Optimal mitigation strategies with negative emission technologies and carbon sinks under uncertainty

Climatic Change

Volumn 118, Issue 1, 2013, Pages 73-87

  Fuss, Sabine ^a   Reuter, Wolf Heinrich ^a,b   Szolgayová, Jana ^a,c   Obersteiner, Michael ^a  

^a INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR APPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS   (Austria)

^b VIENNA UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS   (Austria)

^c Physics and Informatics   (Slovakia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY; BUDGET CONTROL; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

CARBON BUDGETS; CARBON MANAGEMENT; CARBON TECHNOLOGIES; EMISSION TECHNOLOGY; MITIGATION OPTIONS; MITIGATION STRATEGY; OPTIMAL MITIGATION; OPTIMAL PORTFOLIOS;

CARBON;

CARBON; CARBON BUDGET; CARBON SINK; COST; EMISSION; MITIGATION; TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE;

EID: 84876671772     PISSN: 01650009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0676-1     Document Type: Article

References (46)

1. Ackerman F, Stanton EA, Bueno R (2010) Fat tails, exponents, extreme uncertainty: simulating catastrophe in DICE. Ecol Econ 69(8): 1657-1665.
2. Ahlig R, Adams D, McCarl B, Callaway JM, Winnett S (1997) Assessing effects of mitigation strategies for global climate change with an Intertemporal Model of the US Forsst and Agriculture Sectors. Crit Rev Environ Sci Technol 27: 97-111.
3. Allen MR, Frame DJ, Huntingford C, Jones CD, Lowe JA, Meinshausen M, Meinshausen N (2009) Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne. Nature 458(7242): 1163-1166. doi: 10. 1038/nature08019.
4. 2 with chemicals: a technology assessment for the APS panel on public affairs, American Physical Society, Washington DC, 2011, accessible at www. aps. org/policy/reports/assessments/upload/dac2011. pdf.
5. Azar C, Lindgren K, Obersteiner M, Riahi K, van Vuuren DP, den Elzen KMGJ, Möllersten K, Larson ED (2010) The feasibility of low CO2 concentration targets and the role of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS). Clim Chang 100(1): 195-202.
6. Bosetti V, Carraro C, Sgobbi A and Tavoni M (2008) Delayed action and uncertain targets: how much will climate policy cost?, Nota di lavoro//Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei: sustainable development, No. 69. 2008, accessible at: http://hdl. handle. net/10419/53319.
7. Bosetti V and Lubowski R (eds) (2010) Deforestation and climate change: reducing carbon emissions from deforestation and forest degradation, in: Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) series on economics, the environment and sustainable development. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK.
8. 2 emission. Science 299: 2052-2054.
9. Canadell JG, Raupach M (2008) Managing forests for climate change mitigation. Science 320: 1456-1457.
10. Crutzen PJ (2006) Albedo enhancement by stratospheric sulfur injections: a contribution to resolve a policy dilemma? Clim Chang 77(3-4): 211-220.
11. Denman K et al (2007) Couplings between changes in the climate system and biogeochemistry. In: Solomon S (ed) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group i to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 500-587.
12. Dooley JJ, Dahowski RT, Davidson CL, Bachu S, Gupta N and Gale J (2005) IEA greenhouse gas programme. Proceedings of 7th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, Volume 1: Peer-Reviewed Papers and Plenary Presentations (ES Rubin, DW Keith and CF Gilboy, eds.), Cheltenham, UK.
13. Fischlin A et al (2007) Ecosystems, their properties, goods, and services. In: Parry ML (ed) Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 211-272.
14. Friedlingstein P et al (2006) Climate-carbon cycle feedback analysis: results from the C4MIP Model Intercomparison. J Clim 19: 3337-3353.
15. Fuss S (2010) Forestry carbon sequestration: alternative perspective. In: Lomborg B (ed) Smart solutions to climate change: comparing costs and benefits. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 133-141.
16. Gerlagh R, Kverndokk S, Rosendahl K (2009) Optimal timing of climate change policy: interaction between carbon taxes and innovation externalities. Environ Resour Econ 43(3): 369-390.
17. GEA (2012) global energy assessment - toward a sustainable future. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge UK and New York, NY, USA and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
18. Gough C, Upham P (2011) Biomass energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS or Bio-CCS). Greenhouse Gases Sci Technol 1(4): 324-334.
19. Higgins PAT, Harte J (2012) Carbon cycle uncertainty increases climate change risks and mitigation challenges. J Clim 25: 7660-7668.
20. Hoogwijk M, Faaij A, Eickhout B, de Vries B, Turkenburg W (2005) Potential of biomass energy out to 2100 for four IPCC SRES land-use scenarios. Biomass Bioenergy 29(4): 225-257.
21. Hope C (2006) The marginal impact of CO2 from PAGE2002: an integrated assessment model incorporating the IPCC's five reasons for concern. Integr Assess J 6(1): 19-56.
22. International Energy Agency (2012) Energy technology perspectives 2012: pathways to a clean energy system. OECD Publishing. doi: 10. 1787/energy_tech-2012-en.
23. IEAGHG (2011) (IEA Greenhouse Gas R& D Programme): potential for biomass and carbon dioxide capture and storage, 2011/06, July.
24. IPCC (2005) In: Metz B, Davidson O, de Coninck HC, Loos M, Meyer LA (eds) IPCC special report on carbon dioxide capture and storage, prepared by WG III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
25. Kraxner F, Nilsson S, Obersteiner M (2003) Negative emissions from bioenergy use, carbon capture and sequestration (BECS): the case of biomass production by sustainable forest management from semi-natural temperate forests. Biomass Bioenergy 24(4-5): 285-296.
26. Kraxner F, Aoki K, Leduc S, Kindermann G, Fuss S, Yang J, Yamagata Y, Tak K, Obersteiner M (2012) BECCS in South Korea-analyzing the negative emissions potential of bioenergy as a mitigation tool. Renew Energ. doi: 10. 1016/j. renene. 2012. 09. 064.
27. Lemoine DM, Fuss S, Szolgayova J, Obersteiner M, Kammen DM (2012) The influence of negative emission technologies and technology policies on the optimal climate mitigation portfolio. Clim Chang 113(2): 141-162.
28. Lehmann J (2007) Bio-energy in the black. Front Ecol Environ 5(7): 381-387.
29. Lemoine DM (2010a) Paleoclimatic warming increased carbon dioxide concentrations. J Geophys Res 115: D22122.
30. Lemoine DM (2010b) Climate sensitivity distributions depend on the possibility that models share biases. J Clim 23(16): 4395-4415.
31. Le Quéré C et al (2009) Trends in the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide. Nat Geosci 2: 831-836.
32. Matthews HD, Gillett NP, Stott PA, Zickfeld K (2009) The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissions. Nature 459(7248): 829-832.
33. McInerney D, Lempert R, Keller K (2012) What are robust strategies in the face of uncertain climate threshold responses? Robust climate strategies. Clim Chang 112(3-4): 547-568.
34. Moore B, Allard A (2008) Climate change impacts on forest health. Forest Health & Biosecurity Working Papers FBS/34E, FAO, Rome, Italy.
35. National Research Council (2011) Climate stabilization targets: emissions, concentrations, and impacts over decades to millennia. The National Academies Press, Washington, D. C.
36. Nordhaus W (2008) A question of balance: weighing the options on global warming policy. Yale University Press, New Haven.
37. Obersteiner M et al (2001) Managing climate risk. Science 294(5543): 786-787.
38. Riahi K et al (2011) RCP8. 5 - a scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions. Clim Chang 109: 33-57.
39. Rhodes J, Keith D (2005) Engineering economic analysis of biomass IGCC with carbon capture and storage. Biomass Bioenergy 29(6): 440-450.
40. Sohngen B, Mendelsohn R (2003) An optimal control model of forest carbon sequestration. Amer J Agric Econ 85(2): 448-457.
41. Stavins RN (1999) The costs of carbon sequestration: a revealed-preference approach. Am Econ Rev 89(4): 994-1009.
42. The Royal Society (2009) Geoengineering the climate: science, governance and uncertainty, September 2009, London, UK.
43. 2 storage and leakage. Clim Chang 93(3): 285-309.
44. van Vuuren DP et al (2009) Comparison of top-down and bottom-up estimates of sectoral and regional greenhouse gas emission reduction potentials. Energy Policy 37(12): 5125-5139.
45. Van't Veld K, Plantinga A (2005) Carbon sequestration or abatement? The effect of rising carbon proces on the optimal portfolio of greenhouse-gas mitigation strategies. J Environ Econ Manag 50: 59-81.
46. Wallquist L, L'Orange Seigo S, Visschers V, Siegrist M (2012) Public acceptance of CCS system elements: a conjoint measurement. Int J Greenh Gas Control 6: 77-83.