Reductions in labour capacity from heat stress under climate warming

Nature Climate Change

Volumn 3, Issue 6, 2013, Pages 563-566

  Dunne, John P ^a   Stouffer, Ronald J ^a   John, Jasmin G ^a  

^a NOAA EARTH SYSTEM RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE MODELING; ENVIRONMENTAL STRESS; GLOBAL WARMING; GREENHOUSE GAS; GUIDELINE; HEATING; HUMAN ACTIVITY; HUMIDITY; LABOR; NATURE-SOCIETY RELATIONS; OCCUPATIONAL EXPOSURE; POPULATION DISTRIBUTION; PUBLIC HEALTH; SOCIAL CHANGE;

EID: 84878581718     PISSN: 1758678X     EISSN: 17586798     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1827     Document Type: Article

References (36)

1. Manabe, S. & Wetherald, R. T. The effects of doubling CO2 concentration on the climate of a general circulation model. J. Atmos. Sci. 32, 3-15 (1975).
2. Manabe, S.&Stouffer, R. J. ACO2-climate sensitivity study with a mathematical model of the global climate. Nature 282, 491-493 (1979).
3. Delworth, T. L., Mahlman, J. D. & Knutson, T. R. Changes in heat index associated with CO2-induced global warming. Climatic Change 43, 369-386 (1999). (Pubitemid 29449759)
4. American Conference of Governmental Industrial Hygienists Threshold Limit Values for Chemical Substances and Physical Agents. Biological Exposure Indices (ACGIH, 1996).
5. Heat Stress Control and Heat Casualty Management Technical Bulletin Medical 507/Air Force Pamphlet 48-152 (US Army, 2003).
6. Parsons, K. Heat stress standard ISO 7243 and its global application. Ind. Health 44, 368-379 (2006). (Pubitemid 44252186)
7. Kalnay, E. et al. The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. BAMS 77, 437-470 (1996).
8. Dunne, J. P. et al. GFDL's ESM2 global coupled climate-carbon Earth System Models Part I: Physical formulation and baseline simulation characteristics. J. Clim. 25, 6646-6665 (2012).
9. Moss, R. H. et al. The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature 463, 747-756 (2010).
10. Meinshausen, M. et al. The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300. Climatic Change 109, 213-241 (2011).
11. Cubasch, U. et al. in IPCC Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis (eds Houghton, J. T. et al.) 525-582 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2001).
12. Confalonieri, U. et al. in IPCC Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability (eds Parry, M. L. et al.) 391-431 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007).
13. Steadman, R. G. The assessment of sultriness. Part I: A temperature-humidity index based on human physiology and clothing science. J. Appl. Meteorol. 18, 861-873 (1979). (Pubitemid 10406494)
14. Willett, K. M. & Sherwood, S. C. Exceedance of heat index thresholds for 15 regions under a warming climate using the wet-bulb globe temperature. Int. J. Climatol. 32, 161-177 (2012).
15. Jendritzky, G. & Tinz, B. The thermal environment of the human being on the global scale. Glob. Health Action 2 (Special volume), 10-21 (2009).
16. Sherwood, S. C. & Huber, M. An adaptability limit to climate change due to heat stress. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 107, 9552-9555 (2010).
17. Kjellstrom, T., Holmer, I. & Lemke, B. Workplace heat stress, health and productivity-an increasing challenge for low and middle-income countries during climate change. Glob. Health Action 2 (Special volume), 46-51 (2009).
18. Epstein, Y. & Moran, D. S. Thermal comfort and the heat stress indices. Ind. Health 44, 388-398 (2006). (Pubitemid 44252188)
19. Davies-Jones, R. An efficient and accurate method for computing the wet-bulb temperature along pseudoadiabats. Mon. Weath. Rev. 136, 2764-2785 (2008).
20. Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J. & Meehl, G. A. An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design. BAMS 93, 485-498 (2012).
21. Delworth, T. L. et al. GFDL's CM2 global coupled climate models. Part I: Formulation and simulation characteristics. J. Clim. 19, 643-674 (2006).
22. Winton, M. et al. Influence of ocean and atmosphere components on simulated climate sensitivities. J. Clim. 26, 231-245 (2013).
23. Meehl, G. A. et al. in IPCC Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis (eds S., Solomon et al.) 747-845 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007).
24. Reichler, T. & Kim, J. How well do coupled models simulate today's climate? BAMS 89, 303-311 (2008). (Pubitemid 351756665)
25. Guilyardi, E. et al. Understanding El Nino in ocean-atmosphere general circulation models. BAMS 90, 325-340 (2009).
26. Hegerl, G. C. et al. in IPCC Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis (eds Solomon, S. et al.) 663-745 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007).
27. Meinshausen, M. et al. Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2-C. Nature 458, 1158-1162 (2009).
28. McCarthy, M. P., Best, M. J. & Betts, R. A. Climate change in cities due to global warming and urban effects. Geophys. Res. Lett. 37, L09705 (2010).
29. Fischer, E. M., Oleson, K. W. & Lawrence, D. M. Contrasting urban and rural heat stress responses to climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39, L03705 (2012).
30. Rogner, H-H. et al. Global Energy Assessment-Toward a Sustainable Future 425-512 (Cambridge Univ. Press and IIASA, 2012).
31. Schindler, J. & Wittel, Z. Crude Oil: The Supply Outlook Report to the Energy Watch Group EWG Series No 3/2007 (Energy Watch Group, 2007).
32. Rutledge, D. Estimating long-term world coal production with logit and probit transforms. Int. J. Coal Geol. 85, 23-33 (2011).
33. Christensen, J. H. et al. in IPCC Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis (eds Houghton, J. T. et al.) 847-865 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2001).
34. Fischer, E. M. & Knutti, R. Robust projections of combined humidity and temperature extremes. Nature Clim. Change 3, 126-130 (2013).
35. Bolton, D. The computation of equivalent potential temperature. Mon. Weath. Rev. 108, 1046-1053 (1980).
36. Wexler, A. Vapor pressure formulation for water in range 0 to 100C. A revision. J. Res. Nat. Bur. Stand. 80A, 775-785 (1976).