Spatio-temporal dynamics of pneumonia in bighorn sheep

Journal of Animal Ecology

Volumn 82, Issue 3, 2013, Pages 518-528

  Cassirer, E Frances ^a   Plowright, Raina K ^b   Manlove, Kezia R ^b   Cross, Paul C ^c   Dobson, Andrew P ^d   Potter, Kathleen A ^e   Hudson, Peter J ^b  

^a IDAHO DEPARTMENT OF FISH AND GAME   (United States)

^b PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c U S GEOLOGICAL SURVEY   (United States)

^d PRINCETON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^e WASHINGTON STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Bacterial pneumonia; Livestock wildlife interface; Markov model; Time series

Indexed keywords

AGE CLASS; AGE STRUCTURE; BREEDING SEASON; DISEASE INCIDENCE; HYPOTHESIS TESTING; MORTALITY; NATURE-SOCIETY RELATIONS; PNEUMONIA; SHEEP; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; TIME SERIES;

AGE; ANIMAL; ANIMAL DISEASE; ARTICLE; BACTERIAL PNEUMONIA; BIGHORN SHEEP; ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION; EPIDEMIC; FEMALE; LIVESTOCK-WILDLIFE INTERFACE; MALE; MARKOV MODEL; MICROBIOLOGY; MORTALITY; PNEUMONIA; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SEASON; SHEEP; SHEEP DISEASE; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS; UNITED STATES;

BACTERIAL PNEUMONIA; LIVESTOCK-WILDLIFE INTERFACE; MARKOV MODEL; TIME SERIES;

AGE FACTORS; ANIMALS; CONSERVATION OF NATURAL RESOURCES; DISEASE OUTBREAKS; FEMALE; MALE; NORTHWESTERN UNITED STATES; PNEUMONIA; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SEASONS; SHEEP; SHEEP DISEASES; SHEEP, BIGHORN;

NORTH AMERICA;

BACTERIA (MICROORGANISMS); OVIS ARIES; OVIS CANADENSIS;

EID: 84876309290     PISSN: 00218790     EISSN: 13652656     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.12031     Document Type: Article

References (66)

1. Altizer, S., Dobson, A., Hosseini, P., Hudson, P., Pascual, M. & Rohani, P. (2006) Seasonality and the dynamics of infectious disease. Ecology Letters, 9, 467-484.
2. Aune, K.E., Anderson, N., Worley, D., Stackhouse, L., Henderson, J. & Daniel, J.E. (1998) A comparison of population and health histories among seven Montana bighorn sheep populations. Proceedings Northern Wild Sheep and Goat Council, 11, 46-69.
3. Bates, D., Maechler, M. & Dai, B. (2008) lme4: Linear mixed-effects models using S4 classes. R package version 0.999375-28. http://lme4.r-forge.r-project.org/
4. Besag, J.P., York, J. & Mollie, A. (1991) Bayesian image-restoration, with two applications in spatial statistics. Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 43, 1-20.
5. Besser, T.E., Cassirer, E.F., Potter, K.A., VanderSchalie, J., Fischer, A., Knowles, D.P., Herndon, D.R., Rurangirwa, F.R., Weiser, G.C. & Srikumaran, S. (2008) Association of Mycoplasma ovipneumoniae infection with population-limiting respiratory disease in free-ranging Rocky Mountain bighorn sheep (Ovis canadensis canadensis). Journal of Clinical Microbiology, 46, 423-430.
6. Besser, T.E., Cassirer, E.F., Yamada, C., Potter, K.A., Herndon, C.N., Foreyt, W.J., Knowles, D.P. & Srikumaran, S. (2012a) Survival of bighorn sheep (Ovis canadensis) commingled with domestic sheep (Ovis aries) in the absence of Mycoplasma ovipneumoniae. Journal of Wildlife Diseases, 48, 168-172.
7. Besser, T.E., Highland, M., Baker, K., Cassirer, E.F., Anderson, N.J., Ramsey, J.M., Mansfield, K.M., Bruning, D., Wolff, P., Smith, J.B. & Jenks, J.A. (2012b) Causes of pneumonia epizootics among bighorn sheep, western United States, 2008-2010. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 18, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid1803.111554.
8. Beyer, H.L. (2004) Hawth's Analysis Tools for ArcGIS. http://www.spatialecology.com/htools.
9. Bjørnstad, O. & Grenfell, B. (2008) Hazards, spatial transmission and timing of outbreaks in epidemic metapopulations. Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 15, 265-277.
10. Bleich, V.C., Bowyer, R.T. & Wehausen, J.D. (1997) Sexual segregation in mountain sheep: resources or predation? Wildlife Monographs, 134, 1-50.
11. Bleich, V.C., Wehausen, J.D., Ramey III, R.R. & Rechel, J.L. (1996) Metapopulation Theory and Mountain Sheep: Implications for Conservation. Island Press, Washington, DC, USA.
12. Boyce, W.M., Weisenberger, M.E., Penedo, M.C. & Johnson, C.K. (2011) Wildlife translocation: the conservation implications of pathogen exposure and genetic heterozygosity. BMC Ecology, 11, 5.
13. Bunnell, F.L. (1982) The lambing period of mountain sheep - synthesis, hypotheses, and tests. Canadian Journal of Zoology-Revue Canadienne De Zoologie, 60, 1-14.
14. Cahn, M.L., Conner, M.M., Schmitz, O.J., Stephenson, T.R., Wehausen, J.D. & Johnson, H.E. (2011) Disease, population viability, and recovery of endangered Sierra Nevada bighorn sheep. Journal of Wildlife Management, 75, 1753-1766.
15. Cassirer, E.F. & Sinclair, A.R.E. (2007) Dynamics of pneumonia in a bighorn sheep metapopulation. Journal of Wildlife Management, 71, 1080-1088.
16. Cassirer, E.F., Oldenburg, L.E., Coggins, V.L., Fowler, P., Rudolph, K.M., Hunter, D.L. & Foreyt, W.J. (1996) Overview and preliminary analysis of a bighorn sheep dieoff, Hells Canyon 1995-96. Biennial Symposium Northern Wild Sheep and Goat Council, 10, 78-86.
17. Cassirer, E.F., Rudolph, K.M., Fowler, P., Coggins, V.L., Hunter, D.L. & Miller, M.W. (2001) Evaluation of ewe vaccination as a tool for increasing bighorn lamb survival following pasteurellosis epizootics. Journal of Wildlife Diseases, 37, 49-57.
18. Cattadori, I.M., Haydon, D.T. & Hudson, P.J. (2005) Parasites and climate synchronize red grouse populations. Nature, 433, 737-741.
19. Cleaveland, S., Mlengeya, T., Kaare, M., Haydon, D., Lembo, T., Laurenson, M.K. & Packer, C. (2007) The conservation relevance of epidemiological research into carnivore viral diseases in the Serengeti. Conservation Biology, 21, 612-622.
20. Clifford, D.L., Schumaker, B.A., Stephenson, T.R., Bleich, V.C., Cahn, M.L., Gonzales, B.J., Boyce, W.M. & Mazet, J.A.K. (2009) Assessing disease risk at the wildlife-livestock interface: a study of Sierra Nevada bighorn sheep. Biological Conservation, 142, 2559-2568.
21. Coggins, V.L. & Matthews, P.E. (1996) Rocky mountain bighorn sheep in Oregon, history and present status. Biennial Symposium Northern Wild Sheep and Goat Council, 10, 87-92.
22. Dassanayake, R.P., Shanthalingam, S., Herndon, C.N., Lawrence, P.K., Cassirer, E.F., Potter, K.A., Foreyt, W.J., Clinkenbeard, K.D. & Srikumaran, S. (2009) Mannheimia haemolytica serotype A1 exhibits differential pathogenicity in two related species, Ovis canadensis and Ovis aries. Veterinary microbiology, 133, 366-371.
23. Dassanayake, R.P., Shanthalingam, S., Herndon, C.N., Subramaniam, R., Lawrence, P.K., Bavananthasivam, J., Cassirer, E.F., Haldorson, G.J., Foreyt, W.J., Rurangirwa, F.R., Knowles, D.P., Besser, T.E. & Srikumaran, S. (2010) Mycoplasma ovipneumoniae can predispose bighorn sheep to fatal Mannheimia haemolytica pneumonia. Veterinary microbiology, 145, 354-359.
24. DeCesare, N.J. & Pletscher, D.H. (2006) Movements, connectivity, and resource selection of Rocky Mountain bighorn sheep. Journal of Mammalogy, 87, 531-538.
25. Enk, T.A., Picton, H.D. & Williams, J.S. (2001) Factors limiting a bighorn sheep population in Montana following a dieoff. Northwest Science, 75, 280-291.
26. ESRI. (2008) ArcMap 9.3, Service Pack 1. http://www.esri.com. Redlands, CA.
27. Ferrari, M.J., Grais, R.F., Bharti, N., Conlan, A.J.K., Bjørnstad, O.N., Wolfson, L.J., Guerin, P.J., Djibo, A. & Grenfell, B.T. (2008) The dynamics of measles in sub-Saharan Africa. Nature, 451, 679-684.
28. Festa-Bianchet, M. (1991) The social system of bighorn sheep: grouping patterns, kinship and female dominance rank. Animal Behaviour, 42, 71-82.
29. Firth, D. (1993) Bias reduction of maximum likelihood estimates. Biometrika, 80, 27-38.
30. Foreyt, W.J. (1990) Pneumonia in bighorn sheep: effects of Pasteurella haemolytica from domestic sheep and effects on survival and long-term reproduction. Biennial Symposium Northern Wild Sheep and Goat Council, 7, 92-101.
31. Foreyt, W.J., Snipes, K.P. & Kasten, R.W. (1994) Fatal pneumonia following inoculation of healthy bighorn sheep with Pasteurella haemolytica from healthy domestic sheep. Journal of Wildlife Diseases, 30, 137-145.
32. George, J.L., Martin, D.J., Lukacs, P.M. & Miller, M.W. (2008) Epidemic pasteurellosis in a bighorn sheep population coinciding with the appearance of a domestic sheep. Journal of Wildlife Diseases, 44, 388-403.
33. Goodson, N.J. (1982) Effects of domestic sheep grazing on bighorn sheep populations: a review. Biennial Symposium Northern Wild Sheep and Goat Council, 3, 287-313.
34. Grassly, N.C. & Fraser, C. (2008) Mathematical models of infectious disease transmission. Nature Reviews Microbiology, 6, 477-487.
35. Grenfell, B.T., Wilson, K., Finkenstadt, B.F., Coulson, T.N., Murray, S., Albon, S.D., Pemberton, J.M., Clutton-Brock, T.H. & Crawley, M.J. (1998) Noise and determinism in synchronized sheep dynamics. Nature, 394, 674-677.
36. Grinnell, G.B. (1928) Mountain sheep. Journal of Mammalogy, 9, 1-9.
37. Gross, J.E., Singer, F.J. & Moses, M.E. (2000) Effects of disease, dispersal, and area on bighorn sheep restoration. Restoration Ecology, 8, 25-37.
38. Heisey, D.M., E., O.E., Cross, P.C., Joly, D.O., Langenberg, J.A. & Miller, M.W. (2010) Linking process to pattern: estimating spatiotemporal dynamics of a wildlife epidemic from cross-sectional data. Ecological Monographs, 80, 221-240.
39. Hnilicka, P.A., Mionczynski, J., Mincher, B.J., Hinschberger, M., Oberlie, S., Thompson, C.B., Yates, B. & Siermer, D.D. (2002) Bighorn sheep lamb survival, trace minerals, rainfall, and air pollution: are there any connections? Biennial Symposium Northern Wild Sheep and Goat Council, 13, 70-94.
40. Hobbs, N.T. & Miller, M.W. (1992) Interactions between pathogens and hosts: simulation of pasteurellosis epizootics in bighorn sheep populations. Wildlife 2001: Populations, (eds D.R. McCullough & R.H. Barrett ), pp. 997-1007. Elsevier, London
41. Jesse, M. & Heesterbeek, H. (2011) Divide and conquer? Persistence of infectious agents in spatial metapopulations of hosts. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 275, 12-20.
42. Johnson, R.L. (1980) Re-introduction of bighorn sheep in Washington. Biennial Symposium Northern Wild Sheep and Goat Council, 2, 106-112.
43. Johnson, C.G. & Simon, S.A. (1987) Plant associations of the Wallowa-Snake province. U.S. Forest Service Pacific Northwest Region Report R6-ECOL-TP-255B-86, Baker City, Oregon, USA.
44. Jorgenson, J.T., Festa-Bianchet, M., Gaillard, J.-M. & Wishart, W.D. (1997) Effects of age, sex, disease, and density on survival of bighorn sheep. Ecology, 78, 1019-1032.
45. Kaplan, E.L. & Meier, P. (1958) Nonparametric estimation from incomplete observations. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1, 53, 457-481.
46. Lunn, D.J., Thomas, A., Best, N. & Spiegelhalter, D. (2000) WinBUGS - A Bayesian modelling framework: concepts, structure, and extensibility. Statistics and Computing, 10, 325-337.
47. Pioner, M., Dunkler, D., H., S. & Heinze, G. (2006) Logistf:Firth's bias reduced logistic regression. R package version 1.06., http://www.meduniwien.ac.at/msi/biometrie/programme/fl/index.html.
48. R Development Core Team. (2008) R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
49. Råberg, L., Graham, A.L. & Read, A.F. (2009) Decomposing health: tolerance and resistance to parasites in animals. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 364, 37-49.
50. Rajala, P. & Castrén, H. (1995) Serum Immunoglobulin concentrations and health of dairy calves in two management systems from birth to 12weeks of age. Journal of Dairy Science, 78, 2737-2744.
51. Rubin, E.S., Boyce, W.M. & Caswell-Chen, E.R. (2002) Modeling demographic processes in an endangered population of bighorn sheep. Journal of Wildlife Management, 66, 796-810.
52. Rubin, E.S., Boyce, W.M., Jorgenson, M.C., Torres, S.G., Hayes, C.L., O'Brien, C.S. & Jessup, D.A. (1998) Distribution and abundance of bighorn sheep in the Peninsular Ranges, California. Wildlife Society Bulletin, 26, 539-551.
53. Rush, W.M. (1927) Notes on diseases in wild game mammals: mountain sheep. Journal of Mammalogy, 8, 163-165.
54. Salkeld, D.J., Salathe, M., Stapp, P. & Jones, J.H. (2010) Plague outbreaks in prairie dog populations explained by percolation thresholds of alternate host abundance. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 107, 14247-14250.
55. Sanchez, A., Khan, A.S., Zaki, S.R., Nabel, G.J., Ksiazek, T.G. & Peters, C. J. (2001) Filoviridae: Marburg and Ebola viruses. Fields Virology (eds D.M. Knipe & P.M. Howley ), pp. 1279-1304. Lippincott Williams & Wilkins, Philadelphia, USA.
56. Shillenger, J.E. (1937) Disease relationship between domestic animals and wildlife. Transactions North American Wildlife and Natural Resources Conference, 2, 298-302.
57. Siegel, S. & Castellan, N.J.J. (1988) Nonparametric statistics for the behavioral sciences, 2nd edn. McGraw-Hill, New York.
58. Smith, D.R. (1954) The bighorn sheep in Idaho: its status, life history, and management. Wildlife Bulletin No. 1, Federal Aid to Wildlife Restoration Act., Idaho Project 99R, pp. 154. Idaho Department of Fish and Game, Boise, Idaho, USA.
59. Spraker, T.R., Hibler, C.P., Schoonveld, G.G. & Adney, W.S. (1984) Pathologic changes and microorganisms found In bighorn sheep during a stress-related die-off. Journal of Wildlife Diseases, 20, 319-327.
60. Sturtz, S., Ligges, U. & Gelman, A. (2005) R2WinBUGS: a package for running Win BUGS from R. Journal of Statistical Software, 12, 1-16.
61. Taylor, H.M. & Karlin, S. (1998) An introduction to stochastic modeling, 3rd edn. Academic Press, San Diego, CA.
62. Thompson, R.W. & Turner, J.C. (1982) Temporal geographic variation in the lambing season of bighorn sheep. Canadian Journal of Zoology-Revue Canadienne De Zoologie, 60, 1781-1793.
63. Valdez, R. & Krausman, P.R. (1999) Mountain sheep of North America. University of Arizona Press, Tucson.
64. Ward, A.C.S., Hunter, D.L., Jaworski, M.D., Lane, M.V., Zaugg, J.L. & Bulgin, M.S. (1992) Naturally occurring pneumonia in caesarian-derived Rocky Mountain bighorn sheep lambs. Biennial Symposium Northern Wild Sheep and Goat Council, 8, 164-173.
65. Wendland, L.D., Wooding, J., White, C.L., Demcovitz, D., Littell, R., Berish, J.D., Ozgul, A., Oli, M.K., Klein, P.A., Christman, M.C. & Brown, M.B. (2010) Social behavior drives the dynamics of respiratory disease in threatened tortoises. Ecology, 91, 1257-1262.
66. Western, R.C.C. (2008) Historical Climate information. Desert Research Insititute, Reno, NV, http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/.