Identifying species at risk from climate change: Traits predict the drought vulnerability of freshwater fishes

Biological Conservation

Volumn 160, Issue , 2013, Pages 40-49

  Chessman, Bruce C ^a  

^a OFFICE OF ENVIRONMENT AND HERITAGE   (Australia)

Author keywords

Climate change; Drought; Fish; Trait; Vulnerability

Indexed keywords

BODY SIZE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CORRELATION; DIET; DROUGHT STRESS; FISH; FRESHWATER ECOSYSTEM; INTERSPECIFIC VARIATION; LIFE HISTORY TRAIT; RISK FACTOR; SEXUAL MATURITY; VULNERABILITY;

AUSTRALIA; MURRAY-DARLING BASIN;

PISCES;

EID: 84873498635     PISSN: 00063207     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2012.12.032     Document Type: Article

References (53)

1. ABS, 2008. Water and the Murray-Darling Basin. A Statistical Profile 2000-01 to 2005-06. Australian Bureau of Statistics, Canberra.
2. Anderson S.C., Farmer R.G., Ferretti F., Houde A.L.S., Hutchings J.A. Correlates of vertebrate extinction risk in Canada. BioScience 2011, 61:538-549.
3. Angert A.L., Crozier L.G., Rissler L.J., Gilman S.E., Tewksbury J.J., Chunco A.J. Do species' traits predict recent shifts at expanding range edges?. Ecol. Lett. 2011, 14:677-689.
4. Balcombe S.R., Bunn S.E., McKenzie-Smith F.J., Davies P.M. Variability of fish diets between dry and flood periods in an arid zone floodplain river. J. Fish Biol. 2005, 67:1552-1567.
5. Balcombe S.R., Sheldon F., Capon S.J., Bond N.R., Hadwen W.L., Marsh N., Bernays S.J. Climate-change threats to native fish in degraded rivers and floodplains of the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia. Mar. Freshw. Res. 2011, 62:1099-1114.
6. Balcombe S.R., Lobegeiger J.S., Marshall S.M., Marshall J.C., Ly D., Jones D.N. Fish body condition and recruitment success reflect antecedent flows in an Australian dryland river. Fish. Sci. 2012, 78:841-847.
7. Bêche L.A., Connors P.G., Resh V.H., Merenlender A.M. Resilience of fishes and invertebrates to prolonged drought in two California streams. Ecography 2009, 32:778-788.
8. Bellard C., Bertelsmeier C., Leadley P., Thuiller W., Courchamp F. Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity. Ecol. Lett. 2012, 15:365-377.
9. Bertozzi T., Adams M., Walker K.F. Species boundaries in carp gudgeons (Eleotrididae: Hypseleotris) from the River Murray, South Australia: evidence for multiple species and extensive hybridization. Mar. Freshw. Res. 2000, 51:805-815.
10. Boix D., García-Berthou E., Gascón S., Benejam L., Tornés E., Sala J., Benito J., Munné A., Solà C., Sabater S. Response of community structure to sustained drought in Mediterranean rivers. J. Hydrol. 2010, 383:135-146.
11. Bond N.R., Lake P.S. Ecological restoration and large-scale ecological disturbance. the effects of drought on the response by fish to a habitat restoration experiment. Restor. Ecol. 2005, 13:39-48.
12. Bond N.R., Lake P.S., Arthington A.H. The impacts of drought on freshwater ecosystems: an Australian perspective. Hydrobiologia 2008, 600:3-16.
13. Bond N., Thomson J., Reich P., Stein J. Using species distribution models to infer potential climate change-induced range shifts of freshwater fish in south-eastern Australia. Mar. Freshw. Res. 2011, 62:1043-1061.
14. Bruton M.N. Have fishes had their chips? The dilemma of threatened fishes. Environ. Biol. Fishes 1995, 43:1-27.
15. Buisson L., Thuiller W., Lek S., Lim P., Grenouillet G. Climate change hastens the turnover of stream fish assemblages. Glob. Change Biol. 2008, 14:2232-2248.
16. Clausen R., York R. Global biodiversity decline of marine and freshwater fish: a cross-national analysis of economic, demographic, and ecological influences. Soc. Sci. Res. 2008, 37:1310-1320.
17. Closs G.P., Lake P.S. Drought, differential mortality and the coexistence of a native and an introduced fish species in a south east Australian intermittent stream. Environ. Biol. Fishes 1996, 47:17-26.
18. Conallin A.J., Hillyard K.A., Walker K.F., Gillanders B.M., Smith B.B. Offstream movements of fish during drought in a regulated lowland river. River Res. Appl. 2011, 27:1237-1252.
19. Cormont A., Vos C.C., van Turnhout C.A.M., Foppen R.P.B., ter Braak C.J.F. Using life-history traits to explain bird population responses to changing weather variability. Climate Res. 2011, 49:59-71.
20. Cowx I.G., Young W.O., Hellawell J.M. The influence of drought on the fish and invertebrate populations of an upland stream in Wales. Freshw. Biol. 1984, 14:165-177.
21. Crook D.A., Reich P., Bond N.R., McMaster D., Koehn J.D., Lake P.S. Using biological information to support proactive strategies for managing freshwater fish during drought. Mar. Freshw. Res. 2010, 61:379-387.
22. CSIRO, 2008. Water availability in the Murray. A report to the Australian Government from the CSIRO Murray-Darling Basin Sustainable Yields Project. Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Canberra.
23. Dai A. Drought under global warming: a review. WIREs Climate Change 2011, 2:45-65.
24. Davies P.E., Harris J.H., Hillman T.J., Walker K.F. The Sustainable Rivers Audit: assessing river ecosystem health in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia. Mar. Freshw. Res. 2010, 61:764-777.
25. Diamond S.E., Frame A.M., Martin R.A., Buckley L.B. Species' traits predict phenological responses to climate change in butterflies. Ecology 2011, 92:1005-1012.
26. Gergis J., Gallant A.J.E., Braganza K., Karoly D.J., Allen K., Cullen L., D'Arrigo R., Goodwin I., Grierson P., McGregor S. On the long-term context of the 1997-2009 'Big Dry' in South-Eastern Australia: insights from a 206-year multi-proxy rainfall reconstruction. Climat. Change 2012, 111:923-944.
27. Gilligan, D., Vey, A., Asmus, M., 2009. Identifying Drought Refuges in the Wakool System and Assessing Status of Fish Populations and Water Quality Before, During and after the Provision of Environmental, Stock and Domestic Flows. Department of Primary Industries, Batemans Bay, Australia. Fisheries Final Report Series No. 110.
28. Griswold B.I., Edwards C.J., Woods L.C. Recolonization of macroinvertebrates and fish in a channelized stream after a drought. Ohio J. Sci. 1982, 82:96-102.
29. Hardy C.M., Adams M., Jerry D.R., Court L.N., Morgan M.J., Hartley D.M. DNA barcoding to support conservation: species identification, genetic structure and biogeography of fishes in the Murray-Darling River Basin, Australia. Mar. Freshw. Res. 2011, 62:887-901.
30. Jiguet F., Gadot A.-S., Julliard R., Newson S.E., Couvet D. Climate envelope, life history traits and the resilience of birds facing global change. Glob. Change Biol. 2007, 13:1672-1684.
31. King A.J., Ward K.A., O'Connor P., Green D., Tonkin Z., Mahoney J. Adaptive management of an environmental watering event to enhance native fish spawning and recruitment. Freshw. Biol. 2010, 55:17-31.
32. Kingsford R.T., Walker K.F., Lester R.E., Young W.J., Fairweather P.G., Sammut J., Geddes M.C. A Ramsar wetland in crisis - the Coorong, Lower Lakes and Murray Mouth, Australia. Mar. Freshw. Res. 2011, 62:255-265.
33. Koehn J.D., Lintermans M. A strategy to rehabilitate fishes of the Murray-Darling Basin, south-eastern Australia. Endangered Species Res. 2012, 16:165-181.
34. Koehn J.D., Hobday A.J., Pratchett M.S., Gillanders B.M. Climate change and Australian marine and freshwater environments, fishes and fisheries: synthesis and options for adaptation. Mar. Freshw. Res. 2011, 62:1148-1164.
35. Koetsier P., Urquhart A.N. Desiccation tolerance in a wild population of the invasive oriental weatherfish Misgurnus anguillicaudatus in Idaho, USA. Trans. Am. Fish. Soc. 2012, 141:365-369.
36. Leblanc M., Tweed S., Van Dijk A., Timbal B. A review of historic and future hydrological changes in the Murray-Darling Basin. Global Planet. Change 2012, 80-81:226-246.
37. Lenoir J., Gégout J.C., Marquet P.A., de Ruffray P., Brisse H. A significant upward shift in plant species optimum elevation during the 20th Century. Science 2008, 320:1768-1771.
38. Lintermans M. Fishes of the Murray-Darling Basin: An Introductory Guide 2007, Murray-Darling Basin Commission, Canberra.
39. Lyons J., Stewart J.S., Mitro M. Predicted effects of climate warming on the distribution of 50 stream fishes in Wisconsin, USA. J. Fish Biol. 2010, 77:1867-1898.
40. Magoulick D.D., Kobza R.M. The role of refugia for fishes during drought: a review and synthesis. Freshw. Biol. 2003, 48:1186-1198.
41. Matthews W.J., Marsh-Matthews E. Effects of drought on fish across axes of space, time and ecological complexity. Freshw. Biol. 2003, 48:1232-1253.
42. Maxwell D., Jennings S. Power of monitoring programmes to detect decline and recovery of rare and vulnerable fish. J. Appl. Ecol. 2005, 42:25-37.
43. Moran M.D. Arguments for rejecting the sequential Bonferroni in ecological studies. Oikos 2003, 100:403-405.
44. Morrongiello J.R., Beatty S.J., Bennett J.C., Crook D.A., Ikedife D.N.E.N., Kennard M.J., Kerezsy A., Lintermans M., McNeil D.G., Pusey B.J., Rayner T. Climate change and its implications for Australia's freshwater fish. Mar. Freshw. Res. 2011, 62:1082-1098.
45. Perneger T.V. What's wrong with Bonferroni adjustments. Br. Med. J. 1998, 316:1236-1238.
46. Piet G.J. Impact of environmental perturbation on a tropical fish community. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 1998, 55:1842-1853.
47. Purvis A., Gittleman J.L., Cowlishaw G., Mace G.M. Predicting extinction risk in declining species. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 2000, 267:1947-1952.
48. Raadik T. When is a mountain galaxias not a mountain galaxias?. Fishes of Sahul 2001, 15:785-789.
49. Raadik T.A., Fairbrother P.S., Smith S.J. National Recovery Plan for the Barred Galaxias Galaxias fuscus 2010, Department of Sustainability and Environment, Melbourne.
50. Warren R., Price J., Fischlin A., Santos S.D., Midgley G. Increasing impacts of climate change upon ecosystems with increasing global mean temperature rise. Climat. Change 2011, 106:141-177.
51. Wedderburn S.D., Hammer M.P., Bice C.M. Shifts in small-bodied fish assemblages resulting from drought-induced water level recession in terminating lakes of the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia-induced water level recession in terminating lakes of the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia. Hydrobiologia 2012, 691:35-46.
52. Winemiller K.O., Rose K.A. Patterns of life history diversification in North American fishes: implications for population regulation. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 1992, 49:2196-2218.
53. Xenopoulos M.A., Lodge D.M., Alcamo J., Märker M., Schulze K., Van Vuuren D.P. Scenarios of freshwater fish extinctions from climate change and water withdrawal. Glob. Change Biol. 2005, 11:1557-1564.