Constraints on interpretation of ecological niche models by limited environmental ranges on calibration areas

Ecological Modelling

Volumn 263, Issue , 2013, Pages 10-18

  Owens, Hannah L ^a   Campbell, Lindsay P ^a   Dornak, L Lynnette ^a   Saupe, Erin E ^a   Barve, Narayani ^a   Soberón, Jorge ^a   Ingenloff, Kate ^a   Lira Noriega, Andrés ^a   Hensz, Christopher M ^a   Myers, Corinne E ^a   Peterson, A Townsend ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF KANSAS   (United States)

Author keywords

Ecological niche model; Extrapolation; Mobility Oriented Parity; Model transfer; Multivariate Environmental Similarity Surface; Species distribution model

Indexed keywords

ECOLOGICAL NICHE MODELS; INDEPENDENT VARIABLES; INTERPRETATION OF MODELS; MOBILITY-ORIENTED PARITY; MODEL TRANSFER; MODELING ALGORITHMS; NOVEL VISUALIZATIONS; SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS;

ALGORITHMS; CALIBRATION; EXTRAPOLATION; SURFACE PROPERTIES;

ECOLOGY;

ALGORITHM; CALIBRATION; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; VISUALIZATION;

EID: 84878223862     PISSN: 03043800     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013.04.011     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Anderson R.P., Lew D., Peterson A.T. Evaluating predictive models of species' distributions: criteria for selecting optimal models. Ecological Modelling 2003, 162:211-232.
2. Angilletta M. Thermal Adaptation: A Theoretical and Empirical Synthesis 2009, Oxford University Press, Oxford.
3. Austin M. Models for the analysis of species' response to environmental gradients. Vegetatio 1987, 69:35-45.
4. Austin M.P., Nicholls A.O., Doherty M.D., Meyers J.A. Determining species response functions to an environmental gradient by means of a beta-function. Journal of Vegetation Science 1994, 5:215-228.
5. Barve N., Barve V., Jiménez-Valverde A., Lira-Noriega A., Maher S.P., Peterson A.T., Soberón J., Villalobos F. The crucial role of the accessible area in ecological niche modeling and species distribution modeling. Ecological Modelling 2011, 222:1810-1819.
6. Beaumont L.J., Hughes L., Poulsen M. Predicting species distributions: use of climatic parameters in BIOCLIM and its impact on predictions of species' current and future distributions. Ecological Modelling 2005, 186:250-269.
7. Colwell R.K., Rangel T.F. Hutchinson's duality: the once and future niche. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2009, 106:19644-19650.
8. De Meyer M., Robertson M.P., Mansell M.W., Ekesi S., Tsuruta K., Mwaiko W., Vayssières J.-F., Peterson A.T. Ecological niche and potential geographic distribution of the invasive fruit fly Bactrocera invadens (Diptera, Tephritidae). Bulletin of Entomological Research 2009, 100:35-48.
9. de Souza Muñoz M., de Giovanni R., de Siqueira M., Sutton T., Brewer P., Pereira R., Canhos D., Canhos V. openModeller: a generic approach to species' potential distribution modelling. GeoInformatica 2011, 15:111-135.
10. Elith J., Ferrier S., Huettmann F., Leathwick J. The evaluation strip: a new and robust method for plotting predicted responses from species distribution models. Ecological Modelling 2005, 186:280-289.
11. Elith J., Graham C.H. Do they? How do they? WHY do they differ? On finding reasons for differing performances of species distribution models. Ecography 2009, 32:66-77.
12. Elith J., Kearney M., Phillips S. The art of modelling range-shifting species. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 2010, 1:330-342.
13. Elith J., Phillips S.J., Hastie T., Dudík M., Chee Y.E., Yates C.J. A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists. Diversity and Distributions 2011, 17:43-57.
14. Fitzpatrick M.C., Hargrove W.W. The projection of species distribution models and the problem of non-analog climate. Biodiversity and Conservation 2009, 18:2255-2261.
15. Hijmans R., Cameron S., Parra J., Jones P., Jarvis A. Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 2005, 25:1965-1978.
16. Hooper H.L., Connon R., Callaghan A., Fryer G., Yarwood-Buchanan S., Biggs J., Maund S.J., Hutchinson T.H., Sibly R.M. The ecological niche of Daphnia magna characterized using population growth rate. Ecology 2008, 89:1015-1022.
17. Johnson J.B., Omland K.S. Model selection in ecology and evolution. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 2004, 19:101-108.
18. Pearson R.G., Dawson T.P., Berry P.M., Harrison P.A. SPECIES: a spatial evaluation of climate impact on the envelope of species. Ecological Modelling 2002, 154:289-300.
19. Pearson R.G., Thuiller W., Araujo M.B., Martinez-Meyer E., Brotons L., McClean C., Miles L., Segurado P., Dawson T.P., Lees D.C. Model-based uncertainty in species range prediction. Journal of Biogeography 2006, 33:1704-1711.
20. Pereira R.S. Desktop GARP 2001, http://www.lifemapper.org/desktopgarp/.
21. Peterson A.T. Shifting malaria transmission risk across Africa with warming climates. BMC Infectious Diseases 2009, 9:59.
22. Peterson A.T., Papeş M., Soberón J. Rethinking receiver operating characteristic analysis applications in ecological niche modelling. Ecological Modelling 2008, 213:63-72.
23. Peterson A.T., Soberón J., Pearson R.G., Anderson R.P., Martínez-Meyer E., Nakamura M., Araújo M.B. Ecological Niches and Geographic Distributions 2011, Princeton University Press, Princeton.
24. Phillips S., Anderson R., Schapire R. Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecological Modelling 2006, 190:231-259.
25. Phillips S., Dudik M., Elith J., Graham C., Lehman A., Leathwick J., Ferrier S. Sample selection bias and presence-only distribution models: implications for background and pseudo-absence data. Ecological Applications 2009, 19:181-197.
26. Phillips S.J., Anderson R.P., Schapire R.E. Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecological Modelling 2006, 190:231-259.
27. Platts P.J., McClean C.J., Lovett J.C., Marchant R. Predicting tree distributions in an East African biodiversity hotspot: model selection, data bias and envelope uncertainty. Ecological Modelling 2008, 218:121-134.
28. Randin C.F., Dirnbock T., Dullinger S., Zimmermann N.E., Zappa M., Guisan A. Are niche-based species distribution models transferable in space?. Journal of Biogeography 2006, 33:1689-1703.
29. Santika T., Hutchinson M.F. The effect of species response form on species distribution model prediction and inference. Ecological Modelling 2009, 220:2365-2379.
30. Saupe E., Barve V., Myers C., Soberón J., Barve N., Hensz C., Peterson A.T., Owens H.L., Lira-Noriega A. Variation in niche and distribution model performance: the need for a priori assessment of key causal factors. Ecological Modelling 2012, 237-238:11-22.
31. Soberón J., Peterson A.T. Interpretation of models of fundamental ecological niches and species' distributional areas. Biodiversity Informatics 2005, 2:1-10.
32. Stockwell D.R.B., Peters D.P. The GARP modelling system: problems and solutions to automated spatial prediction. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 1999, 13:143-158.
33. Thuiller W., Lafourcade B.R.E., Araújo M.B. BIOMOD - a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions. Ecography 2009, 32:369-373.
34. Williams J.W., Jackson S.T. Novel climates, no-analog communities, and ecological surprises. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 2007, 5:475-482.
35. Williams J.W., Jackson S.T., Kutzbach J.E. Projected distributions of novel and disappearing climates by 2100 AD. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2007, 104:5738-5742.
36. Wilson P.D., Downey P.O., Leishman M., Gallagher R., Hughes L., O'Donnell J. Weeds in a warmer world: predicting the impact of climate change on Australia's alien plant species using MaxEnt. Plant Protection Quarterly 2009, 24:84-87.
37. Wisz M.S., Pottier J., Kissling W.D., Pellissier L., Lenoir J., Damgaard C.F., Dormann C.F., Forchhammer M.C., Grytnes J.-A., Guisan A., Heikkinen R.K., Høye T.T., Kühn I., Luoto M., Maiorano L., Nilsson M.-C., Normand S., Öckinger E., Schmidt N.M., Termansen M., Timmermann A., Wardle D.A., Aastrup P., Svenning J.-C. The role of biotic interactions in shaping distributions and realised assemblages of species: implications for species distribution modelling. Biological Reviews 2013, 88:15-30.
38. Yee T.W., Mitchell N.D. Generalized additive models in plant ecology. Journal of Vegetation Science 1991, 2:587-602.
39. Zurell D., Elith J., Schröder B. Predicting to new environments: tools for visualizing model behaviour and impacts on mapped distributions. Diversity and Distributions 2012, 18:628-634.