Light duty vehicle transportation and global climate policy: The importance of electric drive vehicles

Energy Policy

Volumn 58, Issue , 2013, Pages 209-219

  Bosetti, Valentina ^a,b   Longden, Thomas ^a,b  

^a FONDAZIONE ENI ENRICO MATTEI   (Italy)

^b CENTRO EURO MEDITERRANEO SUI CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI   (Italy)

Author keywords

Integrated assessment model; Research, development and demonstration (RD D); Transportation

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE POLICY SCENARIOS; COMBUSTION ENGINES; DECARBONISATION; ELECTRIC-DRIVE VEHICLES; INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODELS; LIGHT DUTY VEHICLES; POTENTIAL SYNERGIES; TRANSPORTATION SECTOR;

CLIMATE CHANGE; COSTS; ELECTRIC DRIVES; ELECTRIC UTILITIES; ELECTRIC VEHICLES; TRANSPORTATION;

PLUG-IN HYBRID VEHICLES;

ELECTRIC VEHICLE; ELECTRIFICATION; ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY; GLOBAL CLIMATE; INNOVATION; RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT; TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT; TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM;

EID: 84877105957     PISSN: 03014215     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.03.008     Document Type: Article

References (50)

1. AIMS (2005) APEIS-IEA Technical Summary. (Accessed on 16 February 2011 via: ). http://www.iam.nies.go.jp/aim/aimpamph/pdf/Technical_SummaryIEA_18May05.pdf.
2. Alfstad, T. (2008) World Biofuels Study: Scenario Analysis of Global Biofuel Markets. Prepared for US Department of Energy by the Energy Sciences and Technology Department, Brookhaven National Laboratory.
3. Arrow K. The economic implications of learning by doing. Review of Economic Studies 1962, 29:155-173.
4. Blanford, G. (2008) Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs) and Global Climate Policy. EPRI Working Paper, September 2008.
5. Bosetti V., Carraro C., Galeotti M., Massetti E., Tavoni M. WITCH: a world induced technical change hybrid model. The Energy Journal, Special Issue on Hybrid Modelling of Energy-Environment Policies: Reconciling Bottom-up and Top-down 2006, 13-38.
6. Bosetti V., De Cian E., Sgobbi A., Tavoni M. The 2008 WITCH Model: New Model Features and Baseline 2009, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Mimeo.
7. Bosetti, V., Longden, T., (2012) Light Duty Vehicle Transportation and Global Climate Policy: The Importance of Electric Drive Vehicles. FEEM Working Paper no. 11.2012.
8. Bosetti, V., Massetti, E., Tavoni, M. (2007). The WITCH Model: Structure, Baseline and Solutions. FEEM Working Paper 10-2007.
9. Brenkert, A.L., Kim, S.H., Smith, A.J., Pitcher, H.M. (2003) Model Documentation for the MiniCAM. Prepared for the US Department of Energy. PNNL-14337.
10. Caballero, R., Jaffe, A. (1993) How High Are The Giants' Shoulders? NBER Macroeconomics Annual. In: Blanchard O., Fischer S. (Eds.), 8: pp. 15-74.
11. Catenacci M., Verdolini E., Bosetti V., Fiorese G., Ameli N. Going electric: expert survey on the future of battery technologies for electric vehicles. FEEM Nota di Lavoro 2012, 2012:093.
12. Chapman L. Transport and climate change: a review. Journal of Transport Geography 2007, 15:354-367.
13. Dargay J., Gately D. Income's effect on car and vehicle ownership, worldwide: 1960-2015. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 1999, 33:101-138.
14. De Vries, B.J.M., van Vuuren, D.P., den Elzen, M.G.J., Janssen, M.A. (2001) The Targets Image Energy Regional (TIMER) Model: Technical Documentation. RIVM Report 461502024.
15. EIA (2009) The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview 2009. Energy Information Administration. DOE/EIA-0581(2009).
16. EIB (2011) EIB Supports New Nissan Battery Plant and Electric Car Production in Sunderland-European Investment Bank website-accessed on December 16 2011 at. http://www.eib.org/projects/press/2011/2011-167-eib-to-provide-eur-220m-to-nissan-for-production-of-the-100pct-electric-nissan-leaf-and-advanced-lithium-ion-batteries-in-sunderland.htm.
17. European Commission, 2012. Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Directive 98/70/EC - Related to the quality of petrol and diesel fuels and amending Directive 2009/28/EC on the promotion of the use of energy from renewable sources (accessed 7.11.12).
18. Fiorese, G., M. Catenacci, E. Verdolini, V. Bosetti (2013), Advanced biofuels: future perspectives from an expert elicitation survey. Energy Policy Available online 9 February 2013.
19. Fulton L., Cazzola P., Cuenot F. IEA mobility model (MoMo) and its use in the ETP 2008. Energy Policy 2009, 37:3758-3768.
20. Fulton, L., Eads, G., 2004 IEA/SMP Model Documentation and Reference Case Projection. (accessed 30.01.11) at: 〈http://www.wbcsd.org/web/publications/mobility/smp-model-document.pdf〉.
21. Girod B., van Vuuren D., Deetman S. Global travel within the 2°C climate target. Energy Policy 2012, 45:152-166.
22. Girod, B., van Vuuren, P., Grahn, M., Kitous, A., Kim, S., Kyle, P. (2013) Climate Impact of Transportation: A Model Comparison Climatic Change.
23. 2 targets: connections between transportation and other energy sectors. Environmental Science and Technology 2009, 43(9):3365-3371.
24. Havlik P., et al. Global land-use implications of first and second generation biofuel targets. Energy Policy 2010, 10.1016/j.enpol.2010.03.030.
25. International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT, 2012) Global Transportation Roadmap-Model Documentation and User Guide: ICCT Roadmap Model Version 1-0.
26. Kahn Ribeiro S., Kobayashi S., Beuthe M., Gasca J., Greene D., Lee D.S., Muromachi Y., Newton P.J., Plotkin S., Sperling D., Wit R., Zhou P.J. Transport and its infrastructure. Climate Change 2007: Mitigation. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. B. Metz, O.R. Davidson, P.R. Bosch, R. Dave, L.A. Meyer (Eds.).
27. Jones C. R&D based models of economic growth. The Journal of Political Economy 1995, 103(4):759-784.
28. Kahouli-Brahmi S. Technological learning in energy-environment-economy modeling: a survey. Energy Policy 2008, 36:138-162.
29. Kitous A., Criqui P., Bellevrat E., Chateau B. Transformation patterns of the worldwide energy system - scenarios for the century with the POLES model. The Energy Journal 2010, 49-82.
30. Kyle P., Kim S. Long-term implications of alternative light-duty vehicle technologies for global greenhouse gas emissions and primary energy demands. Energy Policy 2011, 39:3012-3024.
31. Loulou, R., Goldstein, G., Noble, K. (2004) Documentation for the MARKAL Family of Models. (Accessed on 16 February 2011 via:. http://www.etsap.org/MrkDoc-I_StdMARKAL.pdf.
32. Longden, T., (2012) Deviations in Kilometres Travelled: the Impact of Different Mobility Futures on Energy Use and Climate Policy. FEEM Working Paper no. 71.2012.
33. Loulou, R., Labriet, M. (2007) The TIMES Integrated Assessment Model (TIAM): Some Details on Model and Database. Presentation Slides from TIAM Day, Ottawa, March 14, 2007. (Accessed on 16 February 2011 via: ). http://www.etsap.org/TIAM_f/TIAM_description_slides.pdf.
34. Manne A., Mendelsohn R., Richels R. A model for evaluating regional and global effects of GHG reduction policies. Energy Policy 1995, 23(1):17-34.
35. Metz D. The myth of travel time saving. Transport Reviews 2008, 28(3):321-336.
36. 2 emissions from 2000 to 2050. Energy Policy 2007, 35(12):6332-6345.
37. Paltsev, S., Viguier, L., Babiker, M., Reilly, J., Tay, K. H. (2004). Disaggregating Household Transport in the MIT-EPPA Model. MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change. Technical Note no. 5, July 2004.
38. Pietzcker, R., Longden, T., Chen, W., Fu, S., Kriegler, E., Kyle, P., Luderer, G. (2013) Long-Term Transport Energy Demand and Climate Policy: Alternative Visions on Transport Decarbonization in Energy Economy Models. FEEM Working Paper no. 8.2013.
39. Pietzcker, R., Moll, R., Bauer, N., Luderer, G.(2010) Vehicle technologies and shifts in modal split as mitigation options towards a 2° climate target. In: Contribution to the 2010 ISEE Conference: Advancing Sustainability in a Time of Crisis.
40. Popp D. Induced innovation and energy prices. The American Economic Review 2002, 92(1):160-180.
41. Riahi K., Grübler A., Nakicenovic N. Scenarios of long-term socio-economic and environmental development under climate stabilization. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2007, 74:887-935.
42. Richels R.G., Blanford G. The value of technological advance in decarbonising the US economy. Energy Economics 2008, 30(6):2930-2946.
43. Romer P. Endogenous technical change. Journal of Political Economy 1990, 98:71-102.
44. Sassi O., Crassous R., Hourcade J-C., Gitz V., Waisman H., Guivarch C. IMACLIM-R: a modelling framework to simulate sustainable development pathways. International Journal of Global Environmental Issues 2010, 10(1/2):5-24.
45. Schafer A., Victor D. The future mobility of the world population. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 2000, 34:171-205.
46. Schipper, L.J., Fulton, L. (2003) Carbon dioxide emissions from transportation: trends, driving forces and forces for change. In Hensher, D.A., Button, K.J. (Eds.), Handbooks in Transport Four: Handbook of Transport and the Environment. pp. 203-226.
47. Schwoon M. Learning by doing, learning spillovers and the diffusion of fuel cell vehicles. Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory 2008, 16(9):1463-1476.
48. Turton H. Sustainable global automobile transport in the 21st century: an integrated scenario analysis. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 2006, 73:607-629.
49. US EPA, NHTSA, and the Californian Air Resources Board (2010) Interim Joint Technical Assessment Report: Light-Duty Vehicle Greenhouse Gas Emission Standards and Corporate Average Fuel Economy Standards for Model Years 2017-2025, September 2010.
50. World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD) (2004) Mobility 2030: Meeting the Challenges to Sustainability. Published online: , (accessed 2 August 2011). http://www.wbcsd.ch.