Ecological niche modeling of the invasive potential of Nile tilapia Oreochromis niloticus in African river systems: Concerns and implications for the conservation of indigenous congenerics

Biological Invasions

Volumn 15, Issue 7, 2013, Pages 1507-1521

  Zengeya, Tsungai A ^a,c   Robertson, Mark P ^a   Booth, Anthony J ^b   Chimimba, Christian T ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF PRETORIA   (South Africa)

^b RHODES UNIVERSITY   (South Africa)

^c DSI CSIR Nanotechnology Innovation Centre   (South Africa)

Author keywords

Ecological niche modeling; Indigenous congenerics; Invasion; Maximum entropy models (Maxent); Nile tilapia; Southern Africa

Indexed keywords

AQUACULTURE; BIOLOGICAL INVASION; ENDEMIC SPECIES; ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS; INTRODUCED SPECIES; INVASIVE SPECIES; NICHE; NUMERICAL MODEL; PERCIFORM; RIVER SYSTEM;

SOUTHERN AFRICA;

OREOCHROMIS NILOTICUS;

EID: 84879167531     PISSN: 13873547     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10530-012-0386-7     Document Type: Article

References (65)

1. Al-Amoundi M, El-Sayed AFM, El-Ghobashy A (1996) Effects of thermal and thermo-haline shocks on survival and osmotic concentration of the tilapias Oreochromis mossambicus and Oreochromis aureus × Oreochromis niloticus hybrids. J World Aquacult Soc 27: 456-461.
2. Anderson RP, Raza A (2010) The effect of the extent of the study region on GIS models of species geographic distributions and estimates of niche evolution: preliminary tests with montane rodents (genus Nephelomys) in Venezuela. J Biogeogr 37: 1378-1393.
3. Atwood HL, Tomaso JR, Webb K, Gatlin DM (2003) Low-temperature tolerance of Nile tilapia, Oreochromis niloticus: effects of environmental and dietary factors. Aquac Res 34: 241-251.
4. Balirwa JS (1998) Lake Victoria wetlands and the ecology of the Nile tilapia, Oreochromis niloticus Linne. Dissertation, Wageningen Agricultural University.
5. Beaumont LJ, Gallagher RV, Thuiller W, Downey PO, Leishman MR, Hughes L (2009) Different climatic envelopes among invasive populations may lead to underestimations of current and future biological invasions. Divers Distrib 15: 409-420.
6. Benyahya L, Caissie D, St-Hilaire A, Ouarda TBMJ, Bobée B (2007) A review of statistical water temperature models. Can Wat Resour J 32: 179-192.
7. Bills R, Marshall BE (2004) Fishes of the Four Corner area. In: Timberlake JR, Childes SL (eds) Biodiversity of the Four Corners area: technical reviews volume two., Occasional publications in Biodiversity no 15Biodiversity Foundation for Africa, Bulawayo/Zambezi Society, Harare, pp 353-371.
8. Broennimann O, Guisan A (2008) Predicting current and future biological invasions: both native and invaded ranges matter. Biol Lett 4: 585.
9. Broennimann O, Treier UA, Muller-Scharer H, Thuiller W, Peterson AT, Guisan A (2007) Evidence of climatic niche shift during biological invasion. Ecol Lett 10: 701-709.
10. Cambray J, Swartz E (2007) Oreochromis mossambicus. IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. Version 2009. 2. http://iucnredlist. org. Accessed 9 February 2010.
11. Canonico GC, Arthington A, McCrary JK, Thieme ML (2005) The effects of introduced tilapias on native biodiversity. Aquat Conserv Mar Freshwat Ecosyst 15: 463-483.
12. Charo-Karisa H, Rezk MA, Bovenhuis H, Komen H (2005) Heritability of cold tolerance in Nile tilapia, Oreochromis niloticus, juveniles. Aquaculture 249: 115-123.
13. Chen P, Wiley EO, McNyset KM (2007) Ecological niche modeling as a predictive tool: silver and bighead carps in North America. Biol Invasions 9: 43-51.
14. Chifamba PC (1998) Status of Oreochromis niloticus in Lake Kariba, Zimbabwe, following escape from fish farms. In: Cowx IG (ed) Stocking and Introduction of Fish. Fishing News Books, Oxford, pp 267-273.
15. Costa-Pierce BA (2003) Rapid evolution of an established feral population (Oreochromis spp.): the need to incorporate invasion science into regulatory structures. Biol Invasions 5: 71-84.
16. D'Amato ME, Esterhuyse MM, van der Waal BWC, Brink D, Volckaert AM (2007) Hybridisation and phylogeography of the Mozambique tilapia Oreochromis mossambicus in southern Africa evidenced by mitochondrial and microsatellite DNA genotyping. Conserv Genet 8: 475-488.
17. Daget J, Gosse JP, Teugels GG, Thys van den Audenaerde DFE (1991) Check-list of the freshwater fishes of Africa (CLOFFA). ISNB, Brussels; MRAC, Tervuren; and ORSTOM, Paris. vol 4.
18. DeVaney SC, McNyset KM, Williams JB, Peterson AT, Wiley EO (2009) A tale of four ''carp'': invasion potential and ecological niche modeling. PLoS ONE 4: e5451.
19. Dormann CF, Elith J, Bacher S, Buchmann C, Carl G, Carré G, Marquéz JRG, Gruber B, Lafourcade B, Leitão PJ, Münkemüller T, McClean C, Osborne PE, Reineking B, Schröder B, Skidmore AK, Zurell D, Lautenbach S (2012) Collinearity: a review of methods to deal with it and a simulation study evaluating their performance. Ecography 35: 001-020.
20. Elith J, Leathwick JR (2009) Species distribution models: ecological explanation and prediction across space and time. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst 40: 677-697.
21. Elith J, Graham CH, Anderson RP, Dudík M, Ferrier S, Guisan A, Hijmans RJ, Huettmann F, Leathwick JR, Lehmann A, Li J, Lohmann LG, Loiselle BA, Manion G, Moritz C, Nakamura M, Nakazawa Y, Overton JM, Peterson AT, Phillips SJ, Richardson K, Scachetti-Pereira R, Schapire RE, Soberón J, Williams S, Wisz MS, Zimmermann NE (2006) Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography 29: 129-151.
22. Fielding AH, Bell JF (1997) A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environ Conserv 24: 38-49.
23. Fitzpatrick MC, Weltzin JF, Sanders NJ, Dunn RR (2007) The biogeography of prediction error: why does the introduced range of the fire ant over-predict its native range? Glob Ecol Biogeogr 16: 24-33.
24. Fitzpatrick MC, Dunn RR, Sanders NJ (2008) Data sets matter, but so do evolution and ecology. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 17: 562-565.
25. Getabu A (1994) A comparative study on feeding habits of Oreochromis niloticus (Linnaeus) in Nyanza Gulf, Lake Victoria and sewage ponds. In: Okemwa E, Wakwabi E, Getabu A (eds) Recent trends of research on Lake Victoria fisheries. ICIPE Science Press, Nairobi, pp 93-103.
26. Guisan A, Thuiller W (2005) Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models. Ecol Lett 8: 993-1009.
27. Hijmans RJ, Cameron SE, Parra JL, Jones PG, Jarvis A (2005) Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. Int J Climatol 25: 1965-1978.
28. Igushi K, Matsuura K, McNyset KM, Peterson AT, Scachetti-Pereira R, Powers K, Vieglais D, Wiley EO, Yodo T (2004) Predicting invasion of basses in Japan. Trans Am Fish Soc 133: 845-854.
29. Jenness J, Dooley J, Aguilar-Manjarrez J, Riva C (2007) African water resource database. GIS-based tools for inland aquatic resource management. 2. Technical manual and workbook. CIFA Technical Paper. No. 33, Part 2. FAO, Rome, 308 p.
30. Jimenez-Valverde A (2012) Insights into the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) as a discriminating measure in species distribution modeling. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 21: 498-507.
31. Jimenez-Valverde A, Peterson AT, Soberon J, Overton JM, Aragón P (2011) Use of niche models in invasive species risk assessments. Biol Invasions 13: 2785-2797.
32. Kearney M, Porter W (2009) Mechanistic niche modeling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species' ranges. Ecol Lett 12: 334-350.
33. Lobo ML, Jiménez-Valverde A, Real R (2007) AUC: a misleading measure of the performance of predictive distribution models. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 17: 145-151.
34. Lockwood JL, Hoopes MF, Marchetti MP (2007) Invasion ecology. Blackwell Publishing, Oxford.
35. Lowe-McConnell RH (2000) The role of tilapias in ecosystems. In: Beveridge MCM, McAndrew BJ (eds) Tilapias: biology and exploitation. Kluwer, Dorderecht, pp 129-162.
36. Mantel S, Williams HC, Ormerod SJ (2001) Evaluating presence-absence models in ecology: the need to account for prevalence. J Appl Ecol 38: 921-931.
37. Mau-Crimmins T, Schussman HR, Geiger H (2006) Can the invaded range of a species be predicted sufficiently using only native-range data? Lehmann lovegrass (Eragrostis ehmanniana) in the south-western United States. Ecol Model 19: 736-746.
38. McNyset KM (2005) Use of ecological niche modeling to predict distributions of freshwater fish species in Kansas. Ecol Freshw Fish 14: 243-255.
39. Njiru M, Okeyo-Owuor JB, Muchiri M, Cowx IG (2004) Shifts in the food of the Nile tilapia, Oreochromis niloticus (L.) in Lake Victoria. Kenya Afr J Ecol 42: 163-170.
40. Pearman PB, Guisan A, Broennimann O, Randin CF (2008) Niche dynamics in space and time. TREE 23: 149-158.
41. Peterson AT (2011) Ecological niche conservatism. A time structured review of evidence. J Biogeogr 38: 817-827.
42. Peterson AT, Nakazawa Y (2008) Environmental data sets in ecological niche modeling: an example of with Solenopsis invicta and Solenopsisrichteri. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 17: 135-144.
43. Philippart JCL, Ruwet JCL (1982) Ecology and distribution of tilapias. In: Pullin RSV, Lowe-McConnell RH (eds) The biology and culture of tilapias. International Centre for Living Aquatic Resources Management (ICRAM) conference proceedings, vol 7, pp 15-60.
44. Phillips SJ, Anderson RP, Schapire RE (2006) Maximum entropy modeling of species distributions. Ecol Model 190: 231-259.
45. Rödder D, Engler JO (2011) Quantitative metrics of overlaps in Grinnellian niches: advances and possible drawbacks. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 20: 915-927.
46. Rödder D, Lötters S (2009) Niche shift versus niche conservatism? Climatic characteristics of the native and invasive ranges of the Mediterranean house gecko (Hemidactylus turcicus). Glob Ecol Biogeogr 18: 674-687.
47. Rödder D, Lötters S (2010) Explanative power of variables used in species distribution modeling: an issue of general model transferability or niche shift in the invasive green frog (Eleutherodactylus planirostris). Naturwissenschaften 97: 781-796.
48. Rödder D, Schmidtlein S, Veith M, Lötters S (2009) Alien invasive slider turtle in unpredicted habitat: a matter of niche shift or of predictors studied? PLoS ONE 4: e7843.
49. Ross LG (2000) Environmental physiology and energetics. In: Beveridge MCM, McAndrew BJ (eds) Tilapias: biology and exploitation. Kluwer Academic Publishers, London, pp 89-128.
50. Skelton PH (1994) Diversity and distribution of freshwater fishes in East and Southern Africa. In: Tuegels et al (ed) Biological diversity in African fresh and brackish water fishes. Annale Musée Royale de l'Afrique Centrale, Sciences Zoologique, vol 275, pp 95-131.
51. Swets KA (1988) Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems. Science 240: 1285-1293.
52. Trewavas E (1983) Tilapiine fishes of the genera Sarotherodon, Oreochromis and Danakilia. British Natural History Museum, London.
53. Tweddle D (2010) Overview of the Zambezi River System: its History, fish fauna, fisheries and conservation. Aquat Ecosyst Health 13: 224-240.
54. van Der Wal J, Shoo LP, Graham C, Williams SE (2009) Selecting pseudo-absence data for presence-only distribution modeling: how far should you stray from what you know? Ecol Model 220: 589-594.
55. Warren DL, Seifert SN (2011) Environmental niche modeling in Maxent: the importance of model complexity and the performance of model selection criteria. Ecol Appl 21: 335-342.
56. Warren DL, Glor RE, Turelli M (2008) Environmental niche equivalency versus conservatism: quantitative approaches to niche evolution. Evolution 62: 2868-2883.
57. Warren DL, Glor RE, Turelli M (2010) ENMtools: a toolbox for comparative studies of environmental niche models. Ecography 33: 607-611.
58. Webber BL, Yates CJ, Le Maitre DC, Scott JK, Kriticos DJ, Ota N, McNeill A, Le Roux JJ, Midgley GF (2011) Modeling horses for novel climate courses: insights from projecting potential distributions of native and alien Australian acacias with correlative and mechanistic models. Divers Distrib 17: 978-1000.
59. Welcomme RL (1988) International introductions of inland aquatic species. FAO Fisheries technical paper, FAO, Rome.
60. Weyl OLF (2008) Rapid invasion of a subtropical lake fishery in central Mozambique by Nile tilapia, Oreochromis niloticus (Pisces: Cichlidae). Aquat Conserv Mar Freshwat Ecosyst 18: 839-851.
61. Wiens JJ, Ackerly DD, Allen AP, Anacker BL, Buckley LB, Cornell HV, Damschen EI, Davies TJ, Grytnes JA, Harrison SP, Hawkins BA, Holt RD, McCain CM, Stephens PR (2010) Niche conservatism as an emerging principle in ecology and conservation biology. Ecol Lett 13: 1310-1324.
62. Wise RM, van Wilgen BW, Hill MP, Schulthess F, Tweddle D, Chabi-Olay A, Zimmermann HG (2007) The economic impact and appropriate management of selected invasive alien species on the African continent. Global Invasive Species Programme. CSIR/NRE/RBSD/ER/2007/0044/C.
63. Zambrano L, Martínez-Meyer E, Menezes N, Peterson TA (2006) Invasive potential of common carp (Cyprinus carpio) and Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus) in American freshwater systems. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 63: 1903-1910.
64. Zengeya TA, Marshall BE (2007) Trophic interrelationships amongst cichlid fishes in a tropical African reservoir (Lake Chivero, Zimbabwe). Hydrobiologia 592: 175-182.
65. Zengeya TA, Robertson MP, Booth AJ, Chimimba CT (2012) A qualitative ecological risk assessment of the invasive Nile tilapia, Oreochromis niloticus in a sub-tropical African river system (Limpopo River, South Africa). Mar Freshwat Ecosyst, Aquat Conserv. doi: 10. 1002/AQS. 2258.