Impact of strong tropical volcanic eruptions on enso simulated in a coupled gcm

Journal of Climate

Volumn 26, Issue 14, 2013, Pages 5169-5182

  Ohba, Masamichi ^a   Shiogama, Hideo ^b   Yokohata, Tokuta ^b   Watanabe, Masahiro ^c  

^a CENTRAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE OF ELECTRIC POWER INDUSTRY   (Japan)

^b NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES   (Japan)

^c UNIVERSITY OF TOKYO   (Japan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COUPLED GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS; EQUATORIAL PACIFIC; MARITIME CONTINENT; PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST); SHORT-WAVE RADIATION; VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS; WALKER CIRCULATION;

ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE; ATMOSPHERIC RADIATION; ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; EXPERIMENTS; THERMOSTATS; TROPICS;

VOLCANOES;

EL NINO; EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; LA NINA; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); RADIATIVE FORCING; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; SHORTWAVE RADIATION; STRATOSPHERE; VOLCANIC AEROSOL; VOLCANIC ERUPTION; WALKER CIRCULATION;

PACIFIC OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN (EQUATORIAL);

EID: 84880655306     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00471.1     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. Adams, J., M. Mann, and C. Ammann, 2003: Proxy evidence for an El Niño-like response to volcanic forcing. Nature, 426, 274-278, doi:10.1038/nature02101.
2. An, S.-I., F.-F. Jin, and I.-S. Kang, 1999: The role of zonal advection feedback in phase transition and growth of ENSO in the Cane-Zebiak model. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 77, 1151-1160.
3. Bjerknes, J., 1969: Atmospheric teleconnections from the equatorial Pacific. Mon. Wea. Rev., 97, 163-172.
4. Bony, S., and J. L. Dufresne, 2005: Marine boundary layer clouds at the heart of tropical cloud feedback uncertainties in climate models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L20806, doi:10.1029/2005GL023851.
5. Cane, M. A., and R. J. Patton, 1984: A numerical model for lowfrequency equatorial dynamics. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 14, 1853-1863.
6. Church, J. A., N. J. White, and J. M. Arblaster, 2005: Significant decadal-scale impact of volcanic eruptions on sea level and ocean heat content. Nature, 438, 74-77, doi:10.1038/nature04237.
7. Clement, A., R. Seager, M. A. Cane, and S. E. Zebiak, 1996: An ocean dynamical thermostat. J. Climate, 9, 2190-2196.
8. Emile-Geay, J., R. Seager, M. A. Cane, E. Cook, and G. H. Haug, 2008: Volcanoes andENSOover the pastmillennium. J. Climate, 21, 3134-3148.
9. Gleckler, P. J., K. R. Sperber, and K. AchutaRao, 2006: Annual cycle of global ocean heat content: Observed and simulated. J. Geophys. Res., 111, C06008, doi:10.1029/2005JC003223.
10. Guemas, V., S. Corti, J. García-Serrano, F. Doblas-Reyes, M. Balmaseda, and L. Magnusson, 2013: The Indian Ocean: The region of highest skill worldwide in decadal climate prediction. J. Climate, 26, 726-739.
11. Guilyardi, E., P. Braconnot, F. F. Jin, S. T. Kim, M. Kolasinski, T. Li, and I. Musat, 2009a: Atmosphere feedbacks during ENSO in a coupled GCM with a modified atmospheric convection scheme. J. Climate, 22, 5698-5718.
12. Guilyardi, E., A. Wittenberg, A. Fedorov, M. Collins, C. Wang, A. Capotondi, G. J. van Oldenborgh, and T. Stockdale, 2009b: Understanding El Niño in ocean-atmosphere general circulation models: Progress and challenges. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90, 325-340.
13. Handler, P., 1984: Possible association of stratospheric aerosols and El Niño type events. Geophys. Res. Lett., 11, 1121-1124.
14. Hasumi, H., 2006: CCSR Ocean Component Model (COCO) version 4.0. CCSR Rep. 25, 103 pp. [Available online at http://www.ccsr.u-tokyo.ac.jp/;hasumi/COCO/index.html.]
15. Hasumi, H., and S. Emori, Eds., 2004: K-1 coupled GCM (MIROC) description. K-1 Tech. Rep., 34 pp. [Available online at http://www.ccsr.u-tokyo.ac.jp/kyosei/hasumi/MIROC/tech-repo. pdf.]
16. Jin, F.-F., 1997: An equatorial ocean recharge paradigm for ENSO. Part I: Conceptual model. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 811-829.
17. Jin, F.-F., and S.-I. An, 1999: Thermocline and zonal advective feedbacks within the equatorial ocean recharge oscillator model for ENSO. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 2989-2992.
18. Joshi, M. M., J. M. Gregory, M. J. Webb, D. M. H. Sexton, and T. C. Johns, 2007: Mechanisms for the land/sea warming contrast exhibited by simulations of climate change. Climate Dyn., 30, 455-465, doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0306-1.
19. Klein, S. A., B. J. Soden, and N. C. Lau, 1999: Remote sea surface temperature variations during ENSO: Evidence for a tropical atmospheric bridge. J. Climate, 12, 917-932.
20. Kug, J.-S., and I.-S. Kang, 2006: Interactive feedback between the Indian Ocean and ENSO. J. Climate, 19, 1784-1801.
21. Kug, J.-S., F.-F. Jin, and S.-I. An, 2009: Two types of El Niño events: Cold tongue El Niño and warm pool El Niño. J. Climate, 22, 1499-1515.
22. Lim, H.-G., and S.-W Yeh, 2012: Volcanic effect on the tropical sea surface temperature in a millenniumcoupled model simulation. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 14, Abstract EGU2012-4574. [Abstract available online at http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2012/EGU2012-4574.pdf.]
23. Lindzen, R. S., and S. Nigam, 1987: On the role of sea surface temperature gradients in forcing low-level winds and convergence in the tropics. J. Atmos. Sci., 44, 2418-2436.
24. Lloyd, J., E. Guilyardi, H. Weller, and J. Slingo, 2009: The role of atmosphere feedbacks during ENSO in the CMIP3 models. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 10, 170-176.
25. Mann, M., M. A. Cane, S. E. Zebiak, and A. Clement, 2005: Volcanic and solar forcing of the tropical Pacific over the past 1000 years. J. Climate, 18, 447-456.
26. McGregor, S., and A. Timmermann, 2011: The effect of explosive tropical volcanism on ENSO. J. Climate, 24, 2178-2191.
27. McGregor, S., and A. Timmermann, and O. Timm, 2010: A unified proxy for ENSO and PDO variability since 1650. Climate Past, 5, 1-17.
28. Newman, M., S.-I. Shin, and M. A. Alexander, 2011: Natural variation in ENSO flavors. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L14705, doi:10.1029/2011GL047658.
29. Nicholls, N., 1988: Low latitude volcanic eruptions and the El Niño- Southern Oscillation. Int. J. Climatol., 9, 91-95.
30. Ohba, M., and H. Ueda, 2006: A role of zonal gradient of SST between the Indian Ocean and the western Pacific in localized convection around the Philippines. SOLA, 2, 176-179.
31. Ohba, M., and H. Ueda, 2007: An impact of SST anomalies in the Indian Ocean in acceleration of the El Niño to La Niña transition. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 85, 335-348.
32. Ohba, M., and H. Ueda, 2009: Role of nonlinear atmospheric response to SST on the asymmetric transition process of ENSO. J. Climate, 22, 177-192.
33. Ohba, M., and M. Watanabe, 2012: Role of the Indo-Pacific interbasin coupling in predicting asymmetric ENSO transition and duration. J. Climate, 25, 3321-3335.
34. Ohba, M., D. Nohara, and H. Ueda, 2010: Simulation of asymmetric ENSO transition in WCRP CMIP3 multimodel experiments. J. Climate, 23, 6051-6067.
35. Robock, A., 2000: Volcanic eruptions and climate. Rev. Geophys., 38, 191-219.
36. Robock, A., L. Oman, and G. Stenchikov, 2008: Regional climate responses to geoengineering with tropical and Arctic SO2 injections. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D16101, doi:10.1029/2008JD010050.
37. Sato, M., J. Hansen, M. McCormick, and J. Pollack, 1993: Stratospheric aerosol optical depths, 1850-1990. J. Geophys. Res., 98 (D12), 22 987-22 994.
38. Self, S., M. R. Rampino, J. Zhao, and M. G. Katz, 1997: Volcanic aerosol perturbations and strong El Niño events: No general correlation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 24, 1247-1250.
39. Shiogama, H., T. Nagashima, T. Yokohata, S. A. Crooks, and T. Nozawa, 2006: Influence of volcanic activity and changes in solar irradiance on surface air temperatures in the early twentieth century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L09702, doi:10.1029/2005GL025622.
40. Shiogama, H., S. Emori, T. Mochizuki, S. Yasunaka, T. Yokohata, M. Ishii, T. Nozawa, and M. Kimoto, 2010: Possible influence of volcanic activity on the decadal potential predictability of the natural variability in near-term climate predictions. Adv. Meteor., 2010, 657318, doi:10.1155/2010/657318.
41. Stenchikov, G., K. Hamilton, R. J. Stouffer, A. Robock, V. Ramaswamy, B. Santer, and H.-F. Graf, 2006: Artic oscillation response to volcanic eruptions in the IPCC AR4 climate models. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D07107, doi:10.1029/2005JD006286.
42. Stenchikov, G., T. Delworth, and A. Wittenberg, 2007: Volcanic climate impacts and ENSO interactions. Eos, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, Vol. 88 (Spring Meeting Suppl.), Abstract A43D-09.
43. Stothers, R., 2000: Climatic and demographic consequences of the massive volcanic eruption of 1258. Climatic Change, 45, 361-374.
44. Sun, D.-Z., Y. Yu, and T. Zhang, 2009: Tropical water vapor and cloud feedbacks in climate models:Afurther assessment using coupled simulations. J. Climate, 22, 1287-1304.
45. Sutton, R. T., B. Dong, and J. M. Gregory, 2007: Land/sea warming ratio in response to climate change: IPCC AR4 model results and comparison with observations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L02701, doi:10.1029/2006GL028164.
46. Taylor, K. E., R. J. Stouffer, and G. A. Meehl, 2012: An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 485-498.
47. Vialard, J., C. Menkes, J. P. Boulanger, P. Delecluse, E. Guilyardi, M. J. McPhaden, and G. Madec, 2001: A model study of oceanic mechanisms affecting equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature during the 1997-98 El Niño. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 31, 1649-1675.
48. Watanabe, M., and Coauthors, 2010: Improved climate simulation by MIROC5: Mean states, variability, and climate sensitivity. J. Climate, 23, 6312-6335.
49. Watanabe, M., M. Chikira, Y. Imada, and M. Kimoto, 2011: Convective control of ENSO simulated in MIROC. J. Climate, 24, 543-562.
50. Xie, S.-P., H. Annamalai, F. A. Schott, and J. P. McCreary, 2002: Structure and mechanisms of south Indian Ocean climate variability. J. Climate, 15, 864-878.
51. Xie, S.-P., K. Hu, J. Hafner, H. Tokinaga, Y. Du, G. Huang, and T. Sampe, 2009: Indian Ocean capacitor effect on Indo- western Pacific climate during the summer following El Niño. J. Climate, 22, 730-747.
52. Yokohata, T., S. Emori, T. Nozawa, Y. Tsushima, T. Ogura, and M. Kimoto, 2005: Climate response to volcanic forcing: Validation of climate sensitivity of a coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L21710, doi:10.1029/2005GL023542.
53. Zanchettin, D., C. Timmreck, H.-F. Graf, A. Rubino, S. Lorenz, K. Lohmann, K. Krüger, and J. H. Jungclaus, 2012: Bi-decadal variability excited in the coupled ocean-atmosphere system by strong tropical volcanic eruptions. Climate Dyn., 39, 419-444, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1167-1.
54. Zebiak, S. E., and M. A. Cane, 1987: A model El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 2262-2278