Complex Population Dynamics in Mussels Arising from Density-Linked Stochasticity

PLoS ONE

Volumn 8, Issue 9, 2013, Pages

  Wootton, J Timothy ^a   Forester, James D ^a,b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ANALYTICAL PARAMETERS; AQUATIC ENVIRONMENT; ARTICLE; BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION; DENSITY LINKED STOCHASTICITY; ECOLOGICAL NICHE; ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE; EVOLUTIONARY ADAPTATION; HEREDITY; MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD METHOD; MYTILUS; MYTILUS CALIFORNIANUS; NONHUMAN; POPULATION ABUNDANCE; POPULATION DYNAMICS; POPULATION SIZE; STATISTICS; WAVE DISTURBANCE;

ANIMALS; BIVALVIA; ECOLOGY; ECOSYSTEM; ENVIRONMENT; MYTILUS; POPULATION DENSITY; POPULATION DYNAMICS;

EID: 84884508286     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19326203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0075700     Document Type: Article

References (83)

1. Andrewartha HG, Birch LC (1954) The distribution and abundance of animals. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
2. May RM, Oster GF, (1976) Bifurcations and dynamic complexity in simple ecological models. Am Nat 110: 573-599.
3. Hastings A, Powell T, (1991) Chaos in a three-species food chain. Ecology 72: 896-903.
4. Nicholson AJ, (1957) The self-adjustment of populations to change. Cold Spring Harbor Symp Quant Biol 22: 153-172.
5. Rosenzweig ML, MacArthur RH, (1963) Graphical representation and stability conditions of predator-prey interactions. Am Nat 97: 209-223.
6. Schaffer WM, (1985) Order and chaos in ecological systems. Ecology 66: 93-106.
7. Volterra V, (1926) Fluctuations in the abundance of a species considered mathematically. Nature 118: 558-560.
8. May RM, (1973) Time delay vs. stability in population models with 2 and 3 trophic levels. Ecology 54: 315-325.
9. Turchin P, (1990) Rarity of density dependence or population regulation with lags. Nature 344: 660-663.
10. Bjørnstad ON, Sait SM, Stenseth NC, Thompson DJ, Begon M, (2001) The impact of specialized enemies on the dimensionality of host dynamics. Nature 409: 1001-1006.
11. Strong DR, (1986) Density-vague population change. Trends Ecol Evol 1: 39-42.
12. Turchin P, (1992) Complex dynamics in ecological time-series. Ecology 73: 289-305.
13. Ellner S, Turchin P, (1995) Chaos in a noisy world: New methods and evidence from time-series analysis. Am Nat 145: 343-375.
14. Grenfell BT, Wilson K, Finkelstadt BF. Coulson TN, Murray S, et al. (1998) Noise and determinism in synchronized sheep dynamics. Nature 394: 674-677.
15. Coulson T, Rohani P, Pascual M, (2004) Skeletons, noise and population growth: the end of an old debate? Trends Ecol Evol 19: 359-364.
16. Krkosek M, Hilborn R, Peterman RM, Quinn TP, (2011) Cycles, stochasticity and density dependence in pink salmon population dynamics. Proc Royal Soc B 278: 2060-2068.
17. Allen JC, (1993) Chaos reduces species extinction by amplifying local-population noise. Nature 364: 229-232.
18. Rohani P, Keeling MJ, Grenfell BT, (2002) The interplay between determinism and stochasticity in childhood diseases. Am Nat 159: 469-481.
19. Ives AR, Jansen VA, (1998) Complex dynamics in stochastic tritrophic models. Ecology 79: 1039-1052.
20. Morris WF, (1990) Problems in detecting chaotic behavior in natural-populations by fitting simple discrete models. Ecology 71: 1849-1862.
21. Possingham HP, Tuljapurkar S, Roughgarden J, Wilks M, (1994) Population cycling in space-limited organisms subject to density-dependent predation. Am Nat 143: 563-582.
22. Malamud BD, Morein G, Turcotte DL, (1998) Forest fires: An example of self-organized critical behavior. Science 281: 1840-1842.
23. Richards SA, Wilson WG, Socolar JES, (1999) Selection for intermediate mortality and reproduction rates in a spatially structured population. Proc Royal Soc B 266: 2383-2388.
24. Paine RT, Levin SA, (1981) Intertidal landscapes: disturbance and the dynamics of pattern. Ecol Monogr 51: 145-178.
25. Suchanek TH (1979) The Mytilus californianus community: studies on the composition, structure, organization, and dynamics of a mussel bed. Seattle: Ph. D. Dissertation, University of Washington.
26. Paine RT, (1974) Intertidal community structure: experimental studies on the relationship between a dominant competitor and its principal predator. Oecologia 15: 93-120.
27. Wootton JT, (2010) Experimental species removal alters ecological dynamics in a natural ecosystem. Ecology 91: 42-48.
28. Dayton PK, (1971) Competition disturbance and community organization the provision and subsequent utilization of space in a rocky intertidal community. Ecol Monogr 41: 351-389.
29. Wootton JT, (2004) Markov chain models predict the consequences of experimental extinctions. Ecol Lett 7: 653-660.
30. Wootton JT, (2001) Local interactions predict large-scale pattern in an empirically-derived cellular automata. Nature 413: 841-843.
31. Wootton JT, (2001) Prediction in complex communities: analysis of empirically-derived Markov models. Ecology 82: 580-598.
32. Kendall B, (1998) Estimating the magnitude of environmental stochasticity in survivorship data. Ecol Appl 8: 184-193.
33. Crowder MJ, (1978) Beta-binomial ANOVA for proportions. Appl Stat 27: 34-37.
34. Cheng B, Tong H, (1992) On consistent nonparametric order determination and chaos. J Roy Stat Soc B 54: 427-449.
35. Ricker WE, (1954) Stock and recruitment. J Fish Res Board Can 11: 559-923.
36. Robles C, Sherwood-Stephens R, Alvarado M, (1995) Responses of a key intertidal predator to varying recruitment of its prey. Ecology 76: 565-579.
37. Broitman BR, Blanchette CA, Menge BA, Lubchenco J, Krenz C, et al. (2008) Spatial and temporal patterns of invertebrate recruitment along the west coast of the United States. Ecol Monogr 78: 403-421.
38. Menge BA, Chan F, Nielsen KJ, Di Lorenzo E, Lubchenco J, (2009) Climatic variation alteras supply-side ecology: impact of climate patterns on phytoplankton and mussel recruitment. Ecol Monogr 79: 379-396.
39. Roughgarden J, Iwasa Y, Baxter C, (1985) Demographic theory for an open marine population with space-limited recruitment. Ecology 66: 54-67.
40. Ellner SP, Bailey BA, Bobashev GV, Gallant AR, Grenfell BT, et al. (1998) Noise and nonlinearity in measles epidemics: combining mechanistic and statistical approaches to population modeling. Am Nat 15: 425-440.
41. Burnham KP, Anderson DR (2007) Model selection and inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. New York: Springer.
42. Hassell MP, (1975) Density dependence in single species populations. J Anim Ecol 44: 283-295.
43. Richards SA, Whittingham MJ, Stephens PA, (2011) Model selection and model averaging in behavioural ecology: the utility of the IT-AIC framework. Behav Ecol Sociobiol 65: 77-89.
44. Bloomfield P (1976) Fourier analysis of time series: an introduction. New York: Wiley.
45. Denny MW, Helmuth B, Leonard GH, Harley CG, Hunt LJH, et al. (2004) Quantifying scale in ecology: lessons from a wave-swept shore. Ecol Monogr 74: 513-532.
46. May RM, (1974) Biological populations with nonoverlapping generations: stable points, stable cycles, and chaos. Science 186: 645-647.
47. Rosenzweig ML, (1971) Paradox of enrichment: destabilization of exploitation ecosystems in ecological time. Science 171: 385-387.
48. Wootton JT, (1993) Size-dependent competition: effects on the dynamics versus the endpoint of mussel bed succession. Ecology 74: 195-206.
49. Petersen JH, (1984) Larval settlement behavior in competing species Mytilus californianus and Mytilus edulis. J Exp Mar Biol Ecol 82: 147-160.
50. Berlow EL (1999) Strong effects of weak interactions in ecological communities. Nature 398: 300-334.
51. Wootton JT, (2013) An experimental test of multi-species Markov models: Are barnacles long-term facilitators of mussel bed recovery? Bull Mar Sci 89: 337-346.
52. Stenseth NC, Chan KS, Tavecchia G, Coulson T, Mysterud A, et al. (2004) Modeling non-additive and nonlinear signals from climatic noise in ecological time series: Soay sheep as an example. Proc Royal Soc B 271: 1985-1993.
53. Coulson T, Ezard THG, Pelletier F, Tavecchia G, Stenseth NC, et al. (2008) Estimating the functional form for the density dependence from life history data. Ecology 89: 1661-1674.
54. Lande R, (1993) Risks of population extinction from demographic and environmental stochasticity and random catastrophies. Am Nat 142: 911-927.
55. Peters RH (1983) The ecological implications of body size. New York: Cambridge University Press.
56. Calder WA (1984) Size, function, and life history. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
57. Vogel, S. 1988 Life's Devices: The physical world of animals and plants. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
58. Werner EE, Gilliam JF, (1984) The ontogenetic niche and species interactions in size-structured populations. Ann Rev Ecol Syst 15: 393-425.
59. Sauer JR, Boyce MS, (1983) Density dependence and survival of elk in northwestern Wyoming. J Wildlife Manage 47: 31-37.
60. Gaillard JM, Festa-Bianchet M, Yoccoz NG, Loison A, Toïgo C, (2000) Temporal variation in fitness components and population dynamics of large herbivores. Ann Rev Ecol Syst 31: 367-393.
61. Coulson T, Catchpole EA, Albon SD, Morgan BJT, Pemberton JM, et al. (2001) Age, sex, density, winter weather, and population crashes in Soay sheep. Science 292: 1528-1531.
62. Gaillard JM, Festa-Bianchet M, Yoccoz NG, (1998) Population dynamics of large herbivores: variable recruitment with constant adult survival. Trends Ecol Evol 13: 58-63.
63. Yoccoz NG, Gaillard JM, (2006) Age structure matters for ibex population dynamics. Climate Res 32: 139-141.
64. Caswell H (2001) Matrix population models. Sunderland: Sinauer.
65. Minnich RA, Chou YH, (1997) Wildland fire patch dynamics in the chaparral of southern California and Northern Baja California. Int J Wildland Fire 7: 221-248.
66. White PS, (1979) Pattern, process, and natural disturbance in vegetation. Bot Rev 45: 229-299.
67. Sprugel DG, Bormann FH, (1981) Natural disturbance and the steady state in high-altitude balsam fir forests. Science 211: 390-393.
68. Burton PJ, (2002) Effects of clearcut edges on trees in the sub-boreal spruce zone of northwest-central British Columbia. Silva Fennica 36: 329-352.
69. Worrall JJ, Lee TD, Harrington TC, (2005) Forest dynamics and agents that initiate and expand canopy gaps in Picea-Abies forests of Crawford Notch, New Hampshire, USA. J Ecol 93: 178-190.
70. Power ME, Stewart AJ, (1987) Disturbance and recovery of an algal assemblage following flooding in an Oklahoma stream. Am Midl Nat 117: 333-345.
71. Biggs BJF, Thomsen HA, (1995) Disturbance of stream periphyton by perturbations in shear stress: Time to structural failure and differences in community resistance. J Phycol 31: 233-241.
72. Rier ST, Stevenson RJ, (2006) Response of periphytic algae to gradients in nitrogen and phosphorus in streamside mesocosms. Hydrobiologia 561: 131-147.
73. Dwyer G, (1991) The roles of density stage and patchiness in the transmission of an insect virus. Ecology 72: 559-574.
74. Earn DJD, Rohani P, Bolker BM, Grenfell BT, (2000) A simple model for complex dynamical transitions in epidemics. Science 287: 667-670.
75. Bertness MD, Leonard GH, (1998) The role of positive interactions in communities: lessons from intertidal habitats. Ecology 78: 1976-1989.
76. Taylor LR, Woiwod IP, (1980) Temporal stability as a density-dependent species characteristic. J Anim Ecol 49: 209-224.
77. Kilpatrick AM, Ives AR, (2003) Species interactions can explain Taylor's power law for ecological times series. Nature 422: 65-68.
78. Ives AR, (1995) Predicting the response of populations to environmental change. Ecology 76: 926-941.
79. Greenman JV, Benton TG, (2003) The amplification of environmental noise in population models: causes and consequences. Am Nat 161: 225-239.
80. Chesson P, Huntley N, (1997) The roles of harsh and fluctuating conditions in the dynamics of ecological communities. Am Nat 150: 519-553.
81. Amarasekare P, Hoopes MF, Mouquet N, Holyoak M, (2004) Mechanisms of coexistence in competitive metacommunities. Am Nat 164: 310-326.
82. Chesson P, (2000) Mechanisms of maintenance of species diversity. Ann Rev Ecol Syst 31: 343-366.
83. Fraterrigo JM, Rusak JA, (2008) Disturbance-driven changes in the variability of ecological patterns and processes. Ecol Lett 11: 756-770.