Winter-to-spring temperature dynamics in Turkey derived from tree rings since AD 1125

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 41, Issue 7-8, 2013, Pages 1685-1701

  Heinrich, Ingo ^a   Touchan, Ramzi ^b   Dorado Liñán, Isabel ^a   Vos, Heinz ^c   Helle, Gerhard ^a  

^a GFZ GERMAN RESEARCH CENTRE FOR GEOSCIENCES   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA   (United States)

^c FORSCHUNGSZENTRUM JÜLICH   (Germany)

Author keywords

13C; Climate indices; Juniperus excelsa; Stable carbon isotopes; Temperature reconstruction; Tree rings

Indexed keywords

AIR TEMPERATURE; ATMOSPHERIC DYNAMICS; CARBON ISOTOPE; CLIMATE OSCILLATION; PALEOCLIMATE; PROXY CLIMATE RECORD; RECONSTRUCTION; STABLE ISOTOPE; TREE RING; TREND ANALYSIS; WARMING;

TURKEY;

JUNIPERUS EXCELSA;

EID: 84884703692     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1702-3     Document Type: Article

References (109)

1. Akkemik Ü (2000) Dendroclimatology of umbrella pine (Pinus pinea L.) in Istanbul (Turkey). Tree-Ring Bull 56: 17-20.
2. Akkemik Ü (2003) Tree rings of Cedrus libani at the northern boundary of its natural distribution. IAWA J 24: 63-73.
3. Akkemik Ü, Aras A (2005) Reconstruction (1689-1994) of April-August precipitation in southwestern part of central Turkey. Int J Climatol 25: 537-548.
4. Akkemik Ü, Dagdeviren N, Aras A (2005) A preliminary reconstruction (A. D. 1635-2000) of spring precipitation using oak tree rings in the western Black Sea region of Turkey. Int J Biometeorol 49: 297-302. doi: 10. 1007/s00484-004-0249-8.
5. Akkemik Ü, D'Arrigo R, Cherubini P, Köse N, Jacoby GC (2008) Tree-ring reconstructions of precipitation and streamflow for north-western Turkey. Int J Climatol 28: 173-183.
6. Allan R, Lindesay J, Parker D (1996) El Niño southern oscillation and climatic variability. CSIRO Publishing, Collingwood.
7. Alpert P, Baldi M, Ilani R, Krichak S, Price C, Rodó X, Saaroni H, Ziv B, Kishcha P, Barkan J, Mariotti A, Xoplaki E (2006) Relations between climate variability in the Mediterranean region and the tropics: ENSO, South Asian and African monsoons, hurricanes and Saharan dust. In: Lionello P, Malanotte-Rizzoli P, Boscolo R (eds) Mediterranean climate variability. Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp 149-177.
8. Bahrenberg G, Giese E, Nipper J (1990) Statistische Methoden in der Geographie. Bd. 1 Univariate und bivariate Statistik. Teubner, Stuttgart.
9. Barnston AG, Livezey RE (1987) Classification, seasonality and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns. Mon Weather Rev 115: 1083-1126.
10. 13C discrimination by fossil leaves during the late-glacial climate oscillation 12-10 ka BP: measurements and physiological controls. Oecologia 108: 29-37.
11. Ben-Gai T, Bitan A, Manes A, Alpert P, Rubin S (1999) Temporal and spatial trends of temperature patterns in Israel. Theor Appl Climatol 64: 163-177.
12. Ben-Gai T, Bitan A, Manes A, Alpert P, Kushnir Y (2001) Temperature and surface pressure anomalies in Israel and the North Atlantic Oscillation. Theor Appl Climatol 69: 171-177.
13. Bottema S, Woldring H (1990) Anthropogenic indicators in the pollen record of the Eastern Mediterranean. In: Bottema S, Entjes-Nieborg G, van Zeist W (eds) Man's role in the shaping of the eastern Mediterranean landscape. Balkema, Rotterdam, pp 231-264.
14. Brázdil R, Pfister C, Wanner H, von Storch H, Luterbacher J (2005) Historical climatology in Europe-the state of the art. Clim Change 70: 363-430.
15. Chou Y (1972) Probability and statistics for decision making. Holt, Rinehart, Winston, NY.
16. Conte M, Giuffrida S, Tedesco S (1989) The Mediterranean oscillation: impact on precipitation and hydrology in Italy. In: Proceedings of the conference on climate and water, vol 1. Publications of Academy of Finland, Helsinki, pp 121-137.
17. Cook ER, Kairiukstis LA (1990) Methods of dendrochronology. Kluver, Dordrecht.
18. Cook ER, Briffa KR, Jones PD (1994) Spatial regression methods in dendroclimatology: a review and comparison of two techniques. Int J Climatol 14: 379-402.
19. Corte-Real J, Zhang X, Wang X (1995) Large-scale circulation regimes and surface climatic anomalies over the Mediterranean. Int J Climatol 15: 1135-1150.
20. D'Arrigo R, Cullen HM (2001) A 350-year (AD 1628-1980) reconstruction of Turkish precipitation. Dendrochronologia 19: 169-177.
21. Davis JC (1986) Statistics and data analysis in geology, 2nd edn. Wiley, New York.
22. Dorado Liñán I, Gutierrez E, Helle G, Heinrich I, Andreu-Hayles L, Plannels O, Leuenberger M, Bürger C, Schleser G (2011) Pooled versus separate measurements of tree-ring stable isotopes. Sci Total Environ 409: 2244-2251.
23. Elsig J, Schmitt J, Leuenberger D, Schneider R, Eyer M, Leuenberger M, Joos F, Fischer H, Stocker TF (2009) Stable isotope constraints on Holocene carbon cycle changes from an Antarctic ice core. Nature 461: 507-510. doi: 10. 1038/nature08393.
24. Esper J, Cook ER, Krusic PJ, Peters K, Schweingruber FH (2003) Tests of the RCS method for preserving low-frequency variability in long tree-ring chronologies. Tree-Ring Res 59: 81-98.
25. Farquhar GD, O'Leary MH, Berry JA (1982) On the relationship between carbon isotope discrimination and the intercellular carbon dioxide concentration in leaves. Aust J Plant Physiol 9: 121-137.
26. Feidas H, Makrogiannis T, Bora-Senta F (2004) Trend analysis of air temperature time series in Greece and their relationship with circulation using surface and satellite data: 1955-2001. Theor Appl Climatol 79: 185-208.
27. Fritts HC (1976) Tree rings and climate. Blackburn Press, Caldwell.
28. Gagen M, McCarroll D, Edouard J-L (2004) Latewood width, maximum density, and stable carbon isotope ratios of pine as climate indicators in a dry subalpine environment, French Alps. Arct Antarct Alp Res 36: 166-171.
29. Gagen M, McCarroll D, Edouard J-L (2006) Combining tree ring width, density and stable carbon isotope series to enhance the climate signal in tree rings: an example from the French Alps. Clim Change 78: 363-379.
30. Gassner G, Christiansen-Weniger F (1942) Dendroklimatologische Untersuchungen über die Jahresringentwicklung der Kiefern in Anatolien. Nova Acta Leopold 12: 1-137.
31. Griggs CB, Degaetano AT, Kuniholm PI, Newton MW (2007) A regional reconstruction of May-June precipitation in the north Aegean from oak tree-rings, AD 1089-1989. Int J Climatol 27: 1075-1089.
32. Grove JM (1988) The little ice age. Methuen, London.
33. Guan Z, Yamagata T (2003) The unusual summer of 1994 in East Asia: IOD Teleconnections. Geophys Res Lett. doi: 10. 1029/2002GL016831.
34. Hasanean HM (2004) Wintertime surface temperature in Egypt in relation to the associated atmospheric circulation. Int J Climatol 24: 985-999. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 1043.
35. Heinrich I, Weidner K, Helle G, Vos H, Lindesay J, Banks JCG (2009) Interdecadal modulation of the relationship between ENSO, IPO and precipitation: insights from tree rings in Australia. Climate Dyn 33: 63-73. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-009-0544-5.
36. Holmes RL (1994) Dendrochronolgy program manual. Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, Tucson.
37. Hughes MK, Kuniholm PI, Garfin GM, Latini C, Eischeid J (2001) Aegean tree-ring signature years explained. Tree-Ring Res 57: 67-73.
38. Hughes MK, Swetnam TW, Diaz HF (2010) Dendroclimatology: Developments in paleoenvironmental research.
39. Hurrell JW (1996) Influence of variations in extratropical wintertime teleconnections on Northern Hemisphere temperature. Geophys Res Lett 23: 665-668.
40. 2 using fossil plant tissues. Rev Geophys 46: 1-12.
41. Jenkins GM, Watts DG (1968) Spectral analysis and its applications. Holden-Day, San Francisco.
42. Jones PD, Hulme M (1996) Calculating regional climatic time series for temperature and precipitation: methods and illustrations. Int J Climatol 16: 361-377.
43. Kadi{dotless}oǧlu M (1997) Trends in surface air temperature data over Turkey. Int J Climatol 17: 511-520.
44. Kadi{dotless}oǧlu M, Tulunay Y, Borhan Y (1999) Variability of Turkish precipitation compared to El Nino events. Geophys Res Lett 26: 1597-1600.
45. Köse N, Akkemik Ü, Dalfes HN, Özeren MS (2011) Tree-ring reconstructions of May-June precipitation for western Anatolia. Quat Res 75: 438-450. doi: 10. 1016/j. yqres. 2010. 12. 005.
46. Krichak SO, Alpert P (2005) Decadal trends in the east Atlantic-west Russia pattern and Mediterranean precipitation. Int J Climatol 25: 183-192. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 1124.
47. Krichak SO, Kishcha P, Alpert P (2002) Decadal trends of main Eurasian oscillations and the Mediterranean precipitation. Theor Appl Climatol 72: 209-220.
48. Kuniholm PE (1990) Archaeological evidence and non-evidence for climatic change. In: Runcorn SJ, Peckers J-C (eds) The Earth's climate and variability of the sun over recent millennia. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A 645-655.
49. Kutiel H, Benaroch Y (2002) North Sea-Caspian pattern (NCP)-an upper level atmospheric teleconnection affecting the Eastern Mediterranean: identification and definitions. Theor Appl Climatol 71: 17-28.
50. Kutiel H, Maheras P (1998) Variations in the temperature regime across the Mediterranean during the last century and their relationship with circulation indices. Theor Appl Climatol 61: 39-53.
51. Kutiel H, Türkeş M (2005) New evidence about the role of the North Sea-Caspian pattern (NCP) on the temperature and precipitation regimes in continental central Turkey. Geogr Ann A 87: 501-513.
52. Kutiel H, Maheras P, Türkeş M, Paz S (2002) North Sea-Caspian pattern (NCP)-an upper level atmospheric teleconnection affecting the eastern Mediterranean-implications on the regional climate. Theor Appl Climatol 72: 173-192.
53. Leavitt SW, Long A (1984) Sampling strategy for stable carbon isotope analysis of tree rings in pine. Nature 301: 145-147.
54. Leuenberger M (2007) To what extent can ice core data contribute to the understanding of plant ecological developments of the past? In: Dawson T, Siegwolf R (eds) Stable isotopes as indicators of ecological change. Academic Press, London, pp 211-234.
55. 2 during the last ice-age from an Antarctic ice core. Nature 357: 488-490.
56. Loader NJ, Robertson I, Barker AC, Switsur VR, Waterhouse JS (1997) An improved technique for the batch processing of small wholewood samples to α-cellulose. Chem Geol 136: 313-317.
57. Luterbacher J, Dietrich D, Xoplaki E, Grosjean M, Wanner H (2004) European seasonal and annual temperature variability, trends, and extremes since 1500. Science 303: 1499-1503.
58. Maheras P, Kutiel H (1999) Spatial and temporal variations in the temperature regime in the Mediterranean and their relationship with circulation during the last century. Int J Climatol 19: 745-764.
59. Maheras P, Patrikas I, Karacostas T, Anagnostopoulou C (2000) Automatic classification of circulation types in Greece: methodology, description, frequency, variability and trend analysis. Theor Appl Climatol 67: 205-223.
60. Mann ME, Zhang Z, Hughes MK, Bradley RS, Miller SK, Rutherford S, Ni F (2008) Proxy-based reconstructions of hemispheric and global surface temperature variations over the past two millennia. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 105: 13252-13257.
61. McCarroll D, Loader NJ (2004) Stable isotopes in tree rings. Quat Sci Revi 23: 771-801.
62. McCarroll D, Gagen MH, Loader NJ, Robertson I, Anchukaitis KJ, Los S, Young GHF, Jalkanen R, Kirchhefer AJ, Waterhouse JS (2009) Correction of tree ring stable carbon isotope chronologies for changes in the carbon dioxide content of the atmosphere. Geochim Cosmochim Acta 73: 1539-1547.
63. Meko DM (1981) Applications of Box-Jenkins Methods of time-series analysis to reconstruction of drought from tree rings, Ph. D. Dissertation, University of Arizona, Tucson, p 149.
64. Mitchell JM Jr, Dzerdzeevskii B, Flohn H, Hofmeyr WL, Lamb HH, Rao KN, Wallen CC (1966) Climate change. Report of a working group of the Commission for Climatology, World Meteorological Organization Technical Note 79, Geneva.
65. Moberg A, Sonechkin DM, Holmgren K, Datsenko NM, Karlén W (2005) Highly variable Northern Hemisphere temperatures reconstructed from low- and high-resolution proxy data. Nature 433: 613-617.
66. Naumann C (1893) Vom Goldenen Horn zu den Quellen des Euphrat: Munich, Leipzig.
67. Panzac D (1985) La Peste Dans I'empire Ottoman 1700-1850. Editions Peeters, Louvain.
68. Pozo-Vázquez D, Gámiz-Fortis SR, Tovar-Pescador J, Esteban-Parra MJ, Castro-Díez Y (2005) El Niño-Southern Oscillation events and associated European winter precipitation anomalies. Int J Climatol 25: 17-31.
69. Proedrou M, Theoharatos G, Cartalis C (1997) Variations and trends in annual and seasonal air temperature in Greece determined from the ground and satellite measurements. Theor Appl Climatol 57: 65-78.
70. Ribera P, Garcia R, Diaz HF, Gimeno L, Hernandez E (2000) Trends and interannual oscillations in the main sea-level surface pressure patterns over the Mediterranean 1955-1990. Geophys Res Lett 27: 1143-1146. doi: 10. 1029/1999GL010899.
71. Rinn F (2003) TSAP-win: time series analysis and presentation for dendrochronology and related applications. Frank Rinn, Heidelberg.
72. Roberts N (1998) The Holocene: an environmental history. Blackwell, Oxford.
73. Rodwell MJ, Hoskins BJ (1996) Monsoons and the dynamics of deserts. Q J R Meteorol Soc 122: 1385-1404.
74. Saji NH, Yamagata T (2003) Possible impacts of Indian Ocean dipole mode events on global climate. Climate Res 25: 151-169.
75. Saji NH, Goswami BN, Vinayachandran PN, Yamagata T (1999) A dipole mode in the tropical Indian Ocean. Nature 401: 360-363.
76. 2 spring into tree rings: an isotope approach. Tree Physiol 23: 997-1004.
77. Schönwiese CD (2008) Klimatologie. Ulmer, Stuttgart.
78. 3 land plants. Geochim Cosmochim Acta 96: 29-43.
79. Schweingruber FH (1983) Der Jahrring. Standort, Methodik, Zeit und Klima in der Dendrochronologie. Paul Haupt, Bern.
80. Sevgi O, Akkemik Ü (2007) A Dendroecological study on Pinus nigra Arn. on the different altitudes of northern slopes of Kazdaglari{dotless}, Turkey. Indian J Environ Biol 28: 73-75.
81. Solanki SK, Usoskin IG, Kromer B, Schüssler M, Beer J (2004) An unusually active Sun during recent decades compared to the previous 11, 000 years. Nature 431: 1084-1087.
82. Telelis IG (2005) Historical-climatological information from the time of the Byzantine Empire (4th-15th centuries AD). Hist Meteorol 2: 41-50.
83. Telelis IG (2008) Climatic fluctuations in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East AD 300-1500 from Byzantine documentary and proxy physical palaeoclimatic evidence-a comparison. Jahrb Österr Byzantinistik 58: 167-207.
84. Thompson DWJ, Wallace JM (1998) The Artic Oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields. Geophys Res Lett 25: 1297-1300.
85. Touchan R, Garfin GM, Meko DM, Funkhouser G, Erkan N, Hughes MK, Wallin BS (2003) Preliminary reconstructions of spring precipitation in southwestern Turkey from tree-ring width. Int J Climatol 23: 157-171.
86. Touchan R, Xoplaki E, Funkhouser G, Luterbacher J, Hughes MK, Erkan N, Akkemik U, Stephan J (2005) Reconstruction of spring/summer precipitation for the Eastern Mediterranean from tree ring widths and its connection to large-scale atmospheric circulation. Climate Dyn 25: 75-98.
87. Touchan R, Akkemik Ü, Hughes MK, Erkan N (2007) May-June precipitation reconstruction of southwestern Anatolia, Turkey during the last 900 years from tree rings. Quat Res 68: 196-202.
88. 13C in subalpine spruces (Lötschental, Swiss Alps)-a case study with respect to altitude, exposure and soil moisture. Tellus 53: 593-611.
89. Treydte K, Schleser GH, Helle G, Frank DC, Winiger M, Haug GH, Esper J (2006) The twentieth century was the wettest period in northern Pakistan over the past millennium. Nature 440: 1179-1182.
90. Troeng E, Linder S (1982) Gas exchange in a 20-year-old stand of Scots pine. Physiol Plantarum 54: 7-23.
91. Türkeş M (1996) Spatial and temporal analysis of annual rainfall variations in Turkey. Int J Climatol 16: 1057-1076.
92. Türkeş M (1998) Influence of geopotential heights, cyclone frequency and Southern Oscillation on rainfall variations in Turkey. Int J Climatol 18: 649-680.
93. Türkeş M, Erlat E (2003) Precipitation changes and variability in Turkey linked to the North Atlantic oscillation during the period 1930-2000. Int J Climatol 23: 1771-1796.
94. Türkeş M, Erlat E (2008) Influence of the Arctic Oscillation on variability of winter mean temperatures in Turkey. Theor Appl Climatol 92: 75-85. doi: 10. 1007/s00704-007-0310-8.
95. Türkeş M, Erlat E (2009) Winter mean temperature variability in Turkey associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation. Meteorol Atmos Phys 105: 211-225. doi: 10. 1007/s00703-009-0046-3.
96. Türkeş M, Sümer U, Kiliç G (1995) Variations and trends in annual mean air temperatures in Turkey with respect to climatic variability. Int J Climatol 15: 557-569.
97. Türkeş M, Sümer UM, Kiliç G (2002a) Persistence and periodicity in the precipitation series of Turkey and associations with 500 hPa geopotential heights. Climate Res 21: 59-81.
98. Türkeş M, Sümer UM, Demir I (2002b) Re-evaluation of trends and changes in mean, maximum and minimum temperatures of Turkey for the period 1929-1999. Int J Climatol 22: 947-977.
99. Turkish General Directorate of Meteorology (2008) Weather Station Databanks of Turkish General Directorate of Meteorology, Ankara.
100. van Oldenborgh GJ, Burgers G (2005) Searching for decadal variations in ENSO precipitation teleconnections. Geophys Res Lett 32: L15701. doi: 10. 1029/2005GL023110.
101. 2 growth enhancement declines with age in Quercus and Pinus. Ecol Monogr 76: 549-564.
102. von Hammer-Purgstall J (1834-1836) Geschichte des osmanischen Reiches. Pesth, Hartleben.
103. von Lürthe A (1991) Dendroökologische Untersuchungen an Kiefern und Eichen in den stadtnahen Berliner Forsten. Landschaftsentwicklung und Umweltforschung. Schriftenreihe des Fachbereichs Landschaftsentwicklung der TU Berlin 77, p 186.
104. Wahl ER, Anderson DM, Bauer BA, Buckner R, Gille EP, Gross WS, Hartman M, Shah A (2010) An archive of high-resolution temperature reconstructions over the past 2 + millennia. Geochem Geophys Geosyst 11: Q01001. doi: 10. 1029/2009GC002817.
105. Wang D, Wang C, Yang X, Lu J (2005) Winter Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature variability associated with the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation. Geophys Res Lett 32: L16706. doi: 10. 1029/2005GL022952.
106. Werner A, Schönwiese C-D (2002) A statistical analysis of the North Atlantic Oscillation and its impact on European temperature. Global Atmos Ocean Syst 8: 293-306.
107. Wigley TML, Briffa K, Jones PD (1984) On the average value of correlated time series, with applications in dendroclimatology and hydrometeorology. J Clim Appl Meteorol 23: 201-213.
108. Wilson AT, Grinsted MJ (1977) 12C/13C in cellulose and lignin as palaeothermometers. Nature 265: 133-135.
109. Xoplaki E (2002) Climate variability over the Mediterranean. Ph. D. thesis, University of Bern, p 193.