Screen more or screen more often? Using mathematical models to inform syphilis control strategies

BMC Public Health

Volumn 13, Issue 1, 2013, Pages

  Tuite, Ashleigh R ^a   Fisman, David N ^a,b,c   Mishra, Sharmistha ^d,e  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO   (Canada)

^b UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO   (Canada)

^c UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO   (Canada)

^d ST MICHAEL'S HOSPITAL   (Canada)

^e IMPERIAL COLLEGE LONDON   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Mathematical Modeling; Men Who Have Sex With Men; Sexually Transmitted Infection; Syphilis

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; CANADA; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; HUMAN; INCIDENCE; MALE; MALE HOMOSEXUALITY; MASS SCREENING; METHODOLOGY; MIXED INFECTION; PATIENT ATTITUDE; RISK ASSESSMENT; SEXUALITY; SEXUALLY TRANSMITTED DISEASE; STATISTICAL MODEL; STATISTICS; SYPHILIS; TIME;

CANADA; COINFECTION; DISEASE TRANSMISSION, INFECTIOUS; HOMOSEXUALITY, MALE; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; MALE; MASS SCREENING; MODELS, STATISTICAL; PATIENT ACCEPTANCE OF HEALTH CARE; RISK ASSESSMENT; SEXUAL PARTNERS; SEXUALLY TRANSMITTED DISEASES; SYPHILIS; TIME FACTORS;

EID: 84879220648     PISSN: None     EISSN: 14712458     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1186/1471-2458-13-606     Document Type: Article

References (51)

1. Infectious syphilis in high-income settings in the 21st century. Fenton KA, Breban R, Vardavas R, Okano JT, Martin T, Aral S, Blower S, Lancet Infect Dis 2008 8 4 244 253 10.1016/S1473-3099(08)70065-3 18353265 (Pubitemid 351391990)
2. Sexually transmitted diseases in the USA: temporal trends. Aral SO, Fenton KA, Holmes KK, Sex Transm Infect 2007 83 4 257 266 10.1136/sti.2007. 026245 17664359 (Pubitemid 47242501)
3. Reemergence of the HIV Epidemic Among Men Who Have Sex With Men in North America, Western Europe, and Australia, 1996-2005. Sullivan PS, Hamouda O, Delpech V, Geduld JE, Prejean J, Semaille C, Kaldor J, Folch C, op de Coul E, Marcus U, Ann Epidemiol 2009 19 6 423 431 10.1016/j.annepidem.2009.03.004 19460672
4. Decreases in AIDS mortality and increases in primary and secondary syphilis in men who have sex with men in the United States. Chesson HW, Gift TL, Jaids 2008 47 2 263 264 10.1097/QAI.0b013e31815e4062 18223365 (Pubitemid 351172199)
5. AIDS mortality may have contributed to the decline in syphilis rates in the United States in the 1990s. Chesson HW, Dee TS, Aral SO, Sex Transm Dis 2003 30 5 419 424 10.1097/00007435-200305000-00008 12916133 (Pubitemid 36605491)
6. Increases in sexually transmitted infections and sexual risk behaviour without a concurrent increase in HIV incidence among men who have sex with men in San Francisco: a suggestion of HIV serosorting? Truong HM, Kellogg T, Klausner JD, Katz MH, Dilley J, Knapper K, Chen S, Prabhu R, Grant RM, Louie B, et al. Sex Transm Infect 2006 82 6 461 466 10.1136/sti.2006.019950 17151031 (Pubitemid 46025187)
7. Understanding recent increases in the incidence of sexually transmitted infections in men having sex with men: changes in risk behavior from risk avoidance to risk reduction. Marcus U, Bremer V, Hamouda O, Kramer MH, Freiwald M, Jessen H, Rausch M, Reinhardt B, Rothaar A, Schmidt W, et al. Sex Transm Dis 2006 33 1 11 17 10.1097/01.olq.0000187224.10428.31 16385216 (Pubitemid 43042816)
8. The re-emergence of syphilis in the United Kingdom: the new epidemic phases. Simms I, Fenton KA, Ashton M, Turner KM, Crawley-Boevey EE, Gorton R, Thomas DR, Lynch A, Winter A, Fisher MJ, et al. Sex Transm Dis 2005 32 4 220 226 10.1097/01.olq.0000149848.03733.c1 15788919 (Pubitemid 40411577)
9. Epidemiology of infectious syphilis in Ottawa. Recurring themes revisited. Leber A, MacPherson P, Lee BC, Can J Public Health-Rev Can Sante Publ 2008 99 5 401 405
10. Case series descriptive analysis of a primary syphilis outbreak in Edmonton, Alberta, July 2004-April 2006. Gratix J, Honish L, Mashinter L, Jaipaul J, Baptiste B, Doering D, Talbot J, Can Commun Dis Rep 2007 33 6 61 67 17520772
11. Heterosexual outbreak of infectious syphilis: epidemiological and ethnographic analysis and implications for control. Patrick DM, Rekart ML, Jolly A, Mak S, Tyndall M, Maginley J, Wong E, Wong T, Jones H, Montgomery C, et al. Sex Transm Infect 2002 78 Suppl 1 164 169 12083438
12. Rising rates of syphilis in the era of syphilis elimination. Kerani RP, Handsfield HH, Stenger MS, Shafii T, Zick E, Brewer D, Golden MR, Sex Transm Dis 2007 34 3 154 161 10.1097/01.olq.0000233709.93891.e5 17179773 (Pubitemid 46673218)
13. Reinfections during the Florida syphilis epidemic, 2000-2008. Brewer TH, Peterman TA, Newman DR, Schmitt K, Sex Transm Dis 2011 38 1 12 17 10.1097/OLQ.0b013e3181e9afc7 20739912
14. Toronto Public Health, Communicable diseases in Toronto 2010: Sexually transmitted and bloodborne diseases. Accessed 3 Oct 2012 http://www.toronto.ca/ health/cdc/communicable-disease-surveillance/statistics-and-reports/ annual-reports/pdf/2010/2010-sti-annual-report.pdf. 2011
15. Syphilis. Lukehart SA, Sex Transm Dis New York: Oxford University Press, Holmes KK, 2 2006 311 330
16. Syphilis: review with emphasis on clinical, epidemiologic, and some biologic features. Singh A, Romanowski B, Clin Microbiol Rev 1999 12 187 209 10194456 (Pubitemid 29196850)
17. High rates of syphilis among STI patients are contributing to the spread of HIV-1 in India. Reynolds SJ, Risbud AR, Shepherd ME, Rompalo AM, Ghate MV, Godbole SV, Joshi SN, Divekar AD, Gangakhedkar RR, Bollinger RC, et al. Sex Transm Infect 2006 82 2 121 126 10.1136/sti.2005.015040 16581736
18. From epidemiological synergy to public health policy and practice: the contribution of other sexually transmitted diseases to sexual transmission of HIV. Fleming D, Sex Transm Infect 1999 75 2 17
19. Frequent screening for syphilis as part of HIV monitoring increases the detection of early asymptomatic syphilis among HIV-positive homosexual men. Bissessor M, Fairley CK, Leslie D, Howley K, Chen MY, Jaids 2010 55 2 211 216 10.1097/QAI.0b013e3181e583bf 20585261
20. Novel Treponema pallidum serologic tests: a paradigm shift in syphilis screening for the 21st century. Sena AC, White BL, Sparling PF, Clin Infect Dis 2010 51 6 700 708 10.1086/655832 20687840
21. The natural history of syphilis. Implications for the transmission dynamics and control of infection. Garnett GP, Aral SO, Hoyle DV, Cates W, Anderson RM, Sex Transm Dis 1997 24 4 185 200 10.1097/00007435-199704000-00002 9101629
22. Risk factors for repeat syphilis in men who have sex with men, San Francisco. Phipps W, Kent CK, Kohn R, Klausner JD, Sex Transm Dis 2009 36 6 331 335 10.1097/OLQ.0b013e3181990c85 19556925
23. A population-based study of infectious syphilis rediagnosis in British Columbia, 1995-2005. Ogilvie GS, Taylor DL, Moniruzzaman A, Knowles L, Jones H, Kim PH, Rekart ML, Clin Infect Dis 2009 48 11 1554 1558 10.1086/598997 19402790
24. Use of a computer alert increases detection of early, asymptomatic syphilis among higher-risk men who have sex with men. Bissessor M, Fairley CK, Leslie D, Chen MY, Clin Infect Dis 2011 53 1 57 58 10.1093/cid/cir271 21653303
25. Increasing detection of asymptomatic syphilis in HIV patients. Cohen CE, Winston A, Asboe D, Boag F, Mandalia S, Azadian B, Hawkins DA, Sex Transm Infect 2005 81 3 217 219 10.1136/sti.2004.012187 15923288 (Pubitemid 40835046)
26. Frequent testing of highly sexually active gay men is required to control syphilis. Gray RT, Hoare A, Prestage GP, Donovan B, Kaldor JM, Wilson DP, Sex Transm Dis 2010 37 5 298 305 20393383
27. Remis RS, Myers T, Husbands W, Liu J, Taleski SJ, Allman D, Hassan O, Bouchard C, Shamess C, Clarke B, et al. Lambda survey: M-Track Ontario second generation surveillance 2010 Available at: http://www.actoronto.org/setup.nsf/ ActiveFiles/Lambda +Survey+(Technical+Report)/$file/ lambda%20technical%20report%20FINAL.pdf. Accessed 5 Jun 2013
28. Remis RS, Swantee C, Schiedel L, Liu J, Report on HIV/AIDS in Ontario 2007 Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care 2009 Available at http://www.ohemu.utoronto.ca/tech%20reports.html. Accessed 5 Jun 2013
29. Remis RS, Swantee C, Liu J, Report on HIV/AIDS in Ontario 2008 Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care 2010 Accessed at http://www.ohemu. utoronto.ca/tech%20reports.html. Accessed 5 Jun 2013
30. Treponema pallidum. Tramont EC, Principles and Practice of Infectious Disease New York: Churchill Livingstone, Mandell GL, Bennett JE, Dolm R, 4s 1995 2117 2132
31. Transmission of syphilis between sexual partners in Gabon. Schrijvers D, Josse R, Trebucq A, Dupont A, Cheringou H, Larouze B, Genitourin Med 1989 65 2 84 85 2753517 (Pubitemid 19130401)
32. The Oslo study of untreated syphilis: an epidemiologic investigation based upon a re-study of the Boeck-Bruusgaard material. Clark EG, Danbolt N, Med Clin North Am 1964 48 613 623
33. Biology of Treponema pallidum. Stamm LV, Sex Transm Dis New York: McGraw-Hill, Holmes KK, Sparling PR, Mardh PA, 3 1998 467 472
34. Inoculation syphilis in human volunteers. Magnuson H, Evan T, Sidney O, Kaplan B, De-Mello L, Cutler J, Medicine (Baltimore) 1956 32 33 82
35. Host immunity and synchronized epidemics of syphilis across the United States. Grassly NC, Fraser C, Garnett GP, Nature 2005 433 7024 417 421 10.1038/nature03072 15674292 (Pubitemid 40203321)
36. Condom effectiveness: factors that influence risk reduction. Fitch JT, Stine C, Hager WD, Mann J, Adam MB, McIlhaney J, Sex Transm Dis 2002 29 12 811 817 10.1097/00007435-200212000-00013 12466725 (Pubitemid 35425312)
37. Syphilis increases HIV viral load and decreases CD4 cell counts in HIV-infected patients with new syphilis infections. Buchacz K, Patel P, Taylor M, Kerndt PR, Byers RH, Holmberg SD, Klausner JD, AIDS 2004 18 15 2075 2079 10.1097/00002030-200410210-00012 15577629 (Pubitemid 39463361)
38. Delay in the diagnosis of early syphilis among men who have sex with men: need for greater community and health provider education. Bissessor M, Fairley CK, De-Guingand D, Bradshaw CS, Chen MY, Int J STD AIDS 2009 20 1 52 53 10.1258/ijsa.2008.008254 19103894
39. Testing rates for sexually transmitted infections among HIV-infected men who have sex with men attending two different HIV services. Teague R, Mijch A, Fairley CK, Sidat M, Watson K, Boyd K, Chen MY, Int J STD AIDS 2008 19 3 200 202 10.1258/ijsa.2007.007131 18397563 (Pubitemid 351738800)
40. Patterns of syphilis testing in a large cohort of HIV patients in Ontario, Canada, 2000-2009. Burchell AN, Allen V, Moravan V, Gardner S, Raboud J, Tan DH, et al. BMC Infect Dis 2013 13 246 10.1186/1471-2334-13-246 23710699
41. Serological diagnosis of syphilis: enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay to measure antibodies to individual recombinant Treponema pallidum antigens. Martin IE, Lau A, Sawatzky P, Tsang RS, Cuff W, Lee C, Macpherson PA, Mazzulli T, J Immunoassay Immunochem 2008 29 2 143 151 10.1080/15321810801887771 18360809 (Pubitemid 351431253)
42. Field evaluation of simple rapid tests in the diagnosis of syphilis. Nessa K, Alam A, Chawdhury FA, Huq M, Nahar S, Salauddin G, Khursheed S, Rahman S, Gurley E, Breiman RF, et al. Int J STD AIDS 2008 19 5 316 320 10.1258/ijsa.2007.007280 18482961 (Pubitemid 351748272)
43. Public Health Agency of Canada, Canadian guidelines on sexually transmitted infections 2008 http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/std-mts/sti-its/guide- lignesdir-eng.php. Accessed 20 Nov 2012.
44. Larsen SA, A manual of tests for syphilis Washington, DC: American Public Health Association 9 1998
45. Extremely high risk of syphilis co-infection and re-diagnosis among men who have sex with men living with HIV in Ontario. Burchell AN, Moravan V, Allen V, Bayoumi AM, Collins E, Gardner S, Kaul R, Mazzulli T, McGee F, Millson P, et al. 21st Annual Canadian Conference on HIV/AIDS Research Toronto, Canada 2012
46. Remis RS, Swantee C, Liu J, Report on HIV/AIDS in Ontario 2006 Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care 2008 Available at: http://www.ohemu. utoronto.ca/tech%20reports.html. Accessed 5 Jun 2013.
47. Core groups, antimicrobial resistance and rebound in gonorrhoea in North America. Chan CH, McCabe CJ, Fisman DN, Sex Transm Infect 2012 88 3 200 204 10.1136/sextrans-2011-050049 22169277
48. Impact of mass treatment on syphilis transmission: a mathematical modeling approach. Pourbohloul B, Rekart ML, Brunham RC, Sex Transm Dis 2003 30 4 297 305 10.1097/00007435-200304000-00005 12671548 (Pubitemid 36397829)
49. Spatio-temporal waves and targeted vaccination in recurrent epidemic network models. Litvak-Hinenzon A, Stone L, J R Soc Interface 2009 6 38 749 760 10.1098/rsif.2008.0343 18957362
50. Model-based evaluation of single-round mass treatment of sexually transmitted diseases for HIV control in a rural African population. Korenromp EL, Van-Vliet C, Grosskurth H, Gavyole A, Van der-Ploeg CP, Fransen L, Hayes RJ, Habbema JD, AIDS 2000 14 5 573 593 10.1097/00002030-200003310-00013 10780720 (Pubitemid 30209700)
51. Sexually transmitted diseases treatment guidelines, 2010. Workowski KA, Berman S, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, MMWR Recomm Rep 2010 59 RR-12 1 110 21160459