Catchall or Catch and Release? The Electoral Consequences of Social Democratic Parties' March to the Middle in Western Europe

Comparative Political Studies

Volumn 46, Issue 7, 2013, Pages 791-822

  Karreth, Johannes ^a   Polk, Jonathan T ^b   Allen, Christopher S ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF GOTHENBURG   (Sweden)

^c UNIVERSITY OF GEORGIA   (United States)

Author keywords

historical institutionalism; institutions; neoliberal convergence; party positions; political parties; public opinion; social democracy

Indexed keywords

EID: 84878848062     PISSN: 00104140     EISSN: 15523829     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/0010414012463885     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. Adams J.,Clark M.,Ezrow L.,Glasgow G.Are niche parties fundamentally different from mainstream parties? The causes and the electoral consequences of Western European parties' policy shifts, 1976-1998.American Journal of Political Science. 2006;50 (3): 513-529.
2. Adams J.,Ezrow L.,Somer-Topcu Z.Is anybody listening? Evidence that voters do not respond to European parties' policy programmes.American Journal of Political Science. 2011;55 (2): 370-382.
3. Adams J.,Green J.,Milazzo C.Has the British public depolarized along with political elites? An American perspective on British public opinion.Comparative Political Studies. 2012;45 (4): 507-530.
4. Adams J.,Haupt A.,Stoll H.What moves parties? The role of public opinion and global economic conditions on in Western Europe.Comparative Political Studies. 2009;42 (5): 611-639.
5. Adams J.,Merrill S.,Grofman B.A unified theory of party competition. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press; 2005:.
6. Adams J.,Somer-Topcu Z.Moderate now, win votes later: The electoral consequences of parties' policy shifts in 25 postwar democracies.Journal of Politics. 2009;71 (2): 678-692.
7. Allen C. S.Empty nets: Social democracy and the "catch-all party thesis" in Germany and Sweden.Party Politics. 2009;15 (5): 635-653.
8. Alvarez M.,Nagler J.,Bowler S.Issues, economics, and dynamics of multiparty elections: The 1987 British general election.American Political Science Review. 2000;94 (1): 131-149.
9. Alvarez M.,Nagler J.,Willette J.Measuring the relative impact of issues and the economy in democratic elections.Electoral Studies. 2000;19 (2): 237-253.
10. Anderson K. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association; 2006Philadelphia, PA; 2006.
11. Aylott N.,Bolin N.Towards a two-party system? The Swedish parliamentary election of September 2006.West European Politics. 2007;30 (3): 621-633.
12. Bakker R.,de Vries C.,Edwards E.,Hooghe L.,Jolly S.,Marks G.,Polk J.,Rovny J.,Steenbergen M.,Vachudova M.Party Politics;.
13. Berman S.The social democratic moment: Ideas and politics in the making of interwar Europe. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press; 1998:.
14. Blair T.,Schröder G.The third way/die neue mitte.Dissent. 2000;2:51-65.
15. Blyth M.Globalization and the limits of democratic choice: Social democracy and the rise of political cartelization.Internationale Politik und Gesellschaft. 2003;3:60-82.
16. Budge I.,Klingemann H.-D.,Volkens A.,Bara J.,Tanenbaum E.Mapping policy preferences: Estimates for parties, electors, and governments 1945-1998. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press; 2001:.
17. Downs A.An economic theory of democracy. New York, NY: Addison-Wesley; 1957:.
18. Duverger M.Political parties: Their organization and activity in the modern state. New York, NY: John Wiley; 1963:.
19. European Parliament Election Study. (2009). Voter study: Advance release, 22/06/2011. Retrieved from http://www.piredeu.eu.
20. Ezrow L.Are moderate parties rewarded in multiparty systems? A pooled analysis of Western European elections, 1984-1998.European Journal of Political Research. 2005;44 (6): 1-19.
21. Ezrow L.,de Vries C.,Steenbergen M.,Edwards E.Mean voter representation and partisan constituency representation: Do parties respond to the mean voter position or to their supporters?.Party Politics. 2011;17 (3): 275-301.
22. Gelman A.,Pasarica C.,Dodhia R.Let's practice what we preach: Turning tables into graphs.American Statistician. 2002;56 (2): 121-130.
23. Green J.A test of core vote theories: The British conservatives, 1997-2005.British Journal of Political Science. 2011;41 (4): 735-764.
24. Hall P. A.,Taylor R. C. R.Political science and the three new institutionalisms.Political Studies. 1996;44 (5): 936-957.
25. Hirschman A. O.Exit, voice, and loyalty: Responses to decline in firms, organizations, and states. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press; 1970:.
26. Holmberg S.,Näsman P.,Wännström K.Gothenburg, Sweden: University of Gothenburg, Department of Political Science, Royal Institute of Technology, Division of Safety Research, and SVT-Sveriges Television; 2010:.
27. Hooghe L.,Bakker R.,Brigevich A.,de Vries C.,Edwards E.,Marks G.,Steenbergen M.Reliability and validity of measuring party positions: The Chapel Hill Expert Surveys of 2002 and 2006.European Journal of Political Research. 2010;49 (5): 687-803.
28. Immergut E.,Anderson K.Historical institutionalism and West European politics.West European Politics. 2008;31 (1): 345-369.
29. Kastellec J. P.,Leoni E. L.Using graphs instead of tables in political science.Perspectives on Politics. 2007;5 (4): 755-771.
30. Keman H.Third ways and social democracy: The right way to go?.British Journal of Political Science. 2011;41 (3): 671-680.
31. Kirchheimer O.Political parties and political development. Lapalombara J.Weiner M., ed. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press; 1966:177-200.
32. Kitschelt H.The transformation of European social democracy. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press; 1994:.
33. Kitschelt H.European social democracy: Between political economy and electoral competition. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press; 1999:.
34. Klingemann H.-D.,Volkens A.,Bara J.,Budge I.,McDonald M.Mapping policy preferences II: Estimates for parties, electors, and governments in Eastern Europe, the European Union and the OECD, 1990-2003. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press; 2006:.
35. MikhaylovS. (2008). European Parliament Election Study trend file, voter study. Version 0.96 03/05/2008. Retrieved from http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_marsh/ees_trend_file.php.
36. Nilsson L.,Holmberg S.,Weibull L.National SOM 1986-2008. Gothenburg, Sweden: University of Gothenburg, SOM Institute; 2010:.
37. Pierson P.Coping with permanent austerity: Welfare state restructuring in affluent democracies.Revue Francaise de Sociologie. 2002;43 (2): 369-406.
38. Pierson P.Politics in time: History, institutions, and social analysis. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press; 2004:.
39. Poguntke T.Political parties in the new Europe. Luther K. R.Müller-Rommel F., ed. New York, NY: Oxford University Press; 2002:43-62.
40. Powell G. B.,Whitten G. D.A cross-national analysis of economic voting: Taking account of the political context.American Journal of Political Science. 1993;37 (2): 391-414.
41. Proksch S.-O.,Slapin J. B.Institutions and coalition formation: The German election of 2005.West European Politics. 2006;29 (3): 540-559.
42. Przeworski A.,Sprague J.Paper stones: A history of electoral socialism. Chicago: University of Chicago Press; 1986:.
43. Quinn T.Choosing the least-worst government: The British General Election of 2005.West European Politics. 2006;29 (1): 169-178.
44. Safran W.The catch-all party revisited: Reflections of a Kirchheimer student.Party Politics. 2009;15 (5): 543-554.
45. Schmidt V. A.European political economy: Labour out, state back in, firm to the fore.West European Politics. 2008;31 (1-2): 302-320.
46. Schmitt H.,Scholz E.,Leim I.,Moschner M.The Mannheim Eurobarometer trend file 1970-2002. Data set edition 2.01. Mannheim, Germany: Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung and Zentrum für Umfragen, Methoden, und Analysen, Universität Mannheim; 2010:.
47. Schofield N.,Sened I.Modeling the interaction of parties, activists, and voters: Why is the political center so empty?.European Journal of Political Research. 2005;44 (3): 355-390.
48. Sigelman L.The nonvoting voter in voting research.American Journal of Political Science. 1982;26 (1): 47-56.
49. Steenbergen M.,Marks G.Evaluating expert surveys.European Journal of Political Research. 2007;46 (3): 347-366.
50. Streeck W.,Thelen K.Beyond continuity: Institutional change in advanced political economies. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press; 2005:.
51. Tavits M.Principle versus pragmatism: Policy shifts and political competition.American Journal of Political Science. 2007;51 (1): 151-165.
52. British election studies. Years 1979-2010. Colchester, UK: University of Essex; 2010:.
53. Zentralarchiv für Empirische Sozialforschung, U. Z. K. (2010). Politbarometer 1997-2007 (Partielle Kumulation). Version 1.0.0, 13.04.2010. doi:10.4232/1.2391.
54. Zohlnhöfer R.The politics of budget consolidation in Britain and Germany: The impact of blame avoidance opportunities.West European Politics. 2007;30 (5): 1120-1138.