메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 72, Issue 2, 2004, Pages 167-184

Conditional probabilistic population projections: An application to climate change

Author keywords

Climate change; Population; Projection; Scenario; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords


EID: 3042540993     PISSN: 03067734     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1751-5823.2004.tb00231.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (25)

References (27)
  • 3
    • 0038592013 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climatic implications of revised IPCC emissions scenarios, the Kyoto Protocol and quantification of uncertainties
    • Dessai, S. & Hulme, M. (2001). Climatic implications of revised IPCC emissions scenarios, the Kyoto Protocol and quantification of uncertainties. Integrated Assessment, 2, 159-170.
    • (2001) Integrated Assessment , vol.2 , pp. 159-170
    • Dessai, S.1    Hulme, M.2
  • 7
    • 0035811469 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identifying dangers in an uncertain climate
    • Grübler, A. & Nakicenovic, N. (2001). Identifying dangers in an uncertain climate. Nature, 412(6842), 15.
    • (2001) Nature , vol.412 , Issue.6842 , pp. 15
    • Grübler, A.1    Nakicenovic, N.2
  • 8
    • 0022831663 scopus 로고
    • Review of global energy and carbon dioxide projections
    • Keepin, B. (1986). Review of global energy and carbon dioxide projections. Annual Review of Energy, 11, 357-392.
    • (1986) Annual Review of Energy , vol.11 , pp. 357-392
    • Keepin, B.1
  • 9
    • 0034036822 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impacts of climate variability on near-term policy choices and the value of information
    • Lempert, R.J., Schlesinger, M.E., Banks, S.C. & Andronova, N.G. (2000). The impacts of climate variability on near-term policy choices and the value of information. Climatic Change, 45, 129-161.
    • (2000) Climatic Change , vol.45 , pp. 129-161
    • Lempert, R.J.1    Schlesinger, M.E.2    Banks, S.C.3    Andronova, N.G.4
  • 11
    • 0035797408 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The end of world population growth
    • Lutz, W., Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2001). The end of world population growth. Nature, 412, 543-545.
    • (2001) Nature , vol.412 , pp. 543-545
    • Lutz, W.1    Sanderson, W.2    Scherbov, S.3
  • 12
    • 12244281694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Can immigration compensate for Europe's low fertility?
    • Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA
    • Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2002). Can immigration compensate for Europe's low fertility? Interim Report, IR-02-052. Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
    • (2002) Interim Report , vol.IR-02-052
    • Lutz, W.1    Scherbov, S.2
  • 13
    • 0003163912 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainties in the IPCC TAR: Recommendations to lead authors for more consistent assessment and reporting
    • Geneva, Switzerland: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
    • Moss, R.H. & Schneider, S.H. (2000). Uncertainties in the IPCC TAR: Recommendations to lead authors for more consistent assessment and reporting. In Cross Cutting Issues Guidance Papers. Geneva, Switzerland: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
    • (2000) Cross Cutting Issues Guidance Papers
    • Moss, R.H.1    Schneider, S.H.2
  • 14
    • 0003564167 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
    • Nakicenovic, N. et al. (2000). Special. Report on Emissions Scenarios. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
    • (2000) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios
    • Nakicenovic, N.1
  • 15
    • 0001020829 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Representing uncertainty in climate change scenarios: A Monte Carlo approach
    • New, M. & Hulme, M. (2000). Representing uncertainty in climate change scenarios: a Monte Carlo approach. Integrated Assessment, 1, 203-213.
    • (2000) Integrated Assessment , vol.1 , pp. 203-213
    • New, M.1    Hulme, M.2
  • 16
    • 0030655142 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What is the value of scientific knowledge? An application to global warming using the PRICE model
    • Nordhaus, W.D. & Popp, D. (1997). What is the value of scientific knowledge? An application to global warming using the PRICE model. The Energy Journal, 318, 1-45.
    • (1997) The Energy Journal , vol.318 , pp. 1-45
    • Nordhaus, W.D.1    Popp, D.2
  • 17
    • 3142762494 scopus 로고
    • Future carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels
    • New Haven, CT: Yale University
    • Nordhaus, W.D. & Yohe, G. (1983). Future carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels, Cowles Foundation Paper No. 580. New Haven, CT: Yale University.
    • (1983) Cowles Foundation Paper No. 580 , vol.580
    • Nordhaus, W.D.1    Yohe, G.2
  • 19
    • 14544283329 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population scenarios based on probabilistic projections: An application for the millennium ecosystem assessment
    • (submitted). Submitted to
    • O'Neill, B.C. (submitted). Population scenarios based on probabilistic projections: An application for the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Submitted to Population and Environment.
    • Population and Environment
    • O'Neill, B.C.1
  • 21
    • 0035799690 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What is 'dangerous' climate change?
    • Schneider, S.H. (2001). What is 'dangerous' climate change? Nature, 411, 17-19.
    • (2001) Nature , vol.411 , pp. 17-19
    • Schneider, S.H.1
  • 22
    • 0036128106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Can we estimate the likelihood of climatic changes at 2100?
    • Schneider, S.H. (2002). Can we estimate the likelihood of climatic changes at 2100? Climatic Change, 52, 441-451.
    • (2002) Climatic Change , vol.52 , pp. 441-451
    • Schneider, S.H.1
  • 25
    • 0003459120 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
    • Watson, R.T. & the Core Writing Team (35 authors). (2001). Climate Change 2001: Synthesis Report. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
    • (2001) Climate Change 2001: Synthesis Report
    • Watson, R.T.1
  • 27
    • 0035919689 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interpretation of high projections for global-mean warming
    • Wigley, T.M.L. & Raper, S.C.B. (2001). Interpretation of high projections for global-mean warming. Science, 293, 451-454.
    • (2001) Science , vol.293 , pp. 451-454
    • Wigley, T.M.L.1    Raper, S.C.B.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.