Cyclist activity and injury risk analysis at signalized intersections: A Bayesian modelling approach

Accident Analysis and Prevention

Volumn 59, Issue , 2013, Pages 9-17

  Strauss, Jillian ^a   Miranda Moreno, Luis F ^a   Morency, Patrick ^b  

^a MCGILL UNIVERSITY   (Canada)

^b Montreal Health and Social Services Agency   (Canada)

Author keywords

Bayesian framework; Bicycle injuries; Geometric design and built environment; Signalized intersections

Indexed keywords

ADJUSTMENT FACTORS; APPLICATION ENVIRONMENT; BAYESIAN FRAMEWORKS; BAYESIAN MODELLING; BUILT ENVIRONMENT; NUMBER OF INJURIES; SIGNALIZED INTERSECTION; UNOBSERVED HETEROGENEITY;

LAND USE; SUBWAY STATIONS; TRAFFIC CONTROL; TRAFFIC SIGNALS;

BICYCLES;

ARTICLE; BAYES THEOREM; BAYESIAN FRAMEWORK; BICYCLE; BICYCLE INJURIES; CANADA; ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING; GEOMETRIC DESIGN AND BUILT ENVIRONMENT; HUMAN; INJURY; MOTOR VEHICLE; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; SIGNALIZED INTERSECTIONS; STATISTICAL MODEL; STATISTICS; TRAFFIC ACCIDENT;

BAYESIAN FRAMEWORK; BICYCLE INJURIES; GEOMETRIC DESIGN AND BUILT ENVIRONMENT; SIGNALIZED INTERSECTIONS;

ACCIDENTS, TRAFFIC; BAYES THEOREM; BICYCLING; ENVIRONMENT DESIGN; HUMANS; MODELS, STATISTICAL; MOTOR VEHICLES; QUEBEC; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT;

EID: 84878705595     PISSN: 00014575     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2013.04.037     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. U. Brüde, and J. Larsson Models for predicting accidents at junctions where pedestrians and cyclists are involved. How well do they fit? Accident Analysis and Prevention 25 1993 499 509
2. R. Elvik The non-linearity of risk and the promotion of environmentally sustainable transport Accident Analysis and Prevention 41 2009 849 855
3. P. Garder, L. Leden, and U. Pulkkinen Measuring the safety effect of raised bicycle crossings using a new research methodology Transportation Research Record 1636 1998 64 70 (Pubitemid 128553758)
4. J.B. Griswold, A. Medury, and R.J. Schneider Pilot models for estimating bicycle intersection volumes Transportation Research Record 2247 2011 1 7
5. M. Haynes, and S. Andrzejewski GIS based bicycle & pedestrian demand forecasting techniques Travel Model Improvement Program Webinar 2010 Available online http://tmip.fhwa.dot.gov/sites/tmip.fhwa.dot.gov/files/fehr-and-peers.pdf (29.04.10)
6. P.L. Jacobsen Safety in numbers: more walkers and bicyclists, safer walking and cycling Injury Prevention 9 2003 205 209
7. S.U. Jensen Safety effects of blue crossings: a before-after study Accident Analysis and Prevention 40 2008 742 750 (Pubitemid 351329267)
8. M. Jones, S. Ryan, J. Donlon, L. Ledbetter, D.R. Ragland, and L. Arnold Seamless Travel: Measuring Bicycle and Pedestrian Activity in San Diego County and Its Relationship to Land Use, Transportation, Safety, and Facility Type. Caltrans Task Order 6117 2010 California Department of Transportation
9. J.D. Langley, N. Dow, S. Stephenson, and K. Kypri Missing cyclists Injury Prevention 9 2003 376 379
10. S.-K. Lee Structural Equation Modeling: A Bayesian Approach 2007 John Wiley and Sons Ltd. West Essex, England
11. A.C. Lusk, P.G. Furth, P. Morency, L.F. Miranda-Moreno, W.C. Willett, and J.T. Dennerlein Risk of injury for bicycling on cycle tracks versus in the street Injury Prevention 2011 10.1136/ip.2010.028696
12. M. Ma, X. Yan, M. Abdel-Aty, H. Huang, and X. Wang Safety analysis of urban arterials under mixed traffic in Beijing Transportation Research Record 2193 2010 105 115
13. S.-P. Miaou, and J.J. Song Bayesian ranking of sites for engineering safety improvements: decision parameter, treatability concept, statistical criterion, and spatial dependence Accident Analysis and Prevention 37 2005 699 720 (Pubitemid 40753442)
14. L.F. Miranda-Moreno Statistical Models and Methods for Identifying Hazardous Locations for Safety Improvements 2006 University of Waterloo (Ph.D. Thesis)
15. L.F. Miranda-Moreno, and T. Nosal Weather or not to cycle: temporal trends and impact of weather on cycling in an urban environment Transportation Research Record 2247 2011 45 52
16. L.F. Miranda-Moreno, and J. Strauss Disaggregate exposure measures and injury frequency models of cyclist safety at signalized intersections Transportation Research Record 2236 2011 74 82
17. L.F. Miranda-Moreno, P. Morency, and A.M. El-Geneidy The link between built environment, pedestrian activity and pedestrian-vehicle collision occurrence at signalized intersections Accident Analysis and Prevention 45 5 2011 1624 1634
18. L.F. Miranda-Moreno, S. Heydari, D. Lord, and L. Fu Bayesian road safety analysis: incorporation of past evidence and effect of hyper-prior choice Journal of Safety Research 2013 10.1016/j.jsr.2013.03.003
19. P. Morency, and M.S. Cloutier Distribution géographique des blessés de la route sur l'île de Montréal; cartographie pour les 27 arrondissements 2005 Direction de santé publique de Montréal 158
20. P. Morency, L. Gauvin, C. Plante, F. Fournier, and C. Morency Neighbourhood social inequalities in road traffic injuries: a multilevel analysis showing the influence of traffic volume and road design American Journal of Public Health 102 6 2012 1112 1119
21. M. Nankervis The effect of weather and climate on bicycle commuting Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 33 1999 417 431 (Pubitemid 29423243)
22. K. Nordback, M. Wesley, and B.N. Janson Bicyclist safety performance functions for a U.S. city Proceedings of Transportation Research Board 92nd Annual Meeting Washington, DC, USA 2012
23. J. Oh, J. Jun, E. Kim, and M. Kim Assessing critical factors associated with bicycle collisions at urban signalized intersections Proceedings of Transportation Research Board 87th Annual Meeting Washington, DC, USA 2008
24. G. Rose Sick individuals and sick populations International Journal of Epidemiology 14 1985 32 38 (Pubitemid 15109489)
25. G. Rose The Strategy of Preventive Medicine 1992 Oxford Medical Publications/Oxford University Press USA
26. P.J. Schluter, J.J. Deely, and A.J. Nicholson Ranking and selecting motor vehicle accident sites by using a hierarchical Bayesian model The Statistician 46 3 1997 293 316 (Pubitemid 127456340)
27. J. Strauss, and L.F. Miranda-Moreno Spatial modeling of bicycle activity at signalized intersections Proceedings of the World Symposium on Transport and Land Use Research Whistler, British Columbia 2011
28. J. Strauss, and L.F. Miranda-Moreno Effect of intersection designs on cyclist injury risk Proceedings of the 22nd Canadian Multidisciplinary Road Safety Conference Banff, Alberta 2012
29. Y. Wang, and N.L. Nihan Estimating the risk of collisions between bicycles and motor-vehicles at signalized intersections Accident Analysis and Prevention 36 2004 313 321
30. S.P. Washington, M.G. Karlaftis, and F.L. Mannering Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis 2003 Chapman and Hall/CRC Boca Raton, Florida