The Democratic Peace: Weighing the Evidence and Cautious Inference

International Studies Quarterly

Volumn 57, Issue 1, 2013, Pages 201-214

  Dafoe, Allan ^a   Oneal, John R ^b   Russett, Bruce ^a  

^a YALE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DEMOCRACY; DEMOCRATIZATION; INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS; PEACEKEEPING; POLITICAL ECONOMY; THEORETICAL STUDY; WAR;

EID: 84875587858     PISSN: 00208833     EISSN: 14682478     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/isqu.12055     Document Type: Article

References (49)

1. Acemoglu, Daron, and James A. Robinson. (2012) Why Nations Fail: the Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty. New York: Crown Business.
2. Acemoglu, Daron, Simon Johnson, and James A. Robinson (2001) The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation. American Economic Review 91(5): 1369-1401.
3. Acemoglu, Daron, Simon Johnson, James A. Robinson, and Pierre Yared (2008) Income and Democracy. The American Economic Review 98(3): 808-842.
4. Beck, Thorsten, and Ian Webb (2003) Economic, Demographic, and Institutional Determinants of Life Insurance Consumption Across Countries. The World Bank Economic Review 17(1): 51-88.
5. Beck, Nathaniel, Jonathan Katz, and Richard Tucker. (1998) "Beyond Ordinary Logit: Taking Time Seriously in Binary Cross-Section Models." American Journal of Political Science 42 (4): 1288.
6. Bennett, D. Scott (2006) Towards a Continuous Specification of the Democracy-Autocracy Connection. International Studies Quarterly 50(2): 313-338.
7. Bennett, D. Scott, and Allan C. Stam. (2004) The Behavioral Origins of War. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
8. Bennett, D. Scott, and Allan C. Stam III. 2012. Expected Utility Generation and Management Program, version 3.204. Available at http://eugenesoftware.org. (Accessed March 19, 2012.)
9. Bremer, Stuart (1992) Dangerous Dyads: Conditions Affecting the Likelihood of Interstate War, 1816-1965. Journal of Conflict Resolution 36(2): 309-341.
10. Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce. (1981) The War Trap. New Haven: Yale University Press.
11. Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, Nils Petter Gleditsch, Patrick James, Gary King, Claire Metelits, James Lee Ray, Bruce Russett, Håvard Strand, and Brandon Valeriano. (2003) Symposium on Replication in International Studies Research. International Studies Perspectives 4 (1): 72-107.
12. Crescenzi, Mark J. C., Kelly M. Kadera, Sara M. Mitchell, and Clayton L. Thyne (2011) A Supply Side Theory of Mediation. International Studies Quarterly 55(4): 1069-1094.
13. Dafoe, Allan (2011) Statistical Critiques of the Democratic Peace: Caveat Emptor. American Journal of Political Science 55(2): 247-262.
14. Dafoe, Allan, and Bruce Russett (2013) Does Capitalism Account for the Democratic Peace? The Evidence Still Says No. In Assessing the Capitalist Peace, edited by Gerald Schneider and Nils Petter. Gleditsch: Routledge.
15. Dorn, H. F. (1953) Philosophy of Inference from Retrospective Studies. American Journal of Public Health 43: 692-699.
16. Dunning, Thad. (2012) Natural Experiments in the Social Sciences: A Design-Based Approach. New York: Cambridge University Press.
17. Farber, Henry S., and Joanne Gowa. (1997) Common Interests or Common Polities? Reinterpreting the Democratic Peace. Journal of Politics 59 (2): 393-417.
18. Gartzke, Erik, and Alex Weisiger. (2013) Permanent Friends? Dynamic Difference and the Democratic Peace. International Studies Quarterly 57 (1): 171-185.
19. Gerber, Alan, and Neil Malhotra. (2008) Do Statistical Reporting Standards Affect What Is Published? Publication Bias in Two Leading Political Science Journals. Quarterly Journal of Political Science 3(3): 313-326.
20. Hegre, Håvard, John R. Oneal, and Bruce Russett. 2010. "Trade Does Promote Peace: The Perils of Simultaneous Estimation of the Reciprocal Effects of Trade and Conflict." Journal of Peace Research 41 (6): 763-774.
21. Honaker, James, and Gary King (2010) What to Do about Missing Values in Time-Series Cross-Section Data. American Journal of Political Science 54(2): 561-581.
22. Huntington, Samuel P. (1998) The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order. New York: Simon & Schuster.
23. Ioannidis, John P. A. (2005) Why Most Published Research Findings Are False. PLoS Medicine 2(8): e124.
24. King, Gary, Michael Tomz, and Jason Wittenberg (2000) Making the Most of Statistical Analyses: Improving Interpretation and Presentation. American Journal of Political Science 44(2): 347-361.
25. Lipson, Charles. (2003) Reliable Partners: How Democracies Have Made a Separate Peace. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
26. Maoz, Zeev. 2005. "Dyadic MID Dataset (version 2.0)." Available at http://psfaculty.ucdavis.edu/zmaoz/dyadmid.html.
27. Marshall, Monty G., Keith Jaggers, and Ted Robert Gurr. 2011. Polity IV Annual Time Series 1800-2011. Available at http://www.systemicpeace.org/inscr/inscr.htm. (Accessed March 23, 2012).
28. Meng, Xiao-Li (1994) Multiple-imputation Inferences with Uncongenial Sources of Input. Statistical Science 9(4): 538-558.
29. Mousseau, Michael (2009) The Social Market Roots of Democratic Peace. International Security 33(4): 52-86.
30. Mousseau, Michael. (2013) "The Democratic Peace Unraveled: It's the Economy."International Studies Quarterly 57(1): 186-197.
31. Mousseau, Michael, Håvard Hegre, and John R. Oneal (2003) How the Wealth of Nations Conditions the Liberal Peace. The European Journal of International Relations 9(2): 277-314.
32. Mousseau, Michael, Omer Orsun, Jameson Lee Ungerer, and Demet Yalcin Mousseau (2013a) Capitalism and Peace: It′s Keynes, not Hayek. In Assessing the Capitalist Peace, edited by Gerald Schneider and Nils Petter Gleditsch. New York: Routledge.
33. Mousseau, Michael, Omer Orsun, and Jameson Lee Ungerer. (2013b) "Does the Market-Capitalist Peace Supersede the Democratic Peace? The Evidence Still Says Yes." In The Capitalist Peace, edited by Gerald Schneider, and Nils Petter Gleditsch. New York: Routledge.
34. North, Douglass C., John J. Wallis, and Barry R. Weingast. (2009) Violence and Social Orders: A Conceptual Framework for Interpreting Recorded History. New York: Cambridge University Press.
35. Olson, Mancur (1993) Dictatorship, Democracy, and Development. American Political Science Review 87(3): 567-576.
36. Oneal, John R., and Bruce M. Russett. (1997) The Classical Liberals Were Right: Democracy, Interdependence, and Conflict, 1950-1985. International Studies Quarterly 41: 267-293.
37. Oneal, John R., and Bruce Russett. (2005) Rule of Three, Let It Be? When More Really Is Better. Conflict Management and Peace Science 22: 293.
38. Oneal, John R., Bruce Russett, and Michael L. Berbaum. (2003) Causes of Peace: Democracy, Interdependence, and International Organizations, 1885-1992. International Studies Quarterly 47: 371-393.
39. Peceny, Mark, Caroline C. Beer, and Shannon Sanchez-Terry (2002) Dictatorial Peace? The American Political Science Review 96(1): 15-26.
40. Raknerud, Arvid, and Håvard Hegre (1997) The Hazard of War: Reassessing the Democratic Peace. Journal of Peace Research 34(4): 385-404.
41. Robinson, James A. (2006) Economic Development and Democracy. American Review of Political Science 9: 503-527.
42. Rubin, Donald B. (1996) Multiple imputation after 18+ years. Journal of the American Statistical Association 19(434): 473-489.
43. Russett, Bruce (2011) Capitalism or Democracy? Not so Fast. International Interactions 36(2): 198-205.
44. Russett, Bruce, and John R. Oneal. (2001) Triangulating Peace: Democracy, Interdependence, and International Organizations. New York: Norton.
45. Schumpeter, Joseph A. (2003) Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy. New York: Routledge. Original edition, 1943.
46. Sekhon, Jasjeet S. (2009) Opiates for the Matches: Matching Methods for Causal Inference. Annual Review of Political Science 12(1): 487-508.
47. Teorell, Jan. (2010) Determinants of Democratization: Explaining Regime Change in the World, 1972-2006. New York: Cambridge University Press.
48. Werner, Suzanne (2000) The Effects of Political Similarity on the Onset of Militarized Disputes, 1816-1985. Political Research Quarterly 53(2): 343-374.
49. Wooldridge, Jeffrey M. (2008) Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Boston: MIT Press.