메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 127, Issue , 2013, Pages

Assessing spatial uncertainties of land allocation using a scenario approach and sensitivity analysis: A study for land use in Europe

Author keywords

Land cover; Land use; Scenario approach; Sensitivity analysis; Spatial uncertainty

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURAL LAND; LAND USE CHANGE; LOCATION-ALLOCATION MODEL; NATIONAL PLANNING; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; SPATIAL ANALYSIS; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84881664629     PISSN: 03014797     EISSN: 10958630     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2012.08.038     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (97)

References (54)
  • 3
    • 68349092010 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The SAS approach: combining qualitative and quantitative knowledge in environmental scenarios
    • Elsevier, Amsterdam, J. Alcamo (Ed.)
    • Alcamo J. The SAS approach: combining qualitative and quantitative knowledge in environmental scenarios. Environmental Futures: The Practice of Environmental Scenario Analysis 2009, Elsevier, Amsterdam. J. Alcamo (Ed.).
    • (2009) Environmental Futures: The Practice of Environmental Scenario Analysis
    • Alcamo, J.1
  • 4
    • 79954981024 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of an integrated land use change model including a scenario analysis of land use change for continental Africa
    • Alcamo J., Schaldach R., Koch J., Kölking C., Lapola D., Priess J. Evaluation of an integrated land use change model including a scenario analysis of land use change for continental Africa. Environmental Modelling & Software 2011, 26:1017-1027.
    • (2011) Environmental Modelling & Software , vol.26 , pp. 1017-1027
    • Alcamo, J.1    Schaldach, R.2    Koch, J.3    Kölking, C.4    Lapola, D.5    Priess, J.6
  • 7
    • 38249015745 scopus 로고
    • Evaluating regional changes on the basis of local expectations: a visualization dilemma
    • Brian O. Evaluating regional changes on the basis of local expectations: a visualization dilemma. Landscape and Urban Planning 1992, 21:257-259.
    • (1992) Landscape and Urban Planning , vol.21 , pp. 257-259
    • Brian, O.1
  • 8
    • 33644524727 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future European agricultural landscapes-what can we learn from existing quantitative land use scenario studies?
    • Busch G. Future European agricultural landscapes-what can we learn from existing quantitative land use scenario studies?. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 2006, 114:121-140.
    • (2006) Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment , vol.114 , pp. 121-140
    • Busch, G.1
  • 10
    • 33847631664 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combination of process-oriented and pattern-oriented models of land-use change in a mountain area of Vietnam
    • Castella J.C., Verburg P.H. Combination of process-oriented and pattern-oriented models of land-use change in a mountain area of Vietnam. Ecological Modelling 2007, 202:410-420.
    • (2007) Ecological Modelling , vol.202 , pp. 410-420
    • Castella, J.C.1    Verburg, P.H.2
  • 11
    • 85171820287 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, The Hague, The Netherlands, Available at:
    • CPB World Scan: The Core Version 1999, Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, The Hague, The Netherlands, Available at:. http://www.cpb.nl.
    • (1999) CPB World Scan: The Core Version
  • 12
    • 85171818745 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, The Hague, The Netherlands, Available at:
    • CPB Four Futures of Europe 2003, Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, The Hague, The Netherlands, Available at:. http://www.cpb.nl.
    • (2003) CPB Four Futures of Europe
  • 18
    • 77949514146 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of US maize ethanol on global land use and greenhouse gas emissions: estimating market-mediated responses
    • Hertel T.W., Golub A.A., Jones A.D., O'Hare M., Plevin R.J., Kammen D.M. Effects of US maize ethanol on global land use and greenhouse gas emissions: estimating market-mediated responses. Bioscience 2010, 60:223-231.
    • (2010) Bioscience , vol.60 , pp. 223-231
    • Hertel, T.W.1    Golub, A.A.2    Jones, A.D.3    O'Hare, M.4    Plevin, R.J.5    Kammen, D.M.6
  • 19
    • 76449088304 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and stochastic sensitivity analysis of the GeoPEARL pesticide leaching model
    • Heuvelink G.B.M., Burgers S.L.G.E., Tiktak A., Den Berg F.V. Uncertainty and stochastic sensitivity analysis of the GeoPEARL pesticide leaching model. Geoderma 2010, 155:186-192.
    • (2010) Geoderma , vol.155 , pp. 186-192
    • Heuvelink, G.B.M.1    Burgers, S.L.G.E.2    Tiktak, A.3    Den Berg, F.V.4
  • 21
    • 78650179212 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Problems with making and governing global kinds of knowledge
    • Hulme M. Problems with making and governing global kinds of knowledge. Global Environmental Change 2010, 20:558-564.
    • (2010) Global Environmental Change , vol.20 , pp. 558-564
    • Hulme, M.1
  • 23
    • 72149083024 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating uncertainty in integrated environmental models: a review of concepts and tools
    • Matott L.S., Babendreier J.E., Purucker S.T. Evaluating uncertainty in integrated environmental models: a review of concepts and tools. Water Resources Research 2009, 45:W06421.
    • (2009) Water Resources Research , vol.45
    • Matott, L.S.1    Babendreier, J.E.2    Purucker, S.T.3
  • 24
    • 77954470104 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How personal Judgment influences scenario development: an example for future rural development in Europe
    • [online] Available at:
    • Metzger M.J., Rounsevell M., Heiligenberg H.A.R.M., Perez-Soba M., Hardiman P.S. How personal Judgment influences scenario development: an example for future rural development in Europe. Ecology and Society 2010, 15:5. [online] Available at:. http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol15/iss2/art5/.
    • (2010) Ecology and Society , vol.15 , pp. 5
    • Metzger, M.J.1    Rounsevell, M.2    Heiligenberg, H.A.R.M.3    Perez-Soba, M.4    Hardiman, P.S.5
  • 28
    • 3042540993 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conditional probabilistic population projections: an application to climate change
    • O'Neill B.C. Conditional probabilistic population projections: an application to climate change. International Statistical Review 2004, 72:167-184.
    • (2004) International Statistical Review , vol.72 , pp. 167-184
    • O'Neill, B.C.1
  • 29
    • 14544283329 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population scenarios based on probabilistic projections: an application for the Millennium Ecosystem assessment
    • O'Neill B.C. Population scenarios based on probabilistic projections: an application for the Millennium Ecosystem assessment. Population & Environment 2005, 26:229-254.
    • (2005) Population & Environment , vol.26 , pp. 229-254
    • O'Neill, B.C.1
  • 30
    • 33645228010 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multilevel modelling of land use from field to village level in the Philippines
    • Overmars K.P., Verburg P.H. Multilevel modelling of land use from field to village level in the Philippines. Agricultural Systems 2006, 89:435-456.
    • (2006) Agricultural Systems , vol.89 , pp. 435-456
    • Overmars, K.P.1    Verburg, P.H.2
  • 31
    • 79955977164 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of social and decision sciences in communicating uncertain climate risks
    • Pidgeon N., Fischhoff B. The role of social and decision sciences in communicating uncertain climate risks. Nature Climate Change 2011, 1:35-41.
    • (2011) Nature Climate Change , vol.1 , pp. 35-41
    • Pidgeon, N.1    Fischhoff, B.2
  • 32
    • 79960260453 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decision-making under great uncertainty: environmental management in an era of global change
    • Polasky S., Carpenter S.R., Folke C., Keeler B. Decision-making under great uncertainty: environmental management in an era of global change. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 2011, 26:398-404.
    • (2011) Trends in Ecology & Evolution , vol.26 , pp. 398-404
    • Polasky, S.1    Carpenter, S.R.2    Folke, C.3    Keeler, B.4
  • 33
    • 71649083912 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing a predictive model of land change using uncertain data
    • Pontius J., Petrova S.H. Assessing a predictive model of land change using uncertain data. Environmental Modelling & Software 2010, 25:299-309.
    • (2010) Environmental Modelling & Software , vol.25 , pp. 299-309
    • Pontius, J.1    Petrova, S.H.2
  • 35
    • 4444367297 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Useful techniques of validation for spatially explicit land-change models
    • Pontius R.G., Huffaker D., Denman K. Useful techniques of validation for spatially explicit land-change models. Ecological Modelling 2004, 179:445-461.
    • (2004) Ecological Modelling , vol.179 , pp. 445-461
    • Pontius, R.G.1    Huffaker, D.2    Denman, K.3
  • 36
    • 79954537814 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrated models of the land system: a review of modelling approaches on the regional to global scale.
    • Living Reviews in Landscape Research
    • Priess, J.A., Schaldach, R., 2008. Integrated models of the land system: a review of modelling approaches on the regional to global scale. Living Reviews in Landscape Research vol. 2.
    • (2008) , vol.2
    • Priess, J.A.1    Schaldach, R.2
  • 41
    • 14544287376 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying uncertainty in projections of regional climate change: a Bayesian approach to the analysis of Multimodel Ensembles
    • Tebaldi C., Smith R.L., Nychka D., Mearns L.O. Quantifying uncertainty in projections of regional climate change: a Bayesian approach to the analysis of Multimodel Ensembles. Journal of Climate 2005, 18:1524-1540.
    • (2005) Journal of Climate , vol.18 , pp. 1524-1540
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Smith, R.L.2    Nychka, D.3    Mearns, L.O.4
  • 45
    • 56949086917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conditional probabilistic estimates of 21st century greenhouse gas emissions based on the storylines of the IPCC-SRES scenarios
    • van Vuuren D.P., de Vries B., Beusen A., Heuberger P.S.C. Conditional probabilistic estimates of 21st century greenhouse gas emissions based on the storylines of the IPCC-SRES scenarios. Global Environmental Change 2008, 18:635-654.
    • (2008) Global Environmental Change , vol.18 , pp. 635-654
    • van Vuuren, D.P.1    de Vries, B.2    Beusen, A.3    Heuberger, P.S.C.4
  • 46
    • 3342984795 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Land use change modelling: current practice and research priorities
    • Verburg P.H., Schot P.P., Dijst M.J., Veldkamp A. Land use change modelling: current practice and research priorities. GeoJournal 2004, 61:309-324.
    • (2004) GeoJournal , vol.61 , pp. 309-324
    • Verburg, P.H.1    Schot, P.P.2    Dijst, M.J.3    Veldkamp, A.4
  • 48
    • 38549099126 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Amulti-scale, multi-model approach for analyzing the future dynamics of European land use
    • Verburg P.H., Eickhout B., van Meijl H. Amulti-scale, multi-model approach for analyzing the future dynamics of European land use. Annals of Regional Science 2008, 42:57-77.
    • (2008) Annals of Regional Science , vol.42 , pp. 57-77
    • Verburg, P.H.1    Eickhout, B.2    van Meijl, H.3
  • 49
    • 78650783264 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Challenges in using land use and land cover data for global change studies
    • Verburg P.H., Neumann K., Nol L. Challenges in using land use and land cover data for global change studies. Global Change Biology 2011, 17:974-989.
    • (2011) Global Change Biology , vol.17 , pp. 974-989
    • Verburg, P.H.1    Neumann, K.2    Nol, L.3
  • 50
    • 70350359649 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combining top-down and bottom-up dynamics in land use modeling: exploring the future of abandoned farmlands in Europe with the Dyna-CLUE model
    • Verburg P.H., Overmars K. Combining top-down and bottom-up dynamics in land use modeling: exploring the future of abandoned farmlands in Europe with the Dyna-CLUE model. Landscape Ecology 2009, 24:1167-1181.
    • (2009) Landscape Ecology , vol.24 , pp. 1167-1181
    • Verburg, P.H.1    Overmars, K.2
  • 52
    • 0242499183 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the performance of spatially explicit models
    • Walker R. Evaluating the performance of spatially explicit models. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing 2003, 69:1271-1278.
    • (2003) Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing , vol.69 , pp. 1271-1278
    • Walker, R.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.