메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 24, Issue 6, 2013, Pages 418-432

Spatial extreme value analysis to project extremes of large-scale indicators for severe weather

Author keywords

Conditional extreme value modeling; Reanalysis data; River flow; Severe storms

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CONDITIONS; ENVIRONMENTAL MODELING; ESTIMATION METHOD; EXTREME EVENT; QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS; RIVER FLOW; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; WIND VELOCITY;

EID: 84884756302     PISSN: 11804009     EISSN: 1099095X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/env.2234     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (16)

References (85)
  • 2
    • 0345476697 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of assimilating rain rates derived from satellites and lightning on forecasts of the 1993 superstorm
    • Alexander GD, Weinman JA, Karyampudi VM, Olson WS, Lee ACL. 1999. The effect of assimilating rain rates derived from satellites and lightning on forecasts of the 1993 superstorm. Monthly Weather Review 127(7): 1433-1457.
    • (1999) Monthly Weather Review , vol.127 , Issue.7 , pp. 1433-1457
    • Alexander, G.D.1    Weinman, J.A.2    Karyampudi, V.M.3    Olson, W.S.4    Lee, A.C.L.5
  • 3
    • 0032413697 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of digital warping of microwave integrated water vapor imagery to improve forecasts of marine extratropical cyclones
    • Alexander GD, Weinman JA, Schols JL. 1998. The use of digital warping of microwave integrated water vapor imagery to improve forecasts of marine extratropical cyclones. Monthly Weather Review 126(6): 1469-1496.
    • (1998) Monthly Weather Review , vol.126 , Issue.6 , pp. 1469-1496
    • Alexander, G.D.1    Weinman, J.A.2    Schols, J.L.3
  • 5
    • 84863008407 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatially and temporally consistent prediction of heavy precipitation from mean values
    • Benestad RE, Nychka D, Mearns LO. 2012. Spatially and temporally consistent prediction of heavy precipitation from mean values. Nature Climate Change 2(7): 544-547.
    • (2012) Nature Climate Change , vol.2 , Issue.7 , pp. 544-547
    • Benestad, R.E.1    Nychka, D.2    Mearns, L.O.3
  • 7
    • 0001677717 scopus 로고
    • Controlling the false discovery rate: a practical and powerful approach to multiple testing
    • Benjamini Y, Hochberg Y. 1995. Controlling the false discovery rate: a practical and powerful approach to multiple testing. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 57B: 289-300.
    • (1995) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , vol.57 B , pp. 289-300
    • Benjamini, Y.1    Hochberg, Y.2
  • 8
    • 33846628629 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climatological aspects of convective parameters from the NCAR/NCEP reanalysis
    • Brooks HE, Anderson AR, Riemann K, Ebbers I, Flachs H. 2007. Climatological aspects of convective parameters from the NCAR/NCEP reanalysis. Atmospheric Research 83(2-4): 294-305.
    • (2007) Atmospheric Research , vol.83 , Issue.2-4 , pp. 294-305
    • Brooks, H.E.1    Anderson, A.R.2    Riemann, K.3    Ebbers, I.4    Flachs, H.5
  • 9
    • 0141738355 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The spatial distribution of severe thunderstorm and tornado environments from global reanalysis data
    • Brooks HE, Lee JW, Craven JP. 2003. The spatial distribution of severe thunderstorm and tornado environments from global reanalysis data. Atmospheric Research 67-68(0): 73-94.
    • (2003) Atmospheric Research , vol.67-68 , Issue.0 , pp. 73-94
    • Brooks, H.E.1    Lee, J.W.2    Craven, J.P.3
  • 10
    • 67449110829 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On spatial extremes: with application to a rainfall problem
    • Buishand DHL, Zhou C. 2008. On spatial extremes: with application to a rainfall problem. The Annals of Applied Probability 2: 624-642.
    • (2008) The Annals of Applied Probability , vol.2 , pp. 624-642
    • Buishand, D.H.L.1    Zhou, C.2
  • 14
    • 4243340587 scopus 로고
    • Statistical methods for multivariate extremes: an application to structural design (with discussion)
    • Coles SG, Tawn JA. 1994. Statistical methods for multivariate extremes: an application to structural design (with discussion). Applied Statistics 43: 1-48.
    • (1994) Applied Statistics , vol.43 , pp. 1-48
    • Coles, S.G.1    Tawn, J.A.2
  • 15
  • 17
    • 80055070051 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial hierarchical modeling of precipitation extremes from a regional climate model
    • Cooley D, Sain S. 2010. Spatial hierarchical modeling of precipitation extremes from a regional climate model. JABES 15: 381-402.
    • (2010) JABES , vol.15 , pp. 381-402
    • Cooley, D.1    Sain, S.2
  • 18
    • 84879928321 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geostatistics of dependent and asymptotically independent extremes
    • Davison AC, Huser R, Thibaud E. 2013. Geostatistics of dependent and asymptotically independent extremes. Mathematical Geosciences 45: 511-529.
    • (2013) Mathematical Geosciences , vol.45 , pp. 511-529
    • Davison, A.C.1    Huser, R.2    Thibaud, E.3
  • 19
  • 22
    • 67650112671 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • x data in the UK
    • x data in the UK. Environmetrics 20(4): 428-444.
    • (2009) Environmetrics , vol.20 , Issue.4 , pp. 428-444
    • Eastoe, E.F.1
  • 23
    • 58149149510 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling non-stationary extremes with application to surface-level ozone
    • Eastoe EF, Tawn J. 2009. Modelling non-stationary extremes with application to surface-level ozone. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C 58(1): 25-45.
    • (2009) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C , vol.58 , Issue.1 , pp. 25-45
    • Eastoe, E.F.1    Tawn, J.2
  • 25
    • 33947182886 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improved estimation for temporally clustered extremes
    • Fawcett L, Walshaw D. 2007. Improved estimation for temporally clustered extremes. Environmetrics 18(2): 173-188.
    • (2007) Environmetrics , vol.18 , Issue.2 , pp. 173-188
    • Fawcett, L.1    Walshaw, D.2
  • 26
    • 65649094446 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multi-model ensemble estimates of climate change impacts on UK seasonal precipitation extremes
    • Fowler HJ, Ekström M. 2009. Multi-model ensemble estimates of climate change impacts on UK seasonal precipitation extremes. International Journal of Climatology 29(3): 385-416.
    • (2009) International Journal of Climatology , vol.29 , Issue.3 , pp. 385-416
    • Fowler, H.J.1    Ekström, M.2
  • 27
    • 36349001678 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating change in extreme European precipitation using a multimodel ensemble
    • DOI: 10.1029/2007JD008619.
    • Fowler HJ, Ekström M, Blenkinsop S, Smith AP. 2007. Estimating change in extreme European precipitation using a multimodel ensemble. Journal of Geophysical Research 112: 1-20, DOI: 10.1029/2007JD008619.
    • (2007) Journal of Geophysical Research , vol.112 , pp. 1-20
    • Fowler, H.J.1    Ekström, M.2    Blenkinsop, S.3    Smith, A.P.4
  • 28
    • 9944245578 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New estimates of future changes in extreme rainfall across the UK using regional climate model integrations. 1. assessment of control climate
    • Fowler HJ, Ekström M, Kilsby CG, Jones PD. 2005. New estimates of future changes in extreme rainfall across the UK using regional climate model integrations. 1. assessment of control climate. Journal of Hydrology 300(1-4): 212-233.
    • (2005) Journal of Hydrology , vol.300 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 212-233
    • Fowler, H.J.1    Ekström, M.2    Kilsby, C.G.3    Jones, P.D.4
  • 29
    • 0141959763 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A regional frequency analysis of United Kingdom extreme rainfall from 1961 to 2000
    • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. 2003. A regional frequency analysis of United Kingdom extreme rainfall from 1961 to 2000. International Journal of Climatology 23(11): 1313-1334.
    • (2003) International Journal of Climatology , vol.23 , Issue.11 , pp. 1313-1334
    • Fowler, H.J.1    Kilsby, C.G.2
  • 30
    • 33646415341 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate models
    • DOI: 10.1029/2005JD005965.
    • Frei C, Schöll R, Fukutome S, Schmidli J, Vidale PL. 2006. Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research 111: 1-22, DOI: 10.1029/2005JD005965.
    • (2006) Journal of Geophysical Research , vol.111 , pp. 1-22
    • Frei, C.1    Schöll, R.2    Fukutome, S.3    Schmidli, J.4    Vidale, P.L.5
  • 32
    • 84874191268 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonparametric spatial methods for extremes: application to extreme temperture data
    • Fuentes M, Henry J, Reich BJ. 2013. Nonparametric spatial methods for extremes: application to extreme temperture data. Extremes 16: 75-101.
    • (2013) Extremes , vol.16 , pp. 75-101
    • Fuentes, M.1    Henry, J.2    Reich, B.J.3
  • 33
    • 79957814400 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the likelihood function of gaussian max-stable processes
    • Genton MG, Ma Y, Sang H. 2011. On the likelihood function of gaussian max-stable processes. Biometrika 98: 481-488.
    • (2011) Biometrika , vol.98 , pp. 481-488
    • Genton, M.G.1    Ma, Y.2    Sang, H.3
  • 34
    • 84874925379 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing competing precipitation forecasts accurately and efficiently: the spatial prediction comparison test
    • Gilleland E. 2013. Testing competing precipitation forecasts accurately and efficiently: the spatial prediction comparison test. Monthly Weather Review 141(1): 340-355.
    • (2013) Monthly Weather Review , vol.141 , Issue.1 , pp. 340-355
    • Gilleland, E.1
  • 36
    • 79551623994 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New software to analyze how extremes change over time
    • Gilleland E, Katz RW. 2011. New software to analyze how extremes change over time. Eos 92(2): 13-14.
    • (2011) Eos , vol.92 , Issue.2 , pp. 13-14
    • Gilleland, E.1    Katz, R.W.2
  • 37
    • 77955588494 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analyzing the image warp forecast verification method on precipitation fields from the ICP
    • Gilleland E, Lindström J, Lindgren F. 2010b. Analyzing the image warp forecast verification method on precipitation fields from the ICP. Weather and Forecasting 25(4): 1249-1262.
    • (2010) Weather and Forecasting , vol.25 , Issue.4 , pp. 1249-1262
    • Gilleland, E.1    Lindström, J.2    Lindgren, F.3
  • 38
    • 22344448360 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical models for monitoring and regulating ground-level ozone
    • Gilleland E, Nychka D. 2005. Statistical models for monitoring and regulating ground-level ozone. Environmetrics 16(5): 535-546.
    • (2005) Environmetrics , vol.16 , Issue.5 , pp. 535-546
    • Gilleland, E.1    Nychka, D.2
  • 41
    • 40249096859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Limit laws for random vectors with an extreme component
    • Heffernan JE, Resnick SI. 2007. Limit laws for random vectors with an extreme component. The Annals of Applied Probability 17(2): 537-571.
    • (2007) The Annals of Applied Probability , vol.17 , Issue.2 , pp. 537-571
    • Heffernan, J.E.1    Resnick, S.I.2
  • 43
    • 81555213027 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing spatial predictions
    • Hering AS, Genton MG. 2011. Comparing spatial predictions. Technometrics 53(4): 414-425.
    • (2011) Technometrics , vol.53 , Issue.4 , pp. 414-425
    • Hering, A.S.1    Genton, M.G.2
  • 46
    • 34548020772 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time-varying models for extreme values
    • DOI: 10.1007/s10651-007-0014-3.
    • Huerta G, Sansó B. 2007. Time-varying models for extreme values. Environmental and Ecological Statistics 14: 285-299, DOI: 10.1007/s10651-007-0014-3.
    • (2007) Environmental and Ecological Statistics , vol.14 , pp. 285-299
    • Huerta, G.1    Sansó, B.2
  • 47
    • 84857189694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Joint modelling of vertical profiles of large ocean currents
    • Jonathan P, Ewans K, Flynn J. 2012. Joint modelling of vertical profiles of large ocean currents. Ocean Engineering 42: 195-204.
    • (2012) Ocean Engineering , vol.42 , pp. 195-204
    • Jonathan, P.1    Ewans, K.2    Flynn, J.3
  • 48
    • 84860390312 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Joint modelling of wave spectral parameters for extreme sea states
    • Jonathan P, Flynn J, Ewans K. 2010. Joint modelling of wave spectral parameters for extreme sea states. Ocean Engineering 37(11-12): 1070-1080.
    • (2010) Ocean Engineering , vol.37 , Issue.11-12 , pp. 1070-1080
    • Jonathan, P.1    Flynn, J.2    Ewans, K.3
  • 50
    • 84884787670 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial dependence of river flooding and extreme rainfall. Ph.D. Thesis, Lancaster University, Lancaster LA1 4YF, UK.
    • Keef C. 2007. Spatial dependence of river flooding and extreme rainfall. Ph.D. Thesis, Lancaster University, Lancaster LA1 4YF, UK.
    • (2007)
    • Keef, C.1
  • 51
    • 84870680886 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of the conditional distribution of a multivariate variable given that one of its components is large: additional constraints for the heffernan and tawn model
    • Keef C, Papastathopoulos I, Tawn JA. 2013a. Estimation of the conditional distribution of a multivariate variable given that one of its components is large: additional constraints for the heffernan and tawn model. Journal of Multivariate Analysis 115: 396-404.
    • (2013) Journal of Multivariate Analysis , vol.115 , pp. 396-404
    • Keef, C.1    Papastathopoulos, I.2    Tawn, J.A.3
  • 52
    • 70350497331 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial dependence in extreme river flows and precipitation for Great Britain
    • Keef C, Svensson C, Tawn JA. 2009a. Spatial dependence in extreme river flows and precipitation for Great Britain. Journal of Hydrology 378(3-4): 240-252.
    • (2009) Journal of Hydrology , vol.378 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 240-252
    • Keef, C.1    Svensson, C.2    Tawn, J.A.3
  • 54
    • 84872126392 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating the probability of widespread flood events
    • Keef C, Tawn JA, Lamb R. 2013b. Estimating the probability of widespread flood events. Environmetrics 24(1): 13-21.
    • (2013) Environmetrics , vol.24 , Issue.1 , pp. 13-21
    • Keef, C.1    Tawn, J.A.2    Lamb, R.3
  • 55
    • 0034319040 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in the extremes in an ensemble of transient climate simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM
    • Kharin VV, Zwiers FW. 2000. Changes in the extremes in an ensemble of transient climate simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM. Journal of Climate 13(21): 3760-3788.
    • (2000) Journal of Climate , vol.13 , Issue.21 , pp. 3760-3788
    • Kharin, V.V.1    Zwiers, F.W.2
  • 56
    • 19144363700 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating extremes in transient climate change simulations
    • Kharin VV, Zwiers FW. 2005. Estimating extremes in transient climate change simulations. Journal of Climate 18(8): 1156-1173.
    • (2005) Journal of Climate , vol.18 , Issue.8 , pp. 1156-1173
    • Kharin, V.V.1    Zwiers, F.W.2
  • 57
    • 34247640720 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the IPCC ensemble of global coupled model simulations
    • Kharin VV, Zwiers FW, Zhang X, Hegerl GC. 2007. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the IPCC ensemble of global coupled model simulations. Journal of Climate 20(8): 1419-1444.
    • (2007) Journal of Climate , vol.20 , Issue.8 , pp. 1419-1444
    • Kharin, V.V.1    Zwiers, F.W.2    Zhang, X.3    Hegerl, G.C.4
  • 61
    • 38749117544 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessment of the severe weather environment in North America simulated by a global climate model
    • Marsh PT, Brooks HE, Karoly DJ. 2007. Assessment of the severe weather environment in North America simulated by a global climate model. Atmospheric Science Letters 8(4): 100-106.
    • (2007) Atmospheric Science Letters , vol.8 , Issue.4 , pp. 100-106
    • Marsh, P.T.1    Brooks, H.E.2    Karoly, D.J.3
  • 62
    • 67349257777 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Preliminary investigation into the severe thunderstorm environment of Europe simulated by the community climate system model 3
    • Marsh PT, Brooks HE, Karoly DJ. 2009. Preliminary investigation into the severe thunderstorm environment of Europe simulated by the community climate system model 3. Atmospheric Research 93(1-3): 607-618.
    • (2009) Atmospheric Research , vol.93 , Issue.1-3 , pp. 607-618
    • Marsh, P.T.1    Brooks, H.E.2    Karoly, D.J.3
  • 64
    • 80051605338 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Guidelines for constructing climate scenarios
    • Mote P, Brekke L, Duffy PB, Maurer E. 2011. Guidelines for constructing climate scenarios. Eos 92(31): 257-264.
    • (2011) Eos , vol.92 , Issue.31 , pp. 257-264
    • Mote, P.1    Brekke, L.2    Duffy, P.B.3    Maurer, E.4
  • 67
    • 84863304598 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • R Development Core Team. . R Foundation for Statistical Computing: Vienna, Austria. ISBN 3-900051-07-0.
    • R Development Core Team. 2012. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing: Vienna, Austria. ISBN 3-900051-07-0.
    • (2012) R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing
  • 68
    • 84871710529 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A hierarchical max-stable spatial model for extreme precipitation
    • Reich BJ, Shaby BA. 2012. A hierarchical max-stable spatial model for extreme precipitation. Annals of Applied Statistics 6: 1430-1451.
    • (2012) Annals of Applied Statistics , vol.6 , pp. 1430-1451
    • Reich, B.J.1    Shaby, B.A.2
  • 71
    • 84858395376 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference from composite likelihoods, with an application to spatial extremes
    • Ribatet M, Cooley D, Davison A. 2012. Bayesian inference from composite likelihoods, with an application to spatial extremes. Statistica Sinica 22: 813-845.
    • (2012) Statistica Sinica , vol.22 , pp. 813-845
    • Ribatet, M.1    Cooley, D.2    Davison, A.3
  • 72
    • 36549020018 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multivariate generalized Pareto distributions
    • Rootzén H, Tajvidi N. 2006. Multivariate generalized Pareto distributions. Bernoulli 12(5): 917-930.
    • (2006) Bernoulli , vol.12 , Issue.5 , pp. 917-930
    • Rootzén, H.1    Tajvidi, N.2
  • 76
    • 14544276393 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional probabilities of precipitation change: a Bayesian analysis of multimodel simulations
    • DOI: 10.1029/2004GL021276.
    • Tebaldi C, Mearns LO, Nychka DW, Smith RL. 2004. Regional probabilities of precipitation change: a Bayesian analysis of multimodel simulations. Geophysical Research Letters 31(24): 1-5, DOI: 10.1029/2004GL021276.
    • (2004) Geophysical Research Letters , vol.31 , Issue.24 , pp. 1-5
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Mearns, L.O.2    Nychka, D.W.3    Smith, R.L.4
  • 78
    • 62749206227 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transient response of severe thunderstorm forcing to elevated greenhouse gas concentrations
    • DOI: 10.1029/2008GL036203.
    • Trapp RJ, Diffenbaugh NS, Gluhovsky A. 2009. Transient response of severe thunderstorm forcing to elevated greenhouse gas concentrations. Geophysical Research Letters 36(1): 1-6, DOI: 10.1029/2008GL036203.
    • (2009) Geophysical Research Letters , vol.36 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-6
    • Trapp, R.J.1    Diffenbaugh, N.S.2    Gluhovsky, A.3
  • 79
    • 79451471191 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asymptotic models and inference for extremes of spatio-temporal data
    • Turkman K, AmaralTurkman M, Pereira J. 2010. Asymptotic models and inference for extremes of spatio-temporal data. Extremes 13(4): 375-397.
    • (2010) Extremes , vol.13 , Issue.4 , pp. 375-397
    • Turkman, K.1    AmaralTurkman, M.2    Pereira, J.3
  • 80
    • 11044230421 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Controlling the proportion of falsely rejected hypotheses when conducting multiple tests with climatological data
    • Ventura V, Paciorek CJ, Risbey JS. 2004. Controlling the proportion of falsely rejected hypotheses when conducting multiple tests with climatological data. Journal of Climate 17(22): 4343-4356.
    • (2004) Journal of Climate , vol.17 , Issue.22 , pp. 4343-4356
    • Ventura, V.1    Paciorek, C.J.2    Risbey, J.S.3
  • 81
    • 84859470447 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dependence modelling for spatial extremes
    • Wadsworth JL, Tawn JA. 2012. Dependence modelling for spatial extremes. Biometrika 99(2): 253-272.
    • (2012) Biometrika , vol.99 , Issue.2 , pp. 253-272
    • Wadsworth, J.L.1    Tawn, J.A.2
  • 82
    • 78650942707 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the structure and representations of max-stable processes
    • Wang Y, Stoev S. 2010. On the structure and representations of max-stable processes. Advances in Applied Probability 42: 855-877.
    • (2010) Advances in Applied Probability , vol.42 , pp. 855-877
    • Wang, Y.1    Stoev, S.2
  • 83
    • 34547887938 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vector generalized linear and additive extreme value models
    • DOI: 10.1007/s10687-007-0032-4.
    • Yee T, Stephenson A. 2007. Vector generalized linear and additive extreme value models. Extremes 10: 1-19, DOI: 10.1007/s10687-007-0032-4.
    • (2007) Extremes , vol.10 , pp. 1-19
    • Yee, T.1    Stephenson, A.2
  • 85
    • 46749151367 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Loss function approaches to predict a spatial quantile and its exceedance region
    • Zhang J, Craigmile PF, Cressie N. 2008. Loss function approaches to predict a spatial quantile and its exceedance region. Technometrics 50(2): 216-227.
    • (2008) Technometrics , vol.50 , Issue.2 , pp. 216-227
    • Zhang, J.1    Craigmile, P.F.2    Cressie, N.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.