Dependence of hydropower energy generation on forests in the Amazon Basin at local and regional scales

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

Volumn 110, Issue 23, 2013, Pages 9601-9606

  Stickler, Claudia M ^a   Coe, Michael T ^b   Costa, Marcos H ^c   Nepstad, Daniel C ^a   McGrath, David G ^b,d,e   Dias, Livia C P ^c   Rodrigues, Hermann O ^f   Soares Filho, Britaldo S ^f  

^a Amazon Environmental Research Institute (IPAM)   (United States)

^b WOODS HOLE RESEARCH CENTER   (United States)

^c FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF VIÇOSA   (Brazil)

^d INSTITUTO DE PESQUISA AMBIENTAL DA AMAZÔNIA   (Brazil)

^e UNIVERSIDADE FEDERAL DO OESTE DO PARÁ   (Brazil)

^f FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF MINAS GERAIS   (Brazil)

Author keywords

Climate change; Climate policy; Electricity; Forest policy; Land use planning

Indexed keywords

RAIN;

ARTICLE; CLIMATE; DEFORESTATION; ENERGY RESOURCE; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; HYDROLOGY; HYDROPOWER; LAND USE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; RIVER; RIVER BASIN; TROPICAL RAIN FOREST; WATERSHED;

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE POLICY; ELECTRICITY; FOREST POLICY; LAND-USE PLANNING;

BRAZIL; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; CONSERVATION OF NATURAL RESOURCES; MODELS, THEORETICAL; PUBLIC POLICY; RAIN; RENEWABLE ENERGY; RIVERS; SEASONS; TREES;

EID: 84878680592     PISSN: 00278424     EISSN: 10916490     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1215331110     Document Type: Article

References (59)

1. Dirzo R, Raven PH (2003) Global state of biodiversity and loss. Annu Rev Environ Resour 28:137-167.
2. Malhi Y, Grace J (2000) Tropical forests and atmospheric carbon dioxide. Trends Ecol Evol 15(8):332-337.
3. IPCC (2007) Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, eds Pachauri RK, Reisinger, A (IPCC, Geneva).
4. World Water Assessment Programme (2012) The United Nations World Water Development Report 4: Managing Water under Uncertainty and Risk (UNESCO, Paris).
5. International Energy Agency (2011) World Energy Outlook 2011 (OECD/IEA, Paris).
6. Delucchi M, JacobsonM(2011) Providing all global energy with wind, water, and solar power, Part II: Reliability, system and transmission costs, and policies. Energy Policy 39:1170-1190.
7. Demarty M, Bastien J (2011) GHG emissions from hydroelectric reservoirs in tropical and equatorial regions: Review of 20 years of CH4 emission measurements. Energy Policy 39:4197-4206.
8. Fearnside PM, Pueyo S (2012) Greenhouse-gas emissions from tropical dams. Nat Clim Change 2(6):382-384.
9. Lerer L, Scudder T (1999) Health impacts of large dams. Environ Impact Assess Rev 19: 113-123.
10. Tilt B, Braun Y, He D (2009) Social impacts of large dam projects: A comparison of international case studies and implications for best practice. J Environ Manage 90(Suppl 3):S249-S257.
11. Finley-Brook M, Thomas CD (2010) From malignant neglect to extreme intervention: Treatment of displaced indigenous populations in two large hydro projects in Panama. Water Alternatives 3(2):269-290.
12. Nilsson C, Reidy CA, Dynesius M, Revenga C (2005) Fragmentation and flow regulation of the world's large river systems. Science 308(5720):405-408.
13. Chou C, Chen C-A, Tan P-H, Chen KT (2012) Mechanisms for global warming impacts on precipitation frequency and intensity. J Clim 25(9):3291-3306.
14. Bruijnzeel LA (1991) Hydrological impacts of tropical forest conversion. Nature Resour 27(2):36-46.
15. Nepstad DC, et al. (1994) The role of deep roots in the hydrological and carbon cycles of Amazonian forests and pastures. Nature 372:666-669.
16. Jackson RB, et al. (2005) Trading water for carbon with biological carbon sequestration. Science 310(5756):1944-1947.
17. Coe MT, Costa MH, Soares-Filho BS (2009) The influence of historical and potential future deforestation on the stream flow of the Amazon River - Land surface processes and atmospheric feedbacks. J Hydrol (Amst) 369(1-2):165-174.
18. Werth D, Avissar R (2005) The local and global effects of Southeast Asian deforestation. Geophys Res Lett 32(20):L20702.
19. Werth D, Avissar R (2005) The local and global effects of African deforestation. Geophys Res Lett 32(12):L12704.
20. Hasler N, Werth D, Avissar R (2009) Effects of tropical deforestation on global hydroclimate: A multimodel ensemble analysis. J Clim 22(5):1124-1141.
21. Spracklen DV, Arnold SR, Taylor CM (2012) Observations of increased tropical rainfall preceded by air passage over forests. Nature 489(7415):282-285.
22. Costa MH, Foley JA (1997) Water balance of the Amazon Basin: Dependence on vegetation cover and canopy conductance. J Geophys Res Atmospheres 102(D20):23973-23989.
23. Bonan GB, DeFries RS, Coe MT, Ojima DS (2004) Land Use and Climate Land Change Science: Observing, Monitoring and Understanding Trajectories of Change on the Earth's Surface Remote Sensing and Digital Image Processing, eds Gutman G, et al. (Springer, Amsterdam), Vol 6, p 14.
24. Li KY, Coe MT, Ramankutty N, De Jong R (2007) Modeling the hydrological impact of land-use change in West Africa. J Hydrol (Amst) 337:258-268.
25. Döll P, Schmied HM (2012) How is the impact of climate change on river flow regimes related to the impact on mean annual runoff? A global-scale analysis. Environ Res Lett 7:1-11.
26. Empresa de Pesquisa Energética (2010) Plano Decenal de Expansão de Energia 2019 (MME/EPE, Brasília, Brazil).
27. Hochstetler K (2011) The politics of environmental licensing: Energy projects of the past and future in Brazil. Stud Comp Int Dev 46(4):349-371.
28. Fearnside PM (2006) Dams in the Amazon: Belo Monte and Brazil's hydroelectric development of the Xingu River Basin. Environ Manage 38(1):16-27.
29. SousaWC, Reid JB (2010) Uncertainties in Amazon hydropower development: Risk scenarios and environmental issues around the Belo Monte dam. Water Alternatives 3(2):249-268.
30. Costa MH, Botta A, Cardille JA (2003) Effects of large-scale changes in land-cover on the discharge of the Tocantins River, Southeastern Amazonia. J Hydrol (Amst) 283:206-217.
31. Coe MT, Latrubesse EM, Ferreira ME, Amsler ML (2011) The effects of deforestation and climate variability on the streamflow of the Araguaia River, Brazil. Biogeochemistry 105(1-3):119-131, 10.1007/s10533-011-9582-2.
32. Empresa de Pesquisa Energética (2010) Calculo da Garantia Fisica da UHE Belo Monte. Estudos para a Licitacao da Expansao da Geracao (MME/SPE, Brasilia, Brazil).
33. Soares-Filho BS, et al. (2006) Modelling conservation in the Amazon basin. Nature 440(7083):520-523.
34. Empresa de Pesquisa Energética (2011) Balanço Energético Nacional 2011 (Empresa de Pesquisa Energética, Rio de Janeiro).
35. Malhi Y, et al. (2008) Climate change, deforestation, and the fate of the Amazon. Science 319(5860):169-172.
36. Knox R, Bisht G, Wang J, Bras R (2011) Precipitation variability over the forest-tononforest transition in southwestern Amazonia. J Clim 24:2368-2377.
37. Nepstad DC, et al. (2002) Frontier governance in Amazonia. Science 295(5555): 629-631.
38. Fearnside PM, de Alencastro Graça PM (2006) BR-319: Brazil's Manaus-Porto Velho highway and the potential impact of linking the arc of deforestation to central amazonia. Environ Manage 38(5):705-716.
39. Betts R, Sanderson M, Woodward S (2008) Effects of large-scale Amazon forest degradation on climate and air quality through fluxes of carbon dioxide, water, energy, mineral dust and isoprene. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 363(1498):1873-1880.
40. Coe MT, et al. (2013) Deforestation and climate feedbacks threaten the ecological integrity of the south-southeastern Amazonia. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B, 10.1098/rstb. 2012.0155.
41. Costa MH, Foley JA (2000) Combined effects of deforestation and doubled atmospheric CO2 concentrations on the climate of Amazonia. J Clim 13(1):18-34.
42. Marengo JA, et al. (2008) The drought of Amazonia in 2005. J Clim 21(3):495-516.
43. Lewis SL, Brando PM, Phillips OL, van der Heijden GMF, Nepstad D (2011) The 2010 Amazon drought. Science 331(6017):554.
44. Weisser D (2007) A guide to life-cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from electric supply technologies. Energy 32:1543-1559.
45. St Louis VL, Kelly CA, Duchemin E, Rudd JWM, Rosenberg DM (2000) Reservoir surfaces as sources of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere: A global estimate. Bioscience 50(9):766-775.
46. Kemenes A, Forsberg BR, Melack JM (2007) Methane release below a tropical hydroelectric dam. Geophys Res Lett 34(12):L12809.
47. Rosa LP, Dos Santos MA, Matvienko B, Sikar E, Dos Santos EO (2006) Scientific errors in the Fearnside comments on greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) from hydroelectric dams and response to his political claiming. Clim Change 75(1-2):91-102.
48. Bevins V (October 26, 2011) Why Latin America resists sustainability: Countries could afford it, but factors like new oil fields keep change at bay. International Herald Tribune, Finance Section, p. 202.
49. Nepstad DC, Stickler CM, Filho BS, Merry F (2008) Interactions among Amazon land use, forests and climate: Prospects for a near-term forest tipping point. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 363(1498):1737-1746.
50. Nepstad D, et al. (2009) The end of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon. Science 326(5958):1350-1351.
51. Macedo M, et al. (2012) Decoupling of deforestation and soy production in the southern Amazon during the late 2000s. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 109(4):1341-1346.
52. Barreto P, et al. (2011) Risco de Desmatamento Associado à Hidrelétrica de Belo Monte (Imazon, Belém, Brazil).
53. Chiaretti D, Borges A (April 16, 2012) Belo Monte avança, mas Altamira vive impasse. Valor Econômico, Especial, A16.
54. Stickler CM, et al. (2009) The potential ecological costs and co-benefits of REDD: A critical review and case study from the Amazon region. Glob Change Biol 15:2803-2824.
55. Eva HD, et al. (2002) A Vegetation Map of South America (Official Publications of the European Communities, Luxembourg).
56. Costa MH, Pires GF (2010) Effects of Amazon and Central Brazil deforestation scenarios on the duration of the dry season in the arc of deforestation. Int J Climatol 30(13):1970-1979.
57. Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues H, Follador MA (2013) A hybrid analytical-heuristic method for calibrating land-use change models. Environ Model Softw 43:80-87.
58. Fearnside PM, et al. (2012) O futuro da Amazônia: Modelos para prever as consequências da infraestrutura future nos planos plurianuais. Novos Cadernos NAEA 15(1):25-52.
59. Conselho Nacional de Recursos Hídricos (2011) Resoluç ão no. 129, de 29 de Junho de 2011. Estabelece diretrizes gerais para a definição de vazões mínimas remanescentes. Diario Oficial da União 185:68.