메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 5, Issue 3-4, 2013, Pages 327-333

Predictability, uncertainty and decision making: A unified perspective to build a bridge from weather to climate

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE PREDICTION; CLOUD; DECISION MAKING; DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM; DIVERGENCE; KNOWLEDGE; LEARNING; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 84884533219     PISSN: 18773435     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.cosust.2013.05.009     Document Type: Review
Times cited : (11)

References (31)
  • 1
    • 84862129809 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effective communication of uncertainty in the IPCC reports
    • Budescu D.V., Por H., Broomell S.B. Effective communication of uncertainty in the IPCC reports. Clim Change 2012, 113:181-200.
    • (2012) Clim Change , vol.113 , pp. 181-200
    • Budescu, D.V.1    Por, H.2    Broomell, S.B.3
  • 2
    • 80053332884 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Applying the science of communication to the communication of science
    • Fischhoff B. Applying the science of communication to the communication of science. Clim Change 2011, 108:701-705.
    • (2011) Clim Change , vol.108 , pp. 701-705
    • Fischhoff, B.1
  • 3
    • 79955977164 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of social and decision sciences in communicating uncertain climate risks
    • Pidgeon N., Fischhoff B. The role of social and decision sciences in communicating uncertain climate risks. Nat Clim Change 2011, 1:35-41.
    • (2011) Nat Clim Change , vol.1 , pp. 35-41
    • Pidgeon, N.1    Fischhoff, B.2
  • 4
    • 0001036009 scopus 로고
    • A study of the predictability of a 28-variable atmospheric model
    • Lorenz E.N. A study of the predictability of a 28-variable atmospheric model. Tellus 1965, 17:321-333.
    • (1965) Tellus , vol.17 , pp. 321-333
    • Lorenz, E.N.1
  • 5
    • 0033080118 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A nonlinear dynamical prespective on climate prediction
    • Palmer T.N. A nonlinear dynamical prespective on climate prediction. J Clim 1999, 12:575-591.
    • (1999) J Clim , vol.12 , pp. 575-591
    • Palmer, T.N.1
  • 6
    • 79954598426 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Initial-value predictability of prominent modes of North Pacific subsurface temperature in a CGCM
    • Teng H., Branstator G. Initial-value predictability of prominent modes of North Pacific subsurface temperature in a CGCM. Clim Dyn 2011, 36:1813-1834.
    • (2011) Clim Dyn , vol.36 , pp. 1813-1834
    • Teng, H.1    Branstator, G.2
  • 8
    • 70350026715 scopus 로고
    • Development of seasonal climate forecast system using coupled ocean-atmosphere model at National Meteorological Center
    • Ji M., Kumar A., Leetmaa A. Development of seasonal climate forecast system using coupled ocean-atmosphere model at National Meteorological Center. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 1994, 75:569-577.
    • (1994) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.75 , pp. 569-577
    • Ji, M.1    Kumar, A.2    Leetmaa, A.3
  • 9
    • 0029500117 scopus 로고
    • Prospects and limitations of seasonal atmospheric GCM predictions
    • Kumar A., Hoerling M.P. Prospects and limitations of seasonal atmospheric GCM predictions. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 1995, 76:335-345.
    • (1995) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.76 , pp. 335-345
    • Kumar, A.1    Hoerling, M.P.2
  • 10
    • 78649706107 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the assessment of the value of the seasonal forecast information
    • Kumar A. On the assessment of the value of the seasonal forecast information. Meteorol Appl 2010, 17:385-392.
    • (2010) Meteorol Appl , vol.17 , pp. 385-392
    • Kumar, A.1
  • 16
    • 84870615190 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Case studies for initialized decadal hindcasts and predictions for the Pacific region
    • Meehl G.A., Teng H. Case studies for initialized decadal hindcasts and predictions for the Pacific region. Geophys Res Lett 2012, 10.1029/2012GL053423.
    • (2012) Geophys Res Lett
    • Meehl, G.A.1    Teng, H.2
  • 17
    • 84855480406 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5°N
    • Matei D., Baehr J., Jungclaus J.H., Haak H., Müller W., Marotzke J. Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5°N. Science 2012, 335:76-79.
    • (2012) Science , vol.335 , pp. 76-79
    • Matei, D.1    Baehr, J.2    Jungclaus, J.H.3    Haak, H.4    Müller, W.5    Marotzke, J.6
  • 18
    • 84856237422 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability
    • Deser C., Phillips A.S., Bourdette V., Teng H. Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability. Clim Dyn 2012, 38:527-546.
    • (2012) Clim Dyn , vol.38 , pp. 527-546
    • Deser, C.1    Phillips, A.S.2    Bourdette, V.3    Teng, H.4
  • 19
    • 78650576963 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Two limits of initial-value decadal predictability in a CGCM
    • Branstator G., Teng H. Two limits of initial-value decadal predictability in a CGCM. J Clim 2012, 23:6292-6311.
    • (2012) J Clim , vol.23 , pp. 6292-6311
    • Branstator, G.1    Teng, H.2
  • 20
    • 84862884606 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential impact of initialization on decadal predictions as assessed for CMIP5 models
    • Branstator G., Teng H. Potential impact of initialization on decadal predictions as assessed for CMIP5 models. Geophys Res Lett 2012, 10.1029/2012GL051974.
    • (2012) Geophys Res Lett
    • Branstator, G.1    Teng, H.2
  • 22
    • 70450173156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions
    • Hawkins E., Sutton R.T. The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 2009, 90:1095-1107.
    • (2009) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.90 , pp. 1095-1107
    • Hawkins, E.1    Sutton, R.T.2
  • 23
    • 70449383691 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do we need better predictions to adapt to a changing climate?
    • Dessai S., Hulme Lempert M.R., Pielke R. Do we need better predictions to adapt to a changing climate?. Eos 2009, 90:111-112.
    • (2009) Eos , vol.90 , pp. 111-112
    • Dessai, S.1    Hulme Lempert, M.R.2    Pielke, R.3
  • 24
    • 84884312652 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The potential for skill across the range of the seamless weather-climate prediction problem: a stimulus for our science
    • Hoskins B. The potential for skill across the range of the seamless weather-climate prediction problem: a stimulus for our science. Quart J R Meteorol Soc 2012, 10.1002/qj.199.
    • (2012) Quart J R Meteorol Soc
    • Hoskins, B.1
  • 26
    • 82455219445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in weather and climate prediction
    • Slingo J., Palmer T.N. Uncertainty in weather and climate prediction. Philos Trans R Soc Lond A 2011, 369:4751-4767.
    • (2011) Philos Trans R Soc Lond A , vol.369 , pp. 4751-4767
    • Slingo, J.1    Palmer, T.N.2
  • 27
    • 44449086846 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toward seamless prediction: calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts
    • Palmer T.N., Doblas-Reyes F.J., Weisheimer A., Rodwell M.J. Toward seamless prediction: calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 2008, 89:459-470.
    • (2008) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.89 , pp. 459-470
    • Palmer, T.N.1    Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2    Weisheimer, A.3    Rodwell, M.J.4
  • 31
    • 77954168835 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Examining the use of weather forecasts in decision scenarios: results from a U.S. survey with implications for uncertainty communication
    • Morss R.E., Lazo J.K., Demuth J.L. Examining the use of weather forecasts in decision scenarios: results from a U.S. survey with implications for uncertainty communication. Meteorol Appl 2010, 17:149-162.
    • (2010) Meteorol Appl , vol.17 , pp. 149-162
    • Morss, R.E.1    Lazo, J.K.2    Demuth, J.L.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.