메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 501, Issue , 2013, Pages 101-110

Increases in flood magnitudes in California under warming climates

Author keywords

Climate change; Flood risk; Sierra Nevada; Statistical downscaling

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE PROJECTION; FLOOD RISKS; GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL; GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS; NATURAL VARIABILITY; SIERRA NEVADA; SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA; STATISTICAL DOWNSCALING;

EID: 84883021426     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.07.042     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (100)

References (69)
  • 1
    • 84882970831 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate Change Impacts on Flood Management. Progress on Incorporating Climate change into Management of California's Water Resources. California Department of Water Resources Progress Report. Governor's Climate Initiative Report (Chapter 6).
    • Anderson, M., Miller, N.L., Heiland, B., King, J., Lek, B., Nemeth, S., Pranger, T., Roos, M., 2006. Climate Change Impacts on Flood Management. Progress on Incorporating Climate change into Management of California's Water Resources. California Department of Water Resources Progress Report. Governor's Climate Initiative Report (Chapter 6).
    • (2006)
    • Anderson, M.1    Miller, N.L.2    Heiland, B.3    King, J.4    Lek, B.5    Nemeth, S.6    Pranger, T.7    Roos, M.8
  • 3
    • 35348937205 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical and dynamical downscaling of the Seine basin climate for hydro-meteorological studies
    • Boé J., Terray L., Habets F., Martin E. Statistical and dynamical downscaling of the Seine basin climate for hydro-meteorological studies. Int. J. Climatol. 2007, 27:1643-1655. 10.1002/joc.1602.
    • (2007) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.27 , pp. 1643-1655
    • Boé, J.1    Terray, L.2    Habets, F.3    Martin, E.4
  • 4
    • 84927042222 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changing climate and increasing costs-implications for liability and insurance climatic change: implications for the hydrological cycle and for water management
    • Springer, Netherlands, M. Beniston (Ed.)
    • Bouwer L., Vellinga P. Changing climate and increasing costs-implications for liability and insurance climatic change: implications for the hydrological cycle and for water management. Advances in Global Change Research 2003, 429-444. Springer, Netherlands. M. Beniston (Ed.).
    • (2003) Advances in Global Change Research , pp. 429-444
    • Bouwer, L.1    Vellinga, P.2
  • 5
    • 84882984661 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • CA DWR. Progress on Incorporating Climate Change into Planning and Management of California's Water Resources. Technical Memorandum Report.
    • CA DWR, 2006. Progress on Incorporating Climate Change into Planning and Management of California's Water Resources. Technical Memorandum Report.
    • (2006)
  • 8
    • 84882940363 scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric Circulation and Precipitation in the Sierra Nevada: Proceedings, International Symposium on Managing Water Resources During Global Change. American Water Resources Association, Reno, Nevada, November 1-5.
    • Cayan, D.R., Riddle, L., 1992. Atmospheric Circulation and Precipitation in the Sierra Nevada: Proceedings, International Symposium on Managing Water Resources During Global Change. American Water Resources Association, Reno, Nevada, November 1-5.
    • (1992)
    • Cayan, D.R.1    Riddle, L.2
  • 9
    • 0032431285 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decadal variability of precipitation over Western North America
    • Cayan D.R., Dettinger M.D., Diaz H.F., Graham N.E. Decadal variability of precipitation over Western North America. J. Clim. 1998, 11:3148-3166.
    • (1998) J. Clim. , vol.11 , pp. 3148-3166
    • Cayan, D.R.1    Dettinger, M.D.2    Diaz, H.F.3    Graham, N.E.4
  • 10
    • 84893689654 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change scenarios for the California region
    • Cayan D.R., Maurer E.P., Dettinger M.D., Tyree M., Hayhoe K. Climate change scenarios for the California region. Clim. Change 2008, 87(Suppl. 1):21-42. 10.1007/s10584-007-9377-6.
    • (2008) Clim. Change , vol.87 , Issue.SUPPL. 1 , pp. 21-42
    • Cayan, D.R.1    Maurer, E.P.2    Dettinger, M.D.3    Tyree, M.4    Hayhoe, K.5
  • 11
    • 38349157797 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Overview of the California climate change scenarios project
    • Cayan D.R., Lures A.L., Franco G., Hanemann M., Croes B., Vine E. Overview of the California climate change scenarios project. Clim. Change 2008, 87(Suppl. 1):S1-S6. 10.1007/s10584-007-9352-2.
    • (2008) Clim. Change , vol.87 , Issue.SUPPL. 1
    • Cayan, D.R.1    Lures, A.L.2    Franco, G.3    Hanemann, M.4    Croes, B.5    Vine, E.6
  • 12
  • 13
    • 0004170348 scopus 로고
    • Mcgraw-Hill International Editions, Civil Engineering Series.
    • Chow, V.T., D. R. Maidment, L.W. Mays, 1988. Applied Hydrology. Mcgraw-Hill International Editions, Civil Engineering Series.
    • (1988) Applied Hydrology
    • Chow, V.T.1    Maidment, D.R.2    Mays, L.W.3
  • 16
    • 0028552275 scopus 로고
    • A statistical-topographic model for mapping climatological precipitation over mountainous terrain
    • Daly C., Neilson R.P., Phillips D.L. A statistical-topographic model for mapping climatological precipitation over mountainous terrain. J. Appl. Meteor. 1994, 33:140-158.
    • (1994) J. Appl. Meteor. , vol.33 , pp. 140-158
    • Daly, C.1    Neilson, R.P.2    Phillips, D.L.3
  • 18
    • 84855339851 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential increase in floods in California's Sierra Nevada under future climate projections
    • Das T., Dettinger M.D., Cayan D.R., Hidalgo H.G. Potential increase in floods in California's Sierra Nevada under future climate projections. Clim. Change 2011, 10.1007/s10584-011-0298-z.
    • (2011) Clim. Change
    • Das, T.1    Dettinger, M.D.2    Cayan, D.R.3    Hidalgo, H.G.4
  • 19
    • 34547201244 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From Climate Change Spaghetti to climate change distributions for 21st Century
    • Dettinger M.D. From Climate Change Spaghetti to climate change distributions for 21st Century. San Francisco Estuary Watershed Sci. 2005, 3(1).
    • (2005) San Francisco Estuary Watershed Sci. , vol.3 , Issue.1
    • Dettinger, M.D.1
  • 20
    • 84871267891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The coming megafloods
    • Dettinger M.D., Ingram B.L. The coming megafloods. Sci. Am. 2013, 308(1):64-71.
    • (2013) Sci. Am. , vol.308 , Issue.1 , pp. 64-71
    • Dettinger, M.D.1    Ingram, B.L.2
  • 21
    • 1542321416 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulated hydrologic responses to climate variations and change in the Merced, Carson, and American River basins, Sierra Nevada, California, 1900-2099
    • Dettinger M.D., Cayan D.R., Meyer M.K., Jeton A.E. Simulated hydrologic responses to climate variations and change in the Merced, Carson, and American River basins, Sierra Nevada, California, 1900-2099. Clim. Change 2004, 62:283-317.
    • (2004) Clim. Change , vol.62 , pp. 283-317
    • Dettinger, M.D.1    Cayan, D.R.2    Meyer, M.K.3    Jeton, A.E.4
  • 23
    • 84883012228 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • United States Historical Climatology Network (U.S. HCN) Monthly Temperature and Precipitation Data. ORNL/CDIAC-87, NDP-019/R3, Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center
    • Easterling, D.R., Karl, T.R., Mason, E.H., Hughes, P.Y., Bowman, D.P., Daniels, R.C., Boden, T.A., 1996. United States Historical Climatology Network (U.S. HCN) Monthly Temperature and Precipitation Data. ORNL/CDIAC-87, NDP-019/R3, Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, 280pp.
    • (1996) , pp. 280
    • Easterling, D.R.1    Karl, T.R.2    Mason, E.H.3    Hughes, P.Y.4    Bowman, D.P.5    Daniels, R.C.6    Boden, T.A.7
  • 25
    • 84870562528 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projections of 21st Century Sierra Nevada local hydrologic flow components using an ensemble of general circulation models
    • Ficklin D.L., Stewart I.T., Maurer E.P. Projections of 21st Century Sierra Nevada local hydrologic flow components using an ensemble of general circulation models. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 2012, 48:1104-1125. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.2012.00675.
    • (2012) J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. , vol.48 , pp. 1104-1125
    • Ficklin, D.L.1    Stewart, I.T.2    Maurer, E.P.3
  • 26
    • 35348933854 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling
    • 1510.1002/joc.1556
    • Fowler H.J., Blenkinsop S., Tebaldi C. Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling. Int. J. Climatol. 2007, 27:1547-1578. 1510.1002/joc.1556.
    • (2007) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.27 , pp. 1547-1578
    • Fowler, H.J.1    Blenkinsop, S.2    Tebaldi, C.3
  • 29
    • 34548179105 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The log-Pearson type 3 distribution and its application in flood frequency analysis. 1: Distribution characteristics
    • Griffis V.W., Stedinger J.R. The log-Pearson type 3 distribution and its application in flood frequency analysis. 1: Distribution characteristics. J. Hydrol. Eng. 2007, 12(5):482-491.
    • (2007) J. Hydrol. Eng. , vol.12 , Issue.5 , pp. 482-491
    • Griffis, V.W.1    Stedinger, J.R.2
  • 32
    • 22244470106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Production of temporally consistent gridded precipitation and temperature fields for the continental US
    • Hamlet A.F., Lettenmaier D.P. Production of temporally consistent gridded precipitation and temperature fields for the continental US. J. Hydromet. 2005, 6:330-336.
    • (2005) J. Hydromet. , vol.6 , pp. 330-336
    • Hamlet, A.F.1    Lettenmaier, D.P.2
  • 33
    • 70450173156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions
    • Hawkins E., Sutton R. The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. Bull. Am. Met. Soc. 2009, 90:1095-1107.
    • (2009) Bull. Am. Met. Soc. , vol.90 , pp. 1095-1107
    • Hawkins, E.1    Sutton, R.2
  • 36
    • 0033117444 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonality and interannual variations of Northern Hemisphere temperature: equator-to-pole gradient and ocean-land contrast
    • Jain S., Lall U., Mann M.E. Seasonality and interannual variations of Northern Hemisphere temperature: equator-to-pole gradient and ocean-land contrast. J. Clim. 1999, 12:1086-1100.
    • (1999) J. Clim. , vol.12 , pp. 1086-1100
    • Jain, S.1    Lall, U.2    Mann, M.E.3
  • 37
    • 0029768948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coauthors : The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project.
    • Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437-471.
    • (1996) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.77 , pp. 437-471
    • Kalnay, E.1
  • 39
    • 33749587278 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trends in snowfall versus rainfall for the Western United States
    • Knowles N., Dettinger M., Cayan D. Trends in snowfall versus rainfall for the Western United States. J. Clim. 2006, 19:4545-4559.
    • (2006) J. Clim. , vol.19 , pp. 4545-4559
    • Knowles, N.1    Dettinger, M.2    Cayan, D.3
  • 40
    • 84875747385 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections
    • Knutti R., Sedlácek J. Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections. Nat. Clim. Change 2012, 10.1038/nclimate1716.
    • (2012) Nat. Clim. Change
    • Knutti, R.1    Sedlácek, J.2
  • 42
    • 84879935658 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analyzing ENSO Teleconnections in CMIP Models as a Measure of Model Fidelity in Simulating Precipitation
    • Langenbrunner B., David Neelin J. Analyzing ENSO Teleconnections in CMIP Models as a Measure of Model Fidelity in Simulating Precipitation. J. Climate 2013, 26:4431-4446. 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00542.1.
    • (2013) J. Climate , vol.26 , pp. 4431-4446
    • Langenbrunner, B.1    David Neelin, J.2
  • 43
    • 0028602239 scopus 로고
    • A simple hydrologically based model of land surface water and energy fluxes for GSMs
    • Liang X., Lettenmaier D.P., Wood E.P., Burges S.J. A simple hydrologically based model of land surface water and energy fluxes for GSMs. J. Geophys. Res 1994, 99(D7):14415-14428.
    • (1994) J. Geophys. Res , vol.99 , Issue.D7 , pp. 14415-14428
    • Liang, X.1    Lettenmaier, D.P.2    Wood, E.P.3    Burges, S.J.4
  • 44
    • 0030405727 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A large scale horizontal routing model to be coupled to land surface parameterization schemes
    • Lohmann D., Nolte-Holube R., Raschke E. A large scale horizontal routing model to be coupled to land surface parameterization schemes. Tellus 1996, 48A:708-721.
    • (1996) Tellus , vol.48 A , pp. 708-721
    • Lohmann, D.1    Nolte-Holube, R.2    Raschke, E.3
  • 45
    • 84878708006 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Flood management in California
    • Lund J.R. Flood management in California. Water 2012, 4:157-169. 10.3390/w4010157.
    • (2012) Water , vol.4 , pp. 157-169
    • Lund, J.R.1
  • 46
    • 77949318645 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Design criteria of urban drainage infrastructures under climate change
    • doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000023
    • Mailhot A., Duchesne S. Design criteria of urban drainage infrastructures under climate change. J. Water Resour. Plan. Manage 2010, 136:201. doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000023.
    • (2010) J. Water Resour. Plan. Manage , vol.136 , pp. 201
    • Mailhot, A.1    Duchesne, S.2
  • 47
    • 34247201649 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in hydrologic impacts of climate change in the Sierra Nevada, California under two emissions scenarios
    • Maurer E.P. Uncertainty in hydrologic impacts of climate change in the Sierra Nevada, California under two emissions scenarios. Clim. Change 2007, 82(3-4):309-325. 10.1007/s10584-006-9180-9.
    • (2007) Clim. Change , vol.82 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 309-325
    • Maurer, E.P.1
  • 48
    • 0037113274 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A long-term hydrologically-based data set of land surface fluxes and states for the conterminous United States
    • Maurer E.P., Wood A.W., Adam J.C., Lettenmaier D.P., Nijssen B. A long-term hydrologically-based data set of land surface fluxes and states for the conterminous United States. J. Clim. 2002, 15:3237-3251.
    • (2002) J. Clim. , vol.15 , pp. 3237-3251
    • Maurer, E.P.1    Wood, A.W.2    Adam, J.C.3    Lettenmaier, D.P.4    Nijssen, B.5
  • 49
    • 67349209900 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fine-resolution climate change projections enhance regional climate change impact studies
    • doi: 510.1029/2007EO470006
    • Maurer E.P., Brekke L., Pruitt T., Duffy P.B. Fine-resolution climate change projections enhance regional climate change impact studies. Eos Trans. Am. Geophys. Union 2007, 88:504. doi: 510.1029/2007EO470006.
    • (2007) Eos Trans. Am. Geophys. Union , vol.88 , pp. 504
    • Maurer, E.P.1    Brekke, L.2    Pruitt, T.3    Duffy, P.B.4
  • 50
    • 77954224193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The utility of daily large-scale climate data in the assessment of climate change impacts on daily streamflow in California
    • Maurer E.P., Hidalgo H.G., Das T., Dettinger M.D., Cayan D.R. The utility of daily large-scale climate data in the assessment of climate change impacts on daily streamflow in California. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2010, 14:1125-1138. 10.5194/hess-14-1125-2010.
    • (2010) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.14 , pp. 1125-1138
    • Maurer, E.P.1    Hidalgo, H.G.2    Das, T.3    Dettinger, M.D.4    Cayan, D.R.5
  • 52
  • 53
    • 79951778538 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human contribution to more intense precipitation extremes
    • Min S.-K., Zhang X., Zweirs F.W., Hegerl G.C. Human contribution to more intense precipitation extremes. Nature 2011, 470:378-381. 10.1038/nature09763.
    • (2011) Nature , vol.470 , pp. 378-381
    • Min, S.-K.1    Zhang, X.2    Zweirs, F.W.3    Hegerl, G.C.4
  • 55
    • 40349101982 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Meteorological characteristics and overland precipitation impacts of atmospheric rivers affecting the west coast of North America Based on Eight Years of SSM/I
    • Neiman P.J., Ralph F.M., Wick G.A., Lundquist J.D., Dettinger M.D. Meteorological characteristics and overland precipitation impacts of atmospheric rivers affecting the west coast of North America Based on Eight Years of SSM/I. J. Hydrometeorol. 2007, 9:22-47.
    • (2007) J. Hydrometeorol. , vol.9 , pp. 22-47
    • Neiman, P.J.1    Ralph, F.M.2    Wick, G.A.3    Lundquist, J.D.4    Dettinger, M.D.5
  • 60
    • 70749106235 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A framework for assessing flood frequency based on climate projection information
    • Raff D.A., Pruitt T., Brekke L.D. A framework for assessing flood frequency based on climate projection information. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2009, 13(1-18).
    • (2009) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.13 , Issue.1-18
    • Raff, D.A.1    Pruitt, T.2    Brekke, L.D.3
  • 62
    • 28244446739 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian generalized least squares regression with application to log Pearson type 3 regional skew estimation
    • Reis D.S., Stedinger J.R., Martins E.S. Bayesian generalized least squares regression with application to log Pearson type 3 regional skew estimation. Water Resour. Res. 2005, 41:W10419. 10.1029/2004WR003445.
    • (2005) Water Resour. Res. , vol.41
    • Reis, D.S.1    Stedinger, J.R.2    Martins, E.S.3
  • 63
    • 34547591756 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental restoration-Delta blues, California style
    • Service R.F. Environmental restoration-Delta blues, California style. Science 2007, 317:442-445.
    • (2007) Science , vol.317 , pp. 442-445
    • Service, R.F.1
  • 64
    • 84857437286 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical-statistical downscaling and error correction of regional climate models and its impact on the climate change signal
    • Themeßl M.J., Gobiet A., Heinrich G. Empirical-statistical downscaling and error correction of regional climate models and its impact on the climate change signal. Clim. Change 2012, 112:449-468. 10.1007/s10584-011-0224-4.
    • (2012) Clim. Change , vol.112 , pp. 449-468
    • Themeßl, M.J.1    Gobiet, A.2    Heinrich, G.3
  • 65
    • 0032775782 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conceptual framework for changes of extremes of the hydrological cycle with climate change
    • Trenberth K.E. Conceptual framework for changes of extremes of the hydrological cycle with climate change. Clim. Change 1999, 42:327-339.
    • (1999) Clim. Change , vol.42 , pp. 327-339
    • Trenberth, K.E.1
  • 66
    • 84882988217 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • US Department of Agriculture. California Agricultural Statistics, <> (accessed 17.08.11).
    • US Department of Agriculture, 2011. California Agricultural Statistics, <> (accessed 17.08.11). http://www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics_by_State/California/Publications/California_Ag_Statistics/Reports/2009cas-all.pdf.
    • (2011)
  • 67
    • 84882957742 scopus 로고
    • USGS. Guidelines for Determining Flood flow Frequency, U.S. Department of Interior, U.S. Geological Survey, Interagency Committee on Water Data, Bulletin 17B of the Hydrology Subcommittee, Reston Virginia.
    • USGS, 1981. Guidelines for Determining Flood flow Frequency, U.S. Department of Interior, U.S. Geological Survey, Interagency Committee on Water Data, Bulletin 17B of the Hydrology Subcommittee, Reston Virginia.
    • (1981)
  • 68
    • 36448934567 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern United States
    • Wood A.W., Maurer E.P., Kumar A., Lettenmaier D.P. Long-range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern United States. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 2002, 107. 10.1029/2001jd000659.
    • (2002) J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. , vol.107
    • Wood, A.W.1    Maurer, E.P.2    Kumar, A.3    Lettenmaier, D.P.4
  • 69
    • 1542381343 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs
    • Wood A.W., Leung L.R., Sridhar V., Lettenmaier D.P. Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs. Clim. Change 2004, 62:189-216.
    • (2004) Clim. Change , vol.62 , pp. 189-216
    • Wood, A.W.1    Leung, L.R.2    Sridhar, V.3    Lettenmaier, D.P.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.