메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 46, Issue , 2013, Pages 31-40

Bayesian road safety analysis: Incorporation of past evidence and effect of hyper-prior choice

Author keywords

Bayesian approach; hyper prior assumptions; past evidence; road safety

Indexed keywords

BAYESIAN APPROACHES; HIERARCHICAL BAYESIAN MODELS; HYPER-PRIOR ASSUMPTIONS; PAST EVIDENCE; ROAD SAFETY; ROAD SAFETY ANALYSIS; SIMULATION FRAMEWORK; UNIFORM DISTRIBUTION;

EID: 84878699908     PISSN: 00224375     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2013.03.003     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (25)

References (54)
  • 1
    • 78651325886 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial correlation in multilevel crash frequency models: Effects of different neighboring structures
    • J. Aguero-Valverde, and P.P. Jovanis Spatial correlation in multilevel crash frequency models: Effects of different neighboring structures Transportation Research Record 2165 2010 21 32
    • (2010) Transportation Research Record , vol.2165 , pp. 21-32
    • Aguero-Valverde, J.1    Jovanis, P.P.2
  • 2
    • 0034672540 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence-based medicine as Bayesian decision-making
    • D. Ashby, and A. Smith Evidence-based medicine as Bayesian decision-making Statistics in Medicine 19 2002 3291 3305
    • (2002) Statistics in Medicine , vol.19 , pp. 3291-3305
    • Ashby, D.1    Smith, A.2
  • 3
    • 33749610145 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of propensity score matching method and hybrid Bayesian method to estimate crash modification factors of signal installation
    • N. Aul, and G. Davis Use of propensity score matching method and hybrid Bayesian method to estimate crash modification factors of signal installation Transportation Research Record 1950 2006 17 23
    • (2006) Transportation Research Record , vol.1950 , pp. 17-23
    • Aul, N.1    Davis, G.2
  • 7
    • 23844482533 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Experimental evaluation of hotspot identification methods
    • W. Cheng, and S.P. Washington Experimental evaluation of hotspot identification methods Accident Analysis and Prevention 37 2005 870 881
    • (2005) Accident Analysis and Prevention , vol.37 , pp. 870-881
    • Cheng, W.1    Washington, S.P.2
  • 9
    • 77956232459 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Safety performance functions with measurement errors in traffic volume
    • K. El-Basyouny, and T. Sayed Safety performance functions with measurement errors in traffic volume Safety Science 48 2010 1339 1344
    • (2010) Safety Science , vol.48 , pp. 1339-1344
    • El-Basyouny, K.1    Sayed, T.2
  • 10
    • 84855736047 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring safety treatment effects using full Bayes non-linear safety performance intervention functions
    • K. El-Basyouny, and T. Sayed Measuring safety treatment effects using full Bayes non-linear safety performance intervention functions Accident Analysis and Prevention 45 2012 152 163
    • (2012) Accident Analysis and Prevention , vol.45 , pp. 152-163
    • El-Basyouny, K.1    Sayed, T.2
  • 12
    • 33845675628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Formulating informative, data-based priors for failure probability estimation in reliability analysis
    • S. Guikema Formulating informative, data-based priors for failure probability estimation in reliability analysis Reliability Engineering and System Safety 92 2007 490 502
    • (2007) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.92 , pp. 490-502
    • Guikema, S.1
  • 15
    • 0035476879 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identification of sites for accident remedial work by Bayesian statistical methods: An example of uncertain inference
    • B.G. Heydecker, and J. Wu Identification of sites for accident remedial work by Bayesian statistical methods: An example of uncertain inference Advances in Engineering Software 32 2001 859 869
    • (2001) Advances in Engineering Software , vol.32 , pp. 859-869
    • Heydecker, B.G.1    Wu, J.2
  • 17
    • 33745053714 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling crash types: New insights into the effects of covariates on crashes at rural intersections
    • D. Kim, S. Washington, and J. Oh Modeling crash types: New insights into the effects of covariates on crashes at rural intersections Journal of Transportation Engineering 132 2006 282 292
    • (2006) Journal of Transportation Engineering , vol.132 , pp. 282-292
    • Kim, D.1    Washington, S.2    Oh, J.3
  • 18
    • 24744440731 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical inverse Gaussian models and multiple testing: Application to gene expression data
    • A. Labbe, and M. Thompson Hierarchical inverse Gaussian models and multiple testing: Application to gene expression data Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology 4 23 2005
    • (2005) Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology , vol.4 , Issue.23
    • Labbe, A.1    Thompson, M.2
  • 19
    • 23244434820 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How vague is vague? a simulation study of the impact of the use of vague prior distributions in MCMC using Winbugs
    • P. Lambert, A. Sutton, P. Burton, K. Abrams, and D. Jones How vague is vague? a simulation study of the impact of the use of vague prior distributions in MCMC using Winbugs Statistics in Medicine 24 2005 2401 2428
    • (2005) Statistics in Medicine , vol.24 , pp. 2401-2428
    • Lambert, P.1    Sutton, A.2    Burton, P.3    Abrams, K.4    Jones, D.5
  • 20
    • 84864647768 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of multivariate Poisson log normal Bayesian methods for before-after road safety evaluations
    • B. Lan, and B. Persaud Evaluation of multivariate Poisson log normal Bayesian methods for before-after road safety evaluations Journal of Transportation Safety and Security 4 3 2012 193 210
    • (2012) Journal of Transportation Safety and Security , vol.4 , Issue.3 , pp. 193-210
    • Lan, B.1    Persaud, B.2
  • 21
    • 33747691081 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling motor vehicle crashes using Poisson-gamma models: Examining the effects of low sample mean values and small sample size on the estimation of the fixed dispersion parameter
    • D. Lord Modeling motor vehicle crashes using Poisson-gamma models: Examining the effects of low sample mean values and small sample size on the estimation of the fixed dispersion parameter Accident Analysis and Prevention 38 4 2006 751 766
    • (2006) Accident Analysis and Prevention , vol.38 , Issue.4 , pp. 751-766
    • Lord, D.1
  • 23
    • 42749089792 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson generalized linear model for analyzing motor vehicle crashes
    • D. Lord, S.D. Guikema, and S. Geedipally Application of the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson generalized linear model for analyzing motor vehicle crashes Accident Analysis and Prevention 40 2008 1123 1134
    • (2008) Accident Analysis and Prevention , vol.40 , pp. 1123-1134
    • Lord, D.1    Guikema, S.D.2    Geedipally, S.3
  • 24
    • 84856481985 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Examining the effects of site selection criteria for evaluating the effectiveness of traffic safety improvement countermeasures
    • D. Lord, and P.F. Kuo Examining the effects of site selection criteria for evaluating the effectiveness of traffic safety improvement countermeasures Accident Analysis and Prevention 47 2012 52 63
    • (2012) Accident Analysis and Prevention , vol.47 , pp. 52-63
    • Lord, D.1    Kuo, P.F.2
  • 25
    • 77952089434 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The statistical analysis of crash-frequency data: A review and assessment of methodological alternatives
    • D. Lord, and F. Mannering The statistical analysis of crash-frequency data: A review and assessment of methodological alternatives Transportation Research Part A 44 5 2010 291 305
    • (2010) Transportation Research Part A , vol.44 , Issue.5 , pp. 291-305
    • Lord, D.1    Mannering, F.2
  • 26
    • 43949096566 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of low sample mean values and small sample size on the estimation of the fixed dispersion parameter of Poisson-gamma models for modeling motor vehicle crashes: A Bayesian perspective
    • D. Lord, and L.F. Miranda-Moreno Effects of low sample mean values and small sample size on the estimation of the fixed dispersion parameter of Poisson-gamma models for modeling motor vehicle crashes: A Bayesian perspective Safety Science 46 2008 751 770
    • (2008) Safety Science , vol.46 , pp. 751-770
    • Lord, D.1    Miranda-Moreno, L.F.2
  • 27
    • 46149091275 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Investigating the effects of the fixed and varying dispersion parameters of Poisson-Gamma models on empirical Bayes estimates
    • D. Lord, and P.Y.-J. Park Investigating the effects of the fixed and varying dispersion parameters of Poisson-Gamma models on empirical Bayes estimates Accident Analysis and Prevention 40 2008 1441 1457
    • (2008) Accident Analysis and Prevention , vol.40 , pp. 1441-1457
    • Lord, D.1    Park, P.Y.-J.2
  • 28
    • 33750976179 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Further notes on the application of Zero Inflated models in highway safety
    • D. Lord, S.P. Washington, and J.N. Ivan Further notes on the application of Zero Inflated models in highway safety Accident Analysis & Prevention 39 1 2007 53 57
    • (2007) Accident Analysis & Prevention , vol.39 , Issue.1 , pp. 53-57
    • Lord, D.1    Washington, S.P.2    Ivan, J.N.3
  • 29
    • 1842480624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical investigation of interactive highway safety design model accident prediction algorithm: Rural intersections
    • C. Lyon, J. Oh, B. Persaud, S. Washington, and J. Bared Empirical investigation of interactive highway safety design model accident prediction algorithm: Rural intersections Transportation Research Record 1840 2003 78 86
    • (2003) Transportation Research Record , vol.1840 , pp. 78-86
    • Lyon, C.1    Oh, J.2    Persaud, B.3    Washington, S.4    Bared, J.5
  • 30
    • 33748762237 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of mortality rates for disease simulation models using Bayesian evidence synthesis
    • P. McMahon, A. Zaslavsky, M. Weinstein, K. Kuntz, J. Weeks, and S. Gazelle Estimation of mortality rates for disease simulation models using Bayesian evidence synthesis Medical Decision Making 26 5 2006 497 511
    • (2006) Medical Decision Making , vol.26 , Issue.5 , pp. 497-511
    • McMahon, P.1    Zaslavsky, A.2    Weinstein, M.3    Kuntz, K.4    Weeks, J.5    Gazelle, S.6
  • 31
    • 1842428184 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling traffic crash-flow relationships for intersections: Dispersion parameter, functional form, and Bayes versus empirical Bayes
    • S.P. Miaou, and D. Lord Modeling traffic crash-flow relationships for intersections: Dispersion parameter, functional form, and Bayes versus empirical Bayes Transportation Research Record 1840 2003 31 40
    • (2003) Transportation Research Record , vol.1840 , pp. 31-40
    • Miaou, S.P.1    Lord, D.2
  • 32
    • 19944393621 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian ranking of sites for engineering safety improvement: Decision parameter, treatability concept, statistical criterion and spatial dependence
    • S.P. Miaou, and J.J. Song Bayesian ranking of sites for engineering safety improvement: Decision parameter, treatability concept, statistical criterion and spatial dependence Accident Analysis and Prevention 37 2005 699 720
    • (2005) Accident Analysis and Prevention , vol.37 , pp. 699-720
    • Miaou, S.P.1    Song, J.J.2
  • 37
    • 84879099835 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of the posterior choropleth maps for disease mapping
    • B. Nandram, J. Liu, and J.W. Choi Comparison of the posterior choropleth maps for disease mapping Journal of Data Science 3 2005 47 68
    • (2005) Journal of Data Science , vol.3 , pp. 47-68
    • Nandram, B.1    Liu, J.2    Choi, J.W.3
  • 38
    • 33749610145 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of propensity score matching method and hybrid Bayesian method to estimate crash modification factors of signal installation
    • A. Nathan, and D. Gary Use of propensity score matching method and hybrid Bayesian method to estimate crash modification factors of signal installation Transportation Research Record 1950 2006 17 23
    • (2006) Transportation Research Record , vol.1950 , pp. 17-23
    • Nathan, A.1    Gary, D.2
  • 39
    • 31044449725 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian methodology incorporating expert judgment for ranking countermeasure effectiveness under uncertainty: Example applied to at grade railroad crossings in Korea
    • J. Oh, and S. Washington Bayesian methodology incorporating expert judgment for ranking countermeasure effectiveness under uncertainty: Example applied to at grade railroad crossings in Korea Accident Analysis and Prevention 38 2006 346 356
    • (2006) Accident Analysis and Prevention , vol.38 , pp. 346-356
    • Oh, J.1    Washington, S.2
  • 40
    • 67349194666 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of finite mixture models for vehicle crash data analysis
    • B.-J. Park, and D. Lord Application of finite mixture models for vehicle crash data analysis Accident Analysis and Prevention 41 2009 683 691
    • (2009) Accident Analysis and Prevention , vol.41 , pp. 683-691
    • Park, B.-J.1    Lord, D.2
  • 41
    • 77955318543 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A fully Bayesian multivariate approach to before-after safety evaluation
    • E.S. Park, J. Park, and T.J. Lomax A fully Bayesian multivariate approach to before-after safety evaluation Accident Analysis and Prevention 42 4 2010 1118 1127
    • (2010) Accident Analysis and Prevention , vol.42 , Issue.4 , pp. 1118-1127
    • Park, E.S.1    Park, J.2    Lomax, T.J.3
  • 42
    • 0022862453 scopus 로고
    • Safety migration, the influence of traffic volumes, and other issues in evaluating safety effectiveness
    • B.N. Persaud Safety migration, the influence of traffic volumes, and other issues in evaluating safety effectiveness Transportation Research Record 1086 1986 33 41
    • (1986) Transportation Research Record , vol.1086 , pp. 33-41
    • Persaud, B.N.1
  • 43
    • 34247465582 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical Bayes before-after safety studies: Lessons learned from two decades of experience and future directions
    • B. Persaud, and C. Lyon Empirical Bayes before-after safety studies: Lessons learned from two decades of experience and future directions Accident Analysis and Prevention 39 2007 546 555
    • (2007) Accident Analysis and Prevention , vol.39 , pp. 546-555
    • Persaud, B.1    Lyon, C.2
  • 44
    • 0033310031 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical Bayes procedure for ranking sites for safety investigation by potential for safety improvement
    • B. Persaud, C. Lyon, and T. Nguyen Empirical Bayes procedure for ranking sites for safety investigation by potential for safety improvement Transportation Research Record 1665 1999 7 12
    • (1999) Transportation Research Record , vol.1665 , pp. 7-12
    • Persaud, B.1    Lyon, C.2    Nguyen, T.3
  • 45
    • 4344688736 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Crash reduction following installation of centerline rumble strips on rural two-lane roads
    • B. Persaud, R. Retting, and C. Lyon Crash reduction following installation of centerline rumble strips on rural two-lane roads Accident Analysis and Prevention 36 2004 1073 1079
    • (2004) Accident Analysis and Prevention , vol.36 , pp. 1073-1079
    • Persaud, B.1    Retting, R.2    Lyon, C.3
  • 47
    • 0009953884 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ranking and selecting motor vehicle accident sites by using a hierarchical Bayesian model
    • P.J. Schluter, J.J. Deely, and A.J. Nicholson Ranking and selecting motor vehicle accident sites by using a hierarchical Bayesian model The Statistician 46 3 1997 293 316
    • (1997) The Statistician , vol.46 , Issue.3 , pp. 293-316
    • Schluter, P.J.1    Deely, J.J.2    Nicholson, A.J.3
  • 51
    • 33746878290 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prior specification in Bayesian statistics: Three Cautionary Tales
    • S. Van Dongen Prior specification in Bayesian statistics: Three Cautionary Tales Journal of Theoretical Biology 242 2006 90 100
    • (2006) Journal of Theoretical Biology , vol.242 , pp. 90-100
    • Van Dongen, S.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.