Precipitation projections for Spain by means of a weather typing statistical method

Global and Planetary Change

Volumn 109, Issue , 2013, Pages 46-63

  Osca, J ^a   Romero, R ^a   Alonso, S ^a  

^a UNIVERSITAT DE LES ILLES BALEARS   (Spain)

Author keywords

Circulation types; Precipitation downscaling; Rainfall patterns; Spain; Stochastic method; Weather generation

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; DAILY RAINFALL PATTERNS; DOWN-SCALING; GEO-POTENTIAL HEIGHTS; RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION; RAINFALL PATTERNS; SPAIN; STOCHASTIC METHODS;

CLIMATOLOGY; CLUSTER ANALYSIS;

RAIN;

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CLUSTER ANALYSIS; DOWNSCALING; GEOPOTENTIAL; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; RAINFALL; WEATHER;

BALEARIC ISLANDS; MEDITERRANEAN SEA; SPAIN;

EID: 84883581676     PISSN: 09218181     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.08.001     Document Type: Article

References (34)

1. Amengual A., Homar V., Romero R., Alonso S., Ramis C. A statistical adjustment of regional climate model outputs to local scales: application to Platja de Palma, Spain. Journal of Climate 2012, 25:935-957.
2. Anderberg M.R. Cluster analysis for applications. Probability and Mathematical Statistics 1973, vol. 19. Academic Press, New York.
3. Benestad R.E. S-mode and T-mode EOFs from GCM modeller's perspective. Notes on Linear Algebra 1999, vol. 24/99. Klima, DNMI, PO Box 43 Blindern, 0313 Oslo, Norway.
4. Benestad R.E., Hanssen-Bauer I., Chen D. Empirical-statistical Downscaling 2008, World Scientific, 27 Warren Street, Suite 401-402, Hackensack, NJ 07601.
5. Boé J., Terray L., Habets F., Martin E. Statistical and dynamical downscaling of the Steine basin climate for hydrometeorological studies. International Journal of Climatology 2007, 27:1643-1655.
6. Chen J., Brissette F.P., Leconte R. A daily stochastic weather generator for preserving low-frequency of climate variability. Journal of Hidrology 2010, 3:480-490.
7. Chou C., Chen C.A., Tan P.H., Chen K.T. Mechanisms for global warming impacts on precipitation frequency and intensity. Journal of Climate 2012, 25:3291-3306.
8. Cofiño A., Ancell R., San-Martín D., Herrera S., Gutiérrez J., Manzanas R. Meteolab library URL:. http://www.meteo.unican.es/es/software/meteolab.
9. Dai A. Mechanisms for global warming impacts on precipitation frequency and intensity. Journal of Climate 2006, 19:4605-4630.
10. DelSole T., Tippett M.K., Shukla J. A significant component of unforced multidecadal variability in the recent acceleration of global warming. Journal of Climate 2011, 24:909-926.
11. Déqué M. Frequency of precipitation and temperature extremes over France in an anthropogenic scenario: model results and statistical correction according to observed values. Global and Planetary Change 2007, 57:16-26.
12. Duda R.O., Hart P.E., Stork D.G. Pattern Classification 2001, Wiley-Interscience, 605, Third Avenue, New York.
13. Durack P.J., Wijffels S.E. Fifty-year trends in global ocean salinities and their relationship to broad-scale warming. Journal of Climate 2010, 23:4342-4362.
14. Fovell R.G., Fovell M.Y.C. Climate zones of the conterminous United States defined using cluster analysis. Journal of Climate Change 1993, 6:2103-2135.
15. Fu G., Charles S.P., Kirshne S. Daily rainfall projections from general circulation models with a downscaling nonhomogeneous hidden Markov model (NHMM) for south-eastern Australia. Hydrological Processes 2013, (in press).
16. Giorgi F., Mearns L. Approaches to the simulation of regional climate change: a review. Reviews of Geophysics 1991, 29:191-216.
17. Gutiérrez J.M., Cano R., Cofiño A.S., Sordo C.M. Redes Probabilísticas y Neuronales en las Ciencias Atmosféricas 2004, Monografías del Instituto Nacional de Meteorología, Centro de publicaciones de la Secretaría General Técnica del Ministerio de Medio Ambiente, Madrid.
18. Harin V.V., Zwiers F.W., Zhang X., Hegerl G.C. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the IPCC ensemble of global coupled model simulations. Journal of Climate 2007, 20:1419-1444.
19. Held I.M. Large-scale dynamics and globar warming. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 1993, 74:228-241.
20. Herrera S., Gutiérrez J.M., Ancell R., Pons M., Frías M.D., Fernández J. Development and analysis of a 50year high-resolution daily gridded precipitation dataset over Spain (Spain02). International Journal of Climatology 2010, 32:74-85.
21. Hoerling M., Eischeid J., Perlwitz J., Quan X., Zhang T., Pegion P. On the increased frequency of Mediterranean drought. Journal of Climate 2012, 25:2146-2161.
22. Jeong D., St-Hilaire A., Ouarda T.B.M.J., Gachon P. Multisite statistical downscaling model for daily precipitation combined with multivariate multiple linear regression and stochastic weather generation. Climatic Change 2011, 114:567-591.
23. Nakicenovic N., Alcamo J., Davis G., de Vries B., Fenhann J., Gaffin S., Gregory K., Grubler A., Jung T.Y., Kram T., Rovere E.L.L., Michaelis L., Mori S., Morita T., Pepper W., Pitcher H.M., Price L., Riahi K., Roehrl A., Rogner H.H., Sankovski A., Schlesinger M., Shukla P., Smith S.J., Swart R., van Rooijen S., Victor Nadejda, Dadi Z. Emissions scenarios. A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2000, Cambridge University Press, 40 West 20th Street, New York.
24. Ribalaygua J., Borén R. Clasificación de patrones espaciales de precipitación diaria sobre la España peninsular y Baleárica. Informe n 3 del servicio de análisis e investigación del clima 1995, INM, Madrid.
25. Romero R., Ramis C., Guijarro J.A. Daily rainfall patterns in the Spanish Mediterranean area: an objective classification. International Journal of Climatology 1999, 19:95-112.
26. Romero R., Sumner G., Ramis C., Genovés A. A classification of the atmospheric circulation patterns producing significant daily rainfall in the Spanish Mediterranean area. International Journal of Climatology 1999, 19:1027-1040.
27. Romps D.M. Response of tropical precipitation to global warming. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 2011, 68:123-138.
28. Solomon S., Qin D., Manning M., Chen Z., Marquis M., Averyt K., Tignor M., Miller H. IPCC (2007) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis 2007, Cambridge university press, 40 West 20th Street, New York.
29. Sørup H.J.D., Madsen H., Arnbjerg-Nielsen K. Descriptive and predictive evaluation of high resolution Markov chain precipitation models. Hydrological Processes 2012, 23:623-635.
30. Sumner G.N., Romero R., Homar V., Ramis C., Alonso S., Zorita E. An estimate of the effects of climate change on the rainfall of Mediterranean Spain by the late of twenty first century. Climate Dynamics 2003, 20:789-805.
31. Uppala S.M., Kållberg P., Simmons A., Andrae U., Bechtold V.D.C., Fiorino M., Gibson J.K., Haseler J., Hernandez A., Kelly G.A., Li X., Onogi K., Saarinen S., Sokka N., Allan R.P., Andersson E., Arpe K., Balmaseda M.A., Beljaars A.C.M., Berg L.V.D., Bidlot J., Bormann N., Caires S., Chevallier F., Dethof A., Dragosavac M., Fisher M., Fuentes M., S., Hólm E., Hoskins B.J., Isaksen L., Janssen P.A.E.M., Jenne R., McNally A.P., Mahfouf J.F., Morcrette J.J., Rayner N.A., Saunders R.W., Simon P., Sterl A., Trenberth K.E., Untch A., Vasiljevic D., Viterbo P., Woollen J. The ERA-40 re-analysis. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 2005, 131:2961-3012.
32. Wilks D.S. Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences: an introduction. International Geophysics Series 2006, vol. 91. Academic Press, 30 Corporate Drive, Suite 400, Burlington, MA 01803, USA. Second edition.
33. Willems P., Vrac M. Statistical precipitation downscaling for small-scale hydrological impact investigations of climate change. Journal of Hydrology 2011, 402:193-205.
34. Zorita E., von Storch The analog method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: comparison with more complicated methods. Journal of Climate 1999, 12:2474-2489.