivity analysis tool for the parameters of multi-variable catchment models
    • van Griensven A., Meixner T., Grunwald S., Bishop T., Diluzio M., Srinivasan R. Aglobal sensitivity analysis tool for the parameters of multi-variable catchment models. J.Hydrol. 2006, 324(1):10-23. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.09.008.
    • (2006) J.Hydrol. , vol.324 , Issue.1 , pp. 10-23
    • van Griensven, A.1    Meixner, T.2    Grunwald, S.3    Bishop, T.4    Diluzio, M.5    Srinivasan, R.6
  • 67
    • 39749149573 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Characterization of watershed model behavior across a hydroclimatic gradient
    • van Werkhoven K., Wagener T., Reed P., Tang Y. Characterization of watershed model behavior across a hydroclimatic gradient. Water Resour. Res. 2008, 44(1):W01429. 10.1029/2007WR006271.
    • (2008) Water Resour. Res. , vol.44 , Issue.1
    • van Werkhoven, K.1    Wagener, T.2    Reed, P.3    Tang, Y.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.